Jump to content

Impact

2015 Best Picture predictions!

Recommended Posts



10 hours ago, movieboner said:

And with Leo getting nominated and might win.

Leo has been nominated 4 times before, that wont boost ratings, plus given the fact that will be one of the last awards of the night...

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Gold Derby win/nomination count:

 

Spotlight: 22/24 (everyone is predicting a nomination)

The Martian: 2/23

Carol: 0/24 (everyone is predicting a nomination)

The Revenant: 0/23

Mad Max: 0/22

The Big Short: 0/21

Brooklyn: 0/20

Room: 0/20

Bridge of Spies: 0/15

Straight Outta Compton: 0/10

Star Wars: 0/8

Inside Out: 0/7

Steve Jobs: 0/6

Creed: 0/3

Joy: 0/3

Trumbo: 0/3

Hateful Eight: 0/2

The Danish Girl: 0/1

Beasts of No Nation: 0/1

 

Ridley Scott: 11/23

Tom McCarthy: 9/23

George Miller: 3/21

Alejandro Inarritu: 1/23

Todd Haynes: 0/19

Steven Spielberg: 0/3

Lenny Abrahamson: 0/2

Danny Boyle: 0/2

JJ Abrams: 0/1

John Crowley: 0/1

Adam McKay: 0/1 

David O Russell: 0/1

 

Leonardo DiCaprio: 24/24 (EVERYONE is predicting a win)

Michael Fassbender: 0/22

Eddie Redmayne: 0/22

Bryan Cranston: 0/16

Matt Damon: 0/15

Johnny Depp: 0/11

Will Smith: 0/6

Michael Caine: 0/3

Ian McKellen: 0/1

Geza Rohrig: 0/1

 

Brie Larson: 22/24 (everyone is predicting a nomination)
Saoirse Ronan: 2/24 (everyone is predicting a nomination)

Cate Blanchett: 0/23

Jennifer Lawrence: 0/19

Charlotte Rampling: 0/19

Lily Tomlin: 0/3

Carey Mulligan: 0/2

Charlize Theron: 0/2

Rooney Mara: 0/1 (in case the Academy puts her lead)

Helen Mirren: 0/1

Maggie Smith: 0/1

Alicia Vikander: 0/1 (in case the Academy puts her lead)

 

Mark Rylance: 8/25 (everyone is predicting a nomination)

Sylvester Stallone: 5/20

Mark Ruffalo: 5/13

Michael Keaton: 3/13

Idris Elba: 2/19

Paul Dano: 1/7

Tom Hardy: 1/5

Michael Shannon: 0/8

Jacob Tremblay: 0/8

Christian Bale: 0/6

Harrison Ford: 0/1

 

Rooney Mara: 17/23

Alicia Vikander (Danish Girl): 5/22

Jane Fonda: 1/8

Alicia Vikander (Ex Machina): 1/2

Jennifer Jason Leigh: 0/21

Kate Winslet: 0/21

Helen Mirren: 0/12

Rachel McAdams: 0/7

Joan Allen: 0/2

Elizabeth Banks: 0/1

Kristen Stewart: 0/1

 

Screenplays:

 

Spotlight: 21/24 (everyone is predicting a nomination)

Inside Out: 2/22

Hateful Eight: 1/20

Bridge of Spies: 0/17

Joy: 0/11

Trainwreck: 0/7

Straight Outta Compton: 0/6

Son of Saul: 0/4

Ex Machina: 0/3

Sicario: 0/2

Youth: 0/2

Love and Mercy: 0/1

Suffragette: 0/1

 

Steve Jobs: 10/20

Room: 6/22

Carol: 4/22

The Martian: 2/14

Brooklyn: 1/19

The Big Short: 1/11

The Revenant: 0/6

The Danish Girl: 0/2

Trumbo: 0/2

Anomalisa: 0/1

Beasts of No Nation: 0/1

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites







On 12/31/2015 at 1:15 PM, WrathOfHan said:

The Big Short is going to screw them over big time.

Yep, experts are gravely underestimating that movie in the director, actor, s actor, and screenplay categories right now. I will be pretty surprised if any of those don't end up getting nommed. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites



Updated nomination counts in my predictions:

 

10: Mad Max (Picture, Director, Cinematography, Editing, Production Design, Visual Effects, Makeup, Costume Design, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing)

8: The Martian (Picture, Director, Actor, Adapted Screenplay, Editing, Visual Effects, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing), The Revenant (Picture, Director, Actor, Cinematography, Editing, Makeup, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing)

7: Carol (Picture, Actress, Supporting Actress, Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Costume Design, Production Design)

6: The Big Short (Picture, Director, Actor, Supporting Actor, Adapted Screenplay, Editing), Star Wars (Picture, Score, Production Design, Costume Design, Visual Effects, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing)

5: Inside Out (Picture, Original Screenplay, Animated Feature, Score, Sound Editing)

4: The Hateful Eight (Supporting Actress, Original Screenplay, Cinematography, Score), Spotlight (Picture, Director, Original Screenplay, Editing), Steve Jobs (Actor, Supporting Actress, Adapted Screenplay, Score)

3: Bridge of Spies (Supporting Actor, Original Screenplay, Score), Room (Picture, Actress, Adapted Screenplay)

2: Cinderella (Costume Design, Production Design), Creed (Supporting Actor, Song), Crimson Peak (Costume Design, Production Design), The Danish Girl (Actor, Supporting Actress), Love and Mercy (Supporting Actor, Sound Mixing)

Link to comment
Share on other sites











1 hour ago, The Panda Menace said:

If the Big Short takes the sag and gets a DGA nod, I think it's winning.

After seeing it it seems so obvious to me it is the big winner this year. No idea why it's taking so long to gain traction as the frontrunner, but I suspect it will be another Argo. Except this time winning director too. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites





15 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

After seeing it it seems so obvious to me it is the big winner this year. No idea why it's taking so long to gain traction as the frontrunner, but I suspect it will be another Argo. Except this time winning director too. 

 

It's had good showings at all of the major precursors so far.  It's in the AFI top 10, nominated for the SAG (and one of the two SAG nominees that has a strong Oscar nomination shot), a good number of Critics Choice noms (only needed a decent presence there), a strong Globes showing and now it's having a pretty good Box Office rollout (will likely be a slow leggy run, similar to Imitation Game).  Spotlight does feel like Zero Dark Thirty or Boyhood in a way, very strong with the critic circles, but doesn't seem to have the steam to go the full distance.

 

Add to that, nothing else this year is much competition.  Room and Carol are too small, Spies and Brooklyn have no momentum, Mad Max and Star Wars will be happy with a nomination, The Martian didn't get any SAG nominations, Inside Out is animation, and Inarritu won last year with Birdman so Revenant won't win (nor does it have the steam to).

 

Spotlight may have peaked too early, as the Big Short seems to have a lot of latecomer momentum going for it.  Not to mention, it has a strong political message that'll play well in election season, and I'm sure there are a lot of Academy members that would love to cash in on that.  Paramount should start campaigning hard.

Edited by The Panda Menace
  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites





Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.



  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use and Guidelines. Feel free to read our Privacy Policy as well.