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Weekend Prediction thread 3/29-3/31 Play the Derby

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Got lost trying to do Black Panther, here is next weekend.

 

Fifty Shades - 33.00 - 90 total

Peter Rabbit - 21.00 - 70 total

15:17 - 13.00 - 40 total

Jumanji - 9.50 - 365.00 - 400 total

Maze Runner - 6.25 - 50.75 - 65 total

Greatest Showman - 6.00 - 146.20 - 172.5 total

Winchester - 5.50 - 17.38 - 27.5 total

The Post - 3.80 - 73.00 - 90 total

Shape of Water - 3.50 - 50.00 - 70 total

Hostiles - 3.00 - 26.25 - 32.5 total

12 Strong - 2.70 - 41.85 -47.5 total

3 Billboards - 2.20 - 45.45 - 55 total

Den of Thieves - 2.10 - 40.00 - 45 total

Phantom Thread - 1.80 - 17.00 - 23.5 total

I, Tonya - 1.70 - 25.50 - 31.5 total

Darkest Hour - 1.60 - 51.60 - - 60 total

Paddington - 1.55 - 38.75 - 42.5 total

Star Wars - 1.10 - 616.40 - 620 total

Forever My Girl - 1.00 - 14.55 - 16 total

Lady Bird - 0.90 - 45.26 - 48 total

Coco - 0.70 - 205.90 - 210 total

The Commuter - 0.50 - 35.50 - 37 total

Molly's Game - 0.375 - 27.70 - 29 total

Insidious - 0.35 - 66.50 - 68 total

Ferdinand - 0.333 - 81.90 - 83.5 total

Pitch Perfect 3 - 0.30 - 104.50 - 105.75 total

 

Edited by Matrix4You
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My „revised“ and final predictions:

Fifty Shades Freed - 38M
Peter Rabbit – 25M; I heard the film is better but I'm still a bit disappointed in the trailers
15:17 – 14M now due to the reviews and the not really big buzz (as far as I can judge that from Europe)


 

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  1. Fifty Shades Freed - $43.1M
  2. Peter Rabbit - $21.7M
  3. The 15:17 to Paris - $14.5M
  4. Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle - $7.21M
  5. The Greatest Showman - $6.85M
  6. Maze Runner: The Death Cure - $5.03M
  7. Winchester - $4.56M
  8. The Shape of Water - $3.6M
  9. The Post - $3.34M
  10. Hostiles - $2.84M
  11. 12 Strong - $2.64M
  12. Den of Thieves - $2.64M
  13. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri - $2.47M
  14. I, Tonya - $2.07M
  15. Darkest Hour - $1.96M
  16. Phantom Thread - $1.63M
  17. Paddington 2 - $1.61M
  18. Forever My Girl - $1.42M
  19. Coco - $1.3M
  20. Star Wars: The Last Jedi - $1.19M
  21. Padmaavat - $1.12M
  22. Lady Bird - $987k
  23. The Commuter - $817k
  24. Insidious: The Last Key - $702k
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9 - 11 February 2018

 

1. Fifty Shades Freed $37

2. Peter Rabbit $20

3. The 15:17 to Paris $12.5

4. Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle $7.1/$363.5

5. The Greatest Showman $6.2/$147

6. Maze Runner: The Death Cure $5.2/$48

7. Winchester $3.7/$15

8. The Post $2.9/$72

9. Hostiles $2.7/$25

10. 12 Strong $2.6/$41.5

 

16 - 18 February 2018

 

1. Black Panther $145

2. Fifty Shades Freed $15.5/$62

3. Peter Rabbit $12/$39

4. Early Man $7

5. The 15:17 to Paris $6.3/$23

6. The Greatest Showman $5/$155

7. Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle $4.6/$373

8. Samson $4

9. Maze Runner: The Death Cure $2.6/$54.5

10. Winchester $1.8/$18

 

 

 

 

 

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On 2/1/2018 at 3:33 PM, Poe Blankeron said:

None are gone.

The Post, Coco, Pitch Perfect 3, Call Me By Your Name, Molly's Game, and Insidious: The Last Key are gone.

