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Weekend Prediction thread 4/19-4/21 Play the Derby

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20 hours ago, boxofficeth said:

I could foresee potential of Searching breaking out like Don't Breathe. But now I wonder if it is good for it being pushed closer to The Nun.

I haven’t seen it in front of too many films and have seen absolutely no marketing for it outside of theaters. It’ll only make a small fraction of what Don’t Breathe did.

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19 hours ago, BenedictL11 said:

Sadly, Searching won't break out like Don't Breathe. I wish Sony would have released it this weekend wide since Happytime and AXl will both flop.

I know. I didn't get that decision at all.

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August 24-26:

 

1. Crazy Rich Asians - 16.2 / 63.4

2. The Happytime Murders - 10.0

3. The Meg - 9.0 / 100.7

4. Mission Impossible 6 - 6.1 / 191.4

5. Christopher Robin - 5.8 / 76.3

6. Mile 22 - 5.2 / 23.3

7. BlacKKKlansman - 4.9 / 31.8

8. Alpha - 4.5 / 18.7

9. Hotel Transylvania 3 - 2.5 / 158.1

10. Mamma Mia 2 - 2.0 / 114.6

11. Slender Man - 1.8 / 24.0

12. Ant-Men and the Wasp - 1.7 / 211.2

 

August 31-September 3 (4 day weekend):

 

1. Crazy Rich Asians - 21.1 / 90.3

2. The Meg - 11.5 / 115.8

3. The Happytime Murders - 11.0 / 24.8

4. Christopher Robin - 8.3 / 87.4

5. Mission Impossible 6 - 8.2 / 202.2

6. Operation Finale - 7.5

7. The BlacKKKlansman - 6.7 / 40.0

8. Mile 22 - 6.2 / 31.6

9. Alpha - 5.9 / 26.5

10. Kin - 5.8

11. Hotel Transylvania 3 - 3.6 / 162.7

12. Ya Veremos - 3.5

13. Mamma Mia 2 - 2.8 / 118.1

14. The Incredibles 2 - 2.3 / 599.5

15. Ant-Man and the Wasp - 2.2 / 214.2

16. The Equalizer 2 - 1.9 / 99.9

17. A.X.L. - 1.5 / 3.9

18. The Spy Who Dumped Me - 1.3 / 33.7

19. Slender Man - 1.1 / 25.9

20. Jurassic World 2 - 1.1 / 414.3

 

September 7-9:

 

1. The Nun - 40.2

2. Peppermint - 11.5

3. Crazy Rich Asians - 9.5 / 104.4

4. The Meg - 4.0 / 122.4

5. The Happytime Murders - 3.5 / 30.6

6. Christopher Robbin - 3.2 / 92.5

7. Mission Impossible 6 - 3.1 / 207.2

8. The BlacKKKlansman - 2.9 / 44.5

9. Operation Finale - 2.7 / 12.1

10. Alpha - 2.1 / 30.0

11. Kin - 1.8 / 9.0

12. God Bless the Broken Road - 1.5


 

Spoiler

 

September 14-16:

 

1. The Predator - 30.5

2. The Nun - 17.0 / 67.8

3. A Simple Favor - 13.0

4. White Boy Rick - 8.5

5. Peppermint - 6.1 / 21.4

6. Crazy Rich Asians - 5.3 / 113.8

7. Mission Impossible 6 - 2.1 / 210.5

8. Unbroken: Path to Redemption - 2.0

9. The BlacKKKLansman - 1.9 / 47.6

10. Christopher Robin - 1.9 / 95.6

11. The Meg - 1.7 / 125.3

12. The Happytime Murders - 1.3 / 33.1

 

September 21-23:

 

1. The House with Clock in it's Walls - 23.5

2. The Predator - 13.1 / 53.2

3. The Nun - 9.2 / 83.5

4. Fahrenheit 11/9 - 7.5

5. A Simple Favor - 6.8 / 24.4

6. White Boy Rick - 4.6 / 16.7

7. Peppermint - 3.6 / 27.4

8. Life Itself - 3.5

9. Crazy Rich Asians - 3.3 / 119.2

10. Mission Impossible 6 - 1.4 / 212.8

11. The BlacKKKLansman - 1.1 / 49.5

12. Christopher Robin - 1.1 / 97.4

 

