Chasmmi's Winter Game - Discussion and Rules - SCORES ARE TALLIED RESULTS COUNTDOWN IN PROGRESS!!!

[chasmmi]

Answrers to week 11:

 

1. Will Exodus gross more than 30M? 3000  NO

2. Will Top 5 finish above Hunger Games?   NO

3. Will Top 5 have a higher PTA than Exodus? 2000   YES

4. Will Horrible Bosses finish above Big Hero 6?   NO

5. Will the Penguins gross more than 2M on Saturday?  YES

6. Will Birdman stay in the top 12?   YES

7. Will Imitation Game Finish in the top 15?  YES

8. What will have the higher PTA Free the Nipple or Inherent Vice?   INHERENT VICE

 

9. Name any film in the top 20 that decreases less than 23% WITHOUT INCREASING (or select none if none will)?  3000   THEORY OF EVERYTHING / THE HOMESMAN

10. Will Hunger Games pass $275M total Domestic gross by SATURDAY?  3000 NO

11. Will Dumb and Dumber drop more than 51%?  NO

12. Name any film with a total gross more than $1M that drops more than 70% this weekend (outside top 12 is fine) or choose none?  HECTOR, UNDER THE SEA,

13. Will Interstellar overtake Gone Girl's Total Gross by the end of Friday?  NO

14. Will any film increase or decrease more than $1M from the BOM official Weekend estimates?   NO

15. Will Fury fall more than 38% on Sunday?   YES

 

 

12/15 3000 points

13/15 4000 points

14/15 5000 points

15/15 7000 points

 

Bonus 1: What will Exodus' Weekend Gross be?  24.116m

Bonus 2:What will be the difference in gross between Hunger Games and Top 5 (order irrelevent)?  5.79M

Bonus 3: What will the Imitation Game's PTA be?   $34,010

 

Placements:

 

3.  PENGUIN

5.  BIG HERO

7.   BOSSES

8.   DUMB AND DUMB

10.  WILD

12.  GONE GIRL

 

2000 points each, all 6 is a bonus of 8000.

[chasmmi]

Results of week 11:

 

 

Name	Questions	Bonus	Places	Total
Spaghetti	16000	0	8000	24000
Avi	0	0	0	0
Darkelf	20000	0	4000	24000
Grim	22000	6000	4000	32000
Iceroll	14000	0	4000	18000
Empire	10000	0	2000	12000
Bcf26	11000	0	2000	13000
Laguy	17000	10000	2000	29000
Geraldino	13000	0	4000	17000
Jajang	8000	0	2000	10000
Wrath	14000	0	10000	24000
Blankments	11,000	0	2000	13000
Dajk	11000	0	4000	15000
Grey Ghost	11000	0	4000	15000
Chasmmi	13000	0	4000	17000
Alpha	0	0	0	0
Snoopy	0	0	0	0
Baumer	0	0	0	0
Punishment	0	0	0	0
The Panda	0	0	0	0
Filmovie	0	0	0	0
Mahnamahna	0	0	0	0
CmasterClay	0	0	0	0
Telemachos	0	0	0	0

 

 

 

(Grim got a 1k bonus for only missing Exodus gross by 35k)

Edited January 1, 2015 by chasmmi

[chasmmi]

Week 12 answers:  (oh dear lord I forgot how big this week was )

 

 

1. Will Hobbit Gross more than $70M by Sunday?  YES

2. Will Hobbit Gross more than $80M by Sunday? 3000  YES

3. Will Hobbit Gross more than $90M by Sunday?  NO

4. Will Night at the Museum gross more than $25M?   NO

5. Will NATM3 gross more than $32M? 3000 NO

6. Will NATM3 gross more than $37M?  NO

7. Will Annie Gross more than $15M?    YES

8. Will Annie Gross more than $20M?  NO

9. Will Hobbit's 3 day total be more than NATM and Annie's combined?   YES

 

