Weekend Prediction thread 4/19-4/21 Play the Derby

[stripe]

1 hour ago, damnitgeorge08 said:

Both were may releases. Unlike in may, 60% is ok drop to have now. Weekdays are stealing more from weekends. Bigger weekdays, smaller weekends.

 

Still, Guardians and Ant Man less than 60%

 

Also, Amazing SM 44% drop (I know Tuesday opening, but still)

 

[a2k]

1 hour ago, stripe said:

 

Still, Guardians and Ant Man less than 60%

 

Also, Amazing SM 44% drop (I know Tuesday opening, but still)

 

July weekdays will %-wise take away more from the weekend. Also it's Friday was too big a portion of the OW, so a 59%+ drop imo. 47.5m (which I used) gives 59.4% drop.

[Bernie86]

War 75M

Homecoming 48M

[Zakiyyah6]

Apes 3 68mil

Spidey 48.6-58.4%

[DAJK]

Apes - $62M

Homecoming - $49M

 

Big Sick - $9M

[Subzero]

APES - $70M+, then the rest ....

[Xillix]

Wish Upon - $6m

[mahnamahna]

Spoiler

7/14-7/16

1. War for the Planet of the Apes: $63.5 million 
2. Spider-Man - Homecoming: $48.5 million ($213 million) 
3. Despicable Me 3: $20 million ($188 million) 
4. The Big Sick: $14.5 million ($23 million) 
5. Baby Driver: $8 million ($72 million) 
6. Wonder Woman: $6 million ($381 million) 
7. Wish Upon: $4 million 
8. Cars 3: $3.5 million ($140 million) 
9. Transformers - The Last Knight: $3 million ($124 million) 
10. The House: $2.5 million ($23 million)

7/21-7/23

1. Dunkirk: $46.5 million 
2. War for the Planet of the Apes: $30 million ($121 million) 
3. Spider-Man - Homecoming: $25 million ($262 million) 
4. Girls Trip: $23.5 million
5. Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets: $16.5 million 
6. Despicable Me 3: $13 million ($214 million) 
7. The Big Sick: $10 million ($42 million) 
8. Baby Driver: $4 million ($80 million) 
9. Wonder Woman: $4 million ($388 million) 
10. Cars 3: $2.5 million ($145 million) 

7/28-7/30

1. The Emoji Movie: $37.5 million 
2. Dunkirk: $30.5 million ($105 million) 
3. Atomic Blonde: $20 million 
4. War for the Planet of the Apes: $17 million ($154 million) 
5. Girls Trip: $16 million ($54 million) 
6. Spider-Man - Homecoming: $14 million ($290 million) 
7. Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets: $7 million ($30 million) 
8. The Big Sick: $6.5 million ($55 million) 
9. Despicable Me 3: $6 million ($228 million) 
10. Wonder Woman: $3 million ($394 million) 

8/4-8/6

1. The Dark Tower: $44 million 
2. The Emoji Movie: $23 million ($82 million) 
3. Dunkirk: $21 million ($145 million) 
4. Girls Trip: $11.5 million ($75 million) 
5. Atomic Blonde: $11 million ($41 million) 
6. Detroit: $9.5 million 
7. War for the Planet of the Apes: $8 million ($169 million) 
8. Spider-Man - Homecoming: $7.5 million ($304 million) 
9. The Big Sick: $5 million ($64 million)
10. Kidnap: $4.5 million 

8/11-8/13

1. Annabelle - Creation: $31.5 million 
2. The Dark Tower: $24.5 million ($89 million) 
3. Dunkirk: $15 million ($172 million) 
4. The Emoji Movie: $14.5 million ($106 million) 
5. The Nut Job 2 - Nutty by Nature: $9.5 million 
6. Girls Trip: $8.5 million ($90 million) 
7. Atomic Blonde: $6 million ($52 million) 
8. The Glass Castle: $5 million 
9. War for the Planet of the Apes: $4.5 million ($177 million) 
10. Spider-Man - Homecoming: $4 million ($312 million) 

8/18-8/20

1. The Hitman's Bodyguard: $33.5 million 
2. The Dark Tower: $13 million ($110 million) 
3. Annabelle - Creation: $12 million ($50 million) 
4. Dunkirk: $11 million ($189 million) 
5. The Emoji Movie: $9.5 million ($118 million) 
6. The Nut Job 2 - Nutty by Nature: $6 million ($17 million) 
7. Logan Lucky: $5.5 million 
8. Girls Trip: $5 million ($98 million) 
9. The Glass Castle: $3 million ($10 million) 
10. War for the Planet of the Apes: $2.5 million ($181 million) 

