Weekend Prediction thread 4/19-4/21 Play the Derby

[dxmatrixdt]

the week after...

(-22%) - The Good Dinosaur - 18.28 - 107.61

(new) - In the Heart of the Sea - 17.15 - 17.15

(-39%) - Mockingjay - 2 - 13.67 - 250.48

(-29%) - Creed - 13.09 - 89.48

(-48%) - Krampus - 6.24 - 21.58

(-30%) - Spectre - 4.25 - 191.23

(-25%) - The Night Before - 3.36 - 35.52

(-26%) - The Peanuts Movie - 3.03 - 125.95

(-21%) - The Martian - 1.40 - 223.18

(-44%) - The Letters - 1.05 - 3.53

(-49%) - The Secret in their Eyes - 0.78 - 18.04

(-39%) - Love the Coopers - 0.70 - 23.63

(-21%) - Bridge of Spies - 0.55 - 69.44

(-78%) - Victor Frankenstein - 0.29 - 6.27

[Stringer Bell Theory]

Krampus-5m 

 

My money will be a part of that though.

[misafeco]

I don't see why is everyone predicting MJ2 a bigger 3rd weekend than MJ1's 3rd weekend.

[mahnamahna]

1 hour ago, misafeco said:

I don't see why is everyone predicting MJ2 a bigger 3rd weekend than MJ1's 3rd weekend.

Because it had a better 2nd weekend hold than MJ1. And also, it's made less than MJ1 so far, so a 50-55% drop isn't that unreasonable. 

 

$22.5 million would give MJ2 a 57-58% drop. Not that hard to achieve. 

[misafeco]

3 minutes ago, mahnamahna said:

Because it had a better 2nd weekend hold than MJ1. And also, it's made less than MJ1 so far, so a 50-55% drop isn't that unreasonable. 

 

$22.5 million would give MJ2 a 57-58% drop. Not that hard to achieve. 

Yeah i figured out that it should match MJ1's weekend but 25M will be hard. That's almost CF level.

[Blankments]

1. The Good Dinosaur - 18.8M
2. The Hunger Games: Mockingjay, Part 2 - 18.7M
3. Creed - 17.8M
4. Krampus - 9.8M
5. Spectre - 9.2M
6. The Peanuts Movie - 5.8M
7. The Night Before - 5.4M
8. Spotlight - 4.1M
9. Brooklyn - 3.0M
10. The Secret in Their Eyes - 2.3M
11. The Martian - 2.3M
12. Trumbo - 2.0M

[BourneFan #1]

On 11/30/2015, 4:30:01, mahnamahna said:

Because it had a better 2nd weekend hold than MJ1. And also, it's made less than MJ1 so far, so a 50-55% drop isn't that unreasonable. 

 

$22.5 million would give MJ2 a 57-58% drop. Not that hard to achieve. 

Did you forget about Kung Fu Panda 3 after the 2/19-2/21 weekend in your latest predictions?

[Maxmoser3]

I really hope 2015 makes it past 2013 this year. If not then blame studios for dumping shit.

[MovieMan89]

1. TGD: 22m

2. MJ2: 21.5m

3. Creed: 15.5m

4. Krampus: 6.5m

5. Spectre: 5m

6. Spotlight: 4.2m

7. Peanuts: 4m

8. The Night Before: 3.5m

9. Brooklyn: 3m

10. Secret in Their Eyes: 1.8m

11. The Martian: 1.5m

12. The Letters: 1.3m

 

 

[Blankments]

On 11/27/2015, 1:37:23, Blankments said:

The 33, Woodlawn, Goosebumps, Bridge of Spies, My All American, and Paranormal Activity: The Ghost Dimension are gone.

 

The Hunger Games: Mockingjay, Part 2 - 23 (down 1)

Creed - 15 (debut)

The Night Before - 15 (no change)

The Peanuts Movie - 15 (no change)

The Good Dinosaur - 8/5 (2D/3D) total 13 (debut)

Spectre - 11 (down 4)

Victor Frankenstein - 10 (debut)
The Secret In Their Eyes - 8 (down 2)

Love the Coopers - 7 (down 3)

Trumbo - 5 (debut)

The Martian is gone.

 

The Hunger Games: Mockingjay, Part 2 - 18 (down 5)

Krampus - 16 (debut)

Creed - 14 (down 1)

The Night Before - 14 (down 1)

The Peanuts Movie - 13 (down 2)
The Good Dinosaur - 9/3 (2D/3D) total 12 (down 1)
Spectre - 9 (down 2)

The Secret In Their Eyes - 8 (no change)

Trumbo - 6 (up 1)
Love the Coopers - 5 (down 2)

Victor Frankenstein - 2 (down 8)

[dxmatrixdt]

Final Predictions

 

(-58.1%) - Mockingjay - Part 2 - 21.78 - $5,330 avg - 230.34

(-48.8%) - The Good Dinosaur - 20.04 - $5,346 avg - 80.58

(-43.5%) - Creed - 16.73 - $4,886 avg - 66.38

(new) - Krampus - 12.66 - $4,363 avg - 12.66

(-49.8%) - Spectre - 6.47 - $2,278 avg - 185.57

(-39.5%) - The Night Before - 5.07 - $1,813 avg - 32.16

(-49.3%) - The Peanuts Movie - 4.94 - $1,695 avg - 122.89

(-27.7%) - Spotlight - 3.19 - $3,256 avg - 16.92

(-25.3%) - Brooklyn - 2.95 - $3,256 avg - 11.74

(-40.5%) - Secret in their Eyes - 2.63 - $1,224 avg - 17.95

 

(-52.2%) - The Martian - 1..54 - $1,349 avg - 220.75

(-50.2%) - Love the Coopers - 1.53 - $933 avg - 22.72

(new) - The Letters - 1.30 - $1,467 avg - 1.30

(-49.0%) - Victor Frankenstein - 1.26 - $450 avg - 5.63

(-48.3%) - Bridge of Spies - 0.713 - $1,330 avg - 68.61

(-57.8%) - Goosebumps - 0.313 - $724 avg - 78.33

(-65.4%) - The 33 - 0.194 - $639 avg - 11.68

(-15.5%) - Sicario - 0.125 - $1,328 avg - 46.25

 

(-47.5%) - Hotel Transylvania 2 - 0.180 - $725 avg - 167.39

(-45.9%) - Pan - 0.160 - $665 avg - 34.75

(-30.8%) - Maze Runner: Scorch Trials - 0.148 - $695 avg - 81.37

(-39.7%) - The Intern - 0.141 - $700 avg - 74.80

(-16.9%) - Minions - 0.108 - $570 avg - 335.97

(+36.9%) - The Last Witch Hunter - 0.089 - $520 avg - 27.09

 

[Maxmoser3]

Next weekend's projections for December 11-13 2015(opener only): In The Heart Of The Sea: 16 million.

[mahnamahna]

Updated below

Edited December 7, 2015 by mahnamahna

[bapi]

In the Heart of the Sea  -  12M

Legend  -  1.5M (honestly I don't know if it'll open nationwide after all)

_________________________________________________________________

 

Krampus  -55%

The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 2  -43%

Creed  -32%

[WrathOfHan]

Krampus: 9M

Mockingjay: 9M

Creed: 8.5M

The Good Dinosaur: 8.2M

In the Heart of the Sea: 7.5M

Legend: 4M

The Night Before: 3.2M

Spectre: 3M

Spotlight: 2.4M

Brooklyn: 2.2M

[Stringer Bell Theory]

In the Heart of the Sea-13.3m

Legend-1.1m

[Impact]

Well Alvin, Joy and The Revenant are apparently the most safe from Star Wars (not sure if TR even goes wide this year though). They say Point Break and Sisters are the most in danger meanwhile. (Surprised by Sisters being listed, even though I think it looks bad I would of thought that be a counter to it)

[WrathOfHan]

Just now, Impact said:

Well Alvin, Joy and The Revenant are apparently the most safe from Star Wars (not sure if TR even goes wide this year though). They say Point Break and Sisters are the most in danger meanwhile. (Surprised by Sisters being listed, even though I think it looks bad I would of thought that be a counter to it)

Revenant and Hateful Eight go wide January 8

[DAJK]

Woah, there are some low predicts for HOTS. I'm still hoping go high teens.

[mahnamahna]

12/11-12/13

1. Mockingjay Part 2: $15 million ($250 million) 
2. Creed: $14 million ($86 million)
3. The Good Dinosaur: $13.5 million ($93 million) 
4. In the Heart of the Sea: $13 million 
5. Krampus: $11 million ($33 million) 
6. The Night Before: $4.5 million ($39 million) 
7. Spectre: $4 million ($190 million) 
8. Spotlight: $3.5 million ($21 million)
9. Brooklyn: $3 million ($15 million)
10. The Peanuts Movie: $2.5 million ($124 million) 

12/18-12/20

1. Star Wars Episode VII: $304 million 
2. Sisters: $16 million 
3. Alvin and the Chipmunks 4: $13 million 
4. Creed: $8 million ($98 million) 
5. The Good Dinosaur: $6.5 million ($102 million) 
6. Mockingjay Part 2: $5 million ($258 million) 
7. Krampus: $3.5 million ($39 million) 
8. In the Heart of the Sea: $3 million ($18 million) 
9. Spotlight: $2.5 million ($25 million) 
10. The Night Before: $2 million ($42 million) 

12/25-12/27

1. Star Wars Episode VII: $160.5 million ($592 million)
2. Daddy's Home: $30.5 million 
3. Sisters: $18 million ($50 million)
4. Alvin and the Chipmunks 4: $16.5 million ($45 million) 
5. Joy: $13 million 
6. Concussion: $11 million 
7. Creed: $10 million ($117 million) 
8. The Good Dinosaur: $9 million ($119 million)
9. The Big Short: $6 million ($11 million) 
10. Mockingjay Part 2: $5.5 million ($269 million) 
11. Point Break: $4 million 
12. Spotlight: $3.5 million ($31 million) 
13. In the Heart of the Sea: $2.5 million ($23 million)

1/1-1/3

1. Star Wars Episode VII: $109 million ($819 million) 
2. Daddy's Home: $25 million ($86 million) 
3. Sisters: $14.5 million ($80 million) 
4. Alvin and the Chipmunks 4: $12 million ($73 million)
5. Joy: $11 million ($37 million)
6. Creed: $10.5 million ($138 million) 
7. Concussion: $8 million ($30 million) 
8. The Good Dinosaur: $7.5 million ($135 million)
9. The Big Short: $5 million ($22 million)
10. Mockingjay Part 2: $4.5 million ($279 million) 
11. Spotlight: $4 million ($39 million) 
12. Point Break: $2.5 million ($10 million) 
13. In the Heart of the Sea: $2 million ($28 million)

1/8-1/10

1. Star Wars Episode VII: $52 million ($902 million) 
2. The Hateful Eight: $37 million ($42 million) 
3. The Revenant: $22 million ($24 million) 
4. Daddy's Home: $13 million ($104 million) 
5. The Forest: $8 million 
6. Sisters: $7.5 million ($92 million)
7. Alvin and the Chipmunks 4: $6.5 million ($82 million) 
8. Creed: $6 million ($148 million)
9. Joy: $5 million ($45 million) 
10. The Good Dinosaur: $4 million ($140 million) 
11. Concussion: $3.5 million ($35 million) 
12. Spotlight: $3 million ($43 million) 

1/15-1/17

1. 13 Hours: $42.5 million/$53 million 
2. Star Wars Episode VII: $38 million/$46.5 million ($967 million)
3. Ride Along 2: $33 million/$39 million 
4. The Hateful Eight: $28 million/$33.5 million ($84 million)
5. The Revenant: $14 million/$17 million ($48 million)
6. Daddy's Home: $9.5 million/$12 million ($117 million)
7. The 5th Wave: $9 million/$11 million  
8. Norm of the North: $7 million/$9 million 
9. Spotlight: $5.5 million/$6.5 million ($51 million) 
10. Creed: $5 million/$6 million ($157 million) 
11. Sisters: $4 million/$5 million ($99 million)
12. Alvin and the Chipmunks 4: $3.5 million/$5 million ($87 million)

1/22-1/24

1. Star Wars Episode VII: $23.5 million ($1 billion)
2. 13 Hours: $20 million ($83 million)
3. The Hateful Eight: $16 million ($105 million) 
4. Ride Along 2: $15 million ($61 million)
5. Dirty Grandpa: $9.5 million 
6. The Revenant: $8.5 million ($59 million)
7. The Boy: $5.5 million 
8. Daddy's Home: $5 million ($123 million) 
9. Norm of the North: $4.5 million 
10. Spotlight: $4 million ($56 million) 
11. The 5th Wave: $3.5 million ($16 million) 
12. Creed: $3 million ($161 million)

1/29-1/31

1. Kung Fu Panda 3: $52 million 
2. The Finest Hours: $16.5 million 
3. Star Wars Episode VII: $16 million ($1.024 billion)
4. The Hateful Eight: $12 million ($123 million) 
5. 13 Hours: $10.5 million ($99 million) 
6. Fifty Shades of Black: $8 million 
7. Ride Along 2: $7 million ($72 million) 
8. The Revenant: $6.5 million ($69 million) 
9. Lights Out: $5.5 million 
10. Spotlight: $4.5 million ($62 million) 

 

1. Dirty Grandpa: $4 million ($16 million) 

 

Edited December 9, 2015 by mahnamahna