Avatree Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 baumer: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mattrek Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 I was kind of wondering why you chose such an arbitrary deadline for this year, good now I get to mess around a little more and screw up my predictions even further. My top 15 is either going to completely break me or make me look like a genius. I have a lot of bold picks in there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandrew Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 Am i the only one with Max in the top 15?? That looks like a summer family crowd pleaser for sure. One of these non-franchises always breaks out, I think it'll be that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
laguy03 Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 Am i the only one with Max in the top 15?? That looks like a summer family crowd pleaser for sure. One of these non-franchises always breaks out, I think it'll be that. That's one of the movies I kept switching in and out of my Top 15. It doesn't look all that appealing to me but I can imagine it being appealing to a very large audience. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandrew Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 That's one of the movies I kept switching in and out of my Top 15. It doesn't look all that appealing to me but I can imagine it being appealing to a very large audience. I hope you're right on your stuff, because I copied a lot of your answers haha, especially the overseas ones. I'm not that good with OS and WW, America has spoiled me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bcf26 Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 Am i the only one with Max in the top 15?? That looks like a summer family crowd pleaser for sure. One of these non-franchises always breaks out, I think it'll be that. I think Max can do 75M. It didn't enter my Top 15 though. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bcf26 Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 I just realized. Does Kelli even know who Ron Jeremy is? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bcf26 Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 Max over Mad Max: Fury Road. What do you guys think? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bcf26 Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 (edited) Lastly, #ED if my predictions mirror yours it is just COINCIDENCE. Edited May 1, 2015 by bcf26 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
laguy03 Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 I hope you're right on your stuff, because I copied a lot of your answers haha, especially the overseas ones. I'm not that good with OS and WW, America has spoiled me. You're just flat out telling me you're copying my answers? Well, historically, I am not good with overseas stuff, so don't be upset if I get a bunch of those predictions wrong. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avatree Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 Question 3 of the 25 bonus Qs asks what the gross of top 3 horrors will be, does this include Jurassic World or not? I would assume not but the cushion is fairly big at 50M. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avatree Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 I believe this is everything needed. Ignore my previous posts, this post is my final prediction: TOP 15 DOMESTIC 1) Avengers: Age of Ultron – 576M 2) Jurassic World – 374M 3) Minions – 348M 4) Inside Out – 313M 5) Ant-Man – 269M 6) Ted 2 – 250M 7) Mission: Impossible – Rogue Nation – 195M 8) Fantastic Four – 179M 9) Tomorrowland – 174M 10) Spy – 147M 11) San Andreas – 144M 12) Mad Max: Fury Road – 131M 13) Pitch Perfect 2 – 128M 14) Magic Mike XXL – 119M 15) Terminator: Genisys – 109M INTERNATIONAL FLAIR #1 1) Avengers: Age of Ultron – 1,728M 2) Jurassic World – 1,199M 3) Minions – 918M 4) Inside Out – 764M 5) Mission: Impossible – Rogue Nation – 722M 6) Ant-Man – 656M 7) Ted 2 – 627M 8) Tomorrowland – 561M 9) Fantastic Four – 470M 10) San Andreas – 424M INTERNATIONAL FLAIR #2 1) Jurassic World 2) Avengers: Age of Ultron 3) Minions 4) Mission: Impossible – Rogue Nation 5) Ant-Man TOP 5 OPENING WEEKENDS 1) Avengers: Age of Ultron 2) Jurassic World 3) Minions 4) Ant-Man 5) Inside Out LOWEST 5 GROSSING 