10. Will Penguins finish the weekend above Top 5?  2000   NO

11. Will Big Hero drop less than 40%  YES (39,9!)

12. Will Horrible Bosses stay in the top 10?   NO

13. Will Wild gross more than Interstellar?  3000  YES

14. Will Hunger Games increase more than 150% on Friday?   NO

15. Will theory of Everything have a $2M+ weekend?   NO

16. Will Gone Girl or Foxcatcher have a higher pecentage drop?  GONE GIRL (BUT ONLY BY 200.8%)

17. Will inherent Vice's PTA stay above $30,000 this weekend?   NO

 

18. Will any new opener increase more than 12% on Saturday?   YES  

19. Will Dumb and Dumber pass $85M total gross by the end of the weekend?   NO

20. Will Exodus drop less than 45% this weekend?   NO

21. How many films will Fox (including Fox Searchlight) have in the top 15 this weekend?  3000  5

22. Will The Imitation Game increase again this weekend?  YES (BY 1%)

23. Will Mockingjay decrease less than 42% on Sunday?   YES

24. Will The Pyramid drop more than 60%?   YES (90% LOL)

25. Will Peter Jackson announce a truly horrifying Middle Earth Live Christmas Special to hit our TV screens next year?    BANANAS

 

Bonus points:

 

17/25 2000

18/25 3000

19/25 4000

20/25 5000

21/25 6000

22/25 8000

23/25 10000

24/25 12000

25/25 15000

 

 

Bonus Questions

 

1. What will be the combined total gross of the 3 main new openers by the end of Sunday?  $122.09m

2. What will be Interstellar's PTA for the weekend?   $1743

3. What will be the combined Friday gross of all films in the top 12 with numbers in their title?  21.42M

 

 

Placements:

 

2. NATM3

6.  WILD

8.  TOP 5

11. INTERSTELLER

13. EVERYTHING

15. BIRDMAN

 

2000 each. 8000 bonus for all 6.

 

Good luck and have fun

Edited January 1, 2015 by chasmmi

[chasmmi]

Week 12 results:

 

 

 

Name	Questions	Bonus	Places	Total
Spaghetti	34000	5000	2000	41000
Avi	24,000	0	6000	30,000
Darkelf	36000	0	4000	40000
Grim	40000	5000	4000	49000
Iceroll	34000	0	2000	36000
Empire	24000	0	2000	26000
Bcf26	24000	0	2000	26000
Laguy	36000	0	4000	40000
Geraldino	26000	0	4000	30000
Jajang	32000	0	4000	36000
Wrath	24000	0	2000	26000
Blankments	34,000	0	4000	38000
Dajk	25000	0	2000	27000
Grey Ghost	40000	0	4000	44000
Chasmmi	19000	5000	4000	28000
Alpha	0	0	0	0
Snoopy	0	0	0	0
Baumer	0	0	0	0
Punishment	0	0	0	0
The Panda	0	0	0	0
Filmovie	0	0	0	0
Mahnamahna	0	0	0	0
CmasterClay	0	0	0	0
Telemachos	13000	0	2000	15000

[chasmmi]

Week 13 answers:

 

 

1. Will The Hobbit Stay number 1 (for the 3 day) this weekend? 3000  YES

2. Will The Gambler Open ahead of Annie?  NO

3. Will Into the Woods outgross Unbroken OW? 2000   YES

4. Will Exodus stay above 5M for the 3 day weekend?  YES

5. Will at least 4 films decrease on Friday? YES

6. Will Hobbit pass 150M by Saturday?   YES

7. Will P.K stay in the top 10?   NO

8. Will any film decrease for than 30% on Sunday?  YES

 

9. Will top 5 finish above Penguins? 3000  YES

10. Will BH6's PTA stay above $1000?  YES

11. Will American Sniper have a PTA above $35K? YES

12. Will the Hunger games increase more than 15%?  YES

13. Will any of last weekend's 3 Wide openers, increase this weekend?   YES

14. Will Interstellar finish ahead of P.K this weekend?   YES

15. Will The Interview still overshadow everything else happening in the world of box office?   ZOMBIES!!!

 

Bonus points for XMAS!!!

