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Weekend Prediction thread (2/16-2/19) | Play the Derby

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I think Wonder and JL could be closer than we expect with JL leading 15-16 vs 14-15.

Edited by a2knet

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JL and Wonder could be interesting to watch.

Wonder has been outselling JL on Movietickets for roughly the last 36 hours  - currently 9.4% to 8.8%.

If Wonder holds a little better than expected and JL drops a little more than expected there could be a real battle for second.

The Last Jedi has been the top movie seller since Monday,  at one time it was up to 30%, it's come down to 24.7% and Coco has gone up a little to 17.5%.

 

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Spoiler

12/8-12/10

  1. Coco: $22.5 million ($139 million)
  2. Wonder: $13.5 million ($108 million) 
  3. Justice League: $10 million ($212 million) 
  4. Thor - Ragnorak: $7.5 million ($302 million) 
  5. Daddy's Home 2: $6.5 million ($92 million) 
  6. The Disaster Artist: $6 million ($7 million) 
  7. Murder on the Orient Express: $5.5 million ($94 million) 
  8. Three Billboards Outside Ebbings, Missouri: $4.5 million ($20 million) 
  9. Lady Bird: $4.25 million ($23 million) 
  10. The Star: $3.75 million ($32 million) 

12/15-12/17

  1. Star Wars Episode VIII - The Last Jedi: $225.5 million
  2. Ferdinand: $13.5 million 
  3. Coco: $12 million ($155 million) 
  4. Wonder: $8 million ($119 million) 
  5. Daddy's Home 2: $3.5 million ($97 million) 
  6. The Disaster Artist: $3.25 million ($12 million) 
  7. Justice League: $2.75 million ($216 million) 
  8. Thor - Ragnorak: $2.5 million ($306 million) 
  9. Murder on the Orient Express: $2.5 million ($98 million) 
  10. Three Billboards Outside Ebbings, Missouri: $2.5 million ($24 million) 
  11. Lady Bird: $2.5 million ($26 million) 
  12. The Star: $2 million ($34 million) 

12/22-12/25

  1. Star Wars Episode VIII - The Last Jedi: $114 million/$165 million ($504 million) 
  2. Pitch Perfect 3: $27 million/$39 million
  3. Jumanji - Welcome to the Jungle: $22.5 million/$37 million ($54 million) 
  4. The Greatest Showman: $15.5 million/$23 million ($35 million)
  5. Ferdinand: $14.5 million/$20 million ($48 million) 
  6. Coco: $13.5 million/$18.5 million ($187 million) 
  7. Wonder: $10.5 million/$14.5 million ($145 million) 
  8. The Disaster Artist: $6.25 million/$8.5 million ($22 million) 
  9. Downsizing: $6 million/$7.5 million
  10. Father Figures: $4.5 million/$5.5 million 
  11. Three Billboards Outside Ebbings, Missouri: $3.75 million/$5 million ($32 million) 
  12. Lady Bird: $3.5 million/$5 million ($34 million) 
  13. Daddy's Home 2: $3 million/$4.5 million ($105 million) 
  14. Murder on the Orient Express: $1.5 million/$2.25 million ($102 million) 
  15. Justice League: $1.5 million/$2.25 million ($220 million) 

12/29-1/1

  1. Star Wars Episode VIII - The Last Jedi: $68 million/$104 million ($676 million) 
  2. Jumanji - Welcome to the Jungle: $26 million/$37.5 million ($118 million) 
  3. Pitch Perfect 3: $19 million/$26 million ($72 million) 
  4. The Greatest Showman: $16.5 million/$22.5 million ($73 million) 
  5. Ferdinand: $16 million/$20.5 million ($84 million) 
  6. Coco: $15.5 million/$20 million ($222 million) 
  7. Wonder: $13 million/$17 million ($175 million) 
  8. The Disaster Artist: $5.5 million/$7 million ($34 million) 
  9. Three Billboards Outside Ebbings, Missouri: $4.5 million/$6 million ($42 million) 
  10. Lady Bird: $4.5 million/$6 million ($45 million) 
  11. Downsizing: $4 million/$5 million ($16 million) 
  12. Father Figures: $3 million/$3.75 million ($12 million) 
  13. Daddy's Home 2: $1.5 million/$2 million ($108 million) 
  14. Murder on the Orient Express: $1 million/$1.5 million ($105 million) 
  15. Justice League: $1 million/$1.5 million ($223 million) 

 

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4 hours ago, mahnamahna said:
  Reveal hidden contents

 

Am I reading this right? You're predicting a $51M Christmas day for TLJ?