September 28-30:

 

1. Smallfoot - 22.7

2. Night School - 18.6

3. The House with Clock in it's Walls - 14.4 / 45.7

4. Hell Fest - 9.1

5. The Predator - 6.7 / 64.8

6. The Nun - 4.6 / 91.3

7. Fahrenheit 11/9 - 4.4 / 14.6

8. A Simple Favor - 3.5 / 30.4

9. Little Women - 2.6

10. White Boy Rick - 2.6 / 21.0

11. Peppermint - 1.9 / 30.7

12. Crazy Rich Asians - 1.8 / 122.3

 

October 5-7:

 

1. Venom - 60.5

2. A Star is Born - 31.8

3. Smallfoot - 14.1 / 44.3

4. Night School - 10.1 / 34.4

5. The House with Clock in it's Walls - 8.8 / 60.1

6. Hell Fest - 4.1 / 16.2

7. The Predator - 3.1 / 70.3

8. Fahrenheit 11/9 - 2.7 / 19.0

9. The Nun - 2.0 / 95.1

10. A Simple Favor - 1.7 / 33.5

11. White Boy Rick - 1.3 / 23.3

12. Crazy Rich Asians - 1.1 / 124.2

 

October 12-14:

 

1. Venom - 26.5 / 103.7

2. First Man - 22.1

3. A Star is Born - 20.2 / 65.3

4. Goosebumps 2 - 13.6

5. Bad Times at the El Royale - 11.5

6. Smallfoot - 9.1 / 60.4

7. The House with Clock in it's Walls - 5.6 / 69.5

8. Night School - 5.5 / 44.3

9. Hell Fest - 1.9 / 19.7

10. Fahrenheit 11/9 - 1.7 / 21.9

11. The Predator - 1.4 / 72.7

12. A Simple Favor - 1.1 / 35.3

 

October 19-21:

 

1. Halloween - 45.1

2. First Man - 15.4 / 47.5

3. A Star is Born - 14.2 / 88.3

4. Serenity - 12.5

5. Venom - 12.0 / 123.3

6. Goosebumps 2 - 6.8 / 25.5

7. Bad Times at the El Royale - 6.8 / 23.3

8. The Hate You Give - 6.5

9. Smallfoot - 6.1 / 70.5

10. The House with Clock in it's Walls - 3.5 / 75.4

11. Night School - 3.1 / 50.2

12. Hell Fest - 1.0 / 21.5

 

October 26-28:

 

1. Halloween - 21.2 / 78.1

2. First Man - 11.4 / 65.5

3. A Star is Born - 10.6 / 106.3

4. Serenity - 7.4 / 24.6

5. Hunter Killer - 6.5

6. Venom - 5.2 / 132.8

7. Goosebumps 2 - 4.6 / 33.1

8. Bad Times at the El Royale - 3.9 / 30.4

9. Smallfoot - 3.8 / 77.0

10. The Hate You Give - 3.8 / 13.2

11. Johnny English Strikes Again - 3.2

12. The House with Clock in it's Walls - 2.4 / 79.3


 

 

Edited by Viktor Vilotijevic
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17.0 - Crazy Rich Asians - 67.2

15.0 - Happytime Murders - 15.0

13.1 - The Meg - 106.7

6.7 - Mile 22 - 26.4

6.6 - Mi6 - 192.6

6.2 - Robin - 77.5

5.6 - Alpha - 20.6

4.5 - Black - 31.5

3.4 - A.X.L. - 3.4

2.9 - Slender - 25.8

2.4 - Hotel 3 - 158.3

2.2 - Mamma 2 - 115.6

1.7 - Ant-Man 2 - 211.5

1.6 - Equalizer 2 - 97.6

1.6 - Incredibles 2 - 597.0

1.4 - Dumped - 32.8

 

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On 8/15/2018 at 10:54 PM, Blankments said:

Death of a Nation, Incredibles 2, and Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom are gone. Drive-in is The Meg and Mission: Impossible - Fallout.

Dog Days, The Darkest Minds, Pandas, and Eighth Grade are gone. Drive-in is The Meg and The Equalizer 2.

