San Andreas OS Thread | 314m OS | 469.6m WW | China biggest OS market with 101.4m

[zackzack]

I could see this being the "World War Z" of this summer. A blockbuster everyone thought was going to tank and flop....but ends up being more of a sleeper success.

 

$375-$440 OS (Especially with China going for it)

 

WWZ is a zombie thriller that had a series of frequently reported production problems. The zombie genre never did gross more than $80M dom. 

San Andreas on the other hand belongs to the tried-and-true disaster thriller which historically is very popular. 2012 earned $700M WW.  Day After Tomorrow, Poseidon Adventure, and Towering Inferno - all are hugely popular.

 

Also, just for comparison's sake: Towering Inferno would have grossed close to $500M if it is released today. Earthquake (1974) would have done $300M+ & Poseidon Adventure (1972) $400M+

[fmpro]

With MMFR doing very good business, Warner may have a nice pair of medium-sized hits (Andreas $400M WW, MMFR $300M WW) here that sums to an equivalent of a single superhero movie ($600M -$700M WW). Problem is price tag of Max is little too high.

300 mill for MMFR is a liiiiiite low

[Hernan Gonzalez]

San Andreas opened on Top all over Latin America but the earthquake was not so strong, around 4 or 5 points in the richter scale. It hit harder in Peru and Bolivia than in Argentina or Chile

[A District 3 Engineer]

This will be released next weekend here in Venezuela.

[John Marston]

Apparently this is flopping overseas ?

[IndustriousAngel]

No, that's no flop, just a poor performance if its first days are any indication. With the comparatively low budget (for a big-scale disaster movie) it should be out of trouble financial wise.

[DAJK]

No, that's no flop, just a poor performance if its first days are any indication. With the comparatively low budget (for a big-scale disaster movie) it should be out of trouble financial wise.

Wait, what? I thought this would be a big hit overseas!

[miketheavenger]

Wait, what? I thought this would be a big hit overseas!

I think he's talking mostly about its performance in Germany+Austria where it's doing comparatively modest numbers.

[IndustriousAngel]

It's not doing that well in France, either (which is a more important market). UK looks better!

[picores]

Europe is not relevant for this movie. Its Asia and Latin America where it'll make its money. It should do quite well in China, Mexico, Brazil, S.Korea....I think it will outgross Pacific Rim in almost all big markets, have my doubts with China.

 

300+ OS looks like a safe bet.

[Hernan Gonzalez]

Europe is not relevant for this movie. Its Asia and Latin America where it'll make its money. It should do quite well in China, Mexico, Brazil, S.Korea....I think it will outgross Pacific Rim in almost all big markets, have my doubts with China.

 

300+ OS looks like a safe bet.

I don't know about Mexico. Remember that Pacific Rim 's director is Guillermo del Toro. But all over the rest of LA San Andreas should easily win. $50m+ from LA could happen so $300m+ OS seems right to me

[sfran43]

$350-$400M WW

[jiangsen]

According to BoxOffice.com, San Andreas has made $21.4M from 60 markets through Friday:

http://pro.boxoffice.com/news/2015-05-30-san-andreas-finishes-friday-with-214m-overseas

Edited May 30, 2015 by jiangsen

[picores]

Mexico OD: $2.5m

[John Rambo]

It can gross approx 40-50m from OS this weekend

[John Marston]

It can gross approx 40-50m from OS this weekend

 

 

that seems poor. So this might be a flop

? 

[picores]

It can gross approx 40-50m from OS this weekend

 

No. Much more.

[picores]

that seems poor. So this might be a flop

? 

 

Epic flop.

[Asyulus]

that seems poor. So this might be a flop

?

Nope, not a flop, with $110M budget, this will be around $150M domestic, and $400M internationally.

[grim22]

It can gross approx 40-50m from OS this weekend

 

It grossed 24M on Friday, will probably see around 80M or so for the weekend.