Magic Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 (edited) What if the next December sucks too and Hobbit underperforms (in comparison to some predictions here) and misses 350M? LMAO. It's the freakin Hobbit dude. 100M+ copies sold worldwide, coming off the greatest trilogy of all time and a 370M grosser in 2003 and it has native 3D. People have been waiting nearly a decade for this. Edited December 17, 2011 by Magic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 @giteshpandya: Sources telling me FRI heading to about $15M for #Sherlock2, $8M #Alvin3 & $4M #MI4. Wknds near 40/25/10.I really really hope that number for Alvin is true. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 Hope BOG is right... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 LMAO. It's the freakin Hobbit dude. 100M+ copies sold worldwide, coming off the greatest trilogy of all time and a 370M grosser in 2003 and it has native 3D.So what? DH2 had more going for it at the time of release than The Hobbit will. I can easily see how it can gross less than DH2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Magic Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 Just wait till next year and watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 Yeah. I am waiting too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ball Lightning Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 If any two films won't under perform it'll be TDKR and the hobbit.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 I don't think any will under-perform. I just think some predictions here (based on ROTK adjusted) are too unrealistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 Why is alvin's Friday number a disappointment? And if it does 10 mill on Friday, how in the world is it going to open to 30 mill? It should jump by at least 30% Saturday so that should put it at closer to 33 mill. Next weekend it will probably drop minimally. So it should be on track with a 33-35 mill opening and a 150 mill total, if not more. As for Holmes, if it does open to less than 50, which i called, then it doesn't surprise me. I never thought the first was as good as the box office suggested. It was a boring mess to me and this one looks about the same. I don't think it will clear 150, maybe less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CloneWars Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 I think The Hobbit is the most under-estimated film next year, at least on a DOM level. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 Why is alvin's Friday number a disappointment? And if it does 10 mill on Friday, how in the world is it going to open to 30 mill? It should jump by at least 30% Saturday so that should put it at closer to 33 mill. Next weekend it will probably drop minimally. So it should be on track with a 33-35 mill opening and a 150 mill total, if not more. As for Holmes, if it does open to less than 50, which i called, then it doesn't surprise me. I never thought the first was as good as the box office suggested. It was a boring mess to me and this one looks about the same. I don't think it will clear 150, maybe less.Alvin outgrossing SH2 despite grossing almost half on OD and much poorer reception.. Clearly there is some bias there, baumer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 I think The Hobbit is the most under-estimated film next year, at least on a DOM level.I feel just the opposite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Marston Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 actually he has a point. Alvin is a family film, so it will probably shoot up tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 Alvin outgrossing SH2 despite grossing almost half on OD and much poorer reception.. Clearly there is some bias there, baumer.Really? I hated the Chipmunks movie, but it is a kids a movie and they should have better legs. SH is a sequel, so there should be a rush factor to it unlike Alvin which has kids wanting to see it on the weekend, not Friday night. It's not a bias friend, I just don't think Sherlock was that appealing to begin with. I didn't like either film(s) but I do think Alvin will outgross it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 Why is alvin's Friday number a disappointment? And if it does 10 mill on Friday, how in the world is it going to open to 30 mill? It should jump by at least 30% Saturday so that should put it at closer to 33 mill. Next weekend it will probably drop minimally. So it should be on track with a 33-35 mill opening and a 150 mill total, if not more. As for Holmes, if it does open to less than 50, which i called, then it doesn't surprise me. I never thought the first was as good as the box office suggested. It was a boring mess to me and this one looks about the same. I don't think it will clear 150, maybe less.It's a disappointment because of how much lower this film will open to than the second film (48.9 million OW/219.6 million DOM) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichWS Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 It's a disappointment because of how much lower this film will open to than the second film (48.9 million OW/219.6 million DOM)Are you really surprised Alvin 3 is opening so much lower? Weren't we all expecting a sizable drop off? Toy Story 3 excluded, most threequels drop from the second film. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gopher Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 Amazing that in a year of huge family disappointments Alvin still manages to meet expectations. 10m, that's big. I sort of called it for Sherlock. I wasn't feeling it at all. That's huge for MI4, weak for Young Adult. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceroll Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 Of course Moriarty is Sherlock's most famous nemesisyet in the marketing he's not played up at all and you are left uncertain whether or not he is Sherlock's greatest opponent instead of being sure of it through the aggressive marketing campaign that was supposed to pit Holmes against someone equally brilliant as he is (I'm talking about people like you who are unfamiliar with Holmes and his adversaries )Yeah I don't know who Moriarty is and the marketing team has done a pretty bad job of convincing people like me why he's an interesting character that would make this movie worth seeing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 Yeah I don't know who Moriarty is and the marketing team has done a pretty bad job of convincing people like me why he's an interesting character that would make this movie worth seeing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 Really? I hated the Chipmunks movie, but it is a kids a movie and they should have better legs. SH is a sequel, so there should be a rush factor to it unlike Alvin which has kids wanting to see it on the weekend, not Friday night. It's not a bias friend, I just don't think Sherlock was that appealing to begin with. I didn't like either film(s) but I do think Alvin will outgross it.Yup. Alvin is a kids film. But kids films also have bad legs. And this looks like a perfect contender for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...