Weekend Prediction thread 4/19-4/21 Play the Derby

[Krissykins]

1. Shazam $52,000,000

2. Pet Sematary $24,000,000

[cdsacken]

Shazam 55+ hoping for 70. Depends on Thursday actuals. Ugh

Pet Sematary 28 million

US: 19 million

CM: 11.9 million

Edited April 4, 2019 by cdsacken

[Blankments]

On 3/29/2019 at 1:17 PM, Blankments said:

Nancy Drew and the Hidden Staircase, Apollo 11, Badla, Greta, Giant Little Ones, Happy Death Day 2U, The Upside, Cliffs of Freedom, Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse and Stan and Ollie are gone.

Kesari, The Hummingbird Project, Green Book, Fighting With My Family, Junglee, Captive State, Sunset, Cruel Intentions, Isn't It Romantic and More Than Blue are gone.

 

Shazam! - 68/2/33/2/4/17 (2D/2D with D-BOX/3D/3D with D-BOX/Dolby/IMAX) total 125 (debut)

Dumbo - 84/37 (2D/3D) total 120 (down 46)

Pet Sematary - 100/4/9 (2D/2D with D-BOX/Dolby) total 113 (debut)

Us - 81 (down 55)

Captain Marvel - 60/7 (2D/3D) total 67 (down 41)

Wonder Park - 44 (down 23)

The Best of Enemies - 41 (debut)

Five Feet Apart - 31 (down 22)

Hotel Mumbai - 31 (down 1)

Unplanned - 19 (up 5)

How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World - 16 (down 18)

The Mustang - 15 (up 3)

No Manches Frida 2 Subbed - 14 (down 11)

The Public - 13 (debut)

The Beach Bum - 12 (down 27)

Tyler Perry's A Madea Family Funeral - 9 (down 9)

Gloria Bell - 7 (down 14)

P Storm Subbed - 5 (debut)

Storm Boy - 5 (debut)

Chaal Jeevi Laiye Subbed - 4 (up 1)

The LEGO Movie 2: The Second Part - 4 (down 2)

Romeo Akbar Walter - 4 (debut)

They Shall Not Grow Old - 4 (return)

The Aftermath - 2 (down 3)

Alita: Battle Angel - 2 (down 7)

Ash is Purest White Subbed - 2 (debut)

Money Subbed - 2 (down 2)

[mahnamahna]

Spoiler

4/12-4/14

1. Shazam!: $29 million ($95 million) 
2. Little: $18 million 
3. Hellboy: $17.5 million
4. Missing Link: $10 million 
5. Captain Marvel: $9.5 million ($388 million) 
6. Dumbo: $9 million ($88 million) 
7. Pet Sematary: $8.5 million ($37 million) 
8. Us: $8 million ($164 million) 
9. The Best of Enemies: $3.5 million ($10 million) 
10. Five Feet Apart: $2.5 million ($45 million)

4/19-4/21

1. The Curse of La Llorona: $25 million 
2. Shazam!: $20.5 million ($126 million) 
3. Breakthrough: $13 million ($21 million) 
4. Little: $12 million ($36 million) 
5. Captain Marvel: $8 million ($400 million) 
6. Hellboy: $7 million ($28 million) 
7. Missing Link: $6.5 million ($19 million) 
8. Penguins: $6 million ($8 million) 
9. Dumbo: $5 million ($95 million) 
10. Us: $4.5 million ($171 million) 

4/26-4/28

1. Avengers - Endgame: $309 million
2. Captain Marvel: $7.5 million ($411 million) 
3. Shazam!: $7 million ($138 million) 
4. Breakthrough: $7 million ($31 million) 
5. The Curse of La Llorona: $6.5 million ($36 million) 
6. Little: $6 million ($46 million) 
7. Missing Link: $3 million ($23 million) 
8. Penguins: $2.5 million ($12 million) 
9. Dumbo: $2.5 million ($98 million) 
10. Hellboy: $2 million ($32 million) 

5/3-5/5

1. Avengers - Endgame: $138.5 million ($537 million) 
2. Long Shot: $24.5 million 
3. The Intruder: $13 million 
4. Captain Marvel: $7 million ($422 million) 
5. Shazam!: $6 million ($147 million) 
6. Uglydolls: $5.5 million 
7. Breakthrough: $5 million ($38 million) 
8. The Curse of La Llorona: $4 million ($42 million) 
9. Little: $3.5 million ($51 million) 
10. El Chicano: $2.25 million 

