Weekend Prediction thread 4/19-4/21 Play the Derby

[Maxmoser3]

I Still Believe: $15 million

Bloodshot: $11 million

The Hunt: $8 million 

Edited March 7, 2020 by Maxmoser3

[filmlover]

I Still Believe: $9M

Bloodshot: $8M

The Hunt: $6M

[Viktor Vilotijevic]

MARCH 13-15:

 

1. "Onward" - 22.0 / 72.7

2. "I Still Believe" - 12.6

3. "The Hunt" - 9.1

4. "Bloodshot" - 8.5

5. "The Invisible Man" - 8.1 / 68.0

6. "The Way Back" - 4.5 / 15.6

7. "Sonic the Hedgehog" - 3.9 / 147.2

8. "Call Of the Wild" - 3.5 / 63.3

9. "Emma" - 3.1 / 11.8

10. "Bad Boys 3" - 1.9 / 205.2

11. "Birds of Prey" - 1.0 / 84.5

12. "Impractical Jokers" - 0.9 / 11.1

 

Is there anything going wide from the current limited releases in the next 3 weeks?

 

Spoiler

 

MARCH 20-22:

 

1. "A Quiet Place II" - 63.8

2. "Onward" - 14.2 / 96.3

3. "I Still Believe" - 7.7 / 24.4

4. "The Invisible Man" - 4.4 / 73.1

5. "The Hunt" - 3.8 / 15.4

6. "Bloodshot" - 3.5 / 14.1

7. "The Way Back" - 2.6 / 20.0

8. "Sonic the Hedgehog" - 2.0 / 151.1

9. "Emma" - 2.0 / 14.9

10. "Call Of The Wild" - 1.9 / 66.7

11. "Bad Boys 3" - 1.2 / 206.9

12. "Birds Of Prey" - 0.6 / 85.4

 

MARCH 27-29:

 

1. "Mulan" - 87.3

2. "A Quiet Place II" - 32.1 / 115.5

3. "Onward" - 9.0 / 110.5

4. "I Still Believe" - 4.3 / 31.2

5. "The Invisible Man" - 2.6 / 77.2

6. "The Hunt" - 1.8 / 18.6

7. "Bloodshot" - 1.4 / 16.7

8. "The Way Back" - 1.4 / 22.2

9. "Emma" - 1.3 / 16.9

10. "Sonic the Hedgehog" - 1.1 / 152.9

11. "Call Of The Wild" - 1.0 / 68.4

12. "Bad Boys 3" - 0.7 / 208.0

 

 

Edited March 11, 2020 by Viktor Vilotijevic

[Blankments]

On 3/6/2020 at 9:49 PM, Blankments said:

Once Were Brothers: Robbie Robertson and the Band, The Lodge, Gretel and Hansel and Downhill are gone.

Still waiting on Galewood Crossings, will update when available. Shubh Mangal Zyada Saavvdhan, Frozen II, Dolittle, Little Women and Seberg are gone.

 

Onward - 95/20/4 (2D/3D/Dolby) total 119 (down 52)

Bloodshot - 62/12/18/4 (2D/IMAX/Spanish Subbed) total 96 (debut)

The Hunt - 67 (debut)

I Still Believe - 61/2 (2D/Dolby) total 63 (debut)

The Invisible Man - 62 (down 28)

Sonic the Hedgehog - 60 (down 4)

The Way Back - 55 (down 2)

The Call of the Wild - 29 (down 17)

Emma - 29 (down 10)

Bad Boys For Life - 21 (down 10)

1917 - 19 (down 6)

Portrait of a Lady on Fire Subbed - 15 (up 6)

Harley Quinn: Birds of Prey - 14 (down 14)

Baaghi 3 Subbed - 10 (down 6)

Brahms: The Boy II - 10 (down 6)

Burden - 9 (up 5)

Parasite Subbed - 9 (down 5)

Angrezi Medium Subbed - 8 (debut)

The Gentlemen - 6 (no change)

Jumanji: The Next Level - 6 (down 5)

Impractical Jokers: The Movie - 6 (down 17)

First Cow - 5 (debut)

Greed - 5 (down 15)

My Boyfriend's Meds - 2/3 (Subbed/No Subs) total 5 (down 2)

Fantasy Island - 4 (down 3)

Knives Out - 4 (down 2)

The Photograph - 4 (down 3)

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker - 4 (no change)

Beneath Us - 3 (down 12)

Hope Gap - 2 (down 3)

Thappad Subbed - 2 (down 2)

Wendy - 1 (down 4)

Edited March 11, 2020 by Blankments

[Vanilla]

Looks like everything is going to have some staying power in the next month. 😆 

[boxofficeth]

6 hours ago, Vanilla said:

Looks like everything is going to have some staying power in the next month. 😆 

Good for The Invisible Man's leg, indeed. With AQM2 removed from sched, it could drag on to top 100M.

 

This situation sadly reminds me of the 9-11.

Edited March 13, 2020 by boxofficeth
😊

[Viktor Vilotijevic]

Seems like “Onward” will spend 5 weekends at #1. 