 

Fifty Shades Freed - 16 (debut)

Peter Rabbit - 15 (debut)

The 15:17 to Paris - 14 (debut)

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle - 13 (no change)

Hostiles - 10 (no change)

The Maze Runner: The Death Cure - 10 (down 3)

Forever My Girl - 5 (no change)
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri - 5 (no change)

Winchester - 5 (no change)

The Shape of Water - 4 (down 1)

Darkest Hour - 3 (no change)

Den of Thieves - 3 (no change)

The Greatest Showman - 3 (down 2)

12 Strong: The Declassified True Story of the Horse Soldiers - 1 (down 12)
Paddington 2 - 1 (down 5)

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All the Money in the World - 100k - 24.925

Proud Mary - 280k - 20.65

Daddy's Home 2 - 90k - 104.00

Justice League - 190k - 228.58

Wonder - 240k - 131.29

Thor - 210k - 314.30

Pitch Perfect 3 - 270k - 104.40

 

Molly's Game - 0.50 - 27.96

Insidious - 0.57 - 67.56

Ferdinand - 0.60 - 82.20

The Commuter - 0.65 - 35.62

Call Me By Your Name - 0.72 - 14.02

Lady Bird - 0.75 - 45.04

Coco - 0.88 - 206.18

 

 

(new) Fifty Shades Darker - 26.00 - 26.00

(new) Peter Rabbit - 16.00 - 16.00

(new) 15:17 to Paris - 10.00 - 10.00

(-18%) Jumanji - 9.00 - 364.84

(-16%) Greatest Showman - 6.60 - 146.72

(-44%) Maze Runner 3 - 6.00 - 49.05

(-46%) Winchester - 5.00 - 17.15

(-33%) The Post - 3.50 - 72.80

(-33%) Hostiles - 3.41 - 26.60

(-24%) Shape of Water - 3.38 - 50.14

(-40%) 12 Strong - 2.82 - 42.09

(-40%) Den of Thieves - 2.73 - 40.80

(-27%) Three Billboards - 2.22 - 45.35

(-25%) I, Tonya - 1.85 - 25.54

(-28%) Darkest Hour - 1.70 - 51.57

(-50%) Paddington 2 - 1.64 - 38.90

(-44%) Star Wars - 1.32 - 616.75

(-43%) Forever My Girl - 1.30 - 14.48

(-50%) Phantom Thread - 1.065 - 16.24

 

 

 

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Spoiler

2/16-2/18

  1. Black Panther: $142.5 million/$174 million 
  2. Peter Rabbit: $15.5 million/$21 million ($52 million) 
  3. Fifty Shades Freed: $15 million/$18 million ($76 million) 
  4. Samson: $9 million/$10.5 million
  5. Early Man: $6.5 million/$8 million 
  6. Jumanji - Welcome to the Jungle: $6.5 million/$8 million ($376 million) 
  7. The 15:17 to Paris: $5.25 million/$6.5 million ($23 million) 
  8. The Greatest Showman: $5 million/$6 million ($156 million) 
  9. The Post: $2.5 million/$3.25 million ($77 million) 
  10. The Shape of Water: $2.5 million/$3.25 million ($55 million) 

2/23-2/25

  1. Black Panther: $61.5 million ($255 million)
  2. Game Night: $21 million
  3. Annihilation: $14.5 million 
  4. Peter Rabbit: $10 million ($64 million) 
  5. Fifty Shades Freed: $8 million ($87 million) 
  6. Samson: $4.5 million ($17 million) 
  7. Early Man: $4.5 million ($13 million) 
  8. Jumanji - Welcome to the Jungle: $4.5 million ($381 million) 
  9. The Greatest Showman: $4 million ($161 million) 
  10. The 15:17 to Paris: $2.5 million ($26 million) 

3/2-3/4

  1. Black Panther: $38 million ($313 million) 
  2. Red Sparrow: $29.5 million 
  3. Game Night: $13 million ($40 million) 
  4. Death Wish: $10.5 million 
  5. Peter Rabbit: $7.5 million ($74 million) 
  6. Annihilation: $7 million ($25 million) 
  7. Fifty Shades Freed: $4 million ($93 million) 
  8. Early Man: $3.5 million ($17 million) 
  9. Jumanji - Welcome to the Jungle: $3 million ($386 million) 
  10. The Greatest Showman: $3 million ($166 million) 