5/10-5/12

1. Detective Pikachu: $86 million
2. Avengers - Endgame: $71 million ($646 million) 
3. Long Shot: $15 million ($47 million) 
4. Poms: $13 million 
5. The Hustle: $8 million 
6. Captain Marvel: $5.5 million ($430 million) 
7. The Intruder: $5 million ($21 million) 
8. Shazam!: $4.5 million ($153 million) 
9. Breakthrough: $3.5 million ($43 million) 
10. Little: $2.5 million ($54 million) 

5/17-5/19

1. Detective Pikachu: $41.5 million ($144 million) 
2. Avengers - Endgame: $39 million ($705 million) 
3. John Wick - Parabellium: $36.5 million
4. Long Shot: $10 million ($62 million) 
5. Poms: $9.5 million ($27 million) 
6. The Sun is Also a Star: $9 million
7. A Dog's Journey: $8 million 
8. Captain Marvel: $4 million ($436 million) 
9. The Hustle: $4 million ($14 million) 
10. Shazam!: $2.75 million ($157 million) 

5/24-5/27

1. Aladdin: $55 million/$71.5 million 
2. Avengers - Endgame: $26 million/$33 million ($751 million) 
3. Detective Pikachu: $24.5 million/$30.5 million ($184 million) 
4. John Wick - Parabellium: $22 million/$26.5 million ($74 million) 
5. Brightburn: $14 million/$16.5 million 
6. Long Shot: $8 million/$10 million ($76 million) 
7. Poms: $7.5 million/$9 million ($39 million) 
8. The Sun is Also a Star: $7 million/$8.25 million ($20 million) 
9. A Dog's Journey: $6.5 million/$8.25 million ($18 million) 
10. Captain Marvel: $3 million/$4 million ($441 million) 

 

 

[boxofficeth]

Love your long term prediction as always.

 

Little, hopefully, will surprise as knock Hellboy down for the latter's unfortunate release date. If reviews are good, Little could aim for a 'little' higher. I root for 20+ range.

[filmlover]

Little actually looks funny. "We got a BMW situation: Black Mama Whoopin." 

 

Little: $21M

Missing Link: $12M

Hellboy: $10M

After: $6M

[XXR vs XXR]

4 hours ago, mahnamahna said:

  Reveal hidden contents

4/12-4/14

1. Shazam!: $29 million ($95 million) 
2. Little: $18 million 
3. Hellboy: $17.5 million
4. Missing Link: $10 million 
5. Captain Marvel: $9.5 million ($388 million) 
6. Dumbo: $9 million ($88 million) 
7. Pet Sematary: $8.5 million ($37 million) 
8. Us: $8 million ($164 million) 
9. The Best of Enemies: $3.5 million ($10 million) 
10. Five Feet Apart: $2.5 million ($45 million)

4/19-4/21

1. The Curse of La Llorona: $25 million 
2. Shazam!: $20.5 million ($126 million) 
3. Breakthrough: $13 million ($21 million) 
4. Little: $12 million ($36 million) 
5. Captain Marvel: $8 million ($400 million) 
6. Hellboy: $7 million ($28 million) 
7. Missing Link: $6.5 million ($19 million) 
8. Penguins: $6 million ($8 million) 
9. Dumbo: $5 million ($95 million) 
10. Us: $4.5 million ($171 million) 

4/26-4/28

1. Avengers - Endgame: $309 million
2. Captain Marvel: $7.5 million ($411 million) 
3. Shazam!: $7 million ($138 million) 
4. Breakthrough: $7 million ($31 million) 
5. The Curse of La Llorona: $6.5 million ($36 million) 
6. Little: $6 million ($46 million) 
7. Missing Link: $3 million ($23 million) 
8. Penguins: $2.5 million ($12 million) 
9. Dumbo: $2.5 million ($98 million) 
10. Hellboy: $2 million ($32 million) 

5/3-5/5

1. Avengers - Endgame: $138.5 million ($537 million) 
2. Long Shot: $24.5 million 
3. The Intruder: $13 million 
4. Captain Marvel: $7 million ($422 million) 
5. Shazam!: $6 million ($147 million) 
6. Uglydolls: $5.5 million 
7. Breakthrough: $5 million ($38 million) 
8. The Curse of La Llorona: $4 million ($42 million) 
9. Little: $3.5 million ($51 million) 
10. El Chicano: $2.25 million 

