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Venezuela Box Office Thread

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Movies opening this weekend (August 22-24):

 

TRANSFORMERS: AGE OF EXTINCTION:

 

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The first Transformers movie was a huge success in Venezuela back in 2007 when the market was still a relatively small one making $2,192,044. Then the second one came in 2009 in a time where the market all of the sudden stopped beign frontloaded with blockbuster movies like this and Venezuela became a Japan-like leggy market making $4,030,620. That is double the original gross. In 2011 the market was still a strong leggy one despite the devaluation a year ago but Paramount was having problems getting their revenue of their movies that year so they stopped the release of Transformers 3 and Captain America 1 until October, witch affected the gross of the film making just $2,618,374 . Thankfully there is no problems with Paramount anymore and Transformers 4 premieres today here. This franchise has strong loyal fan base in the country and Summer season will help the movie to recover from the loss of the third one. Expect Transformers 4 to make at least $1,6 million on Opening Weekend.

Edited by Boxx93 of Winterfell
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From Screen Daily:

 

 

 Transformers: Age Of Extinction added $5.4m from 44 territories for $821.3m and was distinguished by a spectacular launch in its final market. The sci-fi delivered the biggest opening weekend in history in bountiful Venezuela, taking $2.2m from 70 sites – more than double the debut of Dark Of The Moon. Japan added $1.5m for $22.3m after three weeks.  

 

I so underpredicted this one  :o

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What kind of multiplier can we expect from here for TF4?

 

All of the Transformers movies in this market have made a total almost 5 times from its opening weekend so TF 4 could make $10m or $11m if it follows the same trend but the market has changed so much in the past two years that even "frontloaded" movies like Divergent or Catching Fire makes less than 20% of their totals from Opening Weekends because of late legs so TF 4 could go much higher than that unless Dawn Of The Planet of The Apes witch is coming in September 5 seriously hurts it.

Edited by Boxx93 of Winterfell
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TW LW Movie Studio Weekend Gross Change Screens Change / Avg. Gross-to-Date Week
1 N Transformers: Age of Extinction UIP $1,746,642 - 66 - $26,464 $2,051,798 1
2 1 Guardians of the Galaxy UIP $932,312 -38.0% 61 -24 $15,284 $7,162,592 3
3 2 The Fault in our Stars Fox $800,608 -28.1% 51 -7 $15,698 $3,403,212 2
4 6 Er Conde Suelto In Hollywood n/a $421,233 +24.7% 34 +12 $12,389 $1,334,464 2
5 3 Libertador n/a $392,283 -33.3% 53 -18 $7,402 $7,075,031 5
6 5 Blended WB $322,645 -11.6% 26 -2 $12,409 $6,583,762 8
7 7 Deliver Us From Evil Sony $282,075 -8.4% 39 - $7,233 $2,424,238 4
8 4 How to Train Your Dragon 2 Fox $134,365 -65.8% 47 -25 $2,859 $9,955,938 6
9 8 Maleficent Disney $115,102 -55.3% 32 -14 $3,597 $25,003,117 13
10 9 Planes: Fire & Rescue Disney $98,438 -38.9% 31 -13 $3,175 $3,724,865 5
11 12 The Railway Man n/a $27,704 -2.8% 3 -2 $9,235 $319,726 3
12 11 The Grand Budapest Hotel n/a $27,470 -5.7% 3 - $9,157 $180,269 4
13 18 3 Days to Kill n/a $9,244 +47.2% 1 -2 $9,244 $1,342,515 9
14 15 Jersey Boys WB $7,981 -46.6% 1 -1 $7,981 $40,936 2
15 13 Papita, maní, tostón n/a $7,204 -60.7% 3 -1 $2,401 $15,647,373 36
16 14 Rio 2 Fox $5,488 -68.7% 6 -7 $915 $15,853,311 17
17 19 Amour n/a $4,017 -35.0% 2 +1 $2,009 $11,960 2
18 10 X-Men: Days of Future Past Fox $2,590 -95.6% 3 -19 $863 $12,228,394 10
19 20 Divergent n/a $1,556 -60.4% 1 -2 $1,556 $2,888,624 14
20 17 Tarzan (2013) n/a $1,340 -85.6% 1 -3 $1,340 $1,703,014 11

 

 

Currency: Next Wk > 

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Screen Daily confused the OW of Transformers 4 combining it with the sunday preview ($305,156) but is still a really high OW for a movie in this market (and slightly higher than Guardians) so Transformers 4 is poised to pass the $10 million mark.

 

Guardians Of The Galaxy was hurted by Transformers 4 witch is logical considering that both movies go for the same audience. Its still 300k ahead of X Men so Guardians is still in pace for $12 million.

