tong kosong Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 STEP UP ALL IN earned an estimated $2.84M on Friday. #StepUpAllIn — BoxOffice (@BoxOffice) August 9, 2014 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ecstasy Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 It's holding a bit better than Captain America 2 which is really good. I see it surpassing $270M. It'll have to have MAGNIFICENT drops from now on for it to have a fighting chance at $300M. Yeah. That's what I was thinking too. Good hold but not the outstanding hold a lot were hoping for. People were really underestimating the popularity of TMNT. I'm glad Guardians was able to do what it did in the face of the competition though some didn't think there would be any. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ddddeeee Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 If Turtles can do this well I can only imagine what it could have done if Aquaman from Smallville was recognizable in his role. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Harris Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 Is anyone else starting to lose faith in the tracking systems that are currently in place? This is two weeks in a row that the top movie has been severely underestimated (Godzilla was another one this year, as were others). So either the tracking has been way off... OR studios are starting to infiltrate the estimates with their own "studio-friendly" numbers. Just think if GOTG had been tracking for $110 mil, the $94 mil would've been a black eye for Marvel; same with the $65 mil for TMNT - what if tracking was quoted in $90-mil OW range? Now both are seen as smash hits, even though neither will come close to landing in, say, the Top 60 of all-time - no movie released this year so far will. So has tracking become that unreliable, or is someone manipulating those numbers to make above-average-to-good openings look considerably better? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 Ok. But I'll take my 250M+ prediction vs your sub 80M total. And btw...congrats on a very good call. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 Best 10 day haul of the year if estimates hold up, its locked for 250m. Congrats on your club Yep my club is pretty much locked up now. It's dropping 55% compared to Cap 2 in April (58%) with similar legs to Cap 2 gets it to 275M+ and I'm expecting better legs so 300M isn't dead yet. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cmasterclay Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 Too bad something like Storm or even GOU didn't open next weekend or the weekend after-one of them could have hit 20 without a major release. I forgot Let's Be Cops opens next week- it has a shocking amount of buzz among my friends. I could see a mini breakout, especially since tracking has proven not to matter at all. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 Of course you would say that. But that's not what we commented on, is it. We were discussing who would be right about the drop this weekend. Must be hard for you to admit you were wrong. lol, not really. You were right and I was wrong with the Friday jump. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 Is anyone else starting to lose faith in the tracking systems that are currently in place? This is two weeks in a row that the top movie has been severely underestimated (Godzilla was another one this year, as were others). So either the tracking has been way off... OR studios are starting to infiltrate the estimates with their own "studio-friendly" numbers. Just think if GOTG had been tracking for $110 mil, the $94 mil would've been a black eye for Marvel; same with the $65 mil for TMNT - what if tracking was quoted in $90-mil OW range? Now both are seen as smash hits, even though neither will come close to landing in, say, the Top 60 of all-time - no movie released this year so far will. So has tracking become that unreliable, or is someone manipulating those numbers to make above-average-to-good openings look considerably better? Tracking has never been reliable. It's a guess based off a lot of factors that may or may not contribute to the box office. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ecstasy Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 Is anyone else starting to lose faith in the tracking systems that are currently in place? This is two weeks in a row that the top movie has been severely underestimated (Godzilla was another one this year, as were others). So either the tracking has been way off... OR studios are starting to infiltrate the estimates with their own "studio-friendly" numbers. Just think if GOTG had been tracking for $110 mil, the $94 mil would've been a black eye for Marvel; same with the $65 mil for TMNT - what if tracking was quoted in $90-mil OW range? Now both are seen as smash hits, even though neither will come close to landing in, say, the Top 60 of all-time - no movie released this year so far will. So has tracking become that unreliable, or is someone manipulating those numbers to make above-average-to-good openings look considerably better? I haven't really been paying attention to tracking. It's always been hit and miss. And its hard to track X factor movies like Guardians and TMNT. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eXtacy Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 10 Day Haul on par with Iron Man, with no more big openers for the next month it could arguably keep pace for it for a while. Iron Man had stiff competition from Narnia in its third weekend and Indianna Crystal Skull in its 4th week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krissykins Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 Too bad something like Storm or even GOU didn't open next weekend or the weekend after-one of them could have hit 20 without a major release. I forgot Let's Be Cops opens next week- it has a shocking amount of buzz among my friends. I could see a mini breakout, especially since tracking has proven not to matter at all.Yeh, isn't Lets Be Cops tracking at $8m? That would be awful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 lol, not really. You were right and I was wrong with the Friday jump. And I was wrong about the viability of GOTG. I under estimated the popularity of Marvel. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ecstasy Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 Yep my club is pretty much locked up now. It's dropping 55% compared to Cap 2 in April (58%) with similar legs to Cap 2 gets it to 275M+ and I'm expecting better legs so 300M isn't dead yet. Always so optimistic druv10. Don't ever change. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ecstasy Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 lol, not really. You were right and I was wrong with the Friday jump. And I was wrong about the viability of GOTG. I under estimated the popularity of Marvel. This is awesome. I love you guys. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crazydom Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 Guardians holding better than Winter Soldier in the face of the Turtles doing this well is really impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmscholar Posted August 9, 2014 Author Share Posted August 9, 2014 Is anyone else starting to lose faith in the tracking systems that are currently in place? This is two weeks in a row that the top movie has been severely underestimated (Godzilla was another one this year, as were others). So either the tracking has been way off... OR studios are starting to infiltrate the estimates with their own "studio-friendly" numbers. Just think if GOTG had been tracking for $110 mil, the $94 mil would've been a black eye for Marvel; same with the $65 mil for TMNT - what if tracking was quoted in $90-mil OW range? Now both are seen as smash hits, even though neither will come close to landing in, say, the Top 60 of all-time - no movie released this year so far will. So has tracking become that unreliable, or is someone manipulating those numbers to make above-average-to-good openings look considerably better? High end Tracking did have Turtles 45-50 Million. But I see your point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lab276 Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 I don't know how Into the Storm managed to be so big. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 When I make good calls, some of them can be really good. However, some of my bad calls have been legendary. Hangover under Very Bad Things adjusted and GOTG under 80 million are two of the worst ones. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted August 9, 2014 Share Posted August 9, 2014 50 pages to read. do I dare or no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