8/25-8/27

1. The Hitman's Bodyguard: $22 million ($67 million) 
2. All Saints: $16.5 million 
3. Dunkirk: $8.5 million ($202 million) 
4. The Dark Tower: $8 million ($122 million) 
5. The Emoji Movie: $7 million ($127 million) 
6. Polaroid: $5 million 
7. Annabelle - Creation: $4.5 million ($57 million) 
8. The Nut Job 2 - Nutty by Nature: $4 million ($22 million)
9. Girls Trip: $3.5 million ($102 million) 
10. Logan Lucky: $3 million ($10 million) 

9/1-9/4

1. All Saints: $16 million/$22.5 million ($46 million) 
2. The Hitman's Bodyguard: $15 million/$19 million ($94 million) 
3. Dunkirk: $8 million/$10 million ($215 million) 
4. The Emoji Movie: $7.5 million/$10 million ($138 million) 
5. The Dark Tower: $6.5 million/$7.75 million ($133 million) 
6. Renegades: $5 million/$6 million 
7. Leap!: $4 million/$5 million ($6 million) 
8. Girls Trip: $3 million/$3.5 million ($107 million) 
9. Annabelle - Creation: $2.5 million/$3 million ($61 million) 
10. The Nut Job 2 - Nutty by Nature: $2.5 million/$3.25 million ($26 million) 

9/8-9/10

1. IT: $76.5 million 
2. All Saints: $10 million ($59 million) 
3. Home Again: $9 million 
4. The Hitman's Bodyguard: $7 million ($103 million) 
5. Dunkirk: $5 million ($222 million) 
6. The Emoji Movie: $4 million ($143 million)
7. Leap!: $2.5 million ($9 million) 
8. Renegades: $2 million ($8 million) 
9. Girls Trip: $1.5 million ($109 million) 
10. The Nut Job 2 - Nutty by Nature: $1.5 million ($28 million) 

9/15-9/17

1. IT: $43 million ($143 million) 
2. American Assassin: $7 million 
3. All Saints: $6.5 million ($68 million) 
4. Home Again: $5.5 million ($17 million) 
5. All I See is You: $5 million 
6. The Hitman's Bodyguard: $4.5 million ($110 million) 
7. Dunkirk: $4 million ($228 million) 
8. The Emoji Movie: $3 million ($147 million) 
9. Leap!: $1.75 million ($11 million) 
10. Girls Trip: $1 million ($110 million) 

9/22-9/24

1. Kingsman - The Golden Circle: $48.5 million 
2. Ninjago: $38 million 
3. IT: $22 million ($177 million) 
4. Friend Request: $4 million 
5. All Saints: $3.5 million ($73 million) 
6. Home Again: $3 million ($21 million) 
7. American Assassin: $3 million ($11 million) 
8. Dunkirk: $2.5 million ($232 million) 
9. All I See Is You: $2 million ($8 million) 
10. The Hitman's Bodyguard: $1.5 million ($112 million) 

9/29-10/1

1. Ninjago: $25 million ($70 million) 
2. Kingsman - The Golden Circle: $22 million ($82 million) 
3. American Made: $15.5 million
4. Flatliners: $12.5 million 
5. IT: $12 million ($196 million) 
6. All Saints: $2 million ($76 million) 
7. Home Again: $2 million ($24 million) 
8. Dunkirk: $1.5 million ($234 million) 
9. Friend Request: $1.5 million ($6 million) 
10. American Assassin: $1.5 million ($13 million) 

10/6-10/8

1. Blade Runner 2049: $52 million
2. My Little Pony - The Movie: $31 million 
3. The Mountain Between Us: $21.5 million 
4. Ninjago: $14.5 million ($88 million) 
5. Kingsman - The Golden Circle: $9.5 million ($97 million) 
6. IT: $7 million ($207 million) 
7. American Made: $6.5 million ($27 million) 
8. Flatliners: $5 million ($20 million) 
9. All Saints: $1.5 million ($78 million) 
10. Home Again: $1.5 million ($26 million) 

 

Edited July 14, 2017 by mahnamahna

[the beast]

Updated List:

 

7/14-7/16

1. WFTPOTA - $75M

2. SMH - $53M

3. DM3 - $18.7M

4. TBS - $15.4M

5. BD - $8.75M

6. WW - $6.5M

7. WU - $5M

8. Cars 3 - $3.2M

9. T5 - $3M

10. The House - $2.5M

 

7/21-7/23

1. Dunkirk - $54M

2. WFTPOTA - $37.2M

3. SMH - $27.6M

4. Girls Trip - $25M

5. Valerian - $20M

6. DM3 - $12M

7. TBS - $11.7M

8. BD - $7M

9. WW - $4.875M

10. Cars 3 - $2M

 

7/28-7/30

1. Emoji Movie - $40M

2. Dunkirk - $38M

3. Atomic Blonde - $21M

4. Girls Trip - $19.75M

5. WFTPOTA - $18.3M

6. SMH - $16.5M

7. Valerian - $12M

8. TBS - $9M

9. Despicable Me 3 - $5.75M

10. WW - $3.75M

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[Blankments]

