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Weekend Prediction thread 3/29-3/31 Play the Derby

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Wonder Woman: 45M

The Mummy: 25M

It Comes at Night: 14M

Captain Underpants: 13.5M

Pirates of the Caribbean: 11M

Guardians of the Galaxy: 5.3M

Baywatch: 4.3M

Megan Leavey: 3M

Everything Everything: 1.8M

Alien Covenant: 1.6M

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1. Wonder Woman - $46.2M (-54%)

2. The Mummy - $37.0M (NEW)

3. Captain Underpants - $13.2M (-46%)

4. It Comes at Night - $10.5M (NEW)

5. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell no Tales - $9.7M (-55%)

6. Megan Leavey - $4.8M (NEW)

7. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - $4.7M (-52%)

8. Baywatch - $4.2M (-51%)

9. Everything Everything - $1.9M (-42%)

10. Alien: Covenant - $1.7M (-58%)

Edited by TheMovieman
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WW - 49M

Mummy - 40M

CU - 15M

Pirates5 - 12M

Comes at Night - 9.5M

GV2 - 5.5M

Baywatch - 4.5M

Megan - 4M

EE - 2M

AC - 1.5M

 

Top 10 - 143M

 

Cars3 - 70M

WW - 28M

All Eyez - 21M

Mummy - 19M

Rough Night - 19M

CU - 6.5M

Pirates5 - 6.5M

Comes at Night - 5.5M

GV2 - 3.5M

 

Top10 - 179M

 

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Okay, over on both my picks last week, although not too bad on CU (it was under $30M:)...

So, let me make the same prediction for Mummy that I did for CU - $30M OW with actuals coming in under (so $28.9M actual)...

The other movies are gonna have a hard time fitting into theaters, so their "wideness" is gonna affect their totals, but I guess, as of now, I'd put...

Megan $3M (if it gets 1000 theaters)

It Comes at Night $8M (assuming 2000 theaters)...releasing against another horror will hurt one or the other, or both...I'm picking both...

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On 6/4/2017 at 9:44 AM, TheMovieman said:

1. Wonder Woman - $46.2M (-54%)

2. The Mummy - $37.0M (NEW)

3. Captain Underpants - $13.2M (-46%)

4. It Comes at Night - $10.5M (NEW)

5. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell no Tales - $9.7M (-55%)

6. Megan Leavey - $4.8M (NEW)

7. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - $4.7M (-52%)

8. Baywatch - $4.2M (-51%)

9. Everything Everything - $1.9M (-42%)

10. Alien: Covenant - $1.7M (-58%)

 

Updated lowering The Mummy down.

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(All figures in millions)

9-11 June 2017

 

1. Wonder Woman $45.5/$168.3

2. The Mummy $37.5

3. Captain Underpants $13/$42

4. It Comes At Night $11

5. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales $10.5/$130.5

6. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 $5.5/$363.8

7. Baywatch $5/$49.2

8. Megan Leavey $3.8

9. Alien: Covenant $1.7/$69.8

10. Everything, Everything $1.6/$20.7

 

Spoiler

16-18 June 2017

 

1. Cars 3 $65

2. Wonder Woman $25/$205.8

3. Rough Night $23

4. The Mummy $16/$61.5

5. All Eyez on Me $12.5

6. Captain Underpants $8.5/$54.8

7. It Comes At Night $6/$20

8. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales $5.5/$138.8

9. 47 Meters Down $5

10. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 $3/$368.3

 

23-25 June 2017

 

1. Transformers: The Last Knight $60/$75 (WTFSS)

2. Cars 3 $38/$122

3. Wonder Woman $17.5/$232

4. Rough Night $11/$40.5

5. The Mummy $9/$75

6. All Eyez on Me $7/$23

7. Captain Underpants $5/$62.3

8. It Comes At Night $3.5/$25.8

9. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales $3/$143.3

10. 47 Meters Down $2.5/$8.8

 

