Horror 2015

[Boxofficerules]

Hopefully. The genre seriously needs a big hit.

I'd rather a decent horror movie became a big hit rather than a shitting looking one like Polterguist

[PDC1987]

If Poltergeist is a big hit/tops $100 million it will be down to the brand recognition and the corresponding expectations, as well as an aggressive ad campaign and Memorial Day Weekend release. It has several commercial advantages.

[Maxmoser3]

If Poltergeist is a big hit/tops $100 million it will be down to the brand recognition and the corresponding expectations, as well as an aggressive ad campaign and Memorial Day Weekend release. It has several commercial advantages.

thats all it has going for also it could be decent counter programming against Tomorrowland

[MovieMan89]

I don't see Poltergeist doing more than 50m DOM. It doesn't look like it will appeal at all to fans of the original, and I think the younger audience will find it very pat. Seems kinda dated given all the supernatural horror we're now used to. Insidious 3 should drop a decent bit if it follows most 3rd horror installments. The first Sinister was only a very moderate hit and I don't think it built much hype for a sequel. So I guess that leaves Gallows as the only thing that could be a real horror hit this summer. But I could also see it doing under 20m so who knows with that one.

[PDC1987]

Sinister only grossed $6 million less than Insidious.

[Krissykins]

Sinister 2 is quite hard to predict.

The first film seems to have a pretty good reputation. So it could increase. I don't see it increasing as much as Insidious 2 did though.

[MovieMan89]

Sinister only grossed $6 million less than Insidious.

Yes, but only had a 2.6x multi opposed to Insidious' 4.2x multi. That would suggest that the want and demand for a sequel will be nowhere near what it was for Insidious because that movie clearly had great WOM. Sinister was probably liked OK, but I think the multi makes it safe to say people didn't think that much of it. I would be surprised if the sequel has much hype. Though speaking personally, Sinister is one of my fav horror films of the past 5 years. I just don't think a lot of others who saw it agree with me.

[Krissykins]

Yes, but only had a 2.6x multi opposed to Insidious' 4.2x multi. That would suggest that the want and demand for a sequel will be nowhere near what it was for Insidious because that movie clearly had great WOM. Sinister was probably liked OK, but I think the multi makes it safe to say people didn't think that much of it. I would be surprised if the sequel has much hype. Though speaking personally, Sinister is one of my fav horror films of the past 5 years. I just don't think a lot of others who saw it agree with me.

Remember the studio spread Insidious' marketing budget out over several weeks after the film was released, rather than just beforehand.

[Maxmoser3]

Horror sequels are tough to predict because with Nightmare On Elm Street 2,3,or 4 or a Purge:Anarchy or there's always a Silent Hill:Revelation or The Grudge 2 and The Ring Two. So Sinister 2 is hard to predict while with critics on the first movie they liked it while audiences were 50/50 and with it's somewhat quieter release date in August it might have a larger decresase from the first movie.

[Maxmoser3]

Also I think Insidious 3 might just wind up around the first Insidious unadjusted. While Poltergeist I feel a domestic total around Deliver Us From Evil to even The Evil Dead Remake.

[Krissykins]

New poster for Poltergeist:

http://www.flickeringmyth.com/2015/04/new-poster-and-featurette-for-the-poltergeist-remake.html

[PDC1987]

Yes, but only had a 2.6x multi opposed to Insidious' 4.2x multi. That would suggest that the want and demand for a sequel will be nowhere near what it was for Insidious because that movie clearly had great WOM. Sinister was probably liked OK, but I think the multi makes it safe to say people didn't think that much of it. I would be surprised if the sequel has much hype. Though speaking personally, Sinister is one of my fav horror films of the past 5 years. I just don't think a lot of others who saw it agree with me.

What's the average F&F multiplier again?

[Mockingjay Raphael]

And how about PA 3D? Any predictions? Maybe Saw 3D's numbers? Or this franchise is dead?

[kitik]

Watched a fun little movie on netflix called Wolfcop.

 

These guys had some fun making this movie. Far from perfect, but it had it's moments. Good schlock.

[Jack Nevada]

Wolfcop sucks ass.

[kitik]

Wolfcop sucks ass.

