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Thursday early GOTG 2.6,TMNT 2.3,LBC 1.6

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figured might as well give you Thu

looking like

GOTG 2.6,TMNT 2.3,LBC 1.6

 

with Thu eve IIS is looking at  doing a lot more than WTGST/SC2 combined

 

aka

 

Thursday evening 

If I Stay a lot bigger as When the Game Stands Tall & Frank Miller's Sin City: A Dame to Kill For aka Sin City 2 combined

Edited by terrestrial
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Turtles could win again with the kiddie appeal and the expected huge Friday increase. Could we see our first 100%? It's possible

 

According to BOM BO.com Variety..... If I Stay will win - with a big enough gap to be clearly unambiguous

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Turtles could win again with the kiddie appeal and the expected huge Friday increase. Could we see our first 100%? It's possible

 

Not to burst your bubble, but IIS is probably going to be on top this weekend, not TMNT.

 

OTOH, I'm kind of expecting SC2 to do what Expendables 3 did last week and wind up in third or fourth.

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 BO.com weekend prediction (rather early given)

If I Stay OW $19,500,000 = $19,500,000
Guardians of the Galaxy $16,000,000 = $250,000,000

Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (2014) $15,500,000 = $144,400,000

Frank Miller's Sin City: A Dame To Kill For OW $15,000,000 = $15,000,000

When the Game Stands Tall OW $11,000,000 = $11,000,000

Let's Be Cops $10,800,000 = $45,000,000

The Expendables 3 $6,500,000 = $27,500,000

The Giver $6,200,000 = $23,500,000
The Hundred-Foot Journey $4,800,000 = $31,900,000
Into the Storm $3,900,000 = $38,400,000

 

 

 

Variety:

 

If I Stay” is the latest attempt to capture this coveted demographic, and while the low-budget weepy won’t hit the lofty numbers of “The Fault in Our Stars,” it’s shaping up to sell a lot of tickets along with Kleenex.

“It looks like it could be a breakout based on the reactions on Facebook and Twitter,” said Phil Contrino, vice president and chief analyst of BoxOffice.com. “It seems to be connecting with the same crowds that lined up for ‘Fault in Our Stars.’ This month has had a lot of male-skewing action pictures, so the timing is good.”

 

Look for “If I Stay,” which is being backed by Warner Bros./New Line and Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer and is based on a best-seller by Gayle Forman, to make $18 million to $20 million when it debuts in 2,902 locations this weekend. If tracking holds, that would represent a nice return for the $11 million production. The film centers on a young girl (Chloë Grace Moretz) who finds herself in a coma after a car accident kills her parents and brother — in that state, she’s forced to choose between living or dying. It’s a premise tailor made to send viewers into paroxysms of grief.

...

Sin City.....

It is on pace to make $15 million when it debuts.

...

When the Game Stands Tall” should make between $8 million and $10 million when it debuts in 2,670 locations in North America.

...

 

The biggest challenge to “If I Stay’s” supremacy will be the continued strength of “Guardians and the Galaxy” and “Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles,” which should bring in between $14 million and $15 million in their fourth and third weeks in theaters.

 

 

BOM (rather early given - as in 1 day earlier as usual)

 

Forecast (August 22-24)

1. If I Stay - $21.5 million
2. Sin City - $16.5 million
3. Guardians of the Galaxy - $15.1 million (-40%)
4. Ninja Turtles - $14.8 million (-48%)
5. When the Game Stands Tall - $9 million

 

The Wrap

 

Teen drama projected to knock off “Ninja Turtles” and top “Sin City: A Dame to Kill For” and football tale “When the Game Stands Tall”

 

“If I Stay” feels a lot like the early summer box-office hit “The Fault in Our Stars.”

That's going to be a good thing this weekend, when the teary teen drama starring Chloe Grace Moretz is expected to open north of $20 million and halt the two-week reign of “Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles.”

 

Also in the mix will be the R-rated, graphic novel-based crime drama “Frank Miller's Sin City: A Dame to Kill For,” which is looking at low- to mid-teen millions in its opening.

 

The weekend's other wide opener, the high school football saga “When the Game Stands Tall,” is pointing toward $10 million.

 

 

 

LA Times

 

If I Stay...

The PG-13 tearjerker is expected to gross a solid $25 million in its opening weekend, according to those who have seen pre-release audience surveys.