 

9/15 2000

10/15 3000

11/15 4000

12/15 5000

13/15 6000

14/15 8000

15/15 10000

 

 

Bonus questions:

 

1. What will be the difference in Sunday total grosses of Unbroken and Into the Woods?   $85,800

2. What will Hobbit's total be be Sunday?  $168.022M

3. What will be the biggest increase of the 3 day weekend (not including expansions) in the top 12?  37.5%

 

 

Placements:

 

1.  HOBBIT

3  UNBROKEN.

5.  ANNIE

7.  GAMBLER

9.  EXODUS

13.  PENGUINS

Edited January 1, 2015 by chasmmi

[chasmmi]

Week 13 results:

 

 

Name	Questions	Bonus	Places	Total
Spaghetti	16000	0	6000	22000
Avi	0	0	0	0
Darkelf	12000	5000	6000	23000
Grim	11000	0	6000	17000
Iceroll	16000	0	6000	22000
Empire	0	0	0	0
Bcf26	0	0	0	0
Laguy	0	0	0	0
Geraldino	14000	0	6000	20000
Jajang	20000	5000	4000	29000
Wrath	15000	0	6000	21000
Blankments	14,000	0	6000	20000
Dajk	22000	5000	6000	33000
Grey Ghost	16000	0	6000	22000
Chasmmi	16000	0	6000	22000
Alpha	0	0	0	0
Snoopy	0	0	0	0
Baumer	0	0	0	0
Punishment	0	0	0	0
The Panda	0	0	0	0
Filmovie	0	0	0	0
Mahnamahna	0	0	0	0
CmasterClay	0	0	0	0
Telemachos	10000	0	4000	14000

[chasmmi]

Some preseason answers:

 

3.  Tell me which of these will be the lowest grossing film of the winter:

1) The Interview
2) Dracula Untold
3) Ouija
4) Addicted
 
Answer correctly: 10,000 points
Answer incorrectly: -5,000 points
State that you abstain: 3,000 points
Correctly predict the films gross to within 10M and receive a 10,000 point bonus.

 

 

Answer: 1 (I think this can be done now as the gross bit is probably not going to come into play like it will with Hobbit for Q2.
 
 
4.  Will at least 3 films make more than 275M by the end of the game?
 
Answer correctly: 15,000 points
Answer incorrectly: lose 10,000 points
State that you abstain: 3,000 points
 

Answer: No
 

5.   Will at least 2 animated films make more than 150M by the end of the game?
 
Answer correctly: 15,000 points
Answer incorrectly: lose 10,000 points
State that you abstain: 3,000 points

 

Answer: No
 

 

 

[chasmmi]

And the scores for questions 3-5 (including special kudos to the one hero on the ground in Korea who was the... ahem Seoul correct predicter on that question   )

 

 

 

Name	Q3	Q4	Q5
Grim	-5000	-10000	-10000
The Panda	-5000	-10000	15000
Mahnamahna	-5000	-10000	-10000
Dajk	-5000	-10000	-10000
Iceroll	-5000	3000	-10000
Alpha	-5000	-10000	15000
Wrath	3000	-10000	-10000
Chasmmi	10000	15000	3000
Spaghetti	-5000	-10000	15000
Darkelf	-5000	15000	-10000
Empire	-5000	-10000	15000
Filmovie	-5000	15000	15000
Laguy	-5000	3000	3000
Geraldino	-5000	15000	-10000
Bcf26	-5000	-10000	-10000
Blankments	-5000	-10000	15000
Avi	-5000	15000	15000
Jajang	-5000	-10000	15000
Snoopy	-5000	15000	-10000
Punishment	-5000	15000	15000
Telemachos	-5000	15000	-10000
Grey Ghost	-5000	15000	15000
Baumer	-5000	-10000	-10000
CmasterClay	-5000	-10000	-10000

[chasmmi]

More preseason answers...

