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Weekend Prediction thread 8/19-8/21 Play the Derby

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No Good Deed and A Walk Among the Tombstones are gone.

The Good Lie, The Drop, The Giver, When the Game Stands Tall, and My Old Lady are gone.

 

Fury - 11 (debut)
Alexander and the Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad Day - 10 (down 2)
The Best of Me - 10 (debut)
The Book of Life - 7/3 (2D/3D) total 10 (debut)
Gone Girl - 10 (no change)
The Judge - 10 (down 1)
Dracula Untold - 9 (down 2)
Annabelle - 8 (down 2)
A Matter of Faith - 7 (debut)
Addicted - 5 (debut)
The Equalizer - 5 (down 5)
Guardians of the Galaxy - 5 (no change)
The Maze Runner - 5 (down 3)
The Boxtrolls - 4 (down 1)
Left Behind - 4 (down 1)
Dolphin Tale 2 - 2 (down 3)
This is Where I Leave You - 2 (down 3)
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10/17-10/19

  1. Fury: $31 million
  2. Book of Life: $22.5 million 
  3. Gone Girl: $18 million ($107 million) 
  4. Alexander: $12 million ($36 million) 
  5. The Best of Me: $11 million 
  6. Dracula Untold: $10.5 million ($41 million)
  7. Annabelle: $9 million ($75 million)
  8. The Judge: $8 million ($26 million)
  9. The Equalizer: $5.5 million ($89 million)
  10. The Maze Runner: $4.5 million ($90 million) 

10/24-10/26

  1. Ouija: $42.5 million 
  2. Fury: $20.5 million ($61 million) 
  3. Book of Life: $18 million ($46 million)
  4. Gone Girl: $14 million ($128 million)
  5. John Wick: $9.5 million 
  6. Alexander: $9 million ($47 million)
  7. The Best of Me: $6 million ($20 million)
  8. The Judge: $5.5 million ($34 million) 
  9. Dracula Untold: $4.5 million ($47 million)
  10. Annabelle: $4 million ($81 million) 

10/31-11/2

  1. Ouija: $19 million ($73 million)
  2. Book of Life: $16.5 million ($68 million)
  3. Fury: $13 million ($80 million)
  4. Gone Girl: $10.5 million ($143 million)
  5. Nightcrawlers: $8.5 million 
  6. Alexander: $6 million ($54 million) 
  7. St. Vincent: $5.5 million ($6 million) 
  8. John Wick: $4 million ($15 million) 
  9. The Judge: $4 million ($40 million)
  10. The Best of Me: $3.5 million ($25 million) 

11/7-11/9

  1. Interstellar: $80.5 million ($102 million) 
  2. Big Hero 6: $72 million 
  3. Fury: $8.5 million ($92 million) 
  4. Ouija: $7.5 million ($84 million)
  5. Gone Girl: $7 million ($153 million)
  6. Book of Life: $5 million ($74 million) 
  7. Nightcrawlers: $4.5 million ($15 million)
  8. St. Vincent: $3.5 million ($11 million)
  9. Alexander: $3 million ($57 million) 
  10. The Judge: $2.5 million ($43 million) 

11/14-11/16

  1. Interstellar: $54 million ($192 million)
  2. Big Hero 6: $46.5 million ($141 million)
  3. Dumb and Dumber To: $42 million 
  4. Beyond the Lights: $13 million 
  5. Fury: $7 million ($104 million)
  6. Gone Girl: $5.5 million ($162 million) 
  7. Ouija: $3.5 million ($89 million)
  8. Book of Life: $3 million ($78 million)
  9. Nightcrawlers: $2.5 million ($19 million)
  10. St. Vincent: $2.5 million ($14 million) 

11/21-11/23

  1. Mockingjay Part 1: $146 million 
  2. Interstellar: $28 million ($234 million)
  3. Big Hero 6: $25 million ($174 million)
  4. Dumb and Dumber To: $13 million ($62 million)
  5. Beyond the Lights: $5 million ($20 million)
  6. Fury: $4 million ($110 million)
  7. Gone Girl: $3.5 million ($167 million) 
  8. Ouija: $2 million ($92 million) 
  9. Book of Life: $1.5 million ($80 million)
  10. St. Vincent: $1.5 million ($16 million)