 

It certainly wasn't great, but it had enough moments to keep it from being horrible. But maybe that's just us. The second before the car-fixer-upper scene started, I shouted out "montage" and was rewarded with the thrill of victory. (everyone enjoys watching movies in different ways)

 

Right after Wolfcop, we watched Lost River (by Ryan Gosling). Talk about two movies that could barely be any farther apart. That's not necessarily a good movie either, but we found it enjoyable enough, if for no other reasons than that we immediately recognized where it was filmed, and loved a lot of the beautiful imagery throughout the film. Gorgeous desolation.

 

As with many movies, it just has to catch you in the right mood at the right time.

[Krissykins]

So Poltergeist has opened at #4 with $23,000,000 3 day. The best horror start since Annabelle 7 months ago. The only other $20m+ opener in 2014 was The Purge: Anarchy.

Update

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HORROR 2015

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Horror 2014 http://forums.boxofficetheory.com/index.php?/topic/13107-horror-2014/

Horror 2013 http://forums.boxoffice.com/index.php?/topic/7499-horror-2013/

Horror 2012 http://forums.boxoffice.com/index.php?/topic/2043-horror-2012/

The Woman in Black 2: Angel of Death

Release Date: January 2nd, 2015

Opening Weekend: $15,027,415

Domestic Total: $26,500,000

Worldwide Total: $37,000,000

The Lazarus Effect

Release Date: February 20th, 2015

Opening Weekend: $10,600,000

Domestic Total: $25,800,000

Worldwide Total: $36,100,000

It Follows

Release Date: March 13th, 2015

Opening Weekend: $160,000

Domestic Total: $14,500,000

Worldwide Total: $16,500,000

Unfriended

Release Date: April 10th, 2015

Opening Weekend: $15,800,000

Domestic Total: $32,100,000

Worldwide Total: $42,700,000

Poltergeist 3D

Release Date: May 22nd, 2015

Opening Weekend: $23,000,000

Domestic Total: $23,000,000

Worldwide Total: $23,000,000

Insidious Chapter 3

Release Date: June 5th, 2015

The Gallows

Release Date: July 10th, 2015

Sinister 2

Release Date: August 24th, 2015

The Visit

Release Date: September 11th, 2015

Before I Wake

Release Date: September 25th, 2015

Crimson Peak

Release Date: October 16th, 2015

Paranormal Activity: The Ghost Dimension

Release Date: October 23rd, 2015

Rings

Release Date: November 13th, 2015

Krampus

Release Date: December 4th, 2015

Limited/Platform Releases:

Voices February 2nd

Clown March 2nd

Knock Knock

The Vatican Tapes

Hayride 2 (March 6th)

Spring (March 20th)

Nightlight (March 27th)

The Vatican Tapes (May 22nd)

Out of the Dark (May 22nd)

The Human Centipede 3 (May 22nd)

Exeter (July2nd)

Creep(July14th)

The Witch (A24)

The Hallow (IFC)

Rob Zombies 31

The Final Girls

The Invitation

Hangman

In Development/2016

The Conjuring 2: June 10th, 2016

IT (Filming summer 2015)

Untitled Blumhouse January 8th, 2016

Viral February 16th, 2016

Amityville: The Awakening April 15th, 2016

Untitled New Line Horror January 29th, 2016

The Purge 3 July 1st, 2016

Untitled New Line Horror September 9th, 2016

Untitled Blumhouse Horror October 21st, 2016

Leatherface

The Green Inferno Completed

Curve Completed/Blumhouse

Demonic Dimension/ Opening internationally April 2015

The Disappointments RoomRelativity

Kristy Dimension/VOD

Incarnate Blumhouse/Completed

Cell Samuel L Jackson, John Cusack/Completed

7500 ORF/Opened internationally in 2014

The Bringing Sony

Home Appian Way (DiCaprio)

The Grudge Sony

Transference Dimension

Halloween 3 Dimension

I Know What You Did Last Summer Sony

Resident Evil 6 Sony, 2016

In A Dark Place In Development

Shannon/Swift In Development

The Unsacred In Development

White Smoke In Development

Pet Semetary In Development

The Birds In Development

Sleepaway Camp In Development

Hellraiser In Development (Hell)

The Twilight Zone In Development

Territorial In Development

Bird Box In Development

Peekers In Development

[theultimatebiu]

Still waiting for a breakout horror movie this year.

[Mockingjay Raphael]

Still waiting for a breakout horror movie this year.

Crimson Peak

[Mockingjay Raphael]

Do you guys think Sinister 2 can see the same increase as Insidious 2?