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Weekend Prediction thread (8/17-8/19) | Play the Derby

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Greatest Showman 5th weekend OVER its Opening weekend:ph34r:

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  1. Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle - 20.5M
  2. The Post - 13.5M
  3. 12 Strong - 12.4M
  4. The Greatest Showman - 10.1M
  5. Paddington 2 - 8.18M
  6. The Commuter - 6.44M
  7. Star Wars: The Last Jedi - 6.28M
  8. Insidious: The Last Key - 4.98M
  9. Den of Thieves - 4.6M
  10. Proud Mary - 4.27M
  11. I, Tonya - 4.2M
  12. Phantom Thread - 4.01M
  13. Darkest Hour - 3.13M
  14. Pitch Perfect 3 - 2.99M
  15. The Shape of Water - 2.34M
  16. Coco - 2.09M
  17. Molly's Game - 2.02M
  18. Ferdinand - 1.94M
  19. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri - 1.82M
  20. Forever My Girl - 1.6M
  21. Lady Bird - 1.32M
  22. Wonder - 753k
  23. All the Money in the World - 490k
Edited by That One Guy
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Jumanji 18M

12 Strong 14M

Post 13M

Greatest Showman 9M

Paddington 7.5M

Commuter 6.5M

Insidious 6M

SW8 6M

Den of Thieves 5.5M

Proud Mary 4.5M

 

Top 10 - 90M

 

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On 1/11/2018 at 1:45 PM, Poe Blankeron said:

Lady Bird and Downsizing are gone.

Darkest Hour, All the Money in the World, Ferdinand, and Wonder are gone.

 

12 Strong: The Declassified True Story of the Horse Soldiers - 13(debut)

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle - 11/2 (2D/3D) total 13 (no change)

Paddington 2 - 13 (no change)

The Commuter - 10 (no change)

Den of Thieves - 10 (debut)

Forever My Girl - 5 (debut)

The Post - 10 (no change)

Star Wars: The Last Jedi - 8 (down 2)

The Greatest Showman - 5 (down 5)

Insidious: The Last Key - 5 (down 8)

Call Me By Your Name - 3 (debut)

Coco - 3 (up 1)

Pitch Perfect 3 - 3 (no change)

Proud Mary - 3 (no change)

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Spoiler

1/26-1/28

  1. Maze Runner - The Death Cure: $26 million 
  2. Jumanji - Welcome to the Jungle: $17 million ($338 million) 
  3. 12 Strong: $11 million ($32 million) 
  4. The Post: $10.5 million ($63 million) 
  5. The Greatest Showman: $10 million ($127 million) 
  6. Paddington 2: $7 million ($33 million) 
  7. Den of Thieves: $7 million ($24 million) 
  8. Star Wars - The Last Jedi: $4.5 million ($611 million) 
  9. The Commuter: $4 million ($32 million) 
  10. Insidious - The Last Key: $3 million ($63 million) 

2/2-2/4

  1. Jumanji - Welcome to the Jungle: $11.5 million ($357 million) 
  2. Winchester - The House That Ghosts Built: $11 million
  3. Maze Runner - The Death Cure: $10.5 million ($42 million) 
  4. The Greatest Showman: $8 million ($138 million) 
  5. The Post: $7 million ($74 million) 
  6. Paddington 2: $6 million ($42 million) 
  7. 12 Strong: $5 million ($39 million) 
  8. Den of Thieves: $3 million ($29 million) 
  9. Star Wars - The Last Jedi: $2.5 million ($615 million) 
  10. The Commuter: $1.5 million ($34 million) 

2/9-2/11

  1. Fifty Shades Freed: $41 million 
  2. Peter Rabbit: $27 million 
  3. The 15:17 to Paris: $23 million 
  4. Jumanji - Welcome to the Jungle: $7.5 million ($367 million) 
  5. Maze Runner - The Death Cure: $6.5 million ($52 million) 
  6. The Greatest Showman: $6 million ($147 million) 
  7. The Post: $5.5 million ($82 million) 
  8. Paddington 2: $5 million ($48 million) 
  9. 12 Strong: $3.5 million ($44 million) 
  10. Den of Thieves: $2 million ($32 million) 