[Viktor Vilotijevic]

NEW PREDICTIONS FOR NEXT 4 WEEKS:

 

MARCH 13-15:

 

1. "Onward" - 22.3/ 72.2

2. "I Still Believe" - 13.4

3. "The Invisible Man" - 9.0 / 67.4

4. "Bloodshot" - 8.6

5. "The Hunt" - 7.2

6. "Sonic the Hedgehog" - 4.6 / 147.8

7. "The Way Back" - 4.5 / 15.6

8. "Call Of the Wild" - 3.7 / 63.6

9. "Emma" - 3.1 / 11.8

10. "Bad Boys 3" - 1.9 / 205.2

11. "Birds of Prey" - 0.9 / 84.5

12. "Impractical Jokers" - 0.9 / 10.7

 

MARCH 20-22:

 

1. "Onward" - 13.8 / 93.4

2. "I Still Believe" - 8.0 / 25.3

3. "The Invisible Man" - 5.3 / 75.7

4. "Bloodshot" - 3.6 / 14.5

5. "The Hunt" - 3.1 / 12.5

6. "The Way Back" - 2.9 / 20.1

7. "Sonic the Hedgehog" - 2.8 / 152.1

8. "Emma" - 2.1 / 15.1

9. "Call Of The Wild" - 1.9 / 66.8

10. "Bad Boys 3" - 1.2 / 207.1

11. "Jumanji 2" - 0.5 / 318.1

12. "Birds Of Prey" - 0.3 / 85.1

 

MARCH 27-29:

 

1. "Onward" - 8.9 / 106.8

2. "I Still Believe" - 5.2 / 32.9

3. "The Invisible Man" - 3.2 / 80.9

4. "The Way Back" - 1.9 / 23.1

5. "Sonic The Hedgehog" - 1.8 / 155.0

6. "Bloodshot" - 1.6 / 17.4

7. "Emma" - 1.5 / 17.4

8. "The Hunt" - 1.3 / 14.8

9. "Call Of The Wild" - 1.2 / 68.7

10. "Bad Boys 3" - 0.8 / 208.3

11. "Jumanji 2" - 0.3 / 318.6

12. "1917" - 0.2 / 160.3

 

APRIL 3-5:

 

1. "Onward" - 5.7 / 115.8

2. "I Still Believe" - 3.4 / 38.0

3. "The Invisible Man" - 2.1 / 84.2

4. "The Way Back" - 1.2 / 25.0

5. "Sonic The Hedgehog" - 1.2 / 156.9

6. "Emma" - 1.0 / 18.9

7. "Call Of The Wild" - 0.8 / 70.0

8. "Bloodshot" - 0.7 / 18.7

9. "The Hunt" - 0.5 / 15.8

10. "Bad Boys 3" - 0.5 / 209.1

11. "Never Rarely Sometimes Always" - 0.3

12. "First Cow" - 0.2

 

I really have no idea if they are going to expand these platform films, and how will the audience embrace them. But it will be the most tragic box office in a long time. April 3-5 will possibly fall short of 20 million $ in top 12,  and that didn't happen in last 25+ years.

[Maxmoser3]

Stay safe and healthy that’s the projection. We may not have a big movie for a while... but no need to panic guys, we have streaming and some of us still have physical media at home. So no projections from me for a while. 

[dudalb]

Many theaters I suspect, will close simply becuase business is so low they are losing money, so they might as well shut down and save on operating expneses.

[Viktor Vilotijevic]

I am scared to predict how will next 4 weekends look like. Just look at them pushing back “Trolls” and “Black Widow”.

[Viktor Vilotijevic]

Ok, this is going to be scary prediction.

 

MARCH 20-22:

 

1. "I Still Believe" - 4.3 / 15.9

2. "Onward" - 4.0 / 66.7

3. "Bloodshot" - 3.1 / 15.5

4. "The Invisible Man" - 2.5 / 68.4

5. "The Hunt" - 1.8 / 8.7

6. "Sonic the Hedgehog" - 0.9 / 147.5

7. "Call Of The Wild" - 0.8 / 63.4

8. "The Way Back" - 0.7 / 14.7

9. "Emma" - 0.5 / 10.9

10. "Bad Boys 3" - 0.4 / 205.0

11. "Jumanji 2" - 0.2 / 317.1

12. "Birds Of Prey" - 0.2 / 84.4

 

Top 10 should be 19 million $. If I am not mistaken that hasn't happened since early 80's.

[dudalb]

Mayor just closed all theaters in New York City, as of  Tuesday.

Sure other cities and states will follow

Edited March 16, 2020 by dudalb

[Impact]

Welp next film will be Black Widow.  Since the hype and everything should be gone by May 1st.

 

Till then:

 

Onward: will it be number one with a weekend under 500k? 

 

(Well for anyone reading this topic right now I almost feel like I don't want to change the title)

[BoilingHotCoffee]

Well this weekend should be interesting

 

Onward over/under $150k

[Impact]

So now 3 films from last week all probably just had a 95 to 99% drop, wow.

 

To be honest though, of the 3 openers only I Still Believe did less then I expected pre all this media hype that turned into something else.

 

And apparently My Spy is still coming out in April, the one film that looked DTV. 

[DeeCee]

I’m going to unpin this thread for now until theatres reopen. Please let me know if I forget about it when they reopen. 

[Impact]

Apparently some films are having there runs recorded and some theaters are reopening slowly, so repinned!

 

[CloneWars]

Unhinged $4.7M

[filmlover]

Might as well start taking a crack at this again:

 

The New Mutants: $11M

The Personal History of David Copperfield: $4M