11/28-11/30

  1. Mockingjay Part 1: $62.5 million ($252 million)
  2. Penguins of Madagascar: $54.5 million ($75 million) 
  3. Interstellar: $29.5 million ($285 million) 
  4. Horrible Bosses 2: $26 million ($38 million) 
  5. Big Hero 6: $20.5 million ($207 million)
  6. Dumb and Dumber To: $10.5 million ($77 million) 
  7. Beyond the Lights: $3.5 million ($27 million)
  8. Fury: $3 million ($115 million)
  9. Gone Girl: $3 million ($173 million) 
  10. Foxcatcher: $2 million ($3 million) 

12/5-12/7

  1. Mockingjay Part 1: $26 million ($291 million) 
  2. Penguins of Madagascar: $25 million ($104 million)
  3. Interstellar: $16 million ($308 million)
  4. Horrible Bosses 2: $13 million ($57 million)
  5. Big Hero 6: $9 million ($219 million) 
  6. The Pyramid: $8 million 
  7. Dumb and Dumber To: $6 million ($86 million) 
  8. Beyond the Lights: $2 million ($30 million) 
  9. Gone Girl: $1.5 million ($175 million) 
  10. Fury: $1.5 million ($117 million) 

12/12-12/14

  1. Exodus: $63 million
  2. Penguins of Madgascar: $18.5 million ($128 million) 
  3. Mockingjay Part 1: $17 million ($317 million) 
  4. Interstellar: $10 million ($323 million) 
  5. Top Five: $9 million ($10 million) 
  6. Big Hero 6: $7.5 million ($228 million) 
  7. Horrible Bosses 2: $6 million ($66 million) 
  8. Dumb and Dumber To: $3.5 million ($91 million) 
  9. The Pyramid: $3 million ($12 million) 
  10. Foxcatcher: $2.5 million ($8 million) 

12/19-12/21

  1. The Hobbit 3: $67 million ($95 million) 
  2. Exodus: $33 million ($114 million) 
  3. Night at the Museum 3: $24.5 million 
  4. Annie: $16 million 
  5. Mockingjay Part 1: $10.5 million ($334 million) 
  6. Penguins of Madagascar: $9 million ($142 million)
  7. Interstellar: $7 million ($335 million)
  8. Top Five: $6 million ($20 million) 
  9. Big Hero 6: $4 million ($234 million) 
  10. Horrible Bosses 2: $4 million ($73 million) 

12/26-12/28

  1. The Hobbit 3: $46 million ($209 million) 
  2. Unbroken: $36.5 million ($52 million) 
  3. Into the Woods: $32 million ($50 million) 
  4. Exodus: $27 million ($177 million)
  5. The Interview: $24.5 million ($38 million) 
  6. Night at the Museum 3: $18 million ($66 million) 
  7. Annie: $12 million ($44 million) 
  8. Penguins of Madagascar: $7.5 million ($159 million) 
  9. Interstellar: $7 million ($349 million) 
  10. Top Five: $4 million ($28 million) 
Edited by mahnamahna
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The Best of Me seems like an obvious sub-$15M opener to me (and to theaters as well, almost every theater around me is showing it on only 1 screen). There's no appealing hook besides the connection to past Sparks adaptations, and there are too many titles with much more buzz taking up all the attention.

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1. Pitt is the Man: 30.9

2. The Day of the Dead Movie: 20.6

3. Revenge of a Bad Bond Girl: 19.5

4. From the Author of the Notebook and Dear John, Yeah That Really Tells You How Great This Is...: 19.4

5. Steve Carell vs. a Kangaroo: 11.4

6. Blacula Untold: 8.9

7. Duvall, Did You EVER have Hair? You were even balding on the Twilight Zone: 7.8

8. Evil Dolls: 7.7

9. The Angel from The Preacher's Wife has gone Bad: 5.4

10. The Walkers in a Maze: 4.8

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Fury - $26.4m

- may go higher, this is my conservative guesstimate

GG - $17.2m

-Harder drop this weekend due to competition for adult men (Fury) and women (Best of Me)

Book of Life - $16m

-Really hard to predict Book of Life.  I think it will draw out the latino audience and do good business

Best of Me - $14m

-No showstopper  

Alexander - $11.9m

- soft drop

Dracula - $10.6m

- hard, typical drop

Edited by lilmac
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Fury-27m (should open right around where Captain Phillips did or higher)

The Book of Life-19m (tough for this to break out with The Boxtrolls and Alexander, but it should attract latino audiences.) 