30 June-2 July 2017

 

1. Despicable Me 3 $100

2. The House $25

3. Transformers: The Last Knight $24/$111

4. Cars 3 $21/$153.5

5. Baby Driver $15/$20 (WTFSS)

6. Wonder Woman $11/$250

7. Rough Night $6.5/$50.3

8. Amityville: The Awakening $6

9. The Mummy $5/$82.5

10. All Eyez on Me $4/$29

 

7-9 July 2017

 

1. Spider-Man: Homecoming $130

2. Despicable Me 3 $50/$175

3. The House $12/$45

4. Cars 3 $11.5/$171

5. Transformers: The Last Knight $11/$130

6. Baby Driver $8/$33

7. Wonder Woman $6.5/$262

8. Rough Night $4/$57

9. The Mummy $3/$87

10. Amityville: The Awakening $2.5/$10

 

14-16 July 2017

 

1. War for the Planet of the Apes $75

2. Spider-Man: Homecoming $60/$230

3. Despicable Me 3 $25/$215

4. Wish Upon $10

5. The House $6/$55

6. Cars 3 $5.8/$180

7. Transformers: The Last Knight $5/$138

8. Baby Driver $4.5/$40

9. Wonder Woman $4/$268

10. Rough Night $2.5/$61

 

21-23 July 2017

 

1. Dunkirk $50

2. Spider-Man Homecoming $35/$285

3. War for the Planet of the Apes $30/$125

4. Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets $22

5. Girls Trip $15

6. Despicable Me 3 $13/$235

7. Wish Upon $5/$18

8. The House $3.5/$61

9. Cars 3 $3.3/$186.5

10. Baby Driver $2.5/$44

 

28-30 July 2017

 

1. Dunkirk $28/$95

2. Atomic Blonde $26

3. The Emoji Movie $25

4. Spider-Man: Homecoming $22/$320

5. War for the Planet of the Apes $17/$153

6. Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets $11/$40

7. Despicable Me 3 $8/$247

8. Girls Trip $7.5/$27

9. Wish Upon $3/$23

10. Cars 3 $2.1/$190

 

4-6 August 2017

 

1. The Dark Tower $30

2. Dunkirk $18/$124

3. The Emoji Movie $14/$46

4. Atomic Blonde $13/$47

5. Spider-Man: Homecoming $12.5/$340

6. Detroit $11

7. War for the Planet of the Apes $10/$169

8. Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets $6/$50

9. Despicable Me 3 $5/$255

10. Girls Trip $4/$33

 

11-13 August 2017

 

1. Annabelle: Creation $38

2. The Dark Tower $16/$55

3. The Nut Job 2: Nutty By Nature $15

4. Dunkirk $12/$144

5. The Emoji Movie $8/$57

6. Atomic Blonde $7.5/$57.5

7. Spider-Man: Homecoming $7/$351

8. War for the Planet of the Apes $6/$179

9. Detroit $5.5/$20

10. The Glass Castle $5

 

18-20 August 2017

 

1. The Hitman's Bodyguard $20

2. Annabelle: Creation $18/$65

3. Logan Lucky $12

4. The Dark Tower $10/$70

5. The Nut Job 2: Nutty By Nature $8/$27

6. Dunkirk $7.5/$156

7. Atomic Blonde $5/$66

8. The Emoji Movie $4.5/$64

9. Spider-Man: Homecoming $4/$357.5

10. War for the Planet of the Apes $3.8/$185

 

25-27 August 2017

 

1. The Hitman's Bodyguard $11/$38

2. Annabelle: Creation $10/$80

3. Polaroid $9

4. Logan Lucky $7/$25

5. The Dark Tower $6/$79

6. The Nut Job 2: Nutty By Nature $5/$35

7. Dunkirk $4.8/$164

8. All Saints $4.5

9. Atomic Blonde $3.2/$71

10. Crown Heights $3

 