 

Fault In Our Stars had a drop similar to Divergent witch suggest that is going to the same path as Divergent more than Catching Fire but the problem with Divergent is that it dropped very hard on its fourth weekend because of the World Cup and Teens and Young Adults (the main target) preferred watch the games and wait for the Blu Ray. Fault does not have that problem and considering its still Summer season its still poised to reach $7 million.

 

Er Conde Suelto in Hollywood as expected increased in the second weekend due to no upfront demand and effective counterprogramming to Transformers 4 so by following the same trend as the first movie it will probably end at $3,2 million.

 

Libertador is droipping harder than I thought. Its just not having the same linear run that Papita, Maní, Tostón had to reach as high as it did. Should the 30% drop continue Libertador will end at $11 million.

 

Blended is still having ridiculously good drops, no surprise there. Should end at $9 million.

 

Same for Deliver Us From Evil, witch at this point should blow past The Conjuring´s $3,6 million run.

 

Both Maleficent and How to Train Your Dragon 2 had to sacrifice a lot of screens in favor to Transformers 4 so as a result they had the hardest drops of the Top 10. Maleficent will end at $26 million and Dragon 2 will end at $11 million.

Edited by Boxx93 of Winterfell
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Movies opening this weekend (August 29-31):

 

THE EXPENDABLES 3:

 

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The first expendables was not released in Venezuela because of distribution problems, but the second movie was released, though without much success ($627,749) and undestandable too because by the time it was released the Blu Ray was already out so, no success at the movies. But a year later the first Expendables got really popular here because of cable repeats on the Space channel and its just two weeks after the release in the US so maybe The Expendables 3 will do much better than its predeccessor in the market.

 

THE NUT JOB:

 

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Like I said before all animated movies do either decent or really big bussiness in Venezuela, while The Nut Job its the first animated release since Planes: Fire and Rescue in a month, It doesnt look like it will breakout big considering the very kiddish appeal and not the four quadrant appeal that Disney, Pixar, or DreamWorks always have with their movies. And many of the showtimes are matineé so I dont expect much from this one.

 

THE LONGEST DISTANCE (local Movie):

 

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This one is a highly anticipated local movie, and like Libertador its also a colaboration between Spain and Venezuela (with a much smaller budget of course) and it won a lot festival awards before its release here so I think this one will do very well both on Opening weekend and the weeks to come (remember the leggy legs for local movies).
 

Two sides of the same country: a chaotic and violent city contrasting against a natural paradise where the oldest mountains on the planet can be found. Two main characters that find each other at a crucial moment. Two fearless journeys, one that begins as a childlike adventure and ends up on the other side of the country and a one-way journey, free and determined. The same destiny will inevitably bond a woman with her grandson. Without knowing it they are part of an unbreakable family circle that deeply unites them. Second opportunities will arise while individual freedom of choice will become imposing. Everything comes together to tell us: there is only one destiny, the one you choose for yourself.

 

The Longest Distance takes us from the suffocating Caracas to the plenitude that we find on top of one of the oldest geological formations on our planet, the Roraima, south of the Amazon. The speech relies in the magnificence and eloquence of the landscapes that transmit the inner journey of every character, allowing them to leave behind feelings of guilt and regret in order to learn how to communicate with each other. It is only by shortening all the distances between them that they will be able to give a new direction to their lives; thus becoming this journey, the real story we have decided to tell.

 

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Wow another very good weekend for the Venezuelan Box Office. This is so far the highest grossing weekend ever. That Summer Vacation Effect. B) Ok lets start. 
 
Transformers 4 held fantastically well, dropping just a mere 12% after its opening weekend. I don’t remember any Transformers movie holding this well in the country, like… at all. If Transformers continues to be this monster hit in the coming weeks then $10 million will be a walk in the park and $15 million will come into play.
 
Guardians Of The Galaxy recovered from the punch of Transformers Opening Weekend remarkably well holding 17%. Its 600k ahead of both X Men: Days of Future Past and Dragon 2 at the same time frame so a $12 million finish is in play. 
 
The Fault In Our Stars also had a spectacular hold this weekend (17%) and that increases the possible total from $7 million to $8 million.
 
Well shit, I never thought The Nut Job would do this well even for a matinee-only kid’s movie. Maybe Dragon 2 leaving theatres left the kiddie audience hungry for new animated content. The opening is slightly higher than Mr Peabody and Sherman ($447,883) and if The Nut Job has the same legs as Peaboby it should end around $2.3-$2.5 million.
 
