9 out of 12 months will have a film break its OW record 2015?

[alisson23]

Yea the Wednesday debut will kill Scorch Trials' chances. OW itself will probably stay flat with 42-45M 5-day.

With this, 3-day would be about 42M. Not a record. :8

[Bastien]

Month : best of the year (OW / +% (+m$) from the previous record)

Record

Not a Record

Jan : American Sniper (89 269 000$ / +115% (47.8m$) from the previous record)

Feb : Fifty Shades of Grey (85 171 000 $ / +2% (1.4m$))

March : Cinderella (67 877 000 $ / -55.5% (-84.7m$)

April : Furious 7 (147 187 000 $ / +54.9% (+52.2m$)

May : Avengers 2 (191 271 000 $ / -7.8% (-16.2m$)

My predictions :

June : Jurassic World (92 000 000 $)

July : Minions (78 000 000 $)

August : Fantastic Four (44 000 000 $)

Sept : Hotel Transylvania 2 (46 000 000 $)

Oct : Crimson Peak (48 000 000 $)

Nov : Mockingjay Part II (159 000 000 $)

Dec : Star Wars VII (165 000 000 $)

[Mattrek]

Uncross August and June and I'm in agreement.

[Avatree]

With this, 3-day would be about 42M. Not a record. :8

42M 5 day = 42M 3 day? How is that?

[alisson23]

See others sequels which opened on wednesday release and compare with its sequels with normal ow and create possible legs if is possible (sequels with same reception)

ex: eclipse did 157M 5-day ow

Twilight sequels did about 140M ow

eclipse would do about 144M 3-day with franchise average legs. about 8% of decrease from 5-day.

This means a 41.4M 3-day from a 45M 5-day opening for mr2. But eclipse was a summer release. Bigger weekdays. So a 42M 3day from a 42M-45M 5day looks solid

Edited May 6, 2015 by TheMazeRunner23

[grim22]

October looks like no record since The Martian missed it. November will be interesting to see, MJ2 will rebound on OW from MJ1 thanks to IMAX, but 158M is a big ask.

 

6 months of the year is a lock. 

Edited October 22, 2015 by grim22