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Release Dates Discussion | Avengers Endgame 2019

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7 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

 

Not with a friday holiday release date and open run. 150m is almost 1B and that should be the floor.

 

Easter isn't a holiday in China but BvS should get a boost in the next week with Qingming as mentioned. But yeah it looks set to have an open run.

Edited by FranMan
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On Friday, February 05, 2016 at 3:01 PM, FranMan said:

Seems like BvS has a nice stretch of days, a bit like TFA before.

Or like FF7 last year in April. It had 3 weeks clear and then a holiday boost. 

On Friday, February 05, 2016 at 3:45 PM, TigerPaw said:

March traditionally is weak month for movies, but start of April it gets better. Qing Ming festival last year had many movies earning quite a lot. But the growth of Chinese Market and theaters is able to make a traditionally weak month in 2016 on par with a good month in 2015 in terms of total monthly gross. I personally would prefer that WB not lobby for Day and date release as US on March 25th, if it opens on April 1st will be great as it opens on QingMing weekend, with good opening, screens and theaters will remain high for almost the whole month. 

It's close enough to April. FF7 opened on April 12th. I don't think April will match last year. Most of FF7s 2.4b/ $392m was made in April. Local films will have to make up a big HLWD deficit unless BvS explodes

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On 2016年2月29日 at 6:37 PM, TigerPaw said:

Revenant confirmed released date March 18th. Very sudden and IMO not a very wise move, coming out a week before BvS. It should come out in Mid April or End April....

No.Revenant should open as early as possible in China.There is still buzz for Oscar winning in March.March 11 is perfect.March 18 is not bad.Any release date after March will kill the Revenant.

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On 2/29/2016 at 4:07 PM, TigerPaw said:

Revenant confirmed released date March 18th. Very sudden and IMO not a very wise move, coming out a week before BvS. It should come out in Mid April or End April....

If anything it affects bvs. Revenant will do much better now after the oscar wins than it would had done if released earlier.

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18 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:

How well will The Revenant do considering a screener has been out since December and it's possible a 1080p leak could be up by next Friday?

How would you know about the 1080p leak. Haha.

It is hard to quantify the impact of piracy, sometimes Piracy brings about good WOM, and some fans will still go to the cinemas and bring their friends to support the movie again on the big screen. (just like what happened in the States, Screener out before official release yet it still grossed over a 100m USD).
In China, it happened with Expendables 3 where 1080p is out weeks before the release yet Expendables 3 still did extremely well in China. So its really hard to quantify, but I would say Revenant's WOM has been mixed, from the people who watched it online... most saying its boring and they don't know how to appreciate it.

I am thinking 300m yuan is the peak, will do better than Gods of Egypt (total gross) imo.

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