1) Dope 2) The Outskirts 3) Underdogs 4) Max 5) The Vacation HERE ARE YOUR FIRST PRE SEASON BONUS QUESTIONS THAT MUST BE ANSWERED BEFORE THURSDAY APRIL 30TH AT 6PM.THESE WILL BE WORTH A TOTAL OF 15,000 POSSIBLE POINTS.15,000 IF CORRECT-5000 IF INCORRECT 3000 FOR TELLING ME THAT YOU ARE ABSTAININGTell me, of these four films, which one will be the lowest grossing of the summer. Only these four films can you choose from.1) Trainwreck2) Southpaw3) Aloha4) The Man From U.N.C.L.E. – 31MFOR AN ADDITIONAL 10,000 Tell me, within 5 million dollars, what its gross will be. Anyone who calls this within 5 million dollars (note you MUST CALL THE CORRECT FILM TO QUALIFY FOR THE 5000 BONUS PTS) whether it is over or under the total, will get the 10,000 points.Second Bonus Question:Tell me which of these will be the highest grossing film of the summer: Only these five films.1) Masterminds2) Fantastic Four – 179M3) Terminator Genisys4) Magic Mike XXLFor 10,000 POSSIBLE bonus points, tell me, within 5 million dollars, what its gross will be. Anyone who calls this within 5 million dollars (note you MUST CALL THE CORRECT FILM TO QUALIFY FOR THE 10,000 BONUS PTS) whether it is over or under the total, will get the 10,000 points.Third Bonus Question:Tell me, of these five films, which will be the highest grossing INTERNAtIONALLY (NOT WW, ONLY INTERNATIONALLY....ALL FIGURES ACCORDING TO BOXOFFICEMOJO.COM)?1) Terminator Genisys2) San Andreas3) Mission Impossible Rogue Nation -527M4) Ted 25) Mad MaxFor 15,000 bonus points, call the correct film within 25 mill.TRIPLE BONUSHere are your 16 bonus questions that have to be answered before the start date.Question 1: Will more than 3 films gross at least 110 million dollars Opening weekend domestically (3 day weekends count only) NOAnswer it correctly: 15,000 pointsAnswer it incorrectly: lose 8000 pointsChoose not to answer ( and you must state that you are not answering..failing to do so will automatically result in a loss of 8000 points) 3000 points.Question 2: Will more than two films gross at least 50 million dollars on opening day? NOAnswer it correctly: 15,000 pointsAnswer it incorrectly: lose 8000 pointsChoose not to answer ( and you must state that you are not answering..failing to do so will automatically result in a loss of 8000 points) 3000 points.Question 3: Will any film this summer have a worldwide weekend of more than 280 million? (THIS WILL INCLUDE ANY 5 DAY WEEKENDS. WHATEVER IS REPORTED FOR THE ACTUALS ON MONDAY EVENING WILL BE THE NUMBER WE GO BY). But the weekend has to fall within the summer game dates. YESAnswer it correctly: 15,000 pointsAnswer it incorrectly: lose 8000 pointsChoose not to answer ( and you must state that you are not answering..failing to do so will automatically result in a loss of 8000 points) 5000 points.Question 4: Will any film make more than 51.5 million this summer in Australia? YESAnswer it correctly: 15000 pointsAnswer it incorrectly: lose 8000 pointsChoose not to answer ( and you must state that you are not answering..failing to do so will automatically result in a loss of 8000 points) 3000 points.Question 5: Will at least two films make more than 55 million dollars this summer in the UK box office? YESAnswer it correctly: 15000 pointsAnswer it incorrectly: lose 10,000 pointsChoose not to answer ( and you must state that you are not answering..failing to do so will automatically result in a loss of 8000 points) 5000 points.Question 6: Will any film besides Avengers make more than 150 million in CHINA this summer? YESAnswer it correctly: 15000 pointsAnswer it incorrectly: lose 10,000 pointsChoose not to answer ( and you must state that you are not answering..failing to do so will automatically result in a loss of 10,000 points) 3000 points.Question 7: Will at least 2 films make at least a billion mill WW this summer? YESAnswer it correctly: 15000 pointsAnswer it incorrectly: lose 10,000 pointsChoose not to answer ( and you must state that you are not answering..failing to do so will automatically result in a loss of 10,000 points) 3000 points.Question 8: Will at least 5 films, listed as a comedy (could be sci-fi comedy...horror comedy...must have comedy listed somewhere in the genre ) by Box Office Mojo, make more than 120 million dollars this summer? NOAnswer it correctly: 15000 pointsAnswer it incorrectly: lose 10,000 pointsChoose not to answer ( and you must state that you are not answering..failing to do so will automatically result in a loss of 10,000 points) 3000 points.Question 9: Will at least 3 action films released after May, have a WW gross of more than 500 million? NOAnswer it correctly: 15000 pointsAnswer it incorrectly: lose 10,000 pointsChoose not to answer ( and you must state that you are not answering..failing to do so will automatically result in a loss of 10,000 points) 3000 points.Question 10: Which combination of films will make more money domestically? 