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Weekend Prediction thread 4/19-4/21 Play the Derby

By Impact, in Box Office Derby

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the beast Sleeper Hit

the beast

Posted
Posted (edited)

Final Guesses For Weekend:

  1.  Annabelle - 45m
  2.  Dunkirk - 12.1m
  3.  Nut Job 2: Nutty By Nature - 8m
  4.  Girls Trip - 7.9m
  5.  The Dark Tower - 7.5m
  6.  The Emoji Movie - 6.3m
  7.  Spider-man: Homecoming - 6.2m
  8.  Kidnap - 5m
  9.  The Glass Castle -  4.7m
  10.  Detroit - 4m

  ......

  15. Wonder Woman - 1.67m

 

Edited by the beast
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Blankments Global Phenomenon

Blankments

Posted
Posted
  1. Annabelle: Creation - 33.4M
  2. The Nut Job 2: Nutty by Nature - 15.0M
  3. Dunkirk - 12.7M
  4. The Dark Tower - 8.8M
  5. Girls Trip - 7.2M
  6. The Glass Castle - 6.4M
  7. Spider-Man: Homecoming - 5.9M
  8. The Emoji Movie - 5.9M
  9. Kidnap - 4.9M
  10. Despicable Me 3 - 4.1M
  11. War for the Planet of the Apes - 3.6M
  12. Atomic Blonde - 3.3M

Detroit - 3.0M

Wonder Woman - 1.8M

Baby Driver - 1.7M

The Big Sick - 1.6M

An Inconvenient Sequel: Truth to Power - 1.5M

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the beast Sleeper Hit

the beast

Posted
Posted

18th - 20th August:

  1. The Hitman's Bodyguard - 32M
  2. Annabelle: Creation - 22M 
  3. Logan Lucky - 20M
  4. Dunkirk - 8.6M 
  5. Girls Trip - 5.5M

25th - 27th August

  1. The Hitman's Bodyguard - 22.4M 
  2. Logan Lucky - 11.8M 
  3. Annabelle: Creation - 11.6M 
  4. Dunkirk - 6.3M 
  5. Girls Trip - 4M

1st - 3rd September

  1. The Hitman's Bodyguard - 18.2M / 22.1M
  2. Logan Lucky - 9.4M / 11.5M
  3. Annabelle: Creation - 7.5M / 10.3M
  4. Dunkirk - 5.7M / 7.2M
  5. Girls Trip - 3.8M / 4.8M

8th - 10th September

  1. IT - 82.5M
  2. 9/11 - 12M
  3. The Hitman's Bodyguard - 11.3M
  4. Logan Lucky - 5.5M
  5. Annabelle: Creation - 4.1M

15th - 17th September 

  1. IT - 40.4M
  2. mother! - 30.6M
  3. American Assassin - 25M 
  4. The Hitman's Bodyguard - 7.5M
  5. 9/11 - 6.2M

22nd - 24th September

  1.  Kingsman: The Golden Circle - 56M
  2.  Lego Ninjago - 43M
  3.  IT - 24.3M
  4.  mother! - 21.8M
  5.  American Assassin - 15.5M

29th September - 1st October

  1.  Lego Ninjago - 27.1M
  2.  Kingsman: The Golden Circle - 25.8M
  3.  Flatliners - 16M
  4.  IT - 14.8M
  5.  mother! - 14.4M

6th - 8th October

  1. Blade Runner 2049 - 39.5M
  2. My Little Pony - 24M
  3. The Mountain Between Us - 21M
  4. Lego Ninjago - 17.3M
  5. mother! - 10M

13th - 15th October

  1. Blade Runner 2049 - 27.7M
  2. Happy Death Day - 25M
  3. The Foreigner - 15M
  4. My Little Pony - 13.7M
  5. Lego Ninjago - 10M

 

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Blankments Global Phenomenon

Blankments

Posted
Posted
On 8/4/2017 at 8:57 PM, Blankments said:

The Big Sick and Cars 3 are gone. Drive-in is The Emoji Movie and Transformers: The Last Knight.

Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets, Wish Upon, and Transformers: The Last Knight are gone. Drive-in is The Nut Job 2: Nutty by Nature and The Emoji Movie.