5/10-5/12

1. Detective Pikachu: $86 million
2. Avengers - Endgame: $71 million ($646 million) 
3. Long Shot: $15 million ($47 million) 
4. Poms: $13 million 
5. The Hustle: $8 million 
6. Captain Marvel: $5.5 million ($430 million) 
7. The Intruder: $5 million ($21 million) 
8. Shazam!: $4.5 million ($153 million) 
9. Breakthrough: $3.5 million ($43 million) 
10. Little: $2.5 million ($54 million) 

5/17-5/19

1. Detective Pikachu: $41.5 million ($144 million) 
2. Avengers - Endgame: $39 million ($705 million) 
3. John Wick - Parabellium: $36.5 million
4. Long Shot: $10 million ($62 million) 
5. Poms: $9.5 million ($27 million) 
6. The Sun is Also a Star: $9 million
7. A Dog's Journey: $8 million 
8. Captain Marvel: $4 million ($436 million) 
9. The Hustle: $4 million ($14 million) 
10. Shazam!: $2.75 million ($157 million) 

5/24-5/27

1. Aladdin: $55 million/$71.5 million 
2. Avengers - Endgame: $26 million/$33 million ($751 million) 
3. Detective Pikachu: $24.5 million/$30.5 million ($184 million) 
4. John Wick - Parabellium: $22 million/$26.5 million ($74 million) 
5. Brightburn: $14 million/$16.5 million 
6. Long Shot: $8 million/$10 million ($76 million) 
7. Poms: $7.5 million/$9 million ($39 million) 
8. The Sun is Also a Star: $7 million/$8.25 million ($20 million) 
9. A Dog's Journey: $6.5 million/$8.25 million ($18 million) 
10. Captain Marvel: $3 million/$4 million ($441 million) 

 

 

I'm not sure how realistic some of these drops are. Shazam dropping less than 30% in its 3rd weekend, Captain Marvel only dropping 7% from its 8th to 9th weekend.

Can't see those numbers happening.

 

Definitely hope your Endgame numbers are close to correct though  

[Maxmoser3]

Little: $15 million

Hellboy: $13 million

Missing Link: $8 million

After: $5 million 

[tawasal]

7 hours ago, VenomXXR said:

I'm not sure how realistic some of these drops are. Shazam dropping less than 30% in its 3rd weekend, Captain Marvel only dropping 7% from its 8th to 9th weekend.

Can't see those numbers happening.

 

Definitely hope your Endgame numbers are close to correct though  

They must be jokes those CM drops. I loved the heck out of that movie, but that's just insane drops for a sane person to predict.

[cdsacken]

CM if it does absolutely damn perfect is gonna do 425.

 

410+ feels really good right now.

[stripe]

On 4/7/2019 at 3:48 AM, tawasal said:

They must be jokes those CM drops. I loved the heck out of that movie, but that's just insane drops for a sane person to predict.

 

It's just what happened to BP when IW opened.

 

Weekend before IW: -14%

IW OW: -4%

 

CM will benefit from EG opening for sure. Question is, how much

[stripe]

Shazam! - 27M

Little - 19M

Hellboy - 16M

Missing Link - 13M

PS - 11M

Dumbo - 10.5M

CM - 9M

Us - 7.5M

After - 4M

Unplanned / Best of Enemies - 2M

 

Top 10 - 119M

 

 

[Krissykins]

On 4/2/2019 at 11:13 AM, Krissykins said:

1. Shazam $52,000,000

2. Pet Sematary $24,000,000

Hey I did ok with these predictions last week!  

 

Little $20m

Hellboy $13m

After $6m

Missing Link $6m

[cdsacken]

On 4/8/2019 at 1:26 PM, stripe said:

Shazam! - 27M

Little - 19M

Hellboy - 16M

Missing Link - 13M

PS - 11M

Dumbo - 10.5M

CM - 9M

Us - 7.5M

After - 4M

Unplanned / Best of Enemies - 2M

 

Top 10 - 119M

 

 

I like this except Dumbo. It fell 83% yesterday. Even for big falls that's atrocious. It dropped just over 60% last week, a 50% drop for next week would be generous at 9.1 million. Bold predictions, I like it!

