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Impact

Weekend Prediction thread 3/29-3/31 Play the Derby

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November 23-25:

 

1. Ralph Breaks the Internet - 48.8 / 74.1

2. Creed 2 - 33.7 / 53.6

3. Fantastic Beasts 2 - 32.2 / 112.5

4. The Grinch - 20.2 / 157.5

5. Instant Family - 8.6 / 28.2

6. Bohemian Rhapsody - 8.2 / 142.1

7. Robin Hood - 7.6 / 12.0

8. Widows - 7.2 / 23.4

9. Green Book - 4.7 / 5.1

10. A Star is Born - 2.5 / 189.6

11. The Nutcracker - 2.2 / 47.5

12. Overlord - 1.5 / 20.3

 

November 30-December 2:

 

1. Ralph Breaks the Internet - 26.1 / 113.2

2. Creed 2 - 19.2 / 82.3

3. Fantastic Beasts 2 - 16.8 / 138.3

4. The Grinch - 12.1 / 176.2

5. Bohemian Rhapsody - 5.3 / 150.8

6. Instant Family - 6.1 / 37.4

7. Widows - 5.3 / 31.6

8. Robin Hood - 3.4 / 18.3

9. Green Book - 3.7 / 10.6

10. The Possession of Hannah Grace - 2.3

11. A Star is Born - 1.7 / 192.2

12. The Front Runner - 1.4 / 1.6

 

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Ralph Breaks the Internet: 50M (65M 5 day)

Creed II: 37M (48M 5 day)

Dr. Seuss' The Grinch: 29.8M

Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald: 28M

Bohemian Rhapsody: 13.3M

Instant Family: 12.9M

Widows: 9.8M

Robin Hood: 8M (11.5M 5 day)

Green Book: 4M (5.5M 5 day)

The Nutcracker and the Four Realms: 3.3M

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3 Day (5 Day)

 

Ralph Breaks the Internet 51 million (71 million)

Creed II 31 million (47 million)

Fantastic Beasts 30 million

The Grinch 24 million

Instant Family 11.5 million

Bohemian Rhaspody 11.4 million

Widows 9 million

Robin Hood 8.3 million (12.5 million)

Green Book 4.1 million (5.4 million)

Nutcracker 3 million

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53/77 - Wreck-It Ralph - 77.0
35/51 - Grindenwald - 137.2
29/46 - Creed II - 46.0
24/34 - The Grinch - 172.0
12/17 - Instant Family - 35.4
11.5/16 - Bohemian Rhapsody - 148.8
10.0/16 - Robin Hood - 16.0

 9.0/13 - Widows - 28.4
4.1/6.1 - Green Book - 6.5
3.0/4.2 - Star is Born - 191.0
2.7/3.6 - Nutcracker - 48.9
1.6/2.4 - Overlord - 21.0
0.8/1.1 - Nobody's Fool - 30.4
0.8/1.1 - Spider's Web - 15.0
0.8/1.1 - Venom - 211.6

 

Spoiler


27.0 - Wreck-It - 115.0
16.0 - Grindenwald - 164.0
13.5 - Creed II - 70.0
10.5 - The Grinch - 188.0
 7.5 - Instant Famiy - 46.5
 7.0 - Bohemian Rhapsody - 159.5
 7.0 - Possession - 7.0
 5.5 - Robin Hood - 25.0
 5.0 - Widows - 36.5
 3.0 - Green Book - 11.0
 

18.4 - Wreck-It - 140.0
11.2 - Grindenwald - 171.0
 8.9 - Creed II - 83.5
 8.2 - The Grinch - 198.5
 5.1 - Instant Family - 53.0
 4.6 - Bohemian Rhapsody - 166.5
 3.5 - Possession - 12.5
 3.3 - Robin Hood - 30.3
 2.6 - Widows - 41.0
 2.4 - Green Book - 14.5

 

Spoiler

30.0 - Spidey-Verse - 30.0
16.0 - Mortal Engines - 16.0
14.5 - The Mule - 14.5
11.0 - Wreck-It - 155.0
 7.2 - Grindenwald - 181.5
 5.7 - Creed II - 89.5
 5.2 - Deadpool 2 - 7.0
 5.0 - The Grinch - 205.0
 2.7 - Instant Family - 57.0
 2.4 - Bohemian Rhapsody - 170.0

 