 1-3 September 2017

 

1. Renegades $12

2. Unlocked $8.5

3. Leap! $7.5

4. The Hitman's Bodyguard $7/$49

5. Annabelle: Creation $6/$89

6. Polaroid $5/$17

7. Logan Lucky $4/$32

8. The Dark Tower $3.5/$85

9. The Nut Job 2: Nutty By Nature $3/$40

10. Dunkirk $2.8/$168.5

 

8-10 September 2017

 

1. It $50

2. Renegades $7/$23

3. Unlocked $5/$16

4. Leap! $4.5/$14.5

5. The Hitman's Bodyguard $4/$55

6. Annabelle: Creation $3.5/$94.5

7. Polaroid $3/$21.5

8. Logan Lucky $2.5/$36

9. Home Again $2.3

10. The Dark Tower $2/$88

 

15-17 September 2017

 

1. American Assassin $30

2. It $25/$88

3. The Soultrean $10

4. Renegades $4/$29

5. Unlocked $3/$21

6. Leap! $2.5/$18.5

7. The Hitman's Bodyguard $2/$58

8. Annabelle: Creation $1.8/$98

9. Logan Lucky $1.5/$38.5

10. Polaroid $1.3/$23.5

 

22-24 September 2017

 

1. Kingsman: The Golden Circle $51.5

2. Ninjago $25

3. American Assassin $14/$51

4. It $13/$108

5. The Soultrean $5/$18

6. Friend Request $3.5

7. Renegades $2.5/$33

8. Unlocked $2/$24

9. Leap! $1.5/$21

10. Annabelle: Creation $1.1/$100

 

29 September-1 October 2017

 

1. Kingsman: The Golden Circle $25/$90

2. American Made $23.5

3. Ninjago $15/$48

4. Flatliners $10

5. American Assassin $9/$65

6. It $8/$116

7. The Soultrean $3/$23

8. Samson $2.5

9. Friend Request $1.5/$6

10. Renegades $1.3/$35

 

6-8 October 2017

 

1. Blade Runner 2049 $40

2. Kingsman: The Golden Circle $13/$110

3. American Made $12/$42

4. My Little Pony $10

5. Ninjago $9/$62

6. Flatliners $5.5/$19

7. American Assassin $5/$73

8. It $4.5/$123

9. The Soultrean $1.8/$26

10. Samson $1.5/$5

 

13-15 October 2017

 

1. Blade Runner 2049 $20/$70

2. mother! $15

3. Half to Death $8

4. Kingsman: The Golden Circle $7.5/$122

5. American Made $6.5/$52

6. My Little Pony $6/$19

7. Ninjago $5.5/$71

8. Marshall $5

9. American Assassin $3/$78

10. Flatliners $2.8/$23.5

 

20-22 October 2017

 

1. Geostorm $35

2. Tyler Perry's Boo 2! A Madea Halloween $21

3. The Snowman $15

4. Blade Runner 2049 $12/$89

5. Granite Mountain Hotshots $10

6. mother! $9/$29

7. The Mountain Between Us $8

8. Kingsman: The Golden Circle $4.5/$129

9. Half to Death $4/$14

10. American Made $3.8/$58

 

27-29 October 2017

 

1. 2017 Cloverfield Movie $25

2. Saw: Legacy $20

3. Geostorm $15/$58.5

4. Tyler Perry's Boo 2! A Madea Halloween $11/$39

5. The Snowman $8/$27

6. Blade Runner 2049 $7.5/$100

7. mother! $5.5/$38

8. Granite Mountain Hotshots $5/$18

9. The Mountain Between Us $4/$14

10. Kingsman: The Golden Circle $2.5/$133

 

3-5 November 2017

 