 

7.   Will at least 2 films make more than 95M OW? (Remember OW means gross up until first Sunday)
 
Answer correctly: 15,000 points
Answer incorrectly: lose 10,000 points
State that you abstain: 3,000 points

 

ANSWER: NO  
 
 

8.    Will at least 2 films make more than 800M WW by the end of the game?
 
Answer correctly: 15,000 points
Answer incorrectly: lose 10,000 points
State that you abstain: 3,000 points
 

ANSWER: NO (Even if Hobbit makes it, neither MJ not IS are making 150M in 3 weeks) 
 

[chasmmi]

ANd the scores for those questions:

 

 

Name	Q7	Q8
Grim	-10000	-10000
The Panda	-10000	-10000
Mahnamahna	-10000	-10000
Dajk	-10000	-10000
Iceroll	-10000	-10000
Alpha	15000	-10000
Wrath	-10000	-10000
Chasmmi	15000	15000
Spaghetti	-10000	-10000
Darkelf	-10000	-10000
Empire	15000	-10000
Filmovie	-10000	-10000
Laguy	3000	-10000
Geraldino	-10000	-10000
Bcf26	3000	-10000
Blankments	-10000	-10000
Avi	15000	-10000
Jajang	-10000	-10000
Snoopy	-10000	-10000
Punishment	15000	-10000
Telemachos	-10000	-10000
Grey Ghost	15000	15000
Baumer	-10000	-10000
CmasterClay	-10000	-10000

[Wrath]

I was going to argue question #8, but you're right.  MJ1's China opening getting pushed back to February pretty much killed it, and there's no way anything else is going to make it.

[chasmmi]

Final scoring I'll do tonight:

 

14.   Which combination of films will gross the most amount of money during the game?
 
 

•  
• The Hobbit, Hot tub Time Machine, Annabelle, John Wick
• Hunger Games, Horrible Bosses, Dracula Untold, Annie
• Interstellar, Dumb and Dumber, Alexander’s Very Bad Day, Paddington
• Big Hero 6, Penguins, The Judge, Exodus,
  
   
  Answer correctly: 25,000 points
  Answer incorrectly: lose 20,000 points
  State that you abstain: 5,000 points
•  
   ANSWER: Hunger Games, Horrible Bosses, Dracula Untold, Annie  (Currently ahead of D by about 85M so unless Paddington has a 170M+ OW...) 
• 
   
• 15   Which combination of films will gross the smallest amount of money during the game?
   
• The Interview, Annabelle, Unbroken, Ouija
• Night at the Museum, The Best of Me, Blackhat, Laggies
• Into the Woods, Addicted, Kitchen Sink, Left Behind
• The Pyramid, Night Crawler, Beyond the Lights, St Vincent
  
   
  Answer correctly: 25,000 points
  Answer incorrectly: lose 20,000 points
  State that you abstain: 5,000 points

 Answer: The Pyramid, Night Crawler, Beyond the Lights, St Vincent  (NATM and Blackhat only need to make about 15M to win the question)
 

[chasmmi]

ANd the scores for those questions:

 

 

Name	Q14	Q15
Grim	25000	25000
The Panda	-20000	25000
Mahnamahna	-20000	25000
Dajk	25000	25000
Iceroll	25000	25000
Alpha	-20000	25000
Wrath	-20000	25000
Chasmmi	-20000	25000
Spaghetti	-20000	25000
Darkelf	5000	25000
Empire	-20000	-20000
Filmovie	25000	25000
Laguy	25000	25000
Geraldino	3000	25000
Bcf26	25000	25000
Blankments	25000	25000
Avi	-20000	25000
Jajang	-20000	-20000
Snoopy	-20000	25000
Punishment	25000	25000
Telemachos	25000	25000
Grey Ghost	25000	25000
Baumer	-20000	-20000
CmasterClay	-20000	-20000

[chasmmi]

So the currently Weekly Score standings are:

 

 