11) Terminator, Spy, Jurassic World2) Entourage, Spy, Hot Pursuit, Poltergeist3) Minions, Insidious 3, Self/Less, Straight Oughtta Compton 4) Avengers first ten days, Mafgic Mike XXLAnswer it correctly: 15000 pointsAnswer it incorrectly: lose 10,000 pointsChoose not to answer ( and you must state that you are not answering..failing to do so will automatically result in a loss of 5000 points) 3000 points.Question 11: Will any two films make more than 40 million in Russia this summer? YESAnswer it correctly: 15000 pointsAnswer it incorrectly: lose 10,000 pointsChoose not to answer ( and you must state that you are not answering..failing to do so will automatically result in a loss of 10,000 points) 3000 points.Question 12:Will the top two films combined make more this summer than the next 5 films combined (domestic only)? So to avoid any confusion like we have last summer, the question reads like this.... top 2 spots add up to more than slots 3-7. NOAnswer it correctly: 15000 pointsAnswer it incorrectly: lose 10,000 pointsChoose not to answer ( and you must state that you are not answering..failing to do so will automatically result in a loss of 10,000 points) 3000 points.Question 13:Will any of the top 7 grossing sequels domestically this summer have a second weekend drop of less than 47.5%? YESAnswer it correctly: 15000 pointsAnswer it incorrectly: lose 10,000 pointsChoose not to answer ( and you must state that you are not answering..failing to do so will automatically result in a loss of 10,000 points) 3000 points.Question 14:Will Avengers, Minions or Jurassic World have a Saturday increase minus the preview number? So take out the Thursday number and you get the true Friday number. You guys know the drill. YES Answer it correctly: 25,000 pointsAnswer it incorrectly: lose 15,000 pointsChoose not to answer ( and you must state that you are not answering..failing to do so will automatically result in a loss of 15,000 points) 5000 points.Question 15:Will Minions outgross Avengers in at least two of these regions this summer? YESFrance Netherlands Venezuela Hungary Answer it correctly: 25,000 pointsAnswer it incorrectly: lose 15,000 pointsChoose not to answer ( and you must state that you are not answering..failing to do so will automatically result in a loss of 15,000 points) 5000 points.PLAYERS:There may be more preseason bonus questions added before the start of the game. It is doubtful, but I hold the right to add a question if it seems right.The Ron Jeremy of all bonus questionsThis is a four parter:1) Will Avengers make at least 600 million domestically? NO2) Will Avengers make more than a billion internationally? YES3) Will Avengers do at least 25 million for previews YES4)) Will Avengers make at least 1.8 billion WW? NOScoring: All questions you answer correctly are worth 7000 points. You can go for as many as you like.Here is the catch: Every answer you call incorrectly you lose 10,000 points.There are no points for abstaining, with one caveat down below. ***Even more bonus and more treachery:If you go 4/4 you get a 28,000 point bonus. So this means you will get a total of 56,000 points for this question (7000X4 plus 28,000 point bonus)However, if you go for all 4 you must get all four correct. If you get even one incorrect, you will lose 20,000 points. So what this means is, if you go for all four and even if you get 3/4 correct, not only will you NOT get the 11,000 but you will lose a full 15,000 points.This question is worth a lot of points for those ballsy enough to go for all 4, but it will kick your ass if you get too cocky. PLEASE READ THIS ONE CAREFULLY AND UNDERSTAND IT FULLY. IF YOU DO NOT, THEN ASK ME. ONCE THE GAME STARTS, CLAIMING YOU DIDN'T READ IT RIGHT WILL NOT BE AN EXCUSE.THE BOTTOM LINE IS IF YOU GO FOR ALL FOUR QUESTIONS, YOU ABSOLUTELY MUST GET ALL FOUR RIGHT IN ORDER TO GET POINTS.Remember, you don't have to answer any of them. Or you can answer as little as you want. It's totally up to you.You can choose to go for as many or as little as you want.