1. War for the Planet of the Apes - 64.4M
2. Spider-Man: Homecoming - 52.7M
3. Despicable Me 3 - 22.2M
4. The Big Sick - 13.4M
5. Baby Driver - 8.2M
6. Wish Upon - 7.5M
7. Wonder Woman - 5.7M
8. Cars 3 - 3.5M
9. 47 Meters Down - 2.0M
10. Transformers: The Last Knight - 1.5M
11. The Beguiled - 1.4M
12. The House - 1.4M

[Steele131]

1. War for the Planet of the Apes 67M
2. Spider-Man: Homecoming 51M
3. Despicable Me 3 19M
4. The Big Sick 13.5M
5. Baby Driver 9M
6. Wonder Woman 6.3M

[Steele131]

1. War for the Planet of the Apes 67M
2. Spider-Man: Homecoming 51M
3. Despicable Me 3 19M
4. The Big Sick 13.5M
5. Baby Driver 9M
6. Wonder Woman 6.3M

[filmlover]

July 21-23 openers:

 

Dunkirk- $42M

Girls Trip- $28M

Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets- $16M

[Blankments]

On 7/7/2017 at 8:27 PM, Blankments said:

Rough Night, Captain Underpants: The First Epic Movie, All Eyez On Me, and The Mummy are gone. Drive-in is Despicable Me 3 and Spider-Man: Homecoming.

Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales and Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 are gone. Drive-in is still Despicable Me 3 and Spider-Man: Homecoming.

 

Spider-Man: Homecoming - 26/12/1/3 (2D/3D/IMAX/IMAX 3D) total 42 (down 9)

Despicable Me 3 - 25 (down 16)

War for the Planet of the Apes - 14/3/9 (2D/2D with D-BOX/3D) total 26 (debut)

Wish Upon - 17 (debut)
Baby Driver - 16 (no change)
The Big Sick - 16 (debut)

Cars 3 - 13 (down 1)

Wonder Woman - 12 (down 1)

The House - 11 (down 6)
Transformers: The Last Knight - 10 (down 7)
47 Meters Down - 5 (down 10)
Beatriz at Dinner - 3 (down 4)
The Book of Henry - 2 (down 4)

[Maxmoser3]

Dunkirk:$41 million

Girls Trip:$24 million

Valerian:$14 million

[ymblcza]

Dunkirk  $70m

[WrathOfHan]

Dunkirk: 40M

Planet of the Apes: 25.4M

Girls Trip: 23M

Spider-Man: 22.3M
Valerian: 20M

Despicable Me 3: 10.4M

Baby Driver: 5.7M

The Big Sick: 4.5M

Wonder Woman: 4.3M

Wish Upon: 2M

[the beast]

7/21-7/23

 

1. Dunkirk - $47M / $50M

2. Apes 3 - $27.5M

3. Girls Trip - $25M

4. SMH - $23.5M

5. Valerian - $23M

[Ezen Baklattan]

Dunkirk - $45m

Girls Trip - $30m

Apes - $25m

Spider-Man - $23m

Valerian - $17.5m

Despicable - $11m

Baby Driver - $5.5m

The Big Sick - $4.8m

Wonder Woman - $4.3m

Wish Upon - $2m

[TwoMisfits]

Can I hope for 3 $100M movies b/c we're getting 3 premier (and mostly original) movies coming wide to theaters next week?:)  Dang, this is the predict thread, not the dream thread, so let me bring my choices down to a sad reality...I want to be higher, I hope they are higher, but these are my guesses for 3 movies not marketed to me...if one offers a free ticket deal (or practically free one) on Atom or Fandango, I may revise these...

 

Dunkirk - $38M (I'd go higher, but the market is so stuffed for this demo and 1 screen/theater is light, although the shortness of the film does enable extra screenings)

Girls Trip - $24M (R rated movies have crashed and burned all summer, this is only getting a single screen with 60 seats so far at one local and I'm not sure how many theaters overall it will get - this is again limited by the screens/showings...PLUS women comedies are tough - sometimes women show up the 1st weekend and then it dies and sometimes they take forever to get there...I'm going with the "take forever" like Bad Moms b/c of all the other R rateds that just didn't hit) - EDIT: Okay, other local just added an extra showing Friday night on a 2nd screen and this local is selling like hot cakes, so this could be a feast/famine movie depending...so I'm gonna up my guess b/c my other local could swap to the bigger theater, although looking between the 2, it is crazy the difference in sales for theaters 10 miles apart...one has Friday night shows practically sold out in 110 seat screens and the other has 10 seats sold in 60...

Valerian - I've got no idea - but it's got, at this point only 4 showings/day at one local with a 2d/3d split and 5 at the other...so wild unhappy guess is $15M - I can't blame the money spent on marketing b/c they've tried to put this everywhere, but I don't think they had the "right message" to get people here to see it...and there's too many other options for the demo...

Edited July 17, 2017 by TwoMisfits