1. Thor: Ragnarok $105

2. A Bad Moms Christmas $25

3. Suburbicon $20

4. 2017 Cloverfield Movie $12/$43

5. Saw: Legacy $8/$32

6. Geostorm $7.5/$27

7. Tyler Perry's Boo 2! A Madea Halloween $5.5/$48

8. The Snowman $4.5/$34

9. Blade Runner 2049 $4/$107

10. mother! $3.3/$43

 

10-12 November 2017

 

1. Thor: Ragnarok $45/$174

2. Daddy's Home 2 $32.5

3. Murder on the Orient Express $25

4. A Bad Mom's Christmas $14/$47.5

5. The Star $13.5

6. Suburbicon $11/$37

7. 2017 Cloverfield Movie $7/$54

8. Geostorm $4.5/$34

9. Saw: Legacy $3.5/$37.5

10. Tyler Perry's Boo 2! A Madea Halloween $3/$53

 

17-19 November 2017

 

1. Justice League $180

2. Thor: Ragnarok $21/$206

3. Daddy's Home 2 $16/$57

4. Wonder $13.5

5. Murder on the Orient Express $12/$43

6. A Bad Mom's Christmas $9/$62

7. The Star $7/$25

8. Suburbicon $6/$46

9. 2017 Cloverfield Movie $4.5/$61

10. Geostorm $2.5/$38

 

24-26 November 2017

 

1. Justice League $80/$300

2. Coco $50/$75 (WTFSS)

3. Thor: Ragnarok $13/$226

4. Villa Capri $10/$14 (WTFSS)

5. Daddy's Home 2 $9/$70.5

6. Wonder $6.5/$24

7. Murder on the Orient Express $6/$53

8. A Bad Moms Christmas $5.5/$71

9. The Star $4/$31

10. Suburbicon $3.5/$52

 

1-3 December 2017

 

1. Justice League $50/$375

2. Coco $30/$120

3. Thor: Ragnarok $8/$238

4. Villa Capri $6/$23

5. Daddy's Home 2 $5.5/$79

6. Wonder $5/$32

7. A Bad Mom's Christmas $4.5/$79

8. Murder on the Orient Express $4.3/$58

9. The Star $3/$35.5

10. Suburbicon $2.5/$56

 

8-10 December 2017

 

1. Justice League $30/$420

2. Coco $20/$150

3. Thor: Ragnarok $5/$246

4. Villa Capri $4/$29

5. Daddy's Home 2 $3.8/$85

6. Wonder $3.5/$37

7. A Bad Mom's Christmas $3/$84

8. Murder on the Orient Express $2.8/$63

9. The Star $2/$38.5

10. Suburbicon $1.5/$58.3

 

15-17 December 2017

 

1. Star Wars: The Last Jedi $230

2. Ferdinand $20

3. Justice League $15/$445

4. Coco $11/$168

5. Thor: Ragnarok $3/$250.5

6. Villa Capri $2.5/$33

7. Daddy's Home 2 $2.3/$87.5

8. Wonder $2.1/$40

9. A Bad Mom's Christmas $2/$87

10. Murder on the Orient Express $1.8/$66

 

22-24 December 2017

 

1. Star Wars: The Last Jedi $130/$425

2. Pitch Perfect 3 $45

3. Jumanji $30/$45 (WTFSS)

4. Ferdinand $18/$47

5. Downsizing $15

6. The Six Billion Dollar Man $10

7. Justice League $8/$460

8. Coco $7/$180

9. Thor: Ragnarok $2/$254

10. Villa Capri $1.5/$36

 

29-31 December 2017

 

1. Star Wars: The Last Jedi $80/$550

2. Pitch Perfect 3 $30/$95

3. The Greatest Showman on Earth $25/$40 (MTWTFSS)

4. Jumanji $20/$80

5. Ferdinand $13/$70

6. Downsizing $10/$30

7. The Six Billion Dollar Man $5/$19

8. Justice League $4.5/$470

9. Coco $4/$186

10. Thor: Ragnarok $1.3/$256.5

 