Spoiler


63.0 - Aquaman - 63.0
42.0 - Mary Poppins - 57.0
25.5 - Bumblebee - 25.5
14.5 - Spidey-Verse - 54.5
12.5 - Second Act - 12.5
10.5 - Welcome to Marwen - 10.5
10.0 - The Mule - 29.5
 8.3 - Mortal Engines - 29.5
 4.3 - Wreck-It Ralph - 162.0
 2.7 - Deadpool 2 - 11.0
 2.3 - Grindenwald - 186.1
 1.9 - The Grinch - 208.0
 1.8 - Creed II - 93.0


50.4 - Aquaman - 181.0
39.2 - Mary Poppins - 148.0
22.0 - Bumblebee - 74.5
14.5 - Spidey-Verse - 87.5
13.2 - Holmes & Watson - 29.0
12.4 - Second Act - 39.3
11.0 - Vice - 24.0
10.2 - The Mule - 52.6
 9.5 - Mortal Engines - 50.0
 7.9 - Welcome to Marwen - 40.0
 4.5 - Wreck-It Ralph - 171.0
 2.3 - Grindenwald - 191.1

 

Spoiler

25.2 - Aquaman - 245.0
20.0 - Mary Poppins - 185.0
11.0 - Bumblebee - 103.0
11.0 - Escape Room
10.0 - Second Act - 57.5
 7.0 - Eli
 7.5 - Holmes & Watson - 46.0
 7.0 - Spidey-Verse - 104.5
 7.0 - Vice - 39.0
 5.0 - The Mule - 65.0
 4.0 - Welcome to Marwen - 50.0
 4.0 - Mortal Engines - 61.0

 

 

 

 

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FSS

  1. WIR2 52.5
  2. FB2 30 (-51%)
  3. Creed2 27.5
  4. Grinch 22.5 (-42%)
  5. Instant Family 12.5 (-14%)

I am going harder on Grinch it seems. Family friendly films held well in the face of Coco's ow in 2017. But Grinch also being an animation like WIR2 might get more heavily dented in comparison. Trolls fell 39% in it's 4th weekend when Moana opened in 2016. Am also expecting WIR2 to do a huge 80 over 5-days.

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12 hours ago, Lorraine said:

November 23-25:

Ralph breaks the internet 43

Fantastic Beasts 33

Creed Il 32

The Grinch 31

Instant Family 12.5

Bohemian Rhapsody  12

Robin Hood 8.5

Windows 8

Green Book 4

A star is born 3.5

 

 

Welcome to the Forums! 

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23rd - 25th November 2018

 

1. Ralph Breaks the Internet $65/$95

2. Creed 2 $40/$60

3. Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald $31.1/$117 (-50%)

4. Dr Seuss' The Grinch $27/$173 (-30%)

5. Bohemian Rhapsody $11.2/$147.5 (-35%)

6. Instant Family $10.2/$31.4 (-30%)

7. Robin Hood $10/$17

8. Widows $6.8/$23.8 (-45%)

9. Green Book $3.2/$6

10. A Star Is Born $3/$190.8 (-30%)

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On 11/14/2018 at 12:10 PM, Blankments said:

Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween, Here and Now, First Man, Night School, The House with a Clock in Its Walls, Intimate Strangers, Suspiria, Bodied, Delinquent Season, Rampant, Wildlife, and The Happy Prince are gone.

Burn the Stage: The Movie, The Hate U Give, Thugs of Hindostan, Hunter Killer, Johnny English Strikes Again,  Last Letter, and Mid90s are gone. 

 

Ralph Breaks the Internet - 94/33/7/4 (2D/3D/Dolby/Spanish) total 137 (debut)

Creed II - 95/5 (2D/Dolby) total 100 (debut)

Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald - 62/2/16/2/17 (2D/2D with D-BOX/3D/3D with D-BOX/IMAX) total 100 (down 54)

Dr. Seuss' The Grinch - 81/4 (2D/3D) total 85 (down 43)

Robin Hood - 57/2 (2D/2D with D-BOX) total 59 (debut)

Instant Family - 58 (down 3)

Widows - 57 (down 3)

Bohemian Rhapsody - 55 (down 12)

Green Book - 27 (up 19)

The Nutcracker and the Four Realms - 25 (down 32)

The Front Runner - 23 (up 16)

A Star is Born - 21 (down 19)

Boy Erased - 20 (up 6)

The Girl in the Spider's Web - 9 (down 47)

Overlord - 10 (down 49)

Venom - 8 (down 14)

Nobody's Fool - 7 (down 11)
Beautiful Boy - 6 (down 5)

A Private War - 4 (down 15)

Can You Ever Forgive Me? - 4 (down 14)

At Eternity's Gate - 5 (debut)

Halloween - 2 (down 6)

A Cool Fish Subbed - 1 (down 1)

Smallfoot - 1 (down 1)

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On 11/23/2018 at 9:07 AM, Impact said:

Well I think Mary Poppins will win December.