3/9-3/11

  1. A Wrinkle in Time: $53 million
  2. Black Panther: $26 million ($353 million) 
  3. Red Sparrow: $17.5 million ($56 million) 
  4. Game Night: $8 million ($52 million) 
  5. Gringo: $6 million
  6. The Hurricane Heist: $5 million 
  7. Peter Rabbit: $3.5 million ($79 million) 
  8. Annihilation: $3 million ($30 million) 
  9. Fifty Shades Freed: $2.25 million ($96 million) 
  10. Early Man: $2 million ($20 million) 
  11. Jumanji - Welcome to the Jungle: $2 million ($389 million) 
  12. The Greatest Showman: $2 million ($169 million) 

3/16-3/18

  1. A Wrinkle in Time: $32.5 million ($105 million) 
  2. Tomb Raider: $21.5 million 
  3. Black Panther: $18 million ($382 million) 
  4. Love, Simon: $16.5 million 
  5. Red Sparrow: $9 million ($70 million) 
  6. Game Night: $5.5 million ($61 million) 
  7. I Can Only Imagine: $4 million
  8. Gringo: $3 million ($11 million) 
  9. The Hurricane Heist: $2.5 million ($9 million) 
  10. Peter Rabbit: $2.5 million ($83 million) 

3/23-3/25

  1. A Wrinkle in Time: $21 million ($138 million) 
  2. Pacific Rim - Uprising: $20 million
  3. Sherlock Gnomes: $13.5 million 
  4. Black Panther: $11 million ($400 million) 
  5. Love, Simon: $10.5 million ($33 million) 
  6. Tomb Raider: $10 million ($37 million) 
  7. Red Sparrow: $5 million ($78 million) 
  8. Midnight Sun: $4 million 
  9. Game Night: $3.5 million ($66 million) 
  10. Unsane: $3 million 

3/30-4/1

  1. Ready Player One: $68 million ($82 million)
  2. Paul, Apostle of Christ: $21 million ($34 million)
  3. Acrimony: $17 million 
  4. A Wrinkle in Time: $15 million ($162 million) 
  5. Black Panther: $7 million ($411 million) 
  6. Love, Simon: $6.5 million ($44 million) 
  7. Pacific Rim - Uprising: $6 million ($30 million) 
  8. Tomb Raider: $4 million ($44 million) 
  9. God's Not Dead - A Light in Darkness: $3.5 million 
  10. Red Sparrow: $3 million ($83 million) 

4/6-4/8

  1. A Quiet Place: $33 million 
  2. Ready Player One: $32.5 million ($132 million) 
  3. Blockers: $23.5 million 
  4. Paul, Apostle of Christ: $11.5 million ($51 million) 
  5. A Wrinkle in Time: $10.5 million ($177 million) 
  6. Acrimony: $6.5 million ($27 million) 
  7. Black Panther: $5.5 million ($419 million) 
  8. Love, Simon: $4.5 million ($51 million) 
  9. Pacific Rim - Uprising: $3 million ($34 million) 
  10. Tomb Raider: $2 million ($47 million) 

4/13-4/15

  1. A Quiet Place: $22 million ($67 million) 
  2. Ready Player One: $21 million ($163 million) 
  3. Blockers: $15 million ($45 million) 
  4. Truth or Dare: $13.5 million 
  5. Overboard: $8 million
  6. A Wrinkle in Time: $7.5 million ($187 million) 
  7. Paul, Apostle of Christ: $6.5 million ($61 million) 
  8. Black Panther: $4.5 million ($426 million) 
  9. Love, Simon: $3.5 million ($56 million) 
  10. Acrimony: $3 million ($32 million) 

 

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likely weekday scenario:

                                 Monday   Tues   Weds    Thurs    - TOTAL

Fifty Shades - (-68%) - 2.40   -  3.40  -  5.20  -  2.00    -  13.00  -  51.56

Peter Rabbit - (-86%) - 1.10  -  1.70  -  1.70 -  1.00   -   5.50  -  30.51

15:17 to Paris (-70%) - 1.00  -  1.40  -  1.40  -  0.85  -  4.65  -  17.20

Jumanji     -     (-80%) - 0.60  -  0.80  -  1.20  -  0.55  -  3.15  -  369.01

Showman   -   (-74%)  -  0.47  -  0.67  - 0.90  -  0.46  -  2.50  -  149.08

Maze Runner - (-80%)  -  0.38  -  0.54  -  0.65  -  0.30  -  1.87  -  51.11

Winchester  -  (-74%)  -  0.38  -  0.54  -  0.65  -  0.30  -  1.87   -  19.21

The Post  -       (-72%)  -  0.30  -  0.45  -  0.45  -  0.27  -  1.47  -  74.44

Shape of Water (-71%)  - 0.28  -  0.40  -  0.42  -  0.25  -  1.35  -  51.29

Den of Thieves  (-72%)  -  0.26  -  0.34  -  0.35  -  0.20  -  1.15  -  42.22

Hostiles             (-70%)  -  0.26  -  0.34   -  0.35  -  0.20  -  1.15  -  27.17

12 Strong  -     (-72%)  -  0.23  -  0.31   -  0.31  -  0.19  -  1.04  - 43.05

3 Billboards  -    (-70%)  -  0.21  -  0.28  -  0.28  -  0.19  -  0.96  -  46.41

I, Tonya     -     (-71%)  -  0.15  -  0.20  -  0.21  -  0.14  -  0.72  -  26.05

Darkest Hour - (-69%)  -  0.15  -  0.20  -  0.20  -  0.14  -  0.69  -  52.18

Star Wars    -    (-73%)  -  0.12  -  0.15  -  0.17  -  0.11  -  0.55  -   617.38

Phantom Thread (-71%) - 0.11  -  0.15  -  0.16  -  0.11  -  0.53  -  16.93

Forever     -        (-71%)  -  0.09  -  0.13  -  0.14  -  0.08  -  0.44  -  15.02

Lady Bird  -       (-72%)  - 0.08  -   0.11  -  0.12  -  0.08  -  0.39  -  45.60

Paddington   -   (-87%)  -  0.065  -  0.08  -  0.08  -  0.065  -  0.29  -  38.82

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  1. Black Panther - $184.8M
  2. Peter Rabbit - $15.5M
  3. Fifty Shades Freed - $15M
  4. Early Man - $8.3M
  5. Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle - $6.52M
  6. The 15:17 to Paris - $5.65M
  7. The Greatest Showman - $4.83M
  8. The Post - $2.65M
  9. Maze Runner: The Death Cure - $2.61M
  10. Samson - $2.4M
  11. Winchester - $2.29M
  12. The Shape of Water - $2.22M
  13. Den of Thieves - $1.77M
  14. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri - $1.7M
  15. 12 Strong - $1.51M
  16. Hostiles - $1.47M
  17. I, Tonya - $1.17M
  18. Darkest Hour - $1.12M
  19. Star Wars: The Last Jedi - $1.05M
  20. Phantom Thread - $784k
  21. Forever My Girl - $744k
  22. Paddington 2 - $703k
  23. La Boda de Valentina - $528k
  24. Padamaavat - $478k
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On 2/8/2018 at 11:30 PM, Blank Panther said:

The Post, Coco, Pitch Perfect 3, Call Me By Your Name, Molly's Game, and Insidious: The Last Key are gone.

Hostiles, The Maze Runner: The Death Cure, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri, The Shape of Water, 12 Strong: The Declassified True Story of the Horse Soldiers, and Paddington 2 are gone.

 

Black Panther - 23/10 (2D/3D) total 33 (debut)

The 15:17 to Paris - 14 (no change)

Fifty Shades Freed - 14 (down 2)

Peter Rabbit - 14 (down 1)

Early Man - 13 (debut)

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle - 7 (down 6)

The Greatest Showman - 4 (up 1)

Samson - 4 (debut)

Den of Thieves - 3 (no change)

Winchester - 3 (down 2)

Darkest Hour - 2 (down 1)

Forever My Girl - 2 (down 2)

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