 

The Meg - 13/3/5 (2D/3D/4K) total 21 (no change)

Alpha - 9/1/6 (2D/3D/2D with D-BOX) total 16 (no change)

A.X.L. - 16 (debut)

The Happytime Murders - 16 (debut)

Mile 22 - 16 (down 4)

Slender Man - 16 (no change)

Christopher Robin - 15 (no change)

Crazy Rich Asians - 15 (no change)

BlacKkKlansmen - 12 (down 1)

Mission: Impossible - Fallout - 12 (down 2)

Ant-Man and the Wasp - 10 (down 4)

Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation - 8 (down 2)
Beautifully Broken - 6 (debut)

The Equalizer 2 - 5 (down 4)

Papillon - 5 (debut)

The Spy Who Dumped Me - 5 (down 6)

2001: A Space Odyssey IMAX - 4 (debut) 
Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again - 4 (down 10)
Teen Titans Go! To the Movies - 3 (down 2)

 

Now, I'm moving to Chicago on Friday. Instead of doing a general theater count of Chicago, I'm switching to A-List, so instead, enjoy from now for the near future, a list of 13 AMC theaters showtimes!!

 

Crazy Rich Asians - 77/15/2 (2D/Dolby/Subbed) total 94

The Happytime Murders - 76

The Meg - 51/6/8 (2D/3D/IMAX) total 65

Mile 22 - 59/4 (2D/2D with D-BOX) total 63

Alpha - 33/2/16/2 (2D/2D with D-BOX/3D/3D with D-BOX) total 53

Christopher Robin - 48

Mission: Impossible - Fallout - 43/2 (2D/3D) total 45

BlacKkKlansman - 42

A.X.L. - 35

Ant-Man and the Wasp - 20

The Equalizer 2 - 20

Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation - 18

Slender Man - 22

Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again - 21

The Spy Who Dumped Me - 15

Teen Titans Go! To the Movies - 15

Incredibles 2 - 12

Papillon - 12

Beautifully Broken - 10

2001: A Space Odyssey IMAX - 8

Puzzle - 8

Go Brother - 0/5 (2D/Subbed) total 5

Juliet, Naked - 5

The Miseducation of Cameron Post - 5

The Wife - 5

Along with the Gods: The Last 49 Days - 0/4 (2D/Subbed) total 4

Eighth Grade - 4

Gold - 0/4 (2D/Subbed) total 4

The Island - 0/4 (2D/Subbed) total 4

Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom - 4

Parwaaz Hai Junoon - 0/4 (2D/Subbed) total 4
The Spy Gone North - 0/4 (2D/Subbed) total 4
The First Purge - 2
Dog Days - 1

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18.0 - Crazy Rich Asians - 70.0

12.1 - The Meg - 104.7

12.0 - Happytime Murders - 12.0

6.3 - Mile 22 - 25.44

6.3 - Mi6 - 192.3

6.2 - Robin - 77.7

5.4 - Alpha - 20.15

5.15 - Black - 31.89

2.6 - A.X.L. - 2.6

2.55 - Slender - 25.20

2.52 - Hotel T3 - 158.77

2.3 - Equalizer - 98.31

2.02 - Mamma - 115.45

1.77 - Ant-Man - 211.47

1.65 - Incredibles - 597.13
1.30 - Dumped - 32.6

1.00 - Papillon - 1.00

0.85 - Jurassic - 413.12

 

0.50 - Teen Titans - 28.27

0.45 - Eighth Grade - 12.50

0.35 - Searching - 0.35

0.21 - Skyscraper - 67.11

0.17 - Ocean's 8 - 139.04

0.16 - Neighbor - 22.36

0.14 - Bother - 16.59

0.11 - Dog Days - 6.66

0.10 - Purge 4 - 68.91

0.08 - Solo - 213.60

0.08 - Uncle Drew - 42.31

0.07 - Infinity War - 678.70

0.06 - Tag - 54.43

0.02 - Hereditary - 44.06

Edited by dX airdry zid
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5 hours ago, dX airdry zid said:

18.0 - Crazy Rich Asians - 18.0

with the way the dailies are going, CRA is definitely not going to drop that hard. Many theaters are upgrading them to bigger auditoriums and premium screens. Why would it get a low Friday increase?