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1 minute ago, JB33 said:

Am I reading this right? You're predicting a $51M Christmas day for TLJ?

Is That weekend a 4 day weekend this year?

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18 minutes ago, the beast said:

Is That weekend a 4 day weekend this year?

Yep. Christmas is Monday so I guess the 22-26 Is a 4 day weekend. That's still a huge Christmas Day though. Would be cool to see.

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12/8-12/10

  1. Coco: $20 million ($137.6 million)
  2. Wonder: $11.5 million ($105.5 million)
  3. Justice League: $9 million ($210.5 million)
  4. Thor: Ragnarok: $6.2 million ($300 million)
  5. Daddy's Home 2: $5.3 million ($90.5 million)

12/15-12/17

  1. Star Wars: The Last Jedi: $235 million
  2. Ferdinand: $23 million
  3. Coco: $12 million ($154 million)
  4. Wonder: $8.5 million ($118 million)
  5. Daddy's Home 2: $3.2 million ($96.2 million)

12/22-12/25

  1. Star Wars: The Last Jedi: $130 million/$175 million ($540 million)
  2. Jumanji: Welcome To The Jungle: $35 million/$50 million
  3. Ferdinand: $27.6 million/$34.6 million ($72.6 million)
  4. Pitch Perfect 3: $23 million/$38 million
  5. Coco: $10 million/$15 million ($184 million)

12/29-1/1

  1. Star Wars: The Last Jedi: $65 million/$90 million ($700 million)
  2. Jumanji: Welcome To The Jungle: $38 million/$49 million ($125 million)
  3. Ferdinand: $30 million/$35 million ($123.6 million
  4. Pitch Perfect 3: $20 million/$30 million ($78 million)
  5. Coco: $14.5 million/$20 million ($219 million)

 

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Coco: 17M

The Disaster Artist: 13M

Wonder: 8.3M

Justice League: 8.1M

Thor: Ragnarok: 5.8M

Daddy's Home 2: 4.8M

Lady Bird: 4.2M

Murder on the Orient Express: 4M

Three Billboards: 3.9M

Just Getting Started: 3M

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  1. Coco - 17.5M
  2. The Disaster Artist - 14.2M
  3. Wonder - 9.75M
  4. Justice League - 8.62M
  5. Thor: Ragnarok - 6.76M
  6. Lady Bird - 5.36M
  7. Daddy's Home 2 - 4.88M
  8. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri - 4.71M
  9. Murder on the Orient Express - 3.89M
  10. Just Getting Started - 3.1M
  11. The Star - 2.72M
  12. A Bad Moms Christmas - 2.67M
  13. Roman J. Israel, Esq. - 909k

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Hope Coco can do 18m (-31%). 17m (-35%) seems very likely.

Moana, Frozen and Tangled fell -34.4%, -28.6%, -33.7% in their 3rd weekends.

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48 minutes ago, filmlover said:

The Disaster Artist: $6M

Just Getting Started: $3M

Even though the theatre count will be under 2000, that would be pretty bad for JUST GETTING STARTED.

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6 hours ago, JB33 said:

Even though the theatre count will be under 2000, that would be pretty bad for JUST GETTING STARTED.

Its studio is in shambles, marketing is nowhere, and I'm guessing reviews will be pretty bad too. It's a total dud waiting to happen.

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(-28.4%) - Coco - 18.707 - 134.134 total

(-39.7%) - Justice League - 10.000 - 211.54 total

(-30%) - Wonder - 8.75 - 100.232 total

(-33.3%) - Thor - 6.44 - 300.386 total

(-28.3%) - DH2 - 5.38 - 90.000 total

(-35.5%) - Murder - 4.32 - 91.333 total

 

no change - Lady Bird - 4.54 - 23.81 total

no change - 3 Billboards - 4.53 - 20.000 total

 

(-30%) - The Star - 2.80 - 30.80 total

(-33.33%) - BM2 - 2.32 - 68.32 total

(-27.75%) - Roman - 1.445 - 11.70 total

(-31.87%) - XMAS - 587,955 - 4,000,000 total

(-33.333%) - Jigsaw - 146,667 - 37,820,497 total

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next two weekends

 

8th - 10th December 2017

 

1. Coco $17.8/$136

2. The Disaster Artist $12/$14

3. Wonder $7.8/$100

4. Justice League $7.5/$209

5. Thor: Ragnarok $6/$300.5

6. Daddy's Home 2 $4.5/$90

7. Murder on the Orient Express $3.7/$89.5

8. Lady Bird $3.3/$22.5 

9. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri $3/$17.5

10. A Bad Moms Christmas $2.5/$69

 

The Shape of Water $1.88/$2.1

Darkest Hour $550,000

I, Tonya $240,000

 

15th - 17th December 2017

 

1. Star Wars: The Last Jedi $220

2. Ferdinand $18.5

3. Coco $8.9/$150

4. The Disaster Artist $8.4/$27

5. Wonder $4.3/$107

6. Justice League $3/$214

7. Thor: Ragnarok $2.7/$305

8. Lady Bird $2.5/$26.5

9. Daddy's Home 2 $2.3/$93.5

10. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri $2.1/$21

 

Spoiler

and 8 more...