Er Conde Suelto En Hollywood stayed pretty much flat as a result for lack of competition. And is performing rather well in comparison to the first movie (The highest grossing of the franchise so far) so maybe the reception has gotten better and maybe it has a chance to surpass the $3.5 million total of the first one.
 
The Expendables 3 also had a really good weekend doubling the OW of the second one ($198,519) and just 200k away from passing its lifetime total. Need For Speed have a similar OW ($411,016) and with similar legs it should end with $2 million. Massive improvement thanks to Cable TV.
 
Libertador also had a really good weekend. No longer 30% drops. And it should continue to perform well in the coming weeks now that the comiteé of local movies just picked Libertador to represent Venezuela as the Best Foreign Picture at the Oscars. That kind of publicity should propel Word Of Mouth. $11 million total is still in play though. Good luck. BTW there will be a limited release in the US in October for any american interested in the movie.  ^_^
 
And finally La Distancia Mas Larga opened in a limited amount of screens in the country but the Per Theatre Average is very high which means there is interest from the mainstream audience and that word of mouth should kick in the coming weeks.  Maybe it will perform like Blended, no theatre expansion but ridiculously great legs. If we go with that logic, La Distancia Mas Larga should end with $6 million or $7 million if it gets no expansion at all. It could go much higher if it gets one though.
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So Maleficent will win the year (anything in the near future that could challenge it for the highest grossing movie of all time? The difference between it and the no.2 is so big I don't see anything in the next few years even coming close to it :o ); TF4 and Guradians are a lock for top 5 (with TF having a chance at overtaking Rio for no. 2 :D ). Any other movies with a chance of breaking into top 5 aside from Penguins of Madagascar?

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Wow another very good weekend for the Venezuelan Box Office. This is so far the highest grossing weekend ever. That Summer Vacation Effect. B) Ok lets start. 
 
Transformers 4 held fantastically well, dropping just a mere 12% after its opening weekend. I don’t remember any Transformers movie holding this well in the country, like… at all. If Transformers continues to be this monster hit in the coming weeks then $10 million will be a walk in the park and $15 million will come into play.
 
Guardians Of The Galaxy recovered from the punch of Transformers Opening Weekend remarkably well holding 17%. Its 600k ahead of both X Men: Days of Future Past and Dragon 2 at the same time frame so a $12 million finish is in play. 
 
The Fault In Our Stars also had a spectacular hold this weekend (17%) and that increases the possible total from $7 million to $8 million.
 
Well shit, I never thought The Nut Job would do this well even for a matinee-only kid’s movie. Maybe Dragon 2 leaving theatres left the kiddie audience hungry for new animated content. The opening is slightly higher than Mr Peabody and Sherman ($447,883) and if The Nut Job has the same legs as Peaboby it should end around $2.3-$2.5 million.
 
Er Conde Suelto En Hollywood stayed pretty much flat as a result for lack of competition. And is performing rather well in comparison to the first movie (The highest grossing of the franchise so far) so maybe the reception has gotten better and maybe it has a chance to surpass the $3.5 million total of the first one.
 
The Expendables 3 also had a really good weekend doubling the OW of the second one ($198,519) and just 200k away from passing its lifetime total. Need For Speed have a similar OW ($411,016) and with similar legs it should end with $2 million. Massive improvement thanks to Cable TV.
 
Libertador also had a really good weekend. No longer 30% drops. And it should continue to perform well in the coming weeks now that the comiteé of local movies just picked Libertador to represent Venezuela as the Best Foreign Picture at the Oscars. That kind of publicity should propel Word Of Mouth. $11 million total is still in play though. Good luck. BTW there will be a limited release in the US in October for any american interested in the movie.  ^_^
 
And finally La Distancia Mas Larga opened in a limited amount of screens in the country but the Per Theatre Average is very high which means there is interest from the mainstream audience and that word of mouth should kick in the coming weeks.  Maybe it will perform like Blended, no theatre expansion but ridiculously great legs. If we go with that logic, La Distancia Mas Larga should end with $6 million or $7 million if it gets no expansion at all. It could go much higher if it gets one though.

 

 

$12m for GOTG in Venezuela? It's fantastic, it will be very close to its gross in Brazil and Mexico despite being a way smaller market :lol:

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So Maleficent will win the year (anything in the near future that could challenge it for the highest grossing movie of all time? The difference between it and the no.2 is so big I don't see anything in the next few years even coming close to it :o ); TF4 and Guradians are a lock for top 5 (with TF having a chance at overtaking Rio for no. 2 :D ). Any other movies with a chance of breaking into top 5 aside from Penguins of Madagascar?

 

Avengers: Age Of Ultron will beat Maleficent next year  ;)

 

Top 5 this year.. Maybe Dawn of the Planet Of The Apes, Mockingjay Part 1 or Big Hero 6 can break into the top 5 of 2014.