 

Annabelle: Creation - 16/5 (2D/2D with D-BOX) total 21 (debut)

Dunkirk - 15/6 (2D/IMAX) total 21 (down 1)
The Nut Job 2: Nutty by Nature - 15/5 (2D/3D) total 20 (debut)

The Dark Tower - 17 (down 6)
Kidnap - 17 (down 1)
Atomic Blonde - 16 (up 1)
The Emoji Movie - 16 (down 1)
Girls Trip - 16 (up 1)

The Glass Castle - 15 (debut)

Spider-Man: Homecoming - 14 (no change)

Detroit - 12 (down 6)
Despicable Me 3 - 10 (down 4)
War for the Planet of the Apes - 8 (down 5)
Baby Driver - 5 (down 7)

Wonder Woman - 4 (down 1)
The Lion King - 2 (down 3)

 

And summer's over, so that means we're back to the school theaters!

 

The Nut Job 2: Nutty by Nature - 12/4 (2D/3D) total 16

The Emoji Movie - 15
Annabelle: Creation - 14
Dunkirk - 10
The Dark Tower - 10

Kidnap - 10

Atomic Blonde - 9
Spider-Man: Homecoming - 9

Girls Trip - 5

Despicable Me 3 - 4
Detroit - 4
War for the Planet of the Apes - 4
Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets - 3

Wonder Woman - 1
The Lion King - 1

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WrathOfHan Cinematic Universe

WrathOfHan

Posted
Posted (edited)

The Hitman's Bodyguard: 15M

Annabelle Creation: 14M

Logan Lucky: 12M

Dunkirk: 8M

The Nut Job 2: 4.5M

Spider-Man Homecoming: 4.1M

The Dark Tower: 4M

The Emoji Movie: 3.9M

Girls Trip: 3.6M

The Glass Castle: 3.4M

Edited by WrathOfHan
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afalconer7 Indie Sensation

afalconer7

Posted
Posted (edited)

1. The Hitman's Bodyguard - 19M

2. Annabelle: Creation - 15M

3. Dunkirk - 9M

4. The Nut Job 2 - 4.9M

5. Logan Lucky - 4.8M

6. Spider-Man: Homecoming - 4.3M

7. The Emoji Advertisememt - 4M

8. The Dark Tower - 3.8M

9. The Glass Castle - 3.1M

10. Girls Trip - 2.9M

Edited by afalconer7
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filmlover Cinematic Universe

filmlover

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Why so low on LL?

It is from a studio that doesn't exactly have a good history (or any kind of history, really) with mainstream releases (they've only had two movies make over $10M+ total) and the ad campaign hasn't been all that strong. I don't think it's going that low but I'll be surprised by much more than a $10M opening.

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Zakiyyah6 Blockbuster

Zakiyyah6

Posted
Posted (edited)

I just believe it's going to be a niche movie that critics rave about but that nobody actually sees. And it's not like Daniel Craig is any sort of a draw. It just reminds me of Detroit in the way that fans and critics will think that it's amazing and predict a double digit opening that it won't get. If I'm wrong that's fine.

Edited by Zakiyyah6
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WrathOfHan Cinematic Universe

WrathOfHan

Posted
Posted
8 minutes ago, Zakiyyah6 said:

I just believe it's going to be a niche movie that critics rave about but that nobody actually sees. And it's not like Daniel Craig is any sort of a draw. It just reminds me of Detroit in the way that fans and critics will think that it's amazing and predict a double digit opening that it won't get. If I'm wrong that's fine.

It's being marketed heavily in the south, and I think that region will drive (no pun intended) the box office. Having acclaim and cinephiles behind it is a bonus.

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Nova Global Phenomenon

Nova

Posted
Posted (edited)

Not sure how fans are going to react to Logan Lucky, to be honest. A percentage of folks have seen it and have rated it in IMDb. It's got a score of 6.5/10. I don't usually put too much stock in IMDb scores but a score like that compared to how it's doing critically....to me, it seems like a film that critics rave about but that the GA doesn't respond to. I'm with Zakiyah in that it reminds me of Detroit. Critics love it but the GA is so-so towards it.

 

I still think it can get in the low to mid teens though. So my range for it is $13-16M. Which for a film like it is great. That's what it needs to get. 