Edited April 10, 2019 by cdsacken

[Blankments]

On 4/3/2019 at 8:34 PM, Blankments said:

Kesari, The Hummingbird Project, Green Book, Fighting With My Family, Junglee, Captive State, Sunset, Cruel Intentions, Isn't It Romantic and More Than Blue are gone.

The Beach Bum, P Storm, Storm Boy, Chaal Jeevi Laiye, The LEGO Movie 2: The Second Part, Romeo Akbar Walter, The Aftermath, Alita: Battle Angel, Ash is Purest White and Money are gone.

 

Shazam! - 79/12/4/2/8 (2D/3D/3D with D-BOX/Dolby/IMAX) total 106 (down 19)

Pet Sematary - 94/4 (2D/2D with D-BOX) total 98 (down 15)

Hellboy - 52/13/8 (2D/Dolby/IMAX) total 73 (debut)

Missing Link - 48/19/3 (2D/3D/Dolby) total 70 (debut)

Dumbo - 63 (down 57)

Little - 60 (debut)

After - 53 (debut)

Us - 53 (down 28)

Captain Marvel - 48/3 (2D/3D) total 51 (down 16)

The Best of Enemies - 39 (down 3)

Mia and the White Lion - 19 (debut)

Wonder Park - 19 (down 25)

Five Feet Apart - 18 (down 13)

Hotel Mumbai - 16 (down 15)

Unplanned - 12 (down 7)

The Mustang - 11 (down 4)

High Life - 8 (debut)

No Manches Frida 2 Subbed - 8 (down 6)

Amazing Grace - 5 (debut)

Master Z: Ip Man Legacy Subbed - 5 (debut)

Gloria Bell - 4 (down 3)

Lucifer Subbed - 4 (debut)

Peterloo - 4 (debut)

They Shall Not Grow Old - 4 (no change)

How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World - 3 (down 13)

Tyler Perry's A Madea Family Funeral - 3 (down 6)

Crypto - 2 (debut)

The Public - 2 (down 12

[mahnamahna]

Spoiler

4/19-4/21

1. The Curse of La Llorona: $26 million
2. Shazam!: $17.5 million ($120 million) 
3. Breakthrough: $14 million ($22 million)
4. Little: $10.5 million ($31 million)
5. Captain Marvel: $7 million ($397 million) 
6. Penguins: $6.5 million ($8 million)
7. Dumbo: $6 million ($98 million)
8. Hellboy: $4.5 million ($19 million) 
9. Pet Sematary: $4.5 million ($47 million) 
10. After: $4 million ($13 million) 

4/26-4/28

1. Avengers - Endgame: $309.5 million
2. Captain Marvel: $8 million ($409 million) 
3. The Curse of La Llorona: $7.5 million ($39 million) 
4. Breakthrough: $7 million ($33 million) 
5. Shazam!: $6.5 million ($131 million) 
6. Little: $5 million ($39 million) 
7. Penguins: $3 million ($13 million) 
8. Dumbo: $3 million ($102 million) 
9. Pet Sematary: $2 million ($50 million) 
10. Hellboy: $2 million ($22 million) 

5/3-5/5

1. Avengers - Endgame: $138 million ($528 million) 
2. Long Shot: $24 million 
3. The Intruder: $12 million 
4. Captain Marvel: $7 million ($420 million) 
5. Uglydolls: $6.5 million 
6. Breakthrough: $5 million ($40 million) 
7. Shazam!: $5 million ($139 million) 
8. The Curse of La Llorona: $4 million ($45 million) 
9. Little: $3.5 million ($44 million) 
10. Dumbo: $2 million ($104 million) 

5/10-5/12

1. Detective Pikachu: $89 million
2. Avengers - Endgame: $71.5 million ($639 million) 
3. Long Shot: $14.5 million ($45 million) 
4. Poms: $13 million 
5. The Hustle: $9 million 
6. Captain Marvel: $6 million ($429 million) 
7. Shazam!: $4 million ($145 million) 
8. Uglydolls: $4 million ($12 million) 
9. Breakthrough: $3.5 million ($45 million) 
10. Little: $2.5 million ($48 million) 