Edited by BenedictL11
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10 minutes ago, BenedictL11 said:

with the way the dailies are going, CRA is definitely not going to drop that hard. Many theaters are upgrading them to bigger auditoriums and premium screens. Why would it get a low Friday increase?

round Fri, Sat, & Sun at 6 million each.

compare from last weekend & weekdays

2018/08/17 1 $7,267,366 +94% 3,384 $2,148   $16,034,135 3
2018/08/18 1 $10,284,759 +42% 3,384 $3,039   $26,318,894 4
2018/08/19 1 $8,958,015 -13% 3,384 $2,647   $35,276,909 5
2018/08/20 1 $3,631,134 -59% 3,384 $1,073   $38,908,043 6
2018/08/21 1 $5,523,718 +52% 3,384 $1,632   $44,431,761 7
2018/08/22 1 $3,733,627 -32% 3,384 $1,103   $48,165,388 8
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Just now, dX airdry zid said:

round Fri, Sat, & Sun at 6 million each.

compare from last weekend & weekdays

2018/08/17 1 $7,267,366 +94% 3,384 $2,148   $16,034,135 3
2018/08/18 1 $10,284,759 +42% 3,384 $3,039   $26,318,894 4
2018/08/19 1 $8,958,015 -13% 3,384 $2,647   $35,276,909 5
2018/08/20 1 $3,631,134 -59% 3,384 $1,073   $38,908,043 6
2018/08/21 1 $5,523,718 +52% 3,384 $1,632   $44,431,761 7
2018/08/22 1 $3,733,627 -32% 3,384 $1,103   $48,165,388 8

Although I’m predicting more than you are for its 2nd weekend, I understand you’re playing it safe (not having too optimistic predictions to set yourself up for disappointment). 

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2 minutes ago, BenedictL11 said:

Although I’m predicting more than you are for its 2nd weekend, I understand you’re playing it safe (not having too optimistic predictions to set yourself up for disappointment). 

I don't think Saturday will do more than 8.0 million.  Friday and Sunday could be under 6.

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13 minutes ago, dX airdry zid said:

I don't think Saturday will do more than 8.0 million.  Friday and Sunday could be under 6.

Why is that?

 

However, thanks for sharing your opinion, but I still believe it will do more than your prediction. I'm staying positive.

 

I definitely hope the best for CRA.

Edited by BenedictL11
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3 minutes ago, BenedictL11 said:

Why is that?

already guessing at money that has not shown up yet.  

no reason for it to be off 20% or less from opening Saturday.  

Tuesday (+52%) matched opening day Wednesday (minus previews)  

Yesterdays 3.7 matched last Thursday's 3.75 (not shown here)

2018/08/17 1 $7,267,366 +94% 3,384 $2,148   $16,034,135 3
2018/08/18 1 $10,284,759 +42% 3,384 $3,039   $26,318,894 4
2018/08/19 1 $8,958,015 -13% 3,384 $2,647   $35,276,909 5
2018/08/20 1 $3,631,134 -59% 3,384 $1,073   $38,908,043 6
2018/08/21 1 $5,523,718 +52% 3,384 $1,632   $44,431,761 7
2018/08/22 1 $3,733,627 -32% 3,384 $1,103   $48,165,388 8
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3 minutes ago, dX airdry zid said:

already guessing at money that has not shown up yet.  

no reason for it to be off 20% or less from opening Saturday.  

Tuesday (+52%) matched opening day Wednesday (minus previews)  

Yesterdays 3.7 matched last Thursday's 3.75 (not shown here)

2018/08/17 1 $7,267,366 +94% 3,384 $2,148   $16,034,135 3
2018/08/18 1 $10,284,759 +42% 3,384 $3,039   $26,318,894 4
2018/08/19 1 $8,958,015 -13% 3,384 $2,647   $35,276,909 5
2018/08/20 1 $3,631,134 -59% 3,384 $1,073   $38,908,043 6
2018/08/21 1 $5,523,718 +52% 3,384 $1,632   $44,431,761 7
2018/08/22 1 $3,733,627 -32% 3,384 $1,103   $48,165,388 8

Like I said earlier, I hope the best for CRA and I understand you keep your predictions conservative. No hard feelings at all. I was just curious how you calculated at that projection.

