Weekend Prediction thread 4/26-4/28 Play the Derby

[mahnamahna]

Spoiler

6/23-6/25

1. Transformers - The Last Knight: $36 million ($68 million)
2. Cars 3: $29 million ($109 million)
3. Wonder Woman: $22.5 million ($313 million)
4. All Eyez on Me: $14.5 million ($62 million)
5. The Mummy: $7 million ($69 million)
6. 47 Meters Down: $5 million ($20 million)
7. Captain Underpants: $4.5 million ($67 million)
8. Rough Night: $4.5 million ($18 million)
9. Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales: $3 million ($155 million)
10. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $2 million ($379 million)

6/30-7/2

1. Despicable Me 3: $107 million
2. The House: $31 million
3. Transformers - The Last Knight: $15.5 million ($100 million)
4. Wonder Woman: $14 million ($340 million)
5. Cars 3: $12 million ($134 million)
6. Baby Driver: $7.5 million ($12 million)
7. All Eyez on Me: $7 million ($75 million)
8. The Mummy: $4 million ($77 million)
9. Rough Night: $2 million ($22 million)
10. 47 Meters Down: $2 million ($24 million)

7/7-7/9

1. Spider-Man - Homecoming: $123 million
2. Despicable Me 3: $50 million ($209 million)
3. The House: $16.5 million ($63 million)
4. Cars 3: $8 million ($150 million)
5. Transformers - The Last Knight: $7 million ($115 million)
6. Wonder Woman: $6.5 million ($354 million)
7. Baby Driver: $4.5 million ($21 million)
8. All Eyez on Me: $3 million ($81 million)
9. The Mummy: $1.5 million ($80 million)
10. Rough Night: $1.5 million ($25 million)

7/14-7/16

1. War for the Planet of the Apes: $73 million
2. Spider-Man - Homecoming: $49 million ($222 million)
3. Despicable Me 3: $24 million ($258 million)
4. The House: $10.5 million ($83 million)
5. Cars 3: $6 million ($162 million)
6. Wish Upon: $5 million
7. Wonder Woman: $3.5 million ($361 million)
8. Transformers - The Last Knight: $3 million ($121 million)
9. Baby Driver: $2.5 million ($26 million)
10. All Eyez on Me: $1.5 million ($84 million)

7/21-7/23

1. Dunkirk: $46.5 million
2. War for the Planet of the Apes: $33.5 million ($140 million)
3. Spider-Man - Homecoming: $24 million ($271 million)
4. Girls Trip: $23.5 million
5. Despicable Me 3: $14.5 million ($287 million)
6. Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets: $12 million
7. The House: $5.5 million ($94 million)
8. Cars 3: $4 million ($170 million)
9. Wish Upon: $2 million ($9 million)
10. Wonder Woman: $2 million ($365 million)

7/28-7/30

1. The Emoji Movie: $43 million
2. Dunkirk: $30.5 million ($106 million)
3. War for the Planet of the Apes: $19.5 million ($178 million)
4. Girls Trip: $15 million ($52 million)
5. Spider-Man - Homecoming: $13 million ($297 million)
6. Atomic Blonde: $12 million
7. Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets: $6 million ($24 million)
8. Despicable Me 3: $5.5 million ($298 million)
9. The House: $4 million ($102 million)
10. Cars 3: $1.5 million ($173 million)

 

[filmlover]

Transformers: The Last Knight- $80M (5-day)

[Maxmoser3]

Transformers 5:$47 million 3-day($73 million 5-day)

[WrathOfHan]

Transformers: 35M (55M 5 day)

Cars 3: 29.5M

Wonder Woman: 23M

All Eyez on Me: 9.5M

The Mummy: 6.3M

47 Meters Down: 5.2M

Pirates of the Caribbean: 4.7M

Captain Underpants: 4.5M

Rough Night: 4M

The Book of Henry: 2M

[Asyulus]

1. TF5: $61m (5-day)

 

2. Wonder Woman: $31m

 

3. Rest

 

4. Doesn't

 

5. Matter

Edited June 20, 2017 by Asyulus

[TwoMisfits]

On 6/10/2017 at 4:45 PM, TwoMisfits said:

Oooofff...this is a rough weekend.  I think Rough Night is opening the wrong weekend - it should have waited til the next weekend when it's empty.  I think Cars 3 has some sequel fatigue, but I'd love to know if it's a Pixar critical smash or a Pixar Good Dinosaur.  I actually think the previews are pretty good, but very limiting to a Nascar-esque audience (they play that up more than they have the 1st 2).  I have no feel for All Eyez on Me b/c I'm the least targeted audience for that movie, of the 3...and then I guess we have the already released 47 Meters Down which could be in 3500 theaters or 350...so, with very little confidence, but with nailing this week's movies (Mummy might even hit my number on the nose:), here's my guesses...if anything gets Baywatched by reviewers again, I may revisit these...

 

Cars 3 - $54M (20% drop for sequel fatigue)...

Rough Night - $22M 

All Eyez on Me - $21M

47 Meters Down - $3M (I don't believe 3500 screens, no way - if they get them, I may double this number, b/c I can't see this movie getting more than 1500-2000 theaters)...

 

EDIT: With final reviews and theaters and presales, I gotta bring Rough Night down to $12M and 47 Meters up slightly to $5M...I'll stick with the other 2 numbers...

 

Well, I did really well with Cars and should have swapped the bottom 2 movies...

Thankfully, only one movie this week, so this should be quick...

 

TF5 - how about $79M (Pirates 1st 5 days w/o discount Tuesday bump).  Yep, I don't watch these movies, but the trailer didn't look horrific and someone will go.  The seemingly awful presales give me a lot of pause, and I haven't see reviews.  Under 20% and I'd probably knock 20% more off my number...

[brandmaks]

Transformers 5: $68M (5-day)

Wonder Woman: $31M

Cars 3: $26M

[lilmac]

Transformers 5: $68M (5-day)
Wonder Woman: $31M
Cars 3: $26M

26m for WW
21.4m for C3
68m for T5 (3-day)

[Dandeak2000]

23-25 June 2017

 

1. Transformers: The Last Knight $55/$67.5 (WTFSS)

2. Cars 3 $29/$100

3. Wonder Woman $26/$315

4. All Eyez on Me $12/$46

5. The Mummy $7/$68

6. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales $5.8/$159.5

7. 47 Meters Down $5.5/$20

8. Captain Underpants $4.5/$65

9. Rough Night $4/$15

10. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 $3.5/$381

Spoiler

30 June-2 July 2017

 

1. Despicable Me 3 $90

2. The House $24

3. Transformers: The Last Knight $22

4. Cars 3 $17.4/$127

5. Wonder Woman $16/$340

6. Baby Driver $15/$20 (WTFSS)

7. All Eyez on Me $7/$57

8. The Mummy $4/$75

9. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales $3.8/$165

10. 47 Meters Down $3/$25

 

 

[Blankments]

On 6/14/2017 at 8:31 PM, Blankments said:

Will post predicts tomorrow night:

 

Everything Everything, Snatched, Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul, and King Arthur: Legend of the Sword are gone. Drive-in is Cars 3 and Wonder Woman.

Alien: Covenant and Baywatch are gone. Drive-in is still Cars 3 and Wonder Woman.

 

Transformers: The Last Knight - 21/3/11/1/4 (2D/2D with D-BOX/3D/3D with D-BOX/IMAX 3D) total 40 (debut)

Cars 3 - 24/8 (2D/3D) total 32 (up 1)
Wonder Woman - 24 (down 1)

47 Meters Down - 17 (down 2)
The Mummy - 16 (down 15)
Rough Night - 16 (no change)
All Eyez On Me - 14 (down 5)

Captain Underpants: The First Epic Movie - 14 (down 2)

Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - 13 (down 2)

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - 8 (no change)
It Comes at Night - 3 (down 7)
Megan Leavey - 3 (down 9)

[CalifoBoy]

So Guardians 2 won't make it throught the $400 million figure after al... does it still have a chance?!

