grey ghost Posted May 3, 2015 Share Posted May 3, 2015 My original predict for AOU was 193/515. Changed it to 215/535 due to every site predicting a new record. Damn, peer pressure. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avatree Posted May 3, 2015 Share Posted May 3, 2015 Wait a second, I'm one of the lower predictions at 520m? Seriously? Wow how did any of you see more then a 2.5 multiplier? I just hope it hits 480 so I don't lose points. Avengers 1 managed 3.05x so it's not like 2.5x is impossible for a film this big. My multi was same as Numbers, 2.64x. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Empire Posted May 3, 2015 Share Posted May 3, 2015 (edited) Ugh. My prediction was 542M. No chance at that just glad others went higher. Edited May 3, 2015 by Empire Out 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted May 3, 2015 Share Posted May 3, 2015 (edited) At least it won't be as bad as Dragon 2 where I had one of the lowest predictions and still lost points. Edited May 3, 2015 by Numbers of Westeros 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted May 3, 2015 Share Posted May 3, 2015 I went 525 thinking it would be safe it dipped under 500 or over 550 but yeah... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Empire Posted May 3, 2015 Share Posted May 3, 2015 At least it won't be as bad as Dragon 2 where I had one of the lowest predictions and still lost points. Last year I way over predicted that & Godzilla. This year my big one will probably be Inside Out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandrew Posted May 3, 2015 Share Posted May 3, 2015 I had 195/485. FUCK. Bold, italics, AND underline!!!!!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Empire Posted May 3, 2015 Share Posted May 3, 2015 I had 195/485. FUCK. Bold, italics, AND underline!!!!!! Blame Tele. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Goffe Posted May 3, 2015 Share Posted May 3, 2015 So are there basically two groups of people here? Those who were totally betting on AoU making bank from the getgo and those of us who let Tele convince us it wasn't going to disappoint so bad? And that's it, right? We're all screwed together. (I hope.) Top 15 1. Avengers: Age of Ultron 493m Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mattrek Posted May 3, 2015 Share Posted May 3, 2015 I probably would've got points had I stuck with my 480. Goddamn this board I keep getting suckered in every year to raise predictions from the hype. I'll just hope it legs its way there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha Posted May 3, 2015 Share Posted May 3, 2015 (edited) Based on estimates, the answers to Week 1: 1) Will Avengers make more than 22 million for previews? 2000 YES 2) Will Avengers make more than 85 million OD? 2000 NO 3) Will Avengers make more than 93 million OD? 2000 NO 4) Will Avengers fall more than 22% on Saturday? YES 5) Will Avengers fall more than 28% on Sunday? NO 6) Will Avengers make more than 200 million? NO 7) Will Avengers make more than 210 million? NO 8) Will Avengers make more than 20 million for the OW in Mexico? YES 9) Will Avengers make more than 1 million OW in Portugal? NO 10) Will Avengers surpass 600 mill at the WW box office, according to Mojo, Sunday estimates count only. YES 11) Will The Cinemascore for Avengers be at least an A? YES 12) Will Deadline's Friday report at any time contain the phrase, "Not a record"? NO 13) Will RTH's last Friday report in the forum be within 5% of the studio estimated Friday number (if RTH for some reason doesn't show up this weekend, everyone's answer will be correct)? NO 14) Will F7 fall more than 55%? YES 15) Will any film in the top 10 fall less than 50% YES 16) Will Paul Blart fall less than Get Hard? YES 17) Will the top ten films gross more than 260 million? NO 18) Will Age of Adeline have a Friday increase of more than 135%? YES 19) Will F7 gross more than 40 million WW for the weekend? YES 20) Will Get Hard stay in the top 10? NO 21) Will any film increase more than 55% on Saturday? YES 22) Will the weekend gross of F7, Blart and Adeline gross at least 10% of what Avengers does? NO 18/22 3000 19/22 5000 20/22 7000 21/22 9000 22/22 15,000 What films place in slots: 6. CINDERELLA 7. EX MACHINA 9. THE LONGEST RIDE 12. GET HARD 2000 for each correct place 5000 bonus if all four are correct Bonus 1: What will Avengers gross for the weekend? Please put to three decimal points. 5000 187.656 Bonus 2: What will the cume be for the films that finish in slots 2-6? 5000 23.571 Bonus 3: What will F7 gross on Saturday? 5000 2.600 Edited May 4, 2015 by Alpha Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CJohn Posted May 3, 2015 Share Posted May 3, 2015 (edited) 9) Will Avengers make more than 1 million OW in Portugal? NO. It did below the first one, and the first one did 930k. Confirmation coming tomorrow. Edited May 3, 2015 by CJohn Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted May 3, 2015 Share Posted May 3, 2015 Now watch as TA2 develops slightly better than expected legs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Goffe Posted May 3, 2015 Share Posted May 3, 2015 I scored 20k points this week based on the estimates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avatree Posted May 3, 2015 Share Posted May 3, 2015 (edited) How do the 3dp bonus questions work? How close do you have to be to win the points? And, I didn't post my week 1 answers in time so I wont get any points but if I had posted them I would have got 16K points, which I guess is okay. Edited May 3, 2015 by tree - we're home Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mattrek Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 My first week I got 7,000 points 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cedarpoint1111 Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 So... Not the greatest start this year... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 How do the 3dp bonus questions work? How close do you have to be to win the points? You have to have the closest prediction of all the players. So in theory you could be far off and still win if everyone else was worse.... or you could be super-close and lose because someone was slightly closer. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Empire Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 My first week I got 7,000 points Looking over mine I think I did worse. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kalo Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 Ugh. My prediction was 542M. No chance at that just glad others went higher. I lowered mine to $555m after the not as amazing WoM as I thought it would have.. still not low enough. on a positive note I'd say SW7 is almost guaranteed to be the highest grossing film of 2015 now. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...