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Spoiler

8/31-9/3

  1. Crazy Rich Asians: $26.5 million/$33 million ($120 million) 
  2. The Meg: $11.5 million/$14 million ($124 million) 
  3. Operation Finale: $8 million/$10 million ($15 million) 
  4. Mission: Impossible - Fallout: $7.5 million/$9.5 million ($207 million) 
  5. Christopher Robin: $6.75 million/$9.5 million ($89 million)  
  6. Kin: $5.5 million/$6.5 million
  7. Alpha: $5 million/$6.25 million ($29 million) 
  8. The Happytime Murders: $5 million/$6 million ($19 million) 
  9. BlacKkKlansman: $4.25 million/$5 million ($39 million) 
  10. Mile 22: $4 million/$4.75 million ($31 million) 

9/7-9/9

  1. The Nun: $47 million
  2. Crazy Rich Asians: $18 million ($144 million) 
  3. Peppermint: $12.5 million 
  4. The Meg: $6.25 million ($132 million) 
  5. Mission: Impossible - Fallout: $4 million ($213 million) 
  6. Christopher Robin: $4 million ($94 million) 
  7. Operation Finale: $3.5 million ($19 million) 
  8. Alpha: $3 million ($33 million) 
  9. BlacKkKlansman: $2.5 million ($42 million) 
  10. Kin: $2.5 million ($9 million) 

9/14-9/16

  1. The Predator: $26 million 
  2. A Simple Favor: $20.5 million 
  3. The Nun: $18.5 million ($75 million) 
  4. Crazy Rich Asians: $12 million ($162 million) 
  5. Peppermint: $5 million ($20 million) 
  6. Unbroken - Path to Redemption: $4 million 
  7. Christopher Robin: $3 million ($98 million) 
  8. The Meg: $2.25 million ($136 million) 
  9. Operation Finale: $2 million ($22 million) 
  10. Mission: Impossible - Fallout: $2 million ($216 million) 

9/21-9/23

  1. The House With a Clock In Its Walls: $34 million
  2. A Simple Favor: $13.5 million ($41 million) 
  3. The Predator: $10.5 million ($42 million) 
  4. Crazy Rich Asians: $10 million ($177 million) 
  5. The Nun: $9.5 million ($89 million) 
  6. Fahrenheit 11/9: $7 million 
  7. Life Itself: $4 million 
  8. Peppermint: $3 million ($23 million) 
  9. Unbroken - Path to Redemption: $2 million ($7 million) 
  10. Christopher Robin: $1.5 million ($100 million) 

9/28-9/30

  1. Night School: $32 million 
  2. The House With a Clock In Its Walls: $20.5 million ($61 million) 
  3. Smallfoot: $16 million 
  4. A Simple Favor: $9 million ($55 million) 
  5. Crazy Rich Asians: $8 million ($189 million) 
  6. Hell Fest: $6.5 million 
  7. The Nun: $5 million ($97 million) 
  8. The Predator: $4.5 million ($49 million) 
  9. Fahrenheit 11/9: $3 million ($11 million) 
  10. Life Itself: $2.5 million ($8 million) 

10/5-10/7

  1. Venom: $71 million 
  2. A Star is Born: $36.5 million 
  3. Night School: $18.5 million ($60 million) 
  4. The House With a Clock In Its Walls: $13 million ($77 million) 
  5. Smallfoot: $10.5 million ($29 million) 
  6. Crazy Rich Asians: $5.5 million ($197 million) 
  7. A Simple Favor: $3.5 million ($61 million) 
  8. The Nun: $3 million ($101 million) 
  9. Hell Fest: $2.25 million ($10 million) 
  10. The Predator: $2 million ($52 million) 

10/12-10/14

  1. First Man: $38 million
  2. Venom: $24.5 million ($108 million) 
  3. A Star is Born: $22 million ($70 million) 
  4. Goosebumps - Haunted Halloween: $14.5 million 
  5. Night School: $11 million ($76 million) 
  6. Bad Times at the El Royale: $8 million 
  7. Smallfoot: $6 million ($37 million) 
  8. The House With a Clock In Its Walls: $5.5 million ($84 million) 
  9. Crazy Rich Asians: $4 million ($203 million) 
  10. A Simple Favor: $2.5 million ($65 million) 