The Best of Me-12m I think women over 25 will still be attracted to Gone Girl. Leaving this movie for the under-25 and left overs. 

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Next week openers:
John Wick: 16.0 (a fresh Reeves films? WHOA ;))

Ouija: 16.0 (Couldn't pick what will win-this probably will be higher though)

23 Blast: 2.8 (600 theaters)

 

John Wick probably wont be that high-but you never know!

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10/24-10/26

 

1.) Ouija - $32M

2.) Fury - $14M 

3.) Gone Girl - $12.4M 

4.) John Wick - $12M 

5.) The Book of Life - $11M 

6.) Alexander - 9M 

7.) The Best of Me - $5.6M 

8.) The Judge - $5,5M 

9.) Dracula Untold - $5.2M 

10.) Annabelle - $4.4M  

 

$111.1M for the top 10.

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10/24-10/26

  1. Ouija: $42 million 
  2. John Wick: $18.5 million 
  3. Gone Girl: $14 million ($128 million) 
  4. Fury: $13.5 million ($43 million) 
  5. Book of Life: $13 million ($34 million)
  6. Alexander: $9.5 million ($48 million) 
  7. The Judge: $6 million ($35 million) 
  8. The Best of Me: $5.5 million ($18 million)
  9. Dracula Untold: $5 million ($48 million)
  10. Annabelle: $4.5 million ($80 million)

10/31-11/2

  1. Ouija: $19.5 million ($72 million)
  2. Book of Life: $13.5 million ($51 million) 
  3. Gone Girl: $11 million ($144 million) 
  4. John Wick: $10.5 million ($34 million) 
  5. Nightcrawler: $8.5 million 
  6. Fury: $8 million ($56 million)
  7. Before I Go to Sleep: $6.5 million 
  8. Alexander: $6 million ($55 million) 
  9. The Judge: $4.5 million ($40 million) 
  10. The Best of Me: $3.5 million ($23 million)

11/7-11/9

  1. Interstellar: $83.5 million ($102 million) 
  2. Big Hero 6: $72 million 
  3. Gone Girl: $7 million ($154 million) 
  4. Ouija: $6.5 million ($82 million) 
  5. Book of Life: $6 million ($58 million)
  6. Fury: $5 million ($63 million) 
  7. John Wick: $4.5 million ($41 million)
  8. Nightcrawler: $3.5 million ($13 million)
  9. Alexander: $3 million ($58 million)
  10. Before I Go to Sleep: $2 million ($10 million) 

11/14-11/6

  1. Interstellar: $57 million ($197 million)
  2. Big Hero 6: $44.5 million ($138 million)
  3. Dumb and Dumber To: $43 million
  4. Beyond the Lights: $7 million 
  5. Gone Girl: $5.5 million ($163 million) 
  6. Fury: $3.5 million ($69 million) 
  7. John Wick: $3 million ($46 million) 
  8. Book of Life: $2.5 million ($61 million)
  9. Ouija: $2 million ($85 million) 
  10. Alexander: $2 million ($61 million) 

11/21-11/23

  1. Mockingjay Part 1: $148.5 million 
  2. Interstellar: $30.5 million ($244 million)
  3. Big Hero 6: $26 million ($173 million)
  4. Dumb and Dumber To: $15 million ($66 million)
  5. Gone Girl: $3.5 million ($168 million) 
  6. Beyond the Lights: $2.5 million ($10 million)
  7. Fury: $2 million ($72 million)
  8. Foxcatcher: $2 million ($2 million) 
  9. John Wick: $1.5 million ($48 million)
  10. Alexander: $1 million ($62 million)

