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kayumanggi

THE HUNGER GAMES: MOCKINGJAY II | 371.7 M overseas | 653.4 M worldwide

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If Twilight: BD2 could get over 500M OS despite coming of a hated franchise, then I think HG:MJ2 could finish a bit higher than that.

Twilight was hated by certain people (most of whom never saw any Twilight films anyway), but it was actually generally well liked by its target audience.

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It has China as an advantage and I think it will do better in China than the last ones. And it's in 3D in foreign parts.

Also it's a finale part. Those "Part 2" films tends to hit the biggest, OS-wise. Look at Twilight:BD2 & HP:DH2.

If Twilight: BD2 could get over 500M OS despite coming of a hated franchise, then I think HG:MJ2 could finish a bit higher than that.

Chinese effect could go to the other side. Yuan (Chinese currency) is plummeting because of a devaluation ordered by Chinese government.

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It has China as an advantage and I think it will do better in China than the last ones. And it's in 3D in foreign parts.

Also it's a finale part. Those "Part 2" films tends to hit the biggest, OS-wise. Look at Twilight:BD2 & HP:DH2.

If Twilight: BD2 could get over 500M OS despite coming of a hated franchise, then I think HG:MJ2 could finish a bit higher than that.

Exact, if BD2 made $500m+ being only 2D and without China, I don't see how MJ2 will miss this mark

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my thinking is the finale effect could pull this over 550m without anything extra from China.  while China can't be expected to improve on every movie, i think this can also get a china increase on top of the finale effect.

 

600m+ for me OS.

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Let's put it into perspective:

 

Harry Potter:

Twilight

The Hunger Games

DH 1 Dom: 296m

DH 1 OS: 664.3m

DH 1 WW: 960.2m

BD 1 Dom: 281m

BD 1 OS: 431m

BD 1 WW: 712m

Mp1 Dom: 337m

Mp1 OS: 420m*

Mp1 WW: 757m*

DH 2 Dom: 381m

DH 2 OS: 960m

DH 2 WW: 1,341m

BD 2 Dom: 292m

BD 2 OS: 537m

BD 2 WW: 829m

 

Diff 1-2 Dom: +85m

Diff 1-2 OS: +296m

Diff 1-2 WW: +381m

Diff 1-2 Dom: +9m

Diff 1-2 OS: +107m

Diff 1-2 WW: +117m

 

*According to deadline (including Japan)

According to BOM OS: 414m; WW: 752m

 

Thougths? Edited by A D3 Rebel
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$ is stronger against most currencies since MJ1. Take that account while projecting this. I doubt it will break out in China either. Its release will be sandwiched between SW7, KFP3 and other flicks in January and then CNY will lose all screens.

 

Country Currency depreciation

Brazil - 35%

Mexico - 25%

Euro - 10%

AUD - 20%

 

So I dont see all this 50% increase predictions.

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$ is stronger against most currencies since MJ1. Take that account while projecting this. I doubt it will break out in China either. Its release will be sandwiched between SW7, KFP3 and other flicks in January and then CNY will lose all screens.

Country Currency depreciation

Brazil - 35%

Mexico - 25%

Euro - 10%

AUD - 20%

So I dont see all this 50% increase predictions.

We already know the release date in China?

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$ is stronger against most currencies since MJ1. Take that account while projecting this. I doubt it will break out in China either. Its release will be sandwiched between SW7, KFP3 and other flicks in January and then CNY will lose all screens.

 

Country Currency depreciation

Brazil - 35%

Mexico - 25%

Euro - 10%

AUD - 20%

 

So I dont see all this 50% increase predictions.

Is a currency appreciation in sight for the mentioned countries?

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Mockingjay Part 2 will have a Beijing Premiere (first time ever) on 12 November.  20 November will be the release date.

 

My prediction:  No less than around 50 million for China, possibly more. 

The premiere will bring in publicity and probably more money. 

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Yeah, 50M is a reasonable guess, competition is fierce.

Uurrgh....HG-movies has to be in the worst of the worst Chinese release slots.

Who picks those release dates for a HG-flick??? I don't get it.

Edited by MrFanaticGuy34

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Uurrgh....HG-movies has to be in the worst of the worst Chinese release slots.

Who picks those release dates for a HG-flick???

I think the release date is good!    Why is it bad?   Are there other movies that close.   I know Spectre comes out before it, but I don't see that being a problem.

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