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Weekend Prediction thread 4/26-4/28 Play the Derby

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But it had poor legs and holds.

 

 

 

Im3 fell 30% in 2013 on 4-day.

 

 

So min 4-day gross is 27 million for AOU

 

However IM3 faced Fast 6 which is direct competition.

 

 

So really it should have a better drop.

Edited by Lordmandeep
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Why would PP2 drop 56% over a holiday weekend when there's no new competition? Same for MM - Tomorrowland is PG so not the same demo? And Avengers 2 should drop a little softer than than.

 

With how low Tomorrowland and Poltergeist are expected to open, I'd say the top 3 for this week should all drop less than 40% over the 3-day. 

Dude just last week you made predictions for next 3 months...  :D  :D  :D

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3-day only

  1. Pitch Perfect 2 - 37.4M
  2. Tomorrowland - 36.8M
  3. Mad Max: Fury Road - 25.9M
  4. Avengers: Age of Ultron - 23.3M
  5. Poltergeist - 23.2M
  6. Hot Pursuit - 2.9M
  7. Furious 7 - 2.8M
  8. Paul Blart: Mall Cop 2 - 2.7M
  9. Home - 2.4M
  10. The Age of Adaline - 2.1M
  11. Far from the Madding Crowd - 1.8M
  12. Ex Machina - 1.4M

Woman in Gold - 0.9M

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4 Day weekend

 

1.TomorrowLand-44 million/53 million

2.Pitch Perfect 2-36 million/46 million

3.Poltergeist-18 million/26 million

4.Mad Max-Fury Road-18 million/24 million

5.Avengers-Age of Ultron- 17 million/21 million

 

 

I expect Pitch Perfect 2 to have around or slightly above a 50 percent drop. While I think Fury Road will have a 50 plus drop. Since I feel buzz and hype is why it did as well as it did opening weekend. Now that it's gone and all the fan-boys saw it, well it's going to have bigger drops then holds.

 

Theres no chance Mad Max falls 50%+ on a holiday weekend, your Ultron prediction is also incredibly low

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So why do you think it'll be the first horror film to open over $20m since Annabelle in October?

it has potential and as decent counter programming against summer blockbusters but I have a feeling that it will do Deliver Us From Evil numbers
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So why do you think it'll be the first horror film to open over $20m since Annabelle in October?

 

It's PG-13 and is likely to play to a larger crowd, but that's certainly not what they're hoping for in numbers given its opening date. 

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It's PG-13 and is likely to play to a larger crowd, but that's certainly not what they're hoping for in numbers given its opening date.

Poltergeist deserves an R rating. Why the hell this is rated PG? It is a horror movie.

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Heading back home so time to switch the theater selection. The D Train, Cinderella, Clouds of Sils Maria, and The Longest Ride are gone. Drive-in, which is Avengers: Age of Ultron and Paul Blart: Mall Cop 2 will now be counted.

Unfriended, Ex Machina, Little Boy, and Get Hard are gone. Drive-in is Tomorrowland and Avengers: Age of Ultron.

 

Mad Max: Fury Road - 22/13 (2D/3D) total 35 (down 1)
Tomorrowland - 26/4/5 (2D/2D with D-BOX/IMAX) total 35 (debut)
Pitch Perfect 2 - 34 (no change)
Poltergeist - 19/15 (2D/3D) total 34 (debut)
Avengers: Age of Ultron - 19/5 (2D/3D) total 24 (down 17)
Hot Pursuit - 13 (down 4)
Paul Blart: Mall Cop 2 - 9 (down 8)
The Age of Adaline - 8 (down 7)
Furious 7 - 7 (down 7)
Home - 3 (down 2)
Where Hope Grows - 3 (down 3)
Woman in Gold - 2 (down 3)
Monkey Kingdom - 1 (no change)
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i predict lots of walk up business

 

-50% - Lazarus Effect - $13,000/15,000 - 25.778

-53% - Do You Believe? - $27,000/39,000 - 2.943

-2% - Second Best Exotic Marigold Hotel - $64,000/84,000 - 32.977

-31% - Paddington - $61,000/85,000 - 76.070

+106% - It Follows - $74,000/94,000 - 14.631

 

-52% - The Water Diviner - $123,000/169,000 - 3.996

-61% - Little Boy - $127,000/183,000 - 6.228

-25% - American Sniper - $141,000/201,000 - 349.908

-18% - McFarland USA - $178,000/227,000 - 44.077

-61% - Unfriended - $202,000/253,000 - 32.525

-2% - Kingsman - $193,000/255,000 - 127.882

-41% - Insurgent - $226,000/291,000 - 128.705

-56% - Longest Ride - $239,000/304,000 - 36.820

-59% - Get Hard - $246,000/316,000 - 89.337

-50% - Monkey Kingdom - $239,000/322,000 - 15.943

-22% - Cinderella - $495,000/655,000 - 198.089

 

-26% - Woman in Gold - 0.89/1.15 - 30.65

-32% - Ex Machina - 1.43/1.85 - 22.45

-35% - Home - 1.65/2.29 - 168.57

-40% - Age of Adaline -1.92/2.47 - 40.84

-39% - Furious 7 - 2.21/2.87 - 347.74

-39% - Paul Blart 2 - 2.17/2.93 - 66.72

-46% - Hot Pursuit - 3.19/4.03 - 29.46

-41% - Avengers - 22.79/29.64 - 412.76

-34% - Mad Max - 29.98/38.20 - 101.73

-55% - Pitch Perfect 2 - 31.04/38.97 - 126.42

new - Poltergeist - 32.36/39.71 - 39.71

new - Tomorrowland - 54.78/70.04 - 70.04

 

NEXT WEEK

new - San Andreas - 51.52 - 51.52

-52% - Tomorrowland - 26.15 - 107.70

-37% - Mad Max - 18.97 - 130.01

-46% - Pitch Perfect 2 - 16.91 - 152.23

-50% - Poltergeist - 16.20 - 65.10

new - Aloha! - 14.63 - 14.63

-43% - Avengers - 12.98 - 431.26

-55% - Hot Pursuit - 1.42 - 31.89

-36% - Home - 1.06 - 170.03

-52% - Furious 7 - 1.05 - 349.45

 

-64% Paul Blart 2 - 0.79 - 67.98

 

Ex Machina - 0.70 - 23.65

Age of Adaline - 0.61 - 42.00

Woman in Gold - 0.45 - 31.35

Cinderella - 0.32 - 198.54

Get Hard - 0.19 - 89.61

Insurgent - 0.18 - 128.98

 

Monkey Kingdom - $96,000 - 16.12

Longest Ride - $95,000 - 36.98

Unfriended - $92,000 - 32.69

American Sniper - $92,000 - 350.06

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