[Blankments]

1. Wonder Woman - 33.0M
2. Transformers: The Last Knight - 32.1M
3. Cars 3 - 26.8M
4. All Eyez on Me - 10.3M
5. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - 7.4M
6. The Mummy - 6.7M
7. Captain Underpants: The First Epic Movie - 5.7M
8. 47 Meters Down - 4.7M
9. Rough Night - 3.9M
10. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - 3.8M
11. Megan Leavey - 2.0M
12. Beatriz at Dinner - 1.4M

It Comes At Night - 1.0M

[mahnamahna]

Spoiler

6/23-6/25

1. Transformers - The Last Knight: $34 million ($57 million)
2. Wonder Woman: $30.5 million ($323 million)
3. Cars 3: $28 million ($102 million)
4. All Eyez on Me: $9.5 million ($43 million)
5. The Mummy: $7 million ($70 million)
6. 47 Meters Down: $6 million ($23 million)
7. Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales: $5 million ($159 million)
8. Captain Underpants: $4.5 million ($66 million)
9. Rough Night: $4 million ($16 million)
10. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $3.5 million ($381 million)

6/30-7/2

1. Despicable Me 3: $106.5 million
2. The House: $23.5 million
3. Wonder Woman: $20.5 million ($364 million)
4. Baby Driver: $14.5 million ($23 million)
5. Transformers - The Last Knight: $14 million ($86 million)
6. Cars 3: $12 million ($127 million)
7. All Eyez on Me: $4 million ($51 million)
8. The Mummy: $3.5 million ($77 million)
9. 47 Meters Down: $3 million ($29 million)
10. Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales: $2.5 million ($164 million)

7/7-7/9

1. Spider-Man - Homecoming: $117 million
2. Despicable Me 3: $50 million ($209 million)
3. The House: $13 million ($49 million)
4. Wonder Woman: $10 million ($385 million)
5. Baby Driver: $8 million ($39 million)
6. Cars 3: $7 million ($141 million)
7. Transformers - The Last Knight: $6 million ($99 million)
8. All Eyez on Me: $2 million ($55 million)
9. The Mummy: $1.5 million ($80 million)
10. 47 Meters Down: $1.5 million ($32 million)

7/14-7/16

1. War for the Planet of the Apes: $65 million
2. Spider-Man - Homecoming: $48.5 million ($215 million)
3. Despicable Me 3: $24 million ($258 million)
4. The House: $8 million ($65 million)
5. Wonder Woman: $5.5 million ($396 million)
6. Baby Driver: $5 million ($49 million)
7. Cars 3: $4.5 million ($150 million)
8. Wish Upon: $4 million
9. Transformers - The Last Knight: $3 million ($105 million)
10. All Eyez on Me: $1 million ($57 million)

7/21-7/23

1. Dunkirk: $45 million
2. War for the Planet of the Apes: $30.5 million ($124 million)
3. Girls Trip: $23.5 million
4. Spider-Man - Homecoming: $23 million ($262 million)
5. Despicable Me 3: $14 million ($286 million)
6. Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets: $11 million
7. The House: $3.5 million ($72 million)
8. Wonder Woman: $3 million ($402 million)
9. Cars 3: $3 million ($156 million)
10. Wish Upon: $1.5 million ($7 million)

7/28-7/30

1. The Emoji Movie: $38.5 million
2. Dunkirk: $30.5 million ($104 million)
3. Atomic Blonde: $22 million
4. War for the Planet of the Apes: $17 million ($157 million)
5. Girls Trip: $15 million ($51 million)
6. Spider-Man - Homecoming: $13 million ($288 million)
7. Despicable Me 3: $5.5 million ($297 million)
8. Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets: $5 million ($21 million)
9. The House: $2 million ($76 million)
10. Wonder Woman: $2 million ($406 million)

8/4-8/6

1. The Dark Tower: $46 million
2. The Emoji Movie: $23 million ($82 million)
3. Dunkirk: $21 million ($144 million)
4. Atomic Blonde: $12.5 million ($46 million)
5. Girls Trip: $10 million ($69 million)
6. War for the Planet of the Apes: $9.5 million ($174 million)
7. Spider-Man - Homecoming: $7 million ($301 million)
8. Despicable Me 3: $4 million ($304 million)
9. Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets: $3 million ($27 million)
10. Wonder Woman: $1.5 million ($408 million)