Name	Week 8	Week 9	Week 10	Week 11	Week 12	Week 13	Total
Grim	37000	27000	15000	32000	49000	17000	327000
Iceroll	31000	26000	15000	18000	36000	22000	306000
Spaghetti	25000	15000	26000	24000	41000	22000	305000
Darkelf	32000	21000	18000	24000	40000	23000	297000
Laguy	25000	10000	14000	29000	40000	0	285000
Dajk	25000	12000	15000	15000	27000	33000	276000
Wrath	32000	17000	15000	24000	26000	21000	272000
Jajang	23000	15000	14000	10000	36000	29000	262000
Chasmmi	20000	17000	12000	17000	28000	22000	257000
Grey Ghost	0	21000	14000	15000	44000	22000	257000
Geraldino	18000	7000	11000	17000	30000	20000	249000
Blankments	20000	12000	16000	13000	38000	20000	246000
Empire	26000	13000	14000	12000	26000	0	232000
Bcf26	31000	14000	24000	13000	26000	0	230000
Avi	16000	10000	14000	0	30000	0	202000
Snoopy	21000	0	0	0	0	0	142000
Telemachos	0	0	0	0	15000	14000	62000
Alpha	0	0	0	0	0	0	52000
The Panda	0	0	0	0	0	0	50000
Filmovie	0	0	0	0	0	0	23000
Baumer	0	0	0	0	0	0	21000
Punishment	0	0	0	0	0	0	21000
Mahnamahna	0	0	0	0	0	0	10000
CmasterClay	0	0	0	0	0	0	10000

 

 

 

[chasmmi]

And the current Preseason Question scores:

 

 

Name	Q3	Q4	Q5	Q6	Q7	Q8	Q11	Q13	Q14	Q15	TOTAL
Chasmmi	10000	15000	3000	3000	15000	15000	4000	25000	-20000	25000	95000
Grey Ghost	-5000	15000	15000	-10000	15000	15000	20000	-20000	25000	25000	95000
Filmovie	-5000	15000	15000	15000	-10000	-10000	-15000	25000	25000	25000	80000
Punishment	-5000	15000	15000	-10000	15000	-10000	-15000	25000	25000	25000	80000
Grim	-5000	-10000	-10000	15000	-10000	-10000	20000	25000	25000	25000	65000
Iceroll	-5000	3000	-10000	15000	-10000	-10000	4000	25000	25000	25000	62000
Laguy	-5000	3000	3000	3000	3000	-10000	4000	5000	25000	25000	56000
Dajk	-5000	-10000	-10000	3000	-10000	-10000	20000	25000	25000	25000	53000
Alpha	-5000	-10000	15000	15000	15000	-10000	20000	5000	-20000	25000	50000
The Panda	-5000	-10000	15000	15000	-10000	-10000	20000	25000	-20000	25000	45000
Darkelf	-5000	15000	-10000	15000	-10000	-10000	-15000	25000	5000	25000	35000
Blankments	-5000	-10000	15000	15000	-10000	-10000	-15000	5000	25000	25000	35000
Avi	-5000	15000	15000	-10000	15000	-10000	-15000	25000	-20000	25000	35000
Telemachos	-5000	15000	-10000	-10000	-10000	-10000	-15000	25000	25000	25000	30000
Bcf26	-5000	-10000	-10000	15000	3000	-10000	-15000	5000	25000	25000	23000
Mahnamahna	-5000	-10000	-10000	15000	-10000	-10000	20000	25000	-20000	25000	20000
Geraldino	-5000	15000	-10000	3000	-10000	-10000	4000	5000	3000	25000	20000
Spaghetti	-5000	-10000	15000	15000	-10000	-10000	-15000	25000	-20000	25000	10000
Wrath	3000	-10000	-10000	3000	-10000	-10000	4000	25000	-20000	25000	0
Empire	-5000	-10000	15000	15000	15000	-10000	-15000	25000	-20000	-20000	-10000
Snoopy	-5000	15000	-10000	-10000	-10000	-10000	-15000	25000	-20000	25000	-15000
Jajang	-5000	-10000	15000	-10000	-10000	-10000	-15000	25000	-20000	-20000	-60000
Baumer	-5000	-10000	-10000	-10000	-10000	-10000	-15000	-20000	-20000	-20000	-130000
CmasterClay	-5000	-10000	-10000	-10000	-10000	-10000	-15000	-20000	-20000	-20000	-130000

[chasmmi]

And so onto the official overall standings:

 

 