 

THB is one that I can't quite figure out either. I can see it in the low teens but I can also see it hitting $20M. The marketing for it has done it no favors outside of the first trailer for it (imo) but it has crowd pleasing qualities. So my range for that one is like $13-20M.

 

Im honestly feeling like Deadline with my predictions. 

Edited by Nova
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mahnamahna Box Office Gold

mahnamahna

Posted
Posted
Spoiler
  1. The Hitman's Bodyguard: $24.5 million 
  2. Annabelle - Creation: $15.5 million ($59 million)
  3. Logan Lucky: $10.5 million 
  4. Dunkirk: $9.5 million ($167 million) 
  5. The Nut Job 2 - Nutty by Nature: $5.5 million ($15 million) 
  6. Spider-Man - Homecoming: $4.5 million ($313 million) 
  7. Girls Trip: $4 million ($103 million) 
  8. The Dark Tower: $4 million ($40 million) 
  9. The Emoji Movie: $3.5 million ($68 million) 
  10. Kidnap: $3 million ($23 million)

 

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the beast Sleeper Hit

the beast

Posted
Posted
  1. The Hitman's Bodyguard: $25.3 million
  2. Logan Lucky: $18 million
  3. Annabelle - Creation: $15.6 million (-55.5%)
  4. Dunkirk: $7.6 million (-30%)
  5. Spider-Man - Homecoming: $4.3 million (-28%)
  6. Girls Trip: $4.1 million (-39%)
  7. Nut Job 2: $3.9 million (-54%)
  8. The Dark Tower: $3.7 million (-53%)
  9. The Emoji Movie: $3.6 million (-44%)
  10. Kidnap: $2.8 million (-45%)
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the beast Sleeper Hit

the beast

Posted
Posted (edited)

Updated Long Range Forecast List

 

18th - 20th August:

  1. The Hitman's Bodyguard - 25M
  2. Annabelle: Creation - 15.6M 
  3. Logan Lucky - 18M
  4. Dunkirk - 7.6M 
  5. Girls Trip - 4.1M

25th - 27th August

  1. The Hitman's Bodyguard - 17M 
  2. Logan Lucky - 11.7M 
  3. All Saints - 10M
  4. Annabelle: Creation - 8M 
  5. Dunkirk - 5.5M 

1st - 3rd September

  1. The Hitman's Bodyguard - 15M / 19.5M
  2. Logan Lucky - 9.4M / 11.5M
  3. All Saints - 8.3M / 11.3M
  4. Annabelle: Creation - 6.2M / 7.4M
  5. Dunkirk - 5M / 6.5M

8th - 10th September

  1. IT - 88.5M
  2. 9/11 - 10M
  3. The Hitman's Bodyguard - 8.3M
  4. Logan Lucky - 5.2M
  5. Annabelle: Creation - 2.7M

15th - 17th September 

  1. IT - 41.6M
  2. mother! - 35M
  3. American Assassin - 25M 
  4. The Hitman's Bodyguard - 5.5M
  5. 9/11 - 5M

22nd - 24th September

  1.  Kingsman: The Golden Circle - 57.5M
  2.  Lego Ninjago - 39.7M
  3.  mother! - 24M
  4.  IT - 23.3M
  5.  American Assassin - 14M

29th September - 1st October

  1. Kingsman: The Golden Circle - 26.4M
  2. Lego Ninjago - 24.4M
  3. Flatliners - 16M
  4. mother! - 15M
  5. IT - 12.1M

6th - 8th October

  1. Blade Runner 2049 - 40M
  2. My Little Pony - 23M
  3. The Mountain Between Us - 20M
  4. Lego Ninjago - 16.6M
  5. mother! - 10M

13th - 15th October

  1. Blade Runner 2049 - 26.5M
  2. Happy Death Day - 23.5M
  3. The Foreigner - 14M
  4. My Little Pony - 12M
  5. Lego Ninjago - 11.4M

 

