The Dark Knight Rises OS Discussion Thread/700M+ OS CLUB

[snitch]

What qualities does Inception have that TDKR doesn't have to appeal to China?

Leo

[vc2002]

What qualities does Inception have that TDKR doesn't have to appeal to China?

Sic-fi. Big effects. Leo.

[Robertron]

Out. $550m.

[stiger]

China or no China, I'm IN.

[iceroll]

Sic-fi. Big effects. Leo.

TDKR will have many big effects and impressive action sequences too. I'm not sure how big of a draw Leo is but 2 years of market expansion should balance it out.

[Fake]

Also, Bale is now a well-known face too, thanks to 'The Flowers of War'.

[John Marston]

I don't know why people think this will do so good in China. Most films released in China do not make as much as these predictions

[Fake]

I thought I'd do a comparison with TF2/TF3 and TDK/TDKRSince China is the uncertain thing here, I am omitting it from my calculations.....-TF2 did 368M, which with 2 years of inflation (@ ~5%), calculates to 405M @ 2011 prices.-TF3 did 596M, which without the 3D boost (~30% on 60% of the tickets) calculates to 505M.-TF3 had ~25% increase in admissions compared to TF2.-TDK did 468.6M, which with 4 years of inflation calculates to 570M @ 2012 prices.- A 25% increase in admissions will give TDKR 712M.And that's without China.Can anybody point one single reason why TDKR will see less increase from TDK in admissions than TF3 did from TF2?Now tell me, are the 700M+ predicts ridiculous or are the sub-700M predicts (including China)?

[A Marvel Fanboy]

I thought I'd do a comparison with TF2/TF3 and TDK/TDKRSince China is the uncertain thing here, I am omitting it from my calculations.....-TF2 did 368M, which with 2 years of inflation (@ ~5%), calculates to 405M @ 2011 prices.-TF3 did 596M, which without the 3D boost (~30% on 60% of the tickets) calculates to 505M.-TF3 had ~25% increase in admissions compared to TF2.-TDK did 468.6M, which with 4 years of inflation calculates to 570M @ 2012 prices.- A 25% increase in admissions will give TDKR 712M.And that's without China.Can anybody point one single reason why TDKR will see less increase from TDK in admissions than TF3 did from TF2?Now tell me, are the 700M+ predicts ridiculous or are the sub-700M predicts (including China)?

3D adds more admissions in certain markets certain movies.

[Fake]

3D adds more admissions in certain markets certain movies.

And in certain markets, it subtracts.Overall a minor effect in any one direction.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Shouldnt you consider the competition from TASM and IA4 ?

[vc2002]

TF3 isn't a good comparison. OS audience love big effects sci-fi or fantasy. TF3 got the potential of a big admissions increase. Also, IMO 3D overally helped the admissions increase. Batman isn't a very popular figure OS, and SH movies never did massive business.SM3 is a much more comparable. But you have to also consider that TDK's boxoffice was a little inflated by Ledger's death, and Spiderman is also more appearing to OS audience.

[SchumacherFTW]

If TDKR can hit the same overseas numbers as Inception, I'll be happy, so i'm OUT at $530m

Edited February 22, 2012 by Schumacher FTW

[MrWhoopee]

In with $722 million

[Kvikk Lunsj]

out500m

[fmpro]

630 mill

[Juby]

TDKR is the most anticipated film for me, but im OUT for now.

$570M

[Bluebomb]

I never got my predicts in. 625-640m. IN!

[The Dark Alfred]

600m is locked. It's looking at 580-620m without China, with that added it's gonna do at least 700m.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

There is rumor that TDKR will get released in China. It should do 100M at least here.