Deep Wang Posted May 3, 2015 Share Posted May 3, 2015 I called the fight effect when the fight was first announced. You sure about that? Actually, the opening weekend will suffer a little. Someone brought up the Mayweather vs Pacquiao at work last night, and if that goes down on May 2, it will be pretty huge. I don't give a shit, but here in Corpus, fights are a big fucking deal and this is like the holy grail of fights apparently. I'm feeling a little vindicated right now! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted May 3, 2015 Author Share Posted May 3, 2015 So we just went from high end of 67 down to sub-60. Guess the question of whether the fight would hurt has been answered. Too bad the fight itself sucked a King Kong sized penis. The Spurs-Clippers game was pretty huge here too, I'm guessing. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eddyxx Posted May 3, 2015 Share Posted May 3, 2015 If it opens under IM3 then fuck everything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grim22 Posted May 3, 2015 Share Posted May 3, 2015 Huh. high 50s means it's barely up from the True Friday. Which probably means it needs a sub-20% drop on Sunday in order to hit 190. I kinda doubt that's happening. OTOH, it would need to be hammered tomorrow in order to not hit 180. So it should be fairly comfortably ahead of IM3. This is basically Spider-Man 3. It came up against Mayweather vs De La Hoya which was the last big fight event. SM3 also barely increased from "true" Friday numbers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kvikk Lunsj Posted May 3, 2015 Share Posted May 3, 2015 Fucking pos fight. Why they scheduled that shit for this weekend I don't understand. Why not? Boxing doesn't care about box office. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted May 3, 2015 Share Posted May 3, 2015 yeah I think number going to be coming down, the EC held up alright and also Canada not down much at all on Fri, middle Am looking to be a mix of ok-big drop and looks like WC is atm taking a pounding Yeah its like is anyone going to the movies on WC.... for example Canada is looking to be down maybe 15% from Fri(with thurs prev) for right now LA is taking the biggest hit between the 2 biggest markets NY/LA theres more than 20% difference in the drop from fri That's brutal. Appreciate the detailed updates 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ecstasy Posted May 3, 2015 Share Posted May 3, 2015 Based on what Rth said i.e. Canada was down only 15% or so with previews, that would have given AoU a 71M 2nd day if the US had followed suit. Realistically around 68-69M might have happened. Falling from that would give it 47M Sunday, if Sunday gets spillover we may see a 50M Sunday tomorrow. Canadians don't follow boxing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ryan Reynolds Posted May 3, 2015 Share Posted May 3, 2015 still a good ow, but under 200m is disappointing with budget upped to 250m...you expect it to match or more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted May 3, 2015 Share Posted May 3, 2015 The Spurs-Clippers game was pretty huge here too, I'm guessing. Between San Antonio and Los Angeles, that is two pretty big markets getting hit at the same time. Then there's the fight having a bigger effect across the country than many of us thought. Damn that thing was a fucking letdown too...fucking Mayweather and his dance routine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eXtacy Posted May 3, 2015 Share Posted May 3, 2015 Sounds like the fight did have quite an impact Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted May 3, 2015 Author Share Posted May 3, 2015 It really is Teles fault. I said 195 and he kept giving me lectures on how previews were gonna keep that from happening. I convinced myself first. Look at my predictions from a month ago or earlier, I was saying 200 or sub-200 for quite awhile and then bailed on that in the last day or so. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grim22 Posted May 3, 2015 Share Posted May 3, 2015 The question I am thinking about is whether people who just dropped 100$ on that fight will be willing to spend 20$ a pop on movie tickets tomorrow. Especially since there must be some major buyers remorse among a section of the audience. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted May 3, 2015 Author Share Posted May 3, 2015 still a good ow, but under 200m is disappointing with budget upped to 250m...you expect it to match or more The whispers of truth say the budget was waaaay higher than 250. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ecstasy Posted May 3, 2015 Share Posted May 3, 2015 That's brutal. Appreciate the detailed updates damn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAR Posted May 3, 2015 Share Posted May 3, 2015 So the last few hours same shit different day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noctis Posted May 3, 2015 Share Posted May 3, 2015 So my $58m may happen, eh? God, I'm so good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lab276 Posted May 3, 2015 Share Posted May 3, 2015 If it only opens a bit up from IM3, will it even make it past 450m? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deep Wang Posted May 3, 2015 Share Posted May 3, 2015 The question I am thinking about is whether people who just dropped 100$ on that fight will be willing to spend 20$ a pop on movie tickets tomorrow. Especially since there must be some major buyers remorse among a section of the audience. That's what they get! I don't understand the appeal and I never will. But please, come see the movie tomorrow!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted May 3, 2015 Author Share Posted May 3, 2015 What'll be interesting is if the fight causes a bit of a slump in the Mexican box-office too. According to my wife, it was absolutely huge down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eXtacy Posted May 3, 2015 Share Posted May 3, 2015 Oh well I still think TA3 could target the OW with an injection of some of their new heroes (Doctor Strange, Ant-Man, Guardians of the Galaxy, Black Panther) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...