20th - 22nd October

  1. Boo 2! - 23M
  2. Blade Runner 2049 - 17.8M
  3. The Snowman - 17.5M
  4. Geostorm - 15M
  5. Happy Death Day - 10.6M

27th - 29th October 

  1. Jigsaw - 34M
  2. Boo 2! - 14M
  3. Blade Runner 2049 - 12.8M
  4. The Snowman - 10.9M
  5. Suburbicon - 10.5M

3rd - 5th November

  1. Thor: Ragnarok - 131M
  2. A Bad Mom's Christmas - 32M
  3. Jigsaw - 15.3M
  4. Blade Runner 2049 - 7.3M
  5. Boo 2! - 6.2M

10th - 12th November

  1. Thor: Ragnarok - 61M
  2. Daddys Home 2 - 43.5M
  3. Murder On The Orient Express - 25M
  4. A Bad Mom's Christmas - 19.2M
  5. Jigsaw - 8.4M

17th - 20th November 

  1. Justice League - 180M
  2. Thor: Ragnarok - 24.4M
  3. Daddy's Home 2 - 24M
  4. Murder On The Orient Express - 14.1M
  5. A Bad Mom's Christmas - 11.5M

24th - 26th November

  1. Justice League - 80M 
  2. Coco - 65M 
  3. Daddys Home 2 - 19M
  4. Thor: Ragnarok - 18.8M
  5. Murder On The Orient Express - 10.8M

1st - 3rd December

  1. Justice League / Coco - 32M
  2. Polaroid - 12M
  3. Daddy's Home 2 - 10.1M
  4. Thor: Ragnarok - 9.5M

8th - 10th December

  1. Coco - 22M
  2. Justice League - 20M
  3. Daddy's Home 2 - 7.1M
  4. Polaroid - 7M
  5. Thor: Ragnarok - 6.5M

15th - 17th December

  1. Star Wars 8 - 232M
  2. Ferdinand - 24M
  3. Coco - 15.4M
  4. Justice League - 12M
  5. Daddy's Home 2 - 5M

22nd - 24th December 

  1. Star Wars 8 - 137M
  2. Pitch Perfect 3 - 52M
  3. Jumanji - 35M
  4. Downsizing - 26M
  5. Ferdinand - 15.6M

29th - 31st December 

  1. Star Wars 8 - 82M
  2. Pitch Perfect 2 - 57.7M
  3. Jumanji - 38M
  4. Downsizing - 30M
  5. Ferdinand - 18.7M

5th - 7th January

  1. Star Wars 8 - 37.7M
  2. Pitch Perfect 3 - 27M
  3. Jumanji - 20M
  4. Insidious 4 - 19M
  5. Downsizing - 14.5M

12th - 14th January

  1. Star Wars 8 - 23.8M
  2. The Commuter - 22M
  3. Pitch Perfect 3 - 16.7M
  4. Jumanji - 13M
  5. Paddington 2 - 12.5M

19th - 21st January 

  1. Star Wars 8 - 16.5M
  2. Pitch Perfect 3 - 10.9M
  3. The Commuter -  9M
  4. Jumanji - 8.1M
  5. Den Of Thieves - 7M

 

   

     

 

Edited by the beast
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DAJK Global Phenomenon

DAJK

Posted
Posted
On 2017-07-31 at 11:50 AM, DAJK said:

Yea I'll bite, #1 movie till end of the year:

 

Aug 4 - Dark Tower $21.5M

Aug 11 - Annabelle $34M

Aug 18 - Hitman's Bodyguard $22.7M

Aug 25 - Hitman's Bodyguard $12.8M

Sept 1 - Hitman's Bodyguard $8M

Sept 8 - It $67.5M

Sept 15 - It $25.5M

Sept 22 - Kingsman $50.5M

Sept 29 - Kingsman $23.2M

Oct 6 - Blade Runner $36.7M

Oct 13 - Happy Death Day $20.7M

Oct 20 - Geostorm $29.5M

Oct 28 - Jigsaw $25.5M

Nov 3 - Thor 3 $110.3M

Nov 10 - Thor 3 $45.5M

Nov 17 - Justice League $155M

Nov 24 - Justice League $62.5M

Dec 1 - Coco $30.5M

Dec 8 - The Disaster Artist $16.9M

Dec 15 - Last Jedi $230M

Dec 22 - Last Jedi $140M

Dec 29 - Last Jedi $90M

Damn, haven't been too far off so far (by more than 1-2M) :) 

Almost forgot I made these

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