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Avengers Weekend Actuals: 191.27M (Only -11% on Sunday)

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How much more do the patrons here believe AoU makes if MayPac doesn't happen this past weekend? $15M+?

 

It's weird to think how greatly two very different events impacted the last two superhero mega sequels not named Iron Man Three. I bet TDKR opens to $175M+ sans the ghastly tragedy. I bet AoU opens to $210M+ sans the boxing event.

Unlikely given that Friday was significantly down from the first movie, and was more frontloaded. With or without the boxing it would never have matched the first film's OW.

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That is key actually that TA2 slightly sold fewer tickets than IM3 adjusted on Saturday AND Sunday. How many people will go see TA2 over the weeks ahead that didn't otherwise from the Saturday events is very important to its overall run.

Edited by GiantCALBears
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Weekend Actuals (Domestic)FRI, MAY. 1 - SUN, MAY. 3

← PREVIOUS

WIDE (1000+)   # TITLE WEEKEND   LOCATIONS   AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST. 1 Avengers: Age of Ultron $191,271,109 -- 4,276 -- $44,731 $191,271,109 1 Disney 2 Furious 7 $6,644,140 -63% 3,305 -503 $2,010 $331,068,495 5 Universal 3 The Age of Adaline $6,203,253 -53% 2,991 0 $2,074 $23,377,371 2 Lionsgate 4 Paul Blart: Mall Cop 2 $5,880,022 -60% 3,548 -85 $1,657 $51,516,418 3 Sony / Columbia 5 Home (2015) $3,472,177 -57% 2,852 -459 $1,217 $158,304,454 6 Fox / DreamWorks Animation 6 Cinderella (2015) $2,745,090 -1% 1,411 -608 $1,945 $194,038,460 8 Disney 7 Unfriended $2,210,960 -64% 2,221 -554 $995 $28,754,625 3 Universal 8 The Longest Ride $1,704,810 -60% 2,115 -1025 $806 $33,245,253 4 Fox 9 Woman In Gold $1,605,252 -52% 1,126 -855 $1,426 $24,512,725 5 Weinstein Company 10 Monkey Kingdom $1,217,660 -65% 1,732 -280 $703 $12,509,312 3 Disneynature 11 Get Hard $1,189,012 -68% 1,465 -811 $812 $86,207,021 6 Warner Bros. 12 The Divergent Series: Insurgent $914,327 -70% 1,291 -795 $708 $126,481,352 7 Lionsgate / Summit 13 Little Boy $878,415 -68% 1,045 0 $841 $4,248,030 2 Open Road

 

 

So that partially worked, but why can't I do this in my original post?  :thinking:

 

 

 

I think it doesn't parse the data as HTML unless it's a new post.

 

When you edit a post you need to delete the content and uncheck the enable HTML box (and the light switch on the upper left), then paste the new content and finally check the HTML box again.

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That is key actually that TA2 slightly sold fewer tickets than IM3 adjusted on Saturday AND Sunday. How many people will go see TA2 over the weeks ahead that didn't otherwise from the Saturday events is very important to its overall run.

I don't totally buy this as some people spend their entertainment dollars on the fight and didn't bother to see any film this weekend. I have no doubt, even if Sunday came in at what Disney initially estimated, that AoU sells more tickets Sat/Sun if there's no fight. Maybe not my $210M number. But, almost certainly over $200M+ OW.

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I don't totally buy this as some people spend their entertainment dollars on the fight and didn't bother to see any film this weekend. I have no doubt, even if Sunday came in at what Disney initially estimated, that AoU sells more tickets Sat/Sun if there's no fight. Maybe not my $210M number. But, almost certainly over $200M+ OW.

 

Before the fight Rth was saying a high end of $67m. That would be a 18% increase from non-preview Friday. Sounds about right for the movie's potential. TA1 increased 12% and IM3 increased 19%. So if you give it a $67m Saturday and 25% Sunday drop it ends up at $201.7m. I think $210m chance was gone as soon as we realized on Saturday morning that it came up pretty far short of TA1's non-preview Friday.

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When you edit a post you need to delete the content and uncheck the enable HTML box (and the light switch on the upper left), then paste the new content and finally check the HTML box again.

 

Got it. Although my heading is way off.

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I don't totally buy this as some people spend their entertainment dollars on the fight and didn't bother to see any film this weekend. I have no doubt, even if Sunday came in at what Disney initially estimated, that AoU sells more tickets Sat/Sun if there's no fight. Maybe not my $210M number. But, almost certainly over $200M+ OW.

The event grossed $400m that came from discretionary income. That's the same category Americans spend on movies. Obviously there is various levels of crossover but it no doubt had a major impact. My point was how much from those people that will come over the coming weeks will probably decide the difference in legs being strong or weak. That's a healthy number of consumers that went to a fight party, watched it that would go see TA imo. Let's see how it plays out.

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Guys, what's the record of the biggest decrease from a movie to another? Could A2 break this 'record'?

Hmm. Great question. I assume it very well could. Probably Phantom Menace to Attack of the Clones. Or, maybe, Shrek 2 to Shrek 3?

Before the fight Rth was saying a high end of $67m. That would be a 18% increase from non-preview Friday. Sounds about right for the movie's potential. TA1 increased 12% and IM3 increased 19%. So if you give it a $67m Saturday and 25% Sunday drop it ends up at $201.7m. I think $210m chance was gone as soon as we realized on Saturday morning that it came up pretty far short of TA1's non-preview Friday.

I think you're spot on. That's likely why Disney originally estimated just over $200M, red. I got a little carried away.

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Guys, what's the record of the biggest decrease from a movie to another? Could A2 break this 'record'?

I don't know what it is, but I don't see it falling as bad as Hangover 2 to Hangover 3 which is a 142M difference. It would have to finish at 480M to do that. Edited by Empire Out
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I don't know what it is, but I don't see it falling as bad as Hangover 2 to Hangover 3 which is a 142M difference. It would have to finish at 480M to do that.

Phantom Menace $431M/474M

Attack of the Clones $$302M/$310M

 

Shrek 2 $441M

Shrek The Third $323M

 

I think yours is more valid because the SW example includes an original release/lifetime gross. There's also a huge drop from A New Hope($307M/$461M) to Empire Strikes Back($209M/$290M). Yikes, I mean, given inflation since the late 70s/early 80s, think about the drop in the original run from A New Hope to Empire Strikes Back. The drop in tickets sold is nuts! WOW!

 

I mean, Star Wars pretty much set the precedent a long, long time ago for big drops for sequels. So... Avengers is following in some good footsteps.

Edited by JohnnyGossamer
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So... Spielberg and Lucas really know how to follow a mega hit at the box office, eh :ph34r:

 

Even though Spielberg wasn't involved, I bet when inflated the drop from Jaws($260M) to Jaws 2($81M) is seismic. And, hell, totally different, but the Exorcist($193M/$233M) to Exorcist II($30M) drop is probably more frightening than the film itself.

 

Edited with numbers.

Edited by JohnnyGossamer
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Yes.. If that fight hadn't of occurred, this movie would've passed 200M easily..

 

Its Friday was lower than the first film (without previews) so its far from certain that it would of grossed 200mil. Plus the fight was on Saturday, not Friday or Sunday.

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