fmpro Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 Beraking Dawn Part: $651,427 -46% :)Great!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted December 20, 2011 Author Share Posted December 20, 2011 Yep, I'm happy with the BD1 number. I'm resigned to the fact that it's not making 300 mill and it will probably struggle to hit 290. But with Christmas being on a weird day this year, it will be interesting to see how it plays out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 Dismal for Sherlock and Alvin. I'm tracking Sherlock against National Treasure 2 and Alvin against the first Alvin film (which opened a week earlier)Sherlock is looking at $182-187 million and should be around $5.6 million for MondayAlvin is looking at $109-118 million, and should be around $3.2 million for MondayI definitely overestimated the holiday effect for Monday. My error was using non similar years for comparison, I'll keep that in mind for the rest of the week.Tomorrow for SH2 should be interesting, as National Treasure 2 had Christmas on its first Tuesday an this comparison should shed some light on how much Christmas can effect a film like this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cedarpoint1111 Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 Hmm.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CJohn Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 Can't wait to see the MI4 number. I was expecting a little better from SH2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gopher Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 Pre-Christmas weekdays this year won't be as good as last year's. I think very few schools are out before Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted December 20, 2011 Author Share Posted December 20, 2011 No MI4, but the rest: Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows $4,926,128 -52% 3,703 -- $1,330 $44,563,207 1 Warner Bros. 2 Alvin and the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked $2,712,721 -59% 3,723 -- $729 $25,957,465 1 Fox 3 New Year's Eve $1,118,249 -40% 3,505 0 $319 $25,834,416 2 Warner Bros. / New Line 4 The Sitter $706,209 -48% 2,752 2 $257 $18,636,196 2 Fox 5 The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn - Part 1 $651,427 -46% 2,958 -646 $220 $266,979,401 5 Summit 6 Arthur Christmas $641,568 -44% 2,929 -343 $219 $39,143,199 4 Sony / Columbia 7 The Muppets $588,340 -48% 2,808 -520 $210 $71,582,911 4 Disney 8 Happy Feet Two $205,324 -44% 1,780 -1060 $115 $59,115,197 5 Warner Bros. 9 Jack and Jill $173,856 -47% 1,910 -877 $91 $70,680,485 6 Sony / Columbia 10 Immortals $139,186 -47% 1,216 -1083 $114 $82,028,562 6 Relativity Media 11 Tower Heist $124,925 -42% 1,315 -754 $95 $75,913,665 7 Universal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kyky Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 (edited) MI4 $2M how is it? Edited December 20, 2011 by kyky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Marston Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 Is 2m Monday for Mi4 a good result? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 2 mill+ monday is great comming from a 17% drop on sunday..Its doing really good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/BOM is up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 Is that bad for SH: AGOS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Decent for SH2. But it is not gonna make even 175M now.KFP2 all over again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Alvin's lead over YB is disappearing.125M max. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Quick Tuesday predictionsSH2 $5.3 million Alvin $3 millionMI4 $2.1 millionStill see SH2 hitting low to mid 180s, Alvin low 130s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Guys, please watch a movie this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrestomanci Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Decent for SH2. But it is not gonna make even 175M now.KFP2 all over again.I can understand when people say that SH2 has no chance at $200M at this point. (I think the chances of it making $200M are negligible at best, but not quite nonexistent.) But saying it can't even get to $175M really strikes me as jumping the gun.There are no really good comparison films from 2005, but working with what we've got . . . King Kong opened on the Wednesday before the equivalent weekend in 2005. Despite the earlier opening probably softening the weekend somewhat, KK still had a bigger Monday decrease than SH2, which could just be a sign of different patterns (KK did have a smaller Sunday drop and bigger Saturday increase too) or could be a sign that SH2 might have better legs. SH2's first Monday was 87.4% of KK's; if it could maintain that percentage for the rest of its run, SH2 would wind up making another $127.8M from this point on, enough for a total of $172.6M -- within shouting distance of $175M. Of course there are plenty of reasons it might not be able to keep up that percentage (the opening of TGWTDT and the regular opening of MI4 being among them), but it seems to me that if there's even one relatively reasonable projection that would put it close to $175M, it's foolish to claim that it can't make that amount. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 I can understand when people say that SH2 has no chance at $200M at this point. (I think the chances of it making $200M are negligible at best, but not quite nonexistent.) But saying it can't even get to $175M really strikes me as jumping the gun.There are no really good comparison films from 2005, but working with what we've got . . . King Kong opened on the Wednesday before the equivalent weekend in 2005. Despite the earlier opening probably softening the weekend somewhat, KK still had a bigger Monday decrease than SH2, which could just be a sign of different patterns (KK did have a smaller Sunday drop and bigger Saturday increase too) or could be a sign that SH2 might have better legs. SH2's first Monday was 87.4% of KK's; if it could maintain that percentage for the rest of its run, SH2 would wind up making another $127.8M from this point on, enough for a total of $172.6M -- within shouting distance of $175M. Of course there are plenty of reasons it might not be able to keep up that percentage (the opening of TGWTDT and the regular opening of MI4 being among them), but it seems to me that if there's even one relatively reasonable projection that would put it close to $175M, it's foolish to claim that it can't make that amount.+1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ariadne Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Excellent for MI4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