2/16-2/19

  1. Black Panther: $127 million/$153 million 
  2. Peter Rabbit: $18 million/$24 million ($62 million) 
  3. Fifty Shades Freed: $16 million/$19 million ($78 million) 
  4. The 15:17 to Paris: $15 million/$19 million ($51 million) 
  5. Samson: $10 million/$12 million 
  6. Early Man: $8 million/$10.5 million 
  7. The Post: $5 million/$6 million ($91 million) 
  8. Jumanji - Welcome to the Jungle: $4.5 million/$5.75 million ($376 million) 
  9. Paddington 2: $4 million/$5.5 million ($55 million) 
  10. The Greatest Showman: $3.75 million/$5 million ($155 million)

2/23-2/25

  1. Black Panther: $52 million ($214 million)
  2. Game Night: $21 million 
  3. Annihilation: $17 million 
  4. Peter Rabbit: $11 million ($76 million) 
  5. The 14:17 to Paris: $9 million ($64 million) 
  6. Fifty Shades Freed: $8 million ($88 million) 
  7. Samson: $5.5 million ($19 million) 
  8. Early Man: $5.5 million ($17 million) 
  9. The Post: $3.5 million ($96 million) 
  10. Jumanji - Welcome to the Jungle: $3 million ($380 million) 

3/2-3/4

  1. Black Panther: $29.5 million ($260 million) 
  2. Red Sparrow: $28.5 million
  3. Game Night: $13 million ($41 million) 
  4. Annihilation: $10 million ($32 million) 
  5. Peter Rabbit: $8.5 million ($87 million) 
  6. Death Wish: $8 million 
  7. The 15:17 to Paris: $5.5 million ($72 million) 
  8. Fifty Shades Freed: $5 million ($96 million)
  9. Early Man: $4.5 million ($23 million) 
  10. Samson: $3.5 million ($24 million) 

3/9-3/11

  1. A Wrinkle in Time: $53 million
  2. Black Panther: $20 million ($293 million) 
  3. Red Sparrow: $17 million ($55 million) 
  4. Game Night: $8 million ($53 million) 
  5. Gringo: $7 million 
  6. The Hurricane Heist: $5 million 
  7. Annihilation: $5 million ($40 million) 
  8. Strangers - Prey at Night: $4.5 million 
  9. Peter Rabbit: $4 million ($93 million) 
  10. The 15:17 to Paris: $3 million ($77 million) 

3/16-3/18

  1. A Wrinkle in Time: $32.5 million ($105 million) 
  2. Tomb Raider: $23.5 million 
  3. Love, Simon: $17 million 
  4. Black Panther: $13.5 million ($315 million) 
  5. Red Sparrow: $10 million ($71 million) 
  6. Game Night: $5.5 million ($61 million) 
  7. Gringo: $4 million ($14 million) 
  8. A24 Horror #1: $3.5 million 
  9. The Hurricane Heist: $3 million ($10 million) 
  10. Peter Rabbit: $3 million ($98 million)

3/23-3/25

  1. Pacific Rim - Uprising: $24 million 
  2. A Wrinkle in Time: $21 million ($139 million) 
  3. Sherlock Gnomes: $17.5 million 
  4. Love, Simon: $10.5 million ($35 million) 
  5. Tomb Raider: $10 million ($41 million) 
  6. Black Panther: $9 million ($331 million) 
  7. Red Sparrow: $6 million ($81 million) 
  8. Midnight Sun: $4.5 million
  9. Unsane: $4 million 
  10. Game Night: $3.5 million ($67 million)

3/30-4/1

  1. Ready Player One: $81 million ($98 million) 
  2. Paul, Apostle of Christ: $18 million ($28 million) 
  3. A Wrinkle in Time: $13 million ($161 million) 
  4. Sherlock Gnomes: $10.5 million ($35 million) 
  5. Pacific Rim - Uprising: $7.5 million ($37 million) 
  6. Love, Simon: $6.5 million ($46 million) 
  7. God's Not Dead 3 - A Light in Darkness: $5 million 
  8. Acrimony: $4.5 million 
  9. Tomb Raider: $4 million ($48 million) 
  10. Black Panther: $4 million ($338 million) 

4/6-4/8

  1. A Quiet Place: $36 million
  2. Ready Player One: $35.5 million ($163 million) 
  3. Blockers: $23.5 million 
  4. Paul, Apostle of Christ: $10 million ($44 million) 
  5. A Wrinkle in Time: $9 million ($175 million) 
  6. Sherlock Gnomes: $7 million ($46 million) 
  7. Chappadaquick: $5.5 million 
  8. Love, Simon: $4.5 million ($53 million) 
  9. Pacific Rim - Uprising: $4 million ($43 million) 
  10. God's Not Dead 3 - A Light in Darkness: $2.5 million ($9 million) 

