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baumer

Wknd Estimates: Godzilla - 93.2M

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If we go by previous Victoria Day weekend (Canada) Sunday drops, then Godzilla should have a 30% drop.

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Not sure if this has been posted yet, I know Godzilla's #'s are a little lower than RTH's though.

 

http://www.deadline.com/2014/05/box-office-godzilla-crushes-it-90m/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=facebook

 

1). Godzilla (WB), 3,952 theaters / $36M Fri. / 3-day cume: $90M+ (includes $9.3M Thursday) / Per screen average: $23K / Wk 1

2). Neighbors (UNI), 3,311 theaters (+32) / $8.8M to $9.0M Fri. / 3-day cume: $27M (-45%) / Total cume: $92.5M to $94M / Wk 2

3). The Amazing Spider-Man 2 (SONY) 3,991 theaters (-333) / $4.6M to $4.8M Fri. / 3-day cume: $16.5M (-54%) / Total cume: $172M+ / Wk 3

4). Million Dollar Arm (DIS), 2,109 theaters / $3.5M Fri. / 3-day cume: $10.5M / Wk 1

5). The Other Woman (FOX), 3,054 theaters (-252) / $2M Fri. / 3-day cume: $6.5M (-32%) / Total cume: $71.7M / Wk 4

6). Heaven Is For Real (SONY), 2,893 theaters (-155) / $1.3M Fri. / 3-day cume: 4.5M (-39%) / Total cume: $82.3M / Wk 5

7). Rio 2 (FOX), 2,371 theaters (-602) / $925K Fri. / 3-day cume: $4M (-16%) / Total cume: $118.2M / Wk 6

8). Captain America: The Winter Soldier (DIS), 2,271 theaters (-430) / $1.1M Fri. / 3-day cume: $4M (-29%) / Total cume: $251M / Wk 7

9). Moms’ Night Out (SONY), 1,046 theaters (+2) / $672K Fri. / 3-day cume: $2.2M (-48%) / Total cume: $7.6M / Wk 2

10). Legends of Oz: Dorothy’s Return (FREE), 2,578 theaters (-80) / $470K Fri. / 3-day cume: $1.9M (-48%) / Total cume: $6.5M / Wk 2

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Were there any similar 80m+ OW grossers that had that on a sunday? 

 

 

Yes, On Stranger Tides opened on this weekend in 2011.  It fell 26.8%, so there's your film to judge it by.

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Surprised she didn't pick Legends of Oz.

 

That wasn't an option I gave her ;)

 

Ugh, I woke up with a congested nose and a sore throat this morning. Taking a lot of allergy medicine; hopefully it'll be gone by tonight :(

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Yes, On Stranger Tides opened on this weekend in 2011.  It fell 26.8%, so there's your film to judge it by.

If it follows OST exactly

 

38m Fri

34.8 Sat  -8.4%

25.5 Sun  -26.8%

 

98.3m OW

 

I doubt it will, so I'm thinking about 95m.

 

 

EDIT: oops midnight

Edited by BoxOfficeZ
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If you go strictly by OST, then Godzilla would stay flat today.

 

Friday:  38

Sat:  38

Sun:  25.2

 

 

That would give it a 101.2 mill OW.

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If it follows OST exactly

 

38m Fri

34.8 Sat  -8.4%

25.5 Sun  -26.8%

 

98.3m OW

 

I doubt it will, so I'm thinking about 95m.

 

No, you can't use the drop of 8.4%, because that 38 Friday includes 4.7 mill at midnight.  

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If you go strictly by OST, then Godzilla would stay flat today.

 

Friday:  38

Sat:  38

Sun:  25.2

 

 

That would give it a 101.2 mill OW.

 

So, 100m is doable. if its close enough maybe WB might fudge it. 

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