8/11-8/13

1. Annabelle - Creation: $32 million
2. The Dark Tower: $25 million ($91 million)
3. Dunkirk: $14.5 million ($169 million)
4. The Emoji Movie: $13 million ($104 million)
5. The Nut Job 2 - Nutty by Nature: $11 million
6. Atomic Blonde: $8 million ($60 million)
7. Girls Trip: $7.5 million ($82 million)
8. The Glass Castle: $7 million
9. War for the Planet of the Apes: $5.5 million ($184 million)
10. Spider-Man - Homecoming: $4.5 million ($309 million)

8/18-8/20

1. The Hitman's Bodyguard: $31.5 million
2. Annabelle - Creation: $14 million ($55 million)
3. The Dark Tower: $13.5 million ($113 million)
4. Dunkirk: $10.5 million ($186 million)
5. The Emoji Movie: $9 million ($117 million)
6. The Nut Job 2 - Nutty By Nature: $6.5 million ($20 million)
7. Logan Lucky: $5.5 million
8. Girls Trip: $5 million ($90 million)
9. The Glass Castle: $4.5 million ($14 million)
10. Atomic Blonde: $3.5 million ($66 million)

8/25-8/27

1. The Hitman's Bodyguard: $21 million ($64 million)
2. All Saints: $16.5 million
3. The Dark Tower: $8.5 million ($127 million)
4. Dunkirk: $8 million ($198 million)
5. The Emoji Movie: $7.5 million ($127 million)
6. Annabelle - Creation: $7 million ($66 million)
7. The Nut Job 2 - Nutty by Nature: $4.5 million ($26 million)
8. Girls Trip: $4 million ($96 million)
9. Tulip Fever: $3.5 million
10. Logan Lucky: $3 million ($10 million)

9/1-9/4

1. All Saints: $15.5 million/$21.5 million ($46 million)
2. The Hitman's Bodyguard: $14.5 million/$18.5 million ($89 million)
3. The Emoji Movie: $8 million/$10.5 million ($139 million)
4. The Dark Tower: $7.5 million/$9 million ($140 million)
5. Dunkirk: $7 million/$8 million ($209 million)
6. Renegades: $6.5 million/$7.5 million
7. Annabelle - Creation: $3.5 million/$4.25 million ($72 million)
8. Leap!: $3 million/$4.25 million ($5 million)
9. Girls Trip: $3 million/$3.5 million ($101 million)
10. The Nut Job 2 - Nutty by Nature: $2.5 million/$3.5 million

 

[filmlover]

Next weekend:

 

Despicable Me 3- $92M

Baby Driver- $24M (5-day)

The House- $12M

 

The House feels like The Watch all over again tbh.

[WrathOfHan]

Despicable Me 3: 90M

Baby Driver: 15M 3 day/20M 5 day

Transformers: 14.7M

Wonder Woman: 14M

Cars 3: 12M

The House: 6M

47 Meters Down: 4.4M

Pirates of the Caribbean: 3M

The Mummy: 2.5M

The Beguiled: 2M

[the beast]

Despicable Me 3: $105 Million

The House: $18 Million

Baby Driver: $17.5 Million / $23 Million (WTFSS)

Wonder Woman: $15.56 Million (-38%)

Transformers: $15.3 Million (-66%)

Cars 3: $11.07 Million (-56%)

47 Meters Down: $5.032 Million (-32%)

 

 

 

[Maxmoser3]

Despicable Me 3:$105 million

The House:$22 million

Baby Driver:$19 million 3-day($28 million 5-day)

[Impact]

You know-I've seen very little for DM3, compared to the first 2 films and the Minion movie. Not sure what is going on!

[TwoMisfits]

Okay, here are my guesses for this week...

 

DM3 $119M

Baby Driver (5 day) $27M - once I realized House was R and critics loved this, I changed my mind and think it's gonna win the battle of R comedies vs taking each other out...

The House $7M - it becomes the big loser in the 3 comedy weekend since DM3 gets all the families and kids...and Baby Driver gets lots of the kidless adults... 