4/13-4/15

  1. A Quiet Place: $24 million ($73 million) 
  2. Ready Player One: $22 million ($197 million) 
  3. Truth or Dare: $16 million 
  4. Blockers: $15.5 million ($47 million) 
  5. Overboard: $6.5 million 
  6. A Wrinkle in Time: $6 million ($183 million) 
  7. Paul, Apostle of Christ: $5 million ($51 million) 
  8. Sherlock Gnomes: $5 million ($53 million) 
  9. Love, Simon: $3 million ($58 million) 
  10. Chappadaquick: $2.5 million ($9 million) 

4/20-4/22

  1. Rampage: $53 million 
  2. A Quiet Place: $16 million ($97 million) 
  3. Ready Player One: $11.5 million ($214 million) 
  4. Blockers: $10 million ($62 million) 
  5. Tully: $7 million 
  6. Truth or Dare: $6.5 million ($26 million) 
  7. A Wrinkle in Time: $4.5 million ($189 million) 
  8. Sherlock Gnomes: $4 million ($58 million) 
  9. Super Troopers 2: $4 million 
  10. Paul, Apostle of Christ: $3 million ($55 million) 

4/27-4/29

  1. Rampage: $31 million ($100 million) 
  2. A Quiet Place: $12 million ($115 million) 
  3. Ready Player One: $8.5 million ($227 million) 
  4. Blockers: $8 million ($74 million) 
  5. Traffik: $7.5 million 
  6. Tully: $5 million ($15 million) 
  7. Truth or Dare: $4 million ($32 million) 
  8. A Wrinkle in Time: $3.5 million ($193 million) 
  9. Sherlock Gnomes: $3 million ($62 million) 
  10. Untitled Entertainment Studios Animation: $3 million 

 

 

Edited by mahnamahna
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4 hours ago, mahnamahna said:
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1/26-1/28

  1. Maze Runner - The Death Cure: $26 million 
  2. Jumanji - Welcome to the Jungle: $17 million ($341 million) 
  3. 12 Strong: $11 million ($31 million) 
  4. The Post: $10.5 million ($63 million) 
  5. The Greatest Showman: $10 million ($127 million) 
  6. Paddington 2: $8 million ($35 million) 
  7. Den of Thieves: $7 million ($24 million) 
  8. Star Wars - The Last Jedi: $4.5 million ($611 million) 
  9. The Commuter: $4 million ($32 million) 
  10. Insidious - The Last Key: $3 million ($63 million) 

2/2-2/4

  1. Jumanji - Welcome to the Jungle: $11.5 million ($357 million) 
  2. Winchester - The House That Ghosts Built: $11 million
  3. Maze Runner - The Death Cure: $10.5 million ($42 million) 
  4. The Greatest Showman: $8 million ($138 million) 
  5. The Post: $7 million ($74 million) 
  6. Paddington 2: $6 million ($42 million) 
  7. 12 Strong: $5 million ($39 million) 
  8. Den of Thieves: $3 million ($29 million) 
  9. Star Wars - The Last Jedi: $2.5 million ($615 million) 
  10. The Commuter: $1.5 million ($34 million) 

2/9-2/11

  1. Fifty Shades Freed: $41 million 
  2. Peter Rabbit: $27 million 
  3. The 15:17 to Paris: $23 million 
  4. Jumanji - Welcome to the Jungle: $7.5 million ($367 million) 
  5. Maze Runner - The Death Cure: $6.5 million ($52 million) 
  6. The Greatest Showman: $6 million ($147 million) 
  7. The Post: $5.5 million ($82 million) 
  8. Paddington 2: $5 million ($48 million) 
  9. 12 Strong: $3.5 million ($44 million) 
  10. Den of Thieves: $2 million ($32 million) 

2/16-2/19

  1. Black Panther: $127 million/$153 million 
  2. Peter Rabbit: $18 million/$24 million ($62 million) 
  3. Fifty Shades Freed: $16 million/$19 million ($78 million) 
  4. The 15:17 to Paris: $15 million/$19 million ($51 million) 
  5. Samson: $10 million/$12 million 
  6. Early Man: $8 million/$10.5 million 
  7. The Post: $5 million/$6 million ($91 million) 
  8. Jumanji - Welcome to the Jungle: $4.5 million/$5.75 million ($376 million) 
  9. Paddington 2: $4 million/$5.5 million ($55 million) 
  10. 12 Strong: $2.5 million/$3.25 million ($49 million) 

 

 

I highly doubt TGS will drop worse on 2/16-2/19 than 12 Strong.