***CAVEAT***If you choose to abstain from all 4, you will get 5000 for doing so.You must tell me if you are abstaining.NEW QUESTION:This is a four part question. Again, you have choices.Answer any part of the question. Each answer you get correct you will receive 7000 points. Each answer you get wrong, you will lose 7000 points. If you go for all four parts of the question, you must get all four parts correct. If you get even one wrong after going for it all, you will lose 7,000 points. You can go for all of it, none of it and some of it. Choice is yours.17) Note*** Jurassic World does not qualify for this questionA) Will any film listed as a horror OR thriller film by boxofficemojo.com gross more than 100 million dollars this summer? NOB )Will any film listed as a horror OR thriller film by boxofficemojo.com open to more than 35 mill? NOC) Will any film listed as a horror OR thriller film by boxofficemojo.com have a second weekend drop of less than 47%? NOD) Will any film listed as a horror OR thriller film by boxofficemojo.com have an opening day of more than 13 mill? YESGet any question right: 7000Get any question wrong: -7000Abstain from all four questions: 5000Go for all four, and get all four correct not only will you get the 28,000, you get a bonus of 28,000. But you must go for all four to qualify for the bonus Double Secret Probation Bonus Question Very simple, but very dangerous. I'll give you a number, you tell me if Avengers will gross more or less than that number in said markets. 1) Russia: 42M MORE 2) Germany: 31.5M LESS 3) Portugal: 3M LESS 4) China: 200M LESS If you go for this question, you must get all 4 correct. This is not a partial question. If you get at least 3 of the 4 correct, you will get 50,000. If you choose to abstain from this question, you will lose 15,000 points. If you go for the question and you do not get at least 3 or the 4 correct, you will lose 30,000 points. Choose Wisely. The "Hey maybe you haven't been keeping up on current events but we just got our asses kicked pal" question of debauchery. Will Jurassic World and F7 combine to make more than Avengers in these markets? 1) Japan YES 2) United Kingdom YES 3) Columbia YES 4) Mexico YES Each answer will be yes or no. Nothing more. You must get at least three correct. Get three correct, get a bonus of 50,000, don't get three correct, lose 25,000, abstain, lose 10,000. BONUS 25 QUESTIONS As promised, here are your additional 20 25 questions for you. I love this part of the game. For every question you get right, you receive 7000 points. For every question you get wrong, you lose 2000 points. These are mandatory questions, there is no abstaining. Any player who is in this game, who does not answer these questions, loses 50,000 points. Do not forget to do these. Remember grosses count from May 1st until September 7th. All grosses come from boxofficemojo.com, all genres are determined by boxofficemojo.com.....so if I ask you a question about a romance, if that film is listed as a sci-fi/romance, then it will qualify as a romance. 1) How many films will gross at least 100 million dollars this summer? You have a cushion of 1 film. So if you are off by 1, you still get full points. 17 2) How many films will make a billion dollars this summer? No cushion 2 3) What will the domestic total gross be for the top 3 horror films of the summer. II don't want to see anything but a number in your answer. Do not list the films. Cushion of 50 mill 221M 4) How many films will gross at least 40 million opening day? No cushion 2 5) How many films will make at least 500 million internationally? cushion of 1. 4 6) Will Terminator Genisys and Pitch Perfect 2 and Insidious 3 combine to gross more than F7 domestically? NO 7) Will Ted 2 make more than Ted? YES 8) Will Tele love Mad Max and will baumer love Jurassic World? You must answer both. This is an honour system question. I will tell you right now that I think i will love Jurassic World. YES TO BOTH 9) Will any film released in August gross 100 mill before the end of the game? YES 10) Will Self/Less make more than 40 million? NO 11) How many films will make at least 750 million WW? 1 cushion 4 12) How many films will make at least 30 million OD? 1 cushion 5 13) Will Magic Mike XXL have a bigger opening day than Terminator genisys? YES 14) Will Pan be one of the top 7 grossing films of the summer domestically? 