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CIVIL WAR OS | $744M OS | $1.15B WW

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30 minutes ago, Durden said:

 

A lot of countries ?

 

Here in Brazil the holiday was in Sunday.

 

Everywhere it was in Sunday.

 

Most people have decided to take that day off on friday to lump it with Thursday which will be an official holliday.  Therefore, they ll get an extended 4 days weekend.

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15 minutes ago, IMojammer said:

My guess:

 

OS through Thursday: 280

Holdovers FSS: 80

US opening: 190
China opening: 100

New openings FSS: 75

= 725 total through May 8

 

Which markets justify a 75 mill projection from "new openings"?

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35 minutes ago, fmpro said:

 

Which markets justify a 75 mill projection from "new openings"?

 

All these countries:

 

Egypt 4 May 2016  
Italy 4 May 2016  
Kuwait 4 May 2016  
Albania 5 May 2016 (Tirana)
Argentina 5 May 2016  
Azerbaijan 5 May 2016  
Bosnia and Herzegovina 5 May 2016  
Belarus 5 May 2016  
Czech Republic 5 May 2016  
Greece 5 May 2016  
Croatia 5 May 2016  
Hungary 5 May 2016  
Kazakhstan 5 May 2016  
Republic of Macedonia 5 May 2016  
Malaysia 5 May 2016  
New Zealand 5 May 2016  
Serbia 5 May 2016  
Russia 5 May 2016  
Slovenia 5 May 2016  
Slovakia 5 May 2016  