10/19-10/21

  1. Halloween: $73 million 
  2. First Man: $25 million ($76 million) 
  3. A Star is Born: $14.5 million ($92 million) 
  4. Venom: $13 million ($129 million) 
  5. Goosebumps - Haunted Halloween: $9.5 million ($27 million) 
  6. Night School: $6.5 million ($86 million) 
  7. The Hate U Give: $6 million 
  8. Smallfoot: $4 million ($42 million) 
  9. The House With a Clock In Its Walls: $3.5 million ($89 million) 
  10. Bad Times at the El Royale: $3 million ($12 million) 
  11. Crazy Rich Asians: $2.25 million ($206 million) 

10/26-10/28

  1. Halloween: $38 million ($131 million) 
  2. First Man: $16.5 million ($101 million) 
  3. A Star is Born: $9.5 million ($106 million) 
  4. Hunter Killer: $9 million 
  5. Venom: $8 million ($141 million) 
  6. Goosebumps - Haunted Halloween: $7.5 million ($37 million) 
  7. Night School: $4.5 million ($93 million) 
  8. Johnny English Strikes Again: $4 million 
  9. Smallfoot: $3 million ($46 million) 
  10. The Hate U Give: $2.5 million ($10 million) 
  11. The House With a Clock In Its Walls: $2.5 million ($92 million) 
  12. Indivisible: $2.25 million 

 

Edited by mahnamahna
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August 31-September 3 (4 day weekend):

 

1. Crazy Rich Asians - 28.5 / 113.8

2. The Meg - 14.3 / 123.1

3. Christopher Robin - 9.4 / 90.0

4. Mission Impossible 6 - 9.3 / 207.2

5. The Happytime Murders - 8.3 / 22.1

6. Operation Finale - 7.5

7. The BlacKKKlansman - 6.7 / 40.8

8. Alpha - 5.8 / 28.8

9. Kin - 5.5

10. Searching - 5.1 / 5.6

11. Mile 22 - 5.0 / 32.2

12. Hotel Transylvania 3 - 3.6 / 163.9

13. Ya Veremos - 3.5

14. The Incredibles 2 - 2.3 / 600.0

15. Ant-Man and the Wasp - 2.3 / 214.5

16. Mamma Mia 2 - 2.2 / 118.1

17. The Equalizer 2 - 1.9 / 100.7

18. A.X.L. - 1.8 / 5.5

19. Slender Man - 1.7 / 27.9

20. The Spy Who Dumped Me - 1.4 / 34.2

 

September 7-9:

 

1. The Nun - 40.2

2. Crazy Rich Asians - 13.5 / 134.2

3. Peppermint - 12.5

4. The Meg - 5.4 / 131.5

5. Christopher Robbin - 3.9 / 96.4

6. Mission Impossible 6 - 3.8 / 213.3

7. The BlacKKKlansman - 3.5 / 45.9

8. Operation Finale - 3.1 / 12.3

9. The Happytime Murders - 3.0 / 28.1

10. Searching - 2.3 / 9.2

11. Alpha - 2.2 / 32.5

11. Kin - 1.7 / 8.5

 

 

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All 3 day:

 

Crazy Rich Asians: 27M

The Meg: 13.5M

Mission: Impossible - Fallout: 8.5M

The Happytime Murders: 7.5M

Operation Finale: 7M (10M 5 day)

Christopher Robin: 6.9M

Mile 22: 6.2M

Alpha: 5.9M

BlacKkKlansman: 5.6M

Searching: 4.5M

Kin: 4M

A.X.L.: 3M

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3-day Only:

 

1. Crazy Rich Asians - $28.1m

2. The Meg - $11.8m

3. Mission: Impossible - Fallout - $8.2m

4. Operation: Finale - $6.8m

5. Christopher Robin - $6.6m

6. The Happytime Murders - $5.8m

7. Alpha - $5.5m

8. BlacKkKlansman - $5.1m

9. Mile 22 - $4.8m

10. Kin - $4.5m

11. Searching - $4.3m

 

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