15) Will Ant Man gross at least 500 mill WW? YES 16) Will any film gross 250 million in China? YES 17) Will any film have a WW weekend of more than 300 million (Avengers will only count from the time the game starts) YES 18) Will Mission Impossible gross more than 200 million? NO 19) Will Vacation gross more than 70 million? NO 20) How many films will gross at least 305 million this summer? 4 21) Will Avengers gross more than the first one? NO 22) Will any film besides Avengers make 25 million in Spain? NO 23) Will any film besides Avengers make 65 million in the UK? YES 24) Will Entourage make 100 mill or more? NO 25) Will Avengers drop less than 55% second weekend? NO Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mattrek Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 Mad Max is Ghost Rider all over again. Too freaky for kids and too weird for adults. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avatree Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 Mad Max is Ghost Rider all over again. Too freaky for kids and too weird for adults. Well, MM does actually have a decent amount of hype going for it, at least online, which should lead to Pacific Rim opening weekend, but it should have better legs by being better quality/better received. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewy Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 Considered going back with the deadline extended but I'd drive myself crazy changing everything. I'm at peace with it Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandrew Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 You're just flat out telling me you're copying my answers? Well, historically, I am not good with overseas stuff, so don't be upset if I get a bunch of those predictions wrong. Just some of the OS questions but I guess il find someone else now lol 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mattrek Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 Well, MM does actually have a decent amount of hype going for it, at least online, which should lead to Pacific Rim opening weekend, but it should have better legs by being better quality/better received This is the typical fanboy internet film that gets the internet hyped into a frenzy and doesn't translate to the GA.We've found that out many many times before. I don't see it being different this time. 30mish opening and a hard fall after for a 75mish finish is where I see it going. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chasmmi Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 I abit late now so I apologise for living in Korea, but these were all the BOM wide listed films on BOM as of April 10th I may have missed something, but for everyone's reference these are all the films that I believe BOM lists as being wide releases for the duration of the game until August 14th: Avengers Before I Wake Hot Pursuit Mad Max Pitch Perfect 2 Poltergeist Tomorrowland Aloha San Andreas Entourage Insidious Spy Jurassic World Dope Inside Out Max The Outskirts Ted 2 Magic Mike XXL Terminator Genisys The Gallows Minions Self/Less Antman Trainwreck Pan Paper Towns Pixels Southpaw The Gift Mission Impossible Vacation Fantastic Four Masterminds Ricki and the Flash Man from Uncle Straight Outta Compton Underdogs Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grim22 Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 I abit late now so I apologise for living in Korea, but these were all the BOM wide listed films on BOM as of April 10th A few more movies got added in the past week including movies which can influence questions like "Lowest grossing" and so on. Without Baumer's official list, I am assuming the current Wide release schedule as of today will be what we will go with (and what plenty of people have already used for their answers). Movies like "Shaun the sheep" "She's funny that way" "D Train" and others which moved to wide summer releases in the past week have been used as answers by participants. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 Eh, I probably would've tweaked some numbers if I was able to before the deadline. Ah well. I'll live with it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...