Position	Name	Weekly Scores	SOTM	Pre-Season	Total
1	Grim	327000	12000	65000	404000
2	Iceroll	306000	-7000	62000	361000
3	Laguy	285000	8000	56000	349000
4	Grey Ghost	257000	-3000	95000	349000
5	Dajk	276000	17000	53000	346000
6	Chasmmi	257000	-10000	95000	342000
7	Darkelf	297000	-3000	35000	329000
8	Spaghetti	305000	-27000	10000	288000
9	Geraldino	249000	16000	20000	285000
10	Wrath	272000	6000	0	278000
11	Blankments	246000	-6000	35000	275000
12	Bcf26	230000	-1000	23000	252000
13	Jajang	262000	-2000	-60000	200000
14	Empire	232000	-96000	-10000	126000
15	Avi	202000	-115000	35000	122000
16	The Panda	50000	16000	45000	111000
17	Filmovie	23000	-25000	80000	78000
18	Telemachos	62000	-15000	30000	77000
19	Punishment	21000	-25000	80000	76000
20	Films	0	-7000	80000	73000
21	Snoopy	142000	-77000	-15000	50000
22	Alpha	52000	-65000	50000	37000
23	Mahnamahna	10000	-25000	20000	5000
24	Baumer	21000	-25000	-130000	-134000
25	CmasterClay	10000	-25000	-130000	-145000

 

 

[chasmmi]

And so onto the official overall standings:

 

 

Position	Name	Weekly Scores	SOTM	Pre-Season	Total
1	Grim	327000	12000	65000	404000
2	Iceroll	306000	-7000	62000	361000
3	Laguy	285000	8000	56000	349000
4	Grey Ghost	257000	-3000	95000	349000
5	Dajk	276000	17000	53000	346000
6	Chasmmi	257000	-10000	95000	342000
7	Darkelf	297000	-3000	35000	329000
8	Spaghetti	305000	-27000	10000	288000
9	Geraldino	249000	16000	20000	285000
10	Wrath	272000	6000	0	278000
11	Blankments	246000	-6000	35000	275000
12	Bcf26	230000	-1000	23000	252000
13	Jajang	262000	-2000	-60000	200000
14	Empire	232000	-96000	-10000	126000
15	Avi	202000	-115000	35000	122000
16	The Panda	50000	16000	45000	111000
17	Filmovie	23000	-25000	80000	78000
18	Telemachos	62000	-15000	30000	77000
19	Punishment	21000	-25000	80000	76000
20	Films	0	-7000	80000	73000
21	Snoopy	142000	-77000	-15000	50000
22	Alpha	52000	-65000	50000	37000
23	Mahnamahna	10000	-25000	20000	5000
24	Baumer	21000	-25000	-130000	-134000
25	CmasterClay	10000	-25000	-130000	-145000

 

 

[grim22]

I am going to fall behind so much on the top 15 domestic and Top 10 WW and Opening weekends it won't even be funny. It is like a minefield.

 

I think this question can be scored as well now

 

10.  Will at least 2 of the 5 top grossing sequels become the top grossing film of their franchise by the end of the game? (For the purposes of this question Hobbit and LOTR are 2 Separate Franchises) 
 
Answer correctly: 20,000 points
Answer incorrectly: lose 15,000 points
State that you abstain: 4,000 points
 

The top 5 grossing sequels will most likely include 5 of MJ1, Hobbit 3, DADT, NATM3, Taken 3 and Horrible Bosses 2. None of them are going to be the top grossing of their franchises.

Edited January 1, 2015 by grim22

[chasmmi]

I am going to fall behind so much on the top 15 domestic and Top 10 WW and Opening weekends it won't even be funny. It is like a minefield.

 

I think this question can be scored as well now

 

10.  Will at least 2 of the 5 top grossing sequels become the top grossing film of their franchise by the end of the game? (For the purposes of this question Hobbit and LOTR are 2 Separate Franchises) 

 

Answer correctly: 20,000 points

Answer incorrectly: lose 15,000 points

State that you abstain: 4,000 points

 

The top 5 grossing sequels will most likely include 5 of MJ1, Hobbit 3, DADT, NATM3, Taken 3 and Horrible Bosses 2. None of them are going to be the top grossing of their franchises.

 

I do agree, but I wanted to keep some unanswered right now (and hey, if Taken opens to over 100M... (oh wait that would screw over som many already Answered questions)

[iceroll]

I'm verrry surprised that I'm still #1. I'll have a major nosedive once the DOM/WW Top lists get scored.