11/28-11/30

  1. Mockingjay Part 1: $63 million ($252 million)
  2. The Penguins of Madagascar: $52.5 million ($75 million) 
  3. Interstellar: $34 million ($299 million)
  4. Horrible Bosses 2: $27 million ($40 million) 
  5. Big Hero 6: $21.5 million ($207 million) 
  6. Dumb and Dumber To: $11.5 million ($83 million) 
  7. Gone Girl: $3 million ($173 million)
  8. Foxcatcher: $3 million ($6 million)
  9. Beyond the Lights: $2 million ($13 million)
  10. Fury: $1.5 million ($75 million)

12/5-12/7

  1. Mockingjay Part 1: $24.5 million ($289 million) 
  2. The Penguins of Madagascar: $23 million ($104 million) 
  3. Interstellar: $18.5 million ($326 million) 
  4. Horrible Bosses 2: $13 million ($59 million)
  5. Big Hero 6: $9.5 million ($218 million) 
  6. The Pyramid: $7 million 
  7. Dumb and Dumber To: $6.5 million ($92 million) 
  8. Gone Girl: $2 million ($176 million) 
  9. Foxcatcher: $2 million ($8 million) 
  10. Top Five: $1.5 million 

12/12-12/14

  1. Exodus: $57 million 
  2. The Penguins of Madagascar: $18.5 million ($126 million) 
  3. Mockingjay Part 1: $17 million ($315 million)
  4. Top Five: $14 million ($15 million) 
  5. Interstellar: $11.5 million ($343 million) 
  6. Big Hero 6: $8 million ($227 million) 
  7. Horrible Bosses 2: $7 million ($70 million) 
  8. Dumb and Dumber To: $4 million ($98 million) 
  9. Foxcatcher: $3 million ($12 million) 
  10. The Pyramid: $2.5 million ($11 million)

12/19-12/21

  1. The Hobbit 3: $68.5 million ($97 million)
  2. Exodus: $33.5 million ($111 million)
  3. Night at the Museum 3: $23 million 
  4. Annie: $17.5 million 
  5. Top Five: $11 million ($32 million) 
  6. Mockingjay Part 1: $10.5 million ($332 million) 
  7. The Penguins of Madagascar: $8.5 million ($139 million) 
  8. Interstellar: $7.5 million ($355 million) 
  9. Big Hero 6: $4.5 million ($233 million) 
  10. Horrible Bosses 2: $4 million ($76 million)

12/26-12/28

  1. The Hobbit 3: $44 million ($209 million)
  2. Unbroken: $40.5 million ($58 million)
  3. Into the Woods: $31 million ($48 million) 
  4. Exodus: $27 million ($171 million)
  5. The Interview: $25.5 million ($40 million)
  6. Night at the Museum 3: $18 million ($64 million)
  7. Annie: $14 million ($48 million) 
  8. Interstellar: $9 million ($375 million) 
  9. Mockingjay Part 1: $8.5 million ($351 million) 
  10. Top Five: $8 million ($48 million)
  11. The Penguins of Madagascar: $7 million ($156 million) 
  12. Big Hero 6: $3.5 million ($241 million)

1/2-1/4

  1. The Hobbit 3: $28.5 million ($282 million)
  2. Unbroken: $27 million ($125 million)
  3. Into the Woods: $20.5 million ($99 million)
  4. Exodus: $18 million ($216 million)
  5. The Interview: $16 million ($81 million)
  6. Night at the Museum 3: $12.5 million ($94 million)
  7. Annie: $9 million ($71 million)
  8. Interstellar: $7.5 million ($391 million)
  9. Mockingjay Part 1: $6 million ($365 million)
  10. Top Five: $5.5 million ($61 million)
  11. The Penguins of Madagascar: $4.5 million ($167 million) 
  12. Big Hero 6: $2.5 million ($247 million) 
Edited by mahnamahna
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Yep exactly-its a empty weekend, then again not a lot usually come out then. Brother Bear could of broken the then Halloween weekend record but it came out on Saturday instead. (Not as bad as the week after Thanksgiving or week after Labor Day of course)

Also while it would be a great day to open up a horror film-it would also have the problem of being a one day only film-as it would have a drop bigger then a Twilight film the next day. (Horror films do terrible after Halloween-well duh)

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