 

Edited June 27, 2017 by TwoMisfits

[Dandeak2000]

30th June - 2nd July 2017

 

1. Despicable Me 3 $100 (4,350+ theaters)

2. Transformers: The Last Knight $18.5/$99

3. Baby Driver $18/$25 (5-day) (3,100 theaters)

4. Wonder Woman $15.1/$341

5. The House $15 (3,000+ theaters)

6. Cars 3 $13.9/$121

7. 47 Meters Down $3.7/$30

8. Rough Night $3.3/$23

9. The Mummy $3.2/$74

10. The Beguiled $3.1/$3.5 (+546 theaters)

 

Spoiler

7th - 9th July 2017

 

1. Spider-Man: Homecoming $125

2. Despicable Me 3 $50/$180

3. Baby Driver $10/$41

4. Transformers: The Last Knight $8.5/$112

5. Wonder Woman $7.6/$353

6. Cars 3 $7/$132

7. The House $6.5/$25

8. 47 Meters Down $1.9/$33

9. Rough Night $1.8/$26

10. The Mummy $1.7/$77

 

14th - 16th July 2017

 

1. War for the Planet of the Apes $65

2. Spider-Man: Homecoming $57/$215

3. Despicable Me 3 $30/$227.5

4. Baby Driver $6/$50

5. Wonder Woman $5/$361

6. Cars 3 $4.5/$140

7. Transformers: The Last Knight $4/$118.5

8. The House $3.5/$31

9. 47 Meters Down $1.3/$35

10. Rough Night $1.2/$27.8

 

21st - 23rd July 2017

 

1. Dunkirk $50

2. War for the Planet of the Apes $35/$120

3. Spider-Man: Homecoming $32/$270

4. Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets $25

5. Despicable Me 3 $18.5/$256

6. Girls Trip $10

7. Baby Driver $4/$57

8. Wonder Woman $3.5/$367

9. Cars 3 $3/$145

10. Transformer: The Last Knight $2.5/$123

 

28th - 30th July 2017

 

1. Atomic Blonde $30

2. The Emoji Movie $28.5

3. Dunkirk $25/$90

4. War for the Planet of the Apes $20/$150

5. Spider-Man: Homecoming $19/$300

6. Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets $12.5/$45

7. Despicable Me 3 $10/$275

8. Girls Trip $5/$18

9. Baby Driver $2.5/$61

10. Wonder Woman $2/$370.5

 

4th - 6th August 2017

 

1. The Dark Tower $30

2. Atomic Blonde $16/$55

3. The Emoji Movie $15/$52

4. Dunkirk $14/$112

5. Detroit $12.5

6. War for the Planet of the Apes $12/$170

7. Spider-Man: Homecoming $11/$320

8. Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets $7/$56

9. Despicable Me 3 $6/$285

10. Girls Trip $3/$23

 

11th - 13th August 2017

 

1. Annabelle: Creation $37.5

2. The Dark Tower $15/$55

3. The Nut Job 2: Nutty By Nature $13

4. Atomic Blonde $10/$70

5. The Emoji Movie $9.5/$68

6. Dunkirk $8/$125

7. The Glass Castle $7.5

8. War for the Planet of the Apes $7/$181

9. Detroit $6.8/$24

10. Spider-Man: Homecoming $6.5/$332

 

18th - 20th August 2017

 

1. The Hitman's Bodyguard $25

2. Logan Lucky $20

3. Annabelle: Creation $18/$65

4. The Dark Tower $8/$68

5. The Nut Job 2: Nutty By Nature $7.5/$24

6. The Emoji Movie $6/$78

7. Atomic Blonde $5.5/$79

8. Dunkirk $5/$133

9. War for the Planet of the Apes $4.5/$188.5

10. Spider-Man: Homecoming $4/$338.5

 

25th - 27th August 2017

 

1. The Hitman's Bodyguard $12.5/$45

2. Logan Lucky $11/$36.5

3. Polaroid $10.5 

4. Annabelle: Creation $10/$80

5. Birth of a Dragon $8

6. Tulip Fever $5.5

7. The Dark Tower $5/$76

8. All Saints $4.5

9. The Nut Job 2: Nutty by Nature $4/$30

10. Crown Heights $3.5