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Jumanji: 18M

Maze Runner: 16M

The Greatest Showman: 10.3M

The Post: 10.1M

12 Strong: 10M

Den of Thieves: 8M

Paddington 2: 7M

The Shape of Water: 6.5M

Hostiles: 6M

I, Tonya: 5.5M

Phantom Thread: 3.6M

Forever My Girl: 3.1M

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With it out-performing the other two overseas this weekend, I find it hard to imagine MR is only going to do half of what its predecessors did on OW domestically. I could see low 20's for sure even though I'm predicting 25, but a debut similar to Den of Thieves just doesn't seem feasible. 

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2 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:

Jumanji: 18M

Maze Runner: 16M

The Greatest Showman: 10.3M

The Post: 10.1M

12 Strong: 10M

Den of Thieves: 8M

Paddington 2: 7M

The Shape of Water: 6.5M

Hostiles: 6M

I, Tonya: 5.5M

Phantom Thread: 3.6M

Forever My Girl: 3.1M

Yeah, it's not seeing a bump like that lol. More like $4M since the PTA should stay consistent if it doubles its theaters.

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  1. Maze Runner: The Death Cure - $21.8M
  2. Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle - $13.3M
  3. The Post - $9.73M
  4. The Greatest Showman - $9.37M
  5. 12 Strong - $8.86M
  6. Den of Thieves - $7.3M
  7. Hostiles - $6.8M
  8. Paddington 2 - $5.65M
  9. Star Wars: The Last Jedi - $4.79M
  10. The Shape of Water - $4.59M
  11. I, Tonya - $4.29M
  12. Darkest Hour - $3.69M
  13. Phantom Thread - $3.57M
  14. The Commuter - $3.43M
  15. Forever My Girl - $3.4M
  16. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri - $3.07M
  17. Lady Bird - $2.51M
  18. Insidious: The Last Key - $2.29M
  19. Call Me by Your Name - $2.16M
  20. Molly's Game - $1.46M
  21. Coco - $1.43M
  22. Pitch Perfect 3 - $1.36M
  23. Proud Mary - 892k
  24. Ferdinand - 877k

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26th - 28th January 2018

 

1. Maze Runner: The Death Cure $26

2. Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle $13.7/$337.5

3. The Greatest Showman $8.7/$125.5

4. 12 Strong $7.9/$29

5. The Post $7.6/$56.5

6. Den of Thieves $7.3/$27.5

7. Hostiles $5.6/$8.5

8. Paddington 2 $5.5/$34

9. Star Wars: The Last Jedi $3.6/$609.8

10. The Commuter $3.3/$31

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On 1/18/2018 at 3:48 PM, Poe Blankeron said:

Darkest Hour, All the Money in the World, Ferdinand, and Wonder are gone.

The Commuter, Star Wars: The Last Jedi, Coco, and Proud Mary are gone.

 

12 Strong: The Declassified True Story of the Horse Soldiers - 13 (no change)

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle - 11/2 (2D/3D) total 13 (no change)

The Maze Runner: The Death Cure - 13 (debut)

Den of Thieves - 10 (no change)

Hostiles - 10 (debut)

Paddington 2 - 7 (down 6)

Forever My Girl - 5 (no change)
The Greatest Showman - 5 (no change)

The Post - 5 (down 5)

The Shape of Water - 5 (debut)

Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri - 5 (debut)

Call Me By Your Name - 3 (no change)

Darkest Hour - 3 (return)

Insidious: The Last Key - 3 (down 2)

Pitch Perfect 3 - 3 (no change)

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Spoiler

2/2-2/4

  1. Winchester - The House That Ghosts Built: $16 million
  2. Maze Runner - The Death Cure: $11 million ($41 million) 
  3. Jumanji - Welcome to the Jungle: $10.5 million ($351 million) 
  4. The Greatest Showman: $7.5 million ($137 million) 
  5. The Post: $6.5 million ($68 million) 
  6. Hostiles: $4.5 million ($18 million) 
  7. The Shape of Water: $4.5 million ($44 million) 
  8. Paddington 2: $4 million ($37 million) 
  9. 12 Strong: $3.5 million ($34 million) 
  10. Three Billboards Outside Ebbings, Missouri: $3.25 million ($42 million) 