Also-neither Bumblebee or Aquaman are budging it seems which I think they could both easily kill each other (they basically are the same audience)

Nah, I think Bumblebee will easily lose out this Christmas. Literally has no buzz and marketing and both are important for a film like Bumblebee. I think Aquaman could do a Jumanji sort of run. I still am not sure about Mary Poppins winning this Christmas. The only musical that has made over 400 mil unadjusted is the Beauty and the Beast remake. I think both Aquaman and Mary Poppins will make more than 300 mil but it will be close between both.

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16 hours ago, lorddemaxus said:

Nah, I think Bumblebee will easily lose out this Christmas. Literally has no buzz and marketing and both are important for a film like Bumblebee. I think Aquaman could do a Jumanji sort of run. I still am not sure about Mary Poppins winning this Christmas. The only musical that has made over 400 mil unadjusted is the Beauty and the Beast remake. I think both Aquaman and Mary Poppins will make more than 300 mil but it will be close between both.

Well I've seen the trailer a lot for Bumblebee-I actually have yet to see a single ad for Aquaman. (Actually I have not seen one for Mary Poppins either-it probably was at my showing of the Incredibles 2, but I got tickets for the wrong day and missed all the trailers when I was exchanging them. Then again just because its the same studio does not always mean there is a trailer from that studio-heck at The Meg I didn't see a single trailer for a  WB film)

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November 30-December 2:

 

 

1. Ralph Breaks the Internet - 31.8 / 130.3

2. Creed 2 - 18.5 / 82.4

3. The Grinch - 16.1 / 203.3

4. Fantastic Beasts 2 - 13.0 / 137.6

5. Bohemian Rhapsody - 7.1 / 163.0

6. Instant Family - 6.4 / 45.8

7. Widows - 4.0 / 31.1

8. Robin Hood - 3.9 / 20.6

9. Green Book - 3.8 / 13.7

10. The Possession of Hannah Grace - 2.6

11. A Star is Born - 2.0 / 194.1

12. The Nutcracker - 1.3 / 51.3

 

 

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On 11/23/2018 at 10:57 PM, Blankments said:

Burn the Stage: The Movie, The Hate U Give, Thugs of Hindostan, Hunter Killer, Johnny English Strikes Again,  Last Letter, and Mid90s are gone. 

A Private War, Can You Ever Forgive Me?, Halloween, and Smallfoot are gone.

 

Ralph Breaks the Internet - 78/24/9/8/1 (2D/3D/Dolby/IMAX/Spanish) total 120 (down 17)

Creed II - 85/5/4 (2D/Dolby/IMAX) total 94 (down 6)

Dr. Seuss' The Grinch - 81 (down 4)
Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald - 56/2/10/2/5 (2D/2D wtih D-BOX/3D/3D with D-BOX/IMAX) total 75 (down 25)

Instant Family - 59 (up 1)

Bohemian Rhapsody - 55 (no change)

The Possession of Hannah Grace - 49/3 (2D/Spanish) total 52 (debut)

Robin Hood - 47/4 (2D/2D with D-BOX) total 51 (down 8)

Widows - 45 (down 12)

Green Book - 26 (down 1)

A Star is Born - 19 (down 2)

Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween - 18 (return)

The Nutcracker and the Four Realms - 15 (down 10)

The Front Runner - 13 (down 10)

Boy Erased - 10 (down 10)

2.0 Subbed 3D - 2/2/4 (Telugu/Tamil/Hindi) total 8 (debut)

The Favourite - 8 (debut)
Overlord - 7 (down 3)

Nobody's Fool - 4 (down 3)

Venom - 4 (down 4)

Elliot: The Littlest Reindeer - 3 (debut)

Unstoppable Subbed - 3 (debut)

Default Subbed - 2 (debut)

Beautiful Boy - 2 (down 4)

Dead in a Week - 2 (debut)
The Girl in the Spider's Web - 2 (down 7)
The Polar Express IMAX 3D - 2 (debut)

Philadelphia 25th Anniversary - 2 (debut)

At Eternity's Gate - 1 (down 4)

A Cool Fish Subbed - 1 (no change)

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