Noctis Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 (edited) Early B.O.: 'Sherlock Holmes' on track to win in $40s 'Mission: Impossible' large-format-only bow tracking to impressive $11m By RACHEL ABRAMS Box office pundits are projecting Warner Bros.' "Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows" to gross between $14 million and $15 million in the U.S. on Friday, putting it on track to win the weekend with a three-day total in the low-to-mid $40 million range. The Friday take alone could pop with evening auds, especially because it's the last schoolday before holiday break for many families. Meanwhile, 20th Century Fox toon "Alvin and the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked" will likely rank second, with observers putting the family film's Friday take at around $10 million, putting it on course for a $30 million three-day gross. More reserved estimations, however, peg the pic's weekend take slightly lower. Par's "Mission: Impossible -- Ghost Protocol" is also opening today -- but exclusively on large-format screens (425 of them, most of which are IMAX) a week before its wide release. Though box office observers stress the difficulty in predicting this first-ever large-format-only release, the Tom Cruise pic was on pace to earn an impressive $11 million-plus for the weekend, perhaps in part because a seven-minute prologue to "The Dark Knight Rises" will play in front of it. B.O. watchers estimate that Par holdover "Young Adult" will earn shy of $3 million for the weekend, while WB's holdover "New Year's Eve" is looking to take in around $7 million, at most, pushing it over $20 million gross for two weekends. Fox's "The Sitter" is poised to earn under $5 million. Edited December 17, 2011 by Noctis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 Ugh... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarantino666 Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 (edited) Before anyone starts whining about these numbers being, "WAAAAYY TOO EARLY,"... yes, we know these numbers are early. That didn't stop you from being interested and clicking the thread anyway.Anyway, as expected, it looks to be another disappointing weekend. Hopefully things heat up as we get closer to Christmas. This is usually a pretty tame weekend anyway. Edited December 17, 2011 by tarantino666 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceroll Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 Yep, we're definitely in a big slump. Breaking Dawn is the only movie this fall/winter that hasn't disappointed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 Wow...that's not very good for SH2. It may not even get to 40m this weekend, if it goes down. Alvin 3 also seems effected by the infamous sequel curse of 2011. The only really bright spot of these numbers is Ghost Protocol. WOM is really going to kick in by the time it opens in general theaters. Pretty bad for Young Adult,which may end up barely passing TYFS's adjusted total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceroll Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 Pretty bad falls for NYE and The Sitter too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ladyevenstar22 Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 yeah for BD been one of few sequels doing near as well as its predecessors and not disappointing being a sequel and all that!a question immortals finally arrived at my theatre this week and its only in 3D should i shell out the extra $$ or wait for dvd? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Plain Old Tele Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 (edited) Hmm, if those numbers hold, MI4 might have a chance to outgross SH2, and TINTIN now has a chance against CHIPMUNKS. Edited December 17, 2011 by Telemachos Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Marston Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 Lol, If Alvin underperforms then Tin Tin will definitely underperform. I am not even sure if it will reach 100m now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fishstick Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 That`s an epic fail for SH2 if numbers don`t go up too much. What happened to Salander`s drawing power?OTOH, this should be a great news for BD. Might have a good hold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
glassfairy Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 Yay for MI4. I'm really rooting for it. Everything else, meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Plain Old Tele Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 Lol, If Alvin underperforms then Tin Tin will definitely underperform. I am not even sure if it will reach 100m nowI don't follow. Why would that necessarily be the case? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junkshop36 Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 That's kind of mediocre for SH2. I expected it to at least get close to the first's OW. Nice start for MI4, though the number could be skewed a little thanks to the TDKR prolog in front of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 This makes me depressed. Further proof that TDK might of not done that well if it came out this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CJohn Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 Those seem like projections. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CloneWars Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 That's kind of mediocre for SH2. I expected it to at least get close to the first's OW.Nice start for MI4, though the number could be skewed a little thanks to the TDKR prolog in front of it.I think at least 30% of moviegoers for MI4 went for the prologue. Nonetheless, it looks M4 might be the only saving grace this winter aside from BD1. And, I honestly don't think Tin Tin will do well DOM. No general movie goer I know seems to care or even know what Tin Tin is for that matter. It might get good DVD/BD sales though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rb02 Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 That`s an epic fail for SH2 if numbers don`t go up too much. What happened to Salander`s drawing power?OTOH, this should be a great news for BD. Might have a good hold.Her drawing power is worthless. Very pretty, and probably a good actress, but hardly an impact player. I read that her schedule is going to prevent her from deigning to appear in Last Voyage of Demeter and that this may delay or even scuttle the whole project. My thought is, just find someone else.On another note, 40M or so for SH2 is not an epic fail. It's a disappointment for sure, but that still puts it on pace to make a nice profit for the studio, and probably to guarantee a SH3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fanboy Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 Such a terrible winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 This makes me depressed. Further proof that TDK might of not done that well if it came out this year.Confusing post is confusing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cochofles Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 (edited) That's way more than "kinda mediocre" for SH2.Honestly, I knew that those predictions of a 70-80 million dollar opening weekend were way too much. The first SH seemed to me like one of those films that in spite of the good wom and the lead actor's audience goodwil had a forgettable quality. With an opening so much smaller than the first film's, and those reviews, I don't think even Xmas legs will take this to 200. Most likely will end up between 140-150. Which probably makes a SH3 not worth the effort or the potential budget. Edited December 17, 2011 by Cochofles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