2/9-2/11

  1. Fifty Shades Freed: $41 million 
  2. Peter Rabbit: $28 million 
  3. The 15:17 to Paris: $17 million 
  4. Jumanji - Welcome to the Jungle: $8 million ($362 million) 
  5. The Greatest Showman: $6.5 million ($146 million) 
  6. Winchester - The House That Ghosts Built: $6.5 million ($27 million) 
  7. The Post: $5.5 million ($76 million) 
  8. The Shape of Water: $5 million ($52 million) 
  9. Three Billboards Outside Ebbings, Missouri: $4 million ($47 million) 
  10. Paddington 2: $2.5 million ($40 million) 

2/16-2/19

  1. Black Panther: $136.5 million/$163 million
  2. Peter Rabbit: $18.5 million/$26.5 million ($64 million) 
  3. Fifty Shades Freed: $16 million/$19 million ($79 million) 
  4. Samson: $11 million/$13.5 million 
  5. The 15:17 to Paris: $9 million/$10.5 million ($33 million) 
  6. Early Man: $8 million/$10 million 
  7. The Post: $6 million/$7.25 million ($87 million) 
  8. The Shape of Water: $5.5 million/$6.5 million ($63 million) 
  9. Jumanji - Welcome to the Jungle: $5 million/$6.5 million ($371 million) 
  10. The Greatest Showman: $4.5 million/$5.75 million ($155 million) 
  11. Three Billboards Outside Ebbings, Missouri: $3.5 million/$4.25 million ($54 million)

2/23-2/25

  1. Black Panther: $53 million ($233 million) 
  2. Game Night: $21 million 
  3. Annihilation: $17 million
  4. Peter Rabbit: $11 million ($77 million) 
  5. Fifty Shades Freed: $8 million ($90 million) 
  6. Samson: $6 million ($21 million) 
  7. Early Man: $5.5 million ($16 million) 
  8. The 15:17 to Paris: $5 million ($40 million) 
  9. The Post: $4.5 million ($93 million) 
  10. The Shape of Water: $4 million ($68 million) 
  11. Jumanji - Welcome to the Jungle: $3.5 million ($375 million) 
  12. The Greatest Showman: $3 million ($158 million) 

3/2-3/4

  1. Black Panther: $32.5 million ($282 million)
  2. Red Sparrow: $29 million 
  3. Game Night: $13 million ($41 million) 
  4. Annihilation: $10.5 million ($33 million) 
  5. Death Wish: $8 million 
  6. Peter Rabbit: $7.5 million ($87 million) 
  7. Early Man: $4.5 million ($22 million) 
  8. Fifty Shades Freed: $4 million ($96 million) 
  9. Samson: $3 million ($26 million) 
  10. The Post: $2.5 million ($97 million) 
  11. The Shape of Water: $2.5 million ($72 million) 
  12. Jumanji - Welcome to the Jungle: $2 million ($378 million) 
  13. The 15:17 to Paris: $2 million ($43 million) 
  14. The Greatest Showman: $1.5 million ($160 million) 

 

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Jumanji: 12.3M

Winchester: 11M

Maze Runner: 10.5M

The Greatest Showman: 7.6M

Hostiles: 6.6M

The Post: 6.5M

The Shape of Water: 5M

12 Strong: 4.3M

Den of Thieves: 3.8M

Phantom Thread: 3.4M

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3 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Jumanji: 12.3M

Winchester: 11M

Maze Runner: 10.5M

The Greatest Showman: 7.6M

Hostiles: 6.6M

The Post: 6.5M

The Shape of Water: 5M

12 Strong: 4.3M

Den of Thieves: 3.8M

Phantom Thread: 3.4M

Holding out hope it'll open in your area I see. :whosad:

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The Death Wish movie 😂...automatic low RT score...the housewife in distress role is not cool in this current feminist climate 😂.

 

 

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It seems that every weekend Jumanji and Showman beat most predictions. It seems they are heading for 400 million and 200 million, respectively. With so little new competition next weekend, they should have really strong holds.     

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