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  1. Wonder Woman - 48.5M
  2. The Mummy - 26.7M
  3. Captain Underpants: The First Epic Movie - 12.4M
  4. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - 8.8M
  5. It Comes At Night - 7.4M
  6. Megan Leavey - 6.7M
  7. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - 4.6M
  8. Baywatch - 4.1M
  9. My Cousin Rachel - 2.0M
  10. Everything, Everything - 1.7M
  11. Alien: Covenant - 1.6M
  12. Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul - 0.4M
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Spoiler

6/16-6/18

  1. Cars 3: $57 million
  2. Wonder Woman: $37.5 million ($276 million)
  3. All Eyez on Me: $22 million
  4. Rough Night: $16 million
  5. The Mummy: $13.5 million ($59 million)
  6. Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales: $6.5 million ($148 million)
  7. Captain Underpants: $6 million ($58 million)
  8. It Comes At Night: $5 million ($20 million)
  9. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $4 million ($373 million)
  10. Baywatch: $2.5 million ($55 million)

6/23-6/25

  1. Transformers - The Last Knight: $50 million ($85 million)
  2. Cars 3: $34 million ($124 million)
  3. Wonder Woman: $20 million ($313 million)
  4. Rough Night: $10.5 million ($37 million)
  5. All Eyez on Me: $9 million ($40 million)
  6. The Mummy: $5 million ($70 million)
  7. Captain Underpants: $4 million ($66 million)
  8. Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales: $3 million ($154 million)
  9. It Comes At Night: $3 million ($26 million)
  10. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $2 million ($377 million)

6/30-7/2

  1. Despicable Me 3: $107 million
  2. The House: $32 million
  3. Transformers - The Last Knight: $20.5 million ($126 million)
  4. Cars 3: $14.5 million ($152 million)
  5. Wonder Woman: $12.5 million ($338 million)
  6. Baby Driver: $8 million ($13 million)
  7. Rough Night: $5 million ($47 million)
  8. All Eyez on Me: $4 million ($48 million)
  9. The Mummy: $2.5 million ($75 million)
  10. Captain Underpants: $1.5 million ($69 million)

7/7-7/9

  1. Spider-Man - Homecoming: $127 million
  2. Despicable Me 3: $50 million ($209 million)
  3. The House: $18 million ($67 million)
  4. Cars 3: $9 million ($169 million)
  5. Transformers - The Last Knight: $7.5 million ($142 million)
  6. Baby Driver: $5 million ($23 million)
  7. Wonder Woman: $5 million ($349 million)
  8. Rough Night: $3.5 million ($54 million)
  9. All Eyez on Me: $2.5 million ($53 million)
  10. The Mummy: $1 million ($70 million)

7/14-7/16

  1. War for the Planet of the Apes: $74 million
  2. Spider-Man - Homecoming: $54 million ($236 million)
  3. Despicable Me 3: $23 million ($255 million)
  4. The House: $11 million ($89 million)
  5. Cars 3: $6 million ($180 million)
  6. Transformers - The Last Knight: $4 million ($150 million)
  7. Baby Driver: $3.5 million ($30 million)
  8. Wonder Woman: $2.5 million ($354 million)
  9. Rough Night: $2 million ($58 million)
  10. All Eyez on Me: $1.5 million ($56 million)

7/21-7/23

  1. Dunkirk: $47.5 million
  2. War for the Planet of the Apes: $33 million ($139 million)
  3. Spider-Man - Homecoming: $25 million ($287 million)
  4. Girls Trip: $23 million
  5. Despicable Me 3: $14 million ($282 million)
  6. Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets: $12.5 million
  7. The House: $5 million ($99 million)
  8. Cars 3: $4 million ($187 million)
  9. Baby Driver: $2 million ($34 million)
  10. Transformers - The Last Knight: $1.5 million ($153 million)