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Movies opening this weekend (September 5-7):

 

DAWN OF THE PLANET OF THE APES:

 

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Rise Of The Planet Of The Apes opened in Venezuela in Spetember 2011 and it made $351,371 in opening weekend for a total of $2,252,177. That is 15% of the entire gross, very good legs. And then the movie got very popular with cable reruns (even people I know are starting to show interest to the older Charlton Heston movies). So just like what happened with How To Train Your Dragon and the X Men franchise, Dawn Of The Planet Of The Apes is so locked to explode, and if it openes as high as those movies I mentioned and it gets even crazier legs than Rise, boy we are in for an epic box office run!!! 

 

COMPLOT (Local movie):

 

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Complot is a local low budget local movie about a very dangerous criminal, Cabeza de Mango (Pedro Perez), and his henchmen plot a kidnapping; but there is a problem: someone is playing them all. The question is, who's the mole? Complot takes place in the dangerous but cosmopolitan streets of Caracas and mixes fun and beauty with danger and death showing the contrast between the rich and the poor while it highlights the latest criminal tendency in Venezuela: Kidnappings. Its a limited opening but I think it should do well.

 

ANGRIEST MAN IN BROOKLYN:

 

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Well, this is unexpected. It was not in the coming attraction list but maybe the distributors released Angriest Man In Brooklyn as a tribute to Robin Williams (a very beloved comedian in this country). So I dont know maybe the interest in Robin Williams will pull decent numbers for this movie.

Edited by Boxx93 of Winterfell
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Dawn Of The Planet Of The Apes opened to $1.16 million. Its lower than most big releases this year, but if you look at the PTA you will notice that its very similar to the PTA of movies like Rio 2, Dragon 2, X-Men and a little higher than Cap 2.  So its actually a good opening. It had to face a still hot Transformers 4 so that is another reason why it did not opened higher. There is no big competition the whole month other than Ninja Turtles this Friday so that should greatly benefit its legs. That $10 million total I predicted will be very dificult to reach so $8 million looks more realistic at the moment.

 

Transformers 4 continues to knock it out of the park. it has reached $7.7 millon. Ninja Turtles is the only competiton that can hurt it next weekend (kids are a big audience for this) so a $13m-$15m should the the final total.

 

Guardians of the Galaxy dropped a little hard this weekend, the combination of Apes and Transformers took away a lot of its main audience but its still in fine shape to pass $12 million. 

 

You know, I knew the hunger for kiddie content was big but I did not thought it was going to be this bad. The Nut Job dropped just a mere %13 for a total of $1.4 million. This bitch is so passing Peabodys $2,769,858.

 

The Fault In Our Stars dropped a little hard this weekend but just like Guardians its still in fine shape for an $8 million total.

 

Clearly the buzz for Libertador´s nomination for Best Foreign Picture at the Oscars halped the movie to stay flat this weekend. Hopefully WOM will continue to keep interest in the public to help Libertador pass the $11 million mark.

 

Er Conde Suleto en Hollywood continues to be a great counter-programming movie. already passed the total of the second movie and it looks like will easily pass the total of the first one as well. I say it will end at $5 million at the moment.

 

The Expendables 3 already blew past the total of the second one and it looks like it will have very good legs considering the amount of screen it has and the competition it had to face this weekend. Maybe it will end at $3.5 million.

 

La Distancia Mas Larga greatly benefited from the good WOM for the high quality of it despite still being in few theatres around the country. I dont know how to predict the total because that will depend wheater the distributor of the movie decides to give it an expansion nationwide or not. 

 

And finally Complot rounds up the Top 10 this weekend. Decent PTA average but I dont think it will go any higher. Again, like La Distancia, the final gross will depend on a nationwide expansion.

 

And why BOM did not included Angriest Man in Brooklyn? It was released this friday it should be included on the list.

Edited by Boxx93 of Winterfell
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Movies opening this weekend (September 12-14):

 

NEIGHBORS:

 

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Raunchy comedies like this always do well in this market, but the problem with Neighbors is that despite the wide release and the high appeal of Zac Effron as one of the leads the movie only have night showtimes for the most part. I dont know exactly how is that going to affect the box office but going at night in this insecure country is very dangerous so maybe it wont do as well as it could or maybe I could be wrong and it could be a box office hit anyway.

 

TRASCENDENCE:

 

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Jhonny Depp might be a big star here and may have a much wider release than Neighbors in terms of the number of showtimes but the really bad quality of Trascendance might be a box office poison, so probably will have a decent opening mainly because the lead and the interesting premise but after the opening weekend its going to drop like a rock.

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