 

Warner Bros., the studio releasing the film, does not believe the film will open with more than $20 million - but either way, "If I Stay" should end up ahead of the weekend's two other debuts, graphic novel adaptation sequel “Sin City: A Dame to Kill For” and inspirational sports film “When the Game Stands Tall."

.

 

Sin City 2......... analysts predict the film will gross about $20 million--substantially less than the $29 million the original opened with in 2005.

.

 

“When the Game Stands Tall,” which cost Sony Pictures’ TriStar label about $15 million to make, is likely going to be the biggest disappointment of the weekend with an opening of under $10 million.

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Theater count - the bigger ones

 

> NEW RELEASES
6 - If I Stay Warner Bros. 2,907 - - - - - - 1
7 - Frank Miller's Sin City: A Dame to Kill For Weinstein / Dimension 2,894 - - - - - - 1
8 - When the Game Stands Tall TriStar 2,673 - - - - - - 1

 

> EXPANDING
4 5 Let's Be Cops Fox 3,140 +46 +1.5% - - - - 2
14 29 Earth to Echo Relativity 781 +627 +407.1% - - - - 8
23 46 Island of Lemurs: Madagascar (IMAX) Warner Bros. 302 +261 +636.6% - - - - 21
25 27 Transformers: Age of Extinction Paramount 283 +77 +37.4% - - - - 9
26 30 Calvary Fox Searchlight 240 +110 +84.6% - - - - 4

 

 

> NO CHANGE
3 4 The Expendables 3 Lionsgate 3,221 - - - - - - 2
5 6 The Giver Weinstein Company 3,003 - - - - - - 2
> DECLINING
1 1 Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (2014) Paramount 3,864 -116 -2.9% - - - - 3
2 2 Guardians of the Galaxy Buena Vista 3,371 -326 -8.8% - - - - 4
9 3 Into The Storm Warner Bros. 2,375 -1,059 -30.8% - - - - 3
10 9 The Hundred-Foot Journey Buena Vista 1,944 -99 -4.8% - - - - 3
11 7 Lucy Universal 1,761 -759 -30.1% - - - - 5
12 8 Step Up All In Lionsgate/Summit 948 -1,124 -54.2% - - - - 3
13 13 Magic in the Moonlight Sony Classics 787 -177 -18.4% - - - - 5
15 16 Boyhood IFC 734 -37 -4.8% - - - - 7
16 11 Dawn of the Planet of the Apes Fox 733 -529 -41.9% - - - - 7
17 15 What If (2014) CBS Films 680 -107 -13.6% - - - - 3
18 10 Hercules (2014) Paramount 622 -853 -57.8% - - - - 5
19 14 Planes: Fire & Rescue Buena Vista 589 -371 -38.6% - - - - 6
20 12 Get On Up Universal 575 -526 -47.8% - - - - 4
21 17 A Most Wanted Man Roadside Attractions 431 -213 -33.1% - - - - 5
22 19 How to Train Your Dragon 2 Fox 353 -24 -6.4% - - - - 11
24 18 The Purge: Anarchy Universal 293 -282 -49.0% - - - - 6
27 23 Edge of Tomorrow Warner Bros. 192 -69 -26.4% - - - - 12
28 25 X-Men: Days of Future Past Fox 188 -35 -15.7% - - - - 14

 

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Earth to Echo bombed so hard over here that in the biggest theater of the country it sold 7 tickets in the whole OD. Amazing. 

Edited by CJohn
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Earth to Echo bombed so hard over here that in the biggest theater of the country it sold 7 tickets in the whole OD. Amazing. 

That is so weird (and funny at the same time :lol: ). Looking at the BOM 2014 BO for Portugal, I realise it's just a bit bigger than Romania's and we are NOT a movie going country. I mean yeah, the population difference is about 8M, but the piracy here is a VERY BIG issue.

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That is so weird (and funny at the same time :lol: ). Looking at the BOM 2014 BO for Portugal, I realise it's just a bit bigger than Romania's and we are NOT a movie going country. I mean yeah, the population difference is about 8M, but the piracy here is a VERY BIG issue.

And don't forget Lucy being the biggest OD of the year and on track for biggest OW. Maleficent winning the Summer and The Fault in Our Stars being 2nd place. :lol:

 

Piracy is big here as well and the market is dead. It suffers drops in admissions every year. Kinda shocking that even with a dead market Portugal is a bigger market than Romania. Portugal has 11 million people while Romania has around 20 million. 

Edited by CJohn
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