5/17-5/19

1. Detective Pikachu: $42 million ($147 million) 
2. Avengers - Endgame: $40 million ($699 million) 
3. John Wick - Parabellum: $37 million 
4. A Dog's Journey: $10.5 million 
5. The Sun is Also a Star: $10 million
6. Poms: $9 million ($26 million) 
7. Long Shot: $8.5 million ($58 million) 
8. The Hustle: $5 million ($16 million) 
9. Captain Marvel: $4.5 million ($436 million) 
10. Shazam!: $3 million ($149 million) 

5/24-5/27

1. Aladdin: $58 million/$75 million
2. Avengers - Endgame: $26.5 million/$33 million ($745 million) 
3. Detective Pikachu: $25.5 million/$32 million ($188 million) 
4. John Wick - Parabellum: $22.5 million/$26.5 million ($75 million) 
5. Brightburn: $14 million/$16.5 million 
6. A Dog's Journey: $7 million/$8.75 million ($21 million)
7. Poms: $6.5 million/$7.75 million ($37 million)
8. The Sun is Also a Star: $6 million/$7.25 million ($20 million)
9. Long Shot: $5 million/$6 million ($66 million)
10. Captain Marvel: $3.5 million/$4.5 million ($442 million) 

5/31-6/2

1. Godzilla - King of the Monsters: $44.5 million 
2. Ma: $33.5 million
3. Rocketman: $31.5 million
4. Aladdin: $23 million ($106 million) 
5. Avengers - Endgame: $12 million ($763 million) 
6. Detective Pikachu: $11 million ($203 million) 
7. John Wick - Parabellum: $9.5 million ($89 million) 
8. Brighburn: $5 million ($24 million) 
9. A Dog's Journey:: $4 million ($26 million) 
10. Poms: $4 million ($43 million) 

 

[filmlover]

The Curse of La Llorona: $24M

Breakthrough: $16M (5-day)

Penguins: $10M (5-day)

[Krissykins]

On 4/10/2019 at 1:44 PM, Krissykins said:

Hey I did ok with these predictions last week!  

 

Little $20m

Hellboy $13m

After $6m

Missing Link $6m

Aside from Little, I did ok again this week lol. 

 

Curse of La Llorona $17,500,000

Breakthrough $13,000,000 (3 day)

Penguins $4,500,000 (3 day)

[Blankments]

On 4/10/2019 at 11:42 AM, Blankments said:

The Beach Bum, P Storm, Storm Boy, Chaal Jeevi Laiye, The LEGO Movie 2: The Second Part, Romeo Akbar Walter, The Aftermath, Alita: Battle Angel, Ash is Purest White and Money are gone.

Mia and the White Lion, Master Z: Ip Man Legacy, Gloria Bell, Tyler Perry's A Madea Family Funeral, Crypto and The Public are gone.

 

The Curse of La Llorona - 67/4/20/14 (2D/2D with D-BOX/Dolby/IMAX) total 105 (debut)

Penguins - 54/7 (2D/IMAX) total 61 (debut)

Shazam! - 53/2/3/2 (2D/2D with D-BOX/3D/3D with D-BOX) total 60 (down 46)

Breakthrough - 53/3 (2D/Spanish) total 56 (debut)

Hellboy - 56 (down 17)

Little - 56 (down 4)

Pet Sematary - 53 (down 45)

Dumbo - 52 (down 11)

Captain Marvel - 49/2 (2D/3D) total 51 (no change)

Missing Link - 47/3 (2D/3D) total 50 (down 20)

After - 42 (down 11)

Us - 39 (down 14)

Stuck - 15 (debut)

Teen Spirit - 15 (debut)

Revival! - 14 (debut)

Hotel Mumbai - 13 (down 3)

Kalank Subbed - 12 (debut)

Wonder Park - 12 (down 7)

Amazing Grace - 11 (up 6)

Five Feet Apart - 11 (down 7)

How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World - 11 (up 8)

The Best of Enemies - 10 (down 29)

No Manches Frida 2 Subbed - 6 (down 2)

High Life - 5 (down 3)

Peterloo - 4 (no change)

They Shall Not Grow Old - 4 (no change)

Lucifer Subbed - 3 (down 1)

Unplanned - 3 (down 9)

The Mustang - 2 (down 9)

[Maxmoser3]

La Llorna: $15 million

Breakthrough: $13.5 million

Penguins: $4 million