7/28-7/30

  1. The Emoji Movie: $44 million
  2. Dunkirk: $31.5 million ($109 million)
  3. War for the Planet of the Apes: $20 million ($178 million)
  4. Girls Trip: $15 million ($53 million)
  5. Spider-Man - Homecoming: $14 million ($314 million)
  6. Atomic Blonde: $11 million
  7. Despicable Me 3: $6 million ($294 million)
  8. Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets: $5 million ($22 million)
  9. The House: $3.5 million ($106 million)
  10. An Inconvenient Sequel: $3 million

 

 

 

Edited by mahnamahna
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On 6/1/2017 at 0:06 PM, Blankments said:

The Fate of the Furious and Beauty and the Beast are gone. Drive-in is Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales and Alien: Covenant.

Gifted and The Boss Baby are gone. Drive-in is Wonder Woman and King Arthur: Legend of the Sword.

 

Wonder Woman - 29/7 (2D/3D) total 36 (down 1)

The Mummy - 15/4/9/1/6 (2D/2D with D-BOX/3D/3D with D-BOX/IMAX 3D) total 35 (debut)
Captain Underpants: The First Epic Movie - 17/2 (2D/3D) total 19 (down 1)
It Comes at Night - 19 (debut)

Baywatch - 16 (down 10)
Megan Leavey - 16 (debut)

Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - 15 (down 21)
Everything Everything - 13 (down 3)
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - 13 (down 1)
Alien: Covenant - 11 (down 6)
Snatched - 6 (down 3)
Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul - 2 (down 10)
King Arthur: Legend of the Sword - 1 (down 2)

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Oooofff...this is a rough weekend.  I think Rough Night is opening the wrong weekend - it should have waited til the next weekend when it's empty.  I think Cars 3 has some sequel fatigue, but I'd love to know if it's a Pixar critical smash or a Pixar Good Dinosaur.  I actually think the previews are pretty good, but very limiting to a Nascar-esque audience (they play that up more than they have the 1st 2).  I have no feel for All Eyez on Me b/c I'm the least targeted audience for that movie, of the 3...and then I guess we have the already released 47 Meters Down which could be in 3500 theaters or 350...so, with very little confidence, but with nailing this week's movies (Mummy might even hit my number on the nose:), here's my guesses...if anything gets Baywatched by reviewers again, I may revisit these...

 

Cars 3 - $54M (20% drop for sequel fatigue)...

Rough Night - $22M 

All Eyez on Me - $21M

47 Meters Down - $3M (I don't believe 3500 screens, no way - if they get them, I may double this number, b/c I can't see this movie getting more than 1500-2000 theaters)...

 

EDIT: With final reviews and theaters and presales, I gotta bring Rough Night down to $12M and 47 Meters up slightly to $5M...I'll stick with the other 2 numbers...

Edited by TwoMisfits
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All Eyez on Me is a tough one. It feels like another Notorious than another Straight Outta Compton IMO.

 

I'm curious as to the reviews for Rough Night. The premise could potentially rub a lot of people the wrong way, but maybe they're saving the funniest bits for the movie. I'm hopeful that this is another Bad Moms, which had awful previews but the movie ended up being quite funny (and also the last comedy that actually found an audience, which says a lot about the state of the genre given that it came out almost a year ago).

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15 hours ago, filmlover said:

All Eyez on Me is a tough one. It feels like another Notorious than another Straight Outta Compton IMO.

 

I'm curious as to the reviews for Rough Night. The premise could potentially rub a lot of people the wrong way, but maybe they're saving the funniest bits for the movie. I'm hopeful that this is another Bad Moms, which had awful previews but the movie ended up being quite funny (and also the last comedy that actually found an audience, which says a lot about the state of the genre given that it came out almost a year ago).

Notorious is a good comparison for All Eyez which did 20m on 1600 theaters in January

 

Rough Night had a funny script, and the test screenings have gone well, so i would expect decent reviews (at least substantially better than Baywatch + Snatched, and around Bad Moms 58 on RT) 

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