 

22nd - 24th December 2017

 

1. Star Wars: The Last Jedi $110/$385

2. Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle $36/$50

3. Pitch Perfect 3 $35

4. Ferdinand $11.1/$36

5. The Greatest Showman $11/$14.5

6. Downsizing $10.5

7. All The Money In The World $7.5

8. The Disaster Artist $5.9/$36.5

9. Coco $5.5/$159

10. Father Figures $5.3

 

The Post $350,000 (4)/$1.2 (20)

 

29th - 31st December 2017

 

1. Star Wars: The Last Jedi $65/$513

2. Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle $21.6/$87

3. Pitch Perfect 3 $20.3/$67.5

4. The Greatest Showman $7.7/$30

5. Ferdinand $7.2/$48

6. Downsizing $6.8/$21.3

7. All The Money In The World $4.5/$15

8. The Disaster Artist $4.1/$43.3

9. Coco $3.6/$165

10. Father Figures $2.9/$10.3

 

Molly's Game $180,000 (4)/$600,000 (20)

Phantom Thread $320,000 (4)/$1.2 (20)

Film Stars Don't Die In Liverpool $120,000 (4)/$400,000 (20)

 

5th - 7th January 2018

 

1. Star Wars: The Last Jedi $39/$575

2. Insidious: The Last Key $21.3

3. Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle $13/$107

4. Pitch Perfect 3 $12.6/$87.5

5. The Greatest Showman $5.4/$39

6. Ferdinand $4.2/$56

7. Downsizing $4.1/$28

8. All The Money In The World $3/$20

9. The Disaster Artist $2.9/$48.3

10. Coco $2.5/$169.5

 

12th - 14th January 2018

 

1. Star Wars: The Last Jedi $20.3/$607.5

2. Paddington 2 $20

3. The Post $18.5

4. Proud Mary $16.5

5. The Commuter $12.1

6. Insidious: The Last Key $8.5/$35

7. Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle $7.8/$119.5

8. Pitch Perfect 3 $7.4/$99.3

9. Condorito: La Pelicula $4

10. The Greatest Showman $3.5

 

19th - 21st January 2018

 

1. Star Wars: The Last Jedi $11.2/$625

2. The Post $11.1/$36

3. Paddington 2 $11/$37.5

4. 12 Strong $10.5

5. Proud Mary $8.3/$30

6. Den of Thieves $7

7. The Commuter $6/$22

8. Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle $4.4/$126.5

9. Insidious: The Last Key $4.3/$42

10. Pitch Perfect 3 $4.1/$106

 

26th - 28th January 2018

 

1. Maze Runner: The Death Cure $25

2. The Post $7/$47

3. Star Wars: The Last Jedi $6.7/$635.5

4. Paddington 2 $6.1/$47.5

5. 12 Strong $5/$18.5

6. Proud Mary $4.9/$38

7. Den of Thieves $3/$12

8. The Commuter $2.8/$26.8

9. Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle $2.5/$131

10. Pitch Perfect 3 $2.3/$110

 

2nd - 4th February 2018

 

1. 2018 Cloverfield Movie $23.5

2. Maze Runner: The Death Cure $10.3/$41

3. Winchester: The House that Ghosts Built $9.5

4. The Post $4.2/$54

5. Star Wars: The Last Jedi $4/$642

6. Paddington 2 $3.4/$53

7. Proud Mary $2.8/$43

8. 12 Strong $2.5/$16.3

9. Den of Thieves $1.5/$14.5

10. The Commuter $1.4/$29.5

 

9th - 11th February 2018

 

1. Fifty Shades Freed $37.5

2. Peter Rabbit $20

3. 2018 Cloverfield Movie $10.6/$40

4. Maze Runner: The Death Cure $5.2/$49.5

5. Winchester: The House that Ghosts Built $4.3/$16.5

6. The Post $2.4/$58

7. Star Wars: The Last Jedi $2.2/$646

8. Paddington 2 $2/$56.3

9. Proud Mary $1.8/$46

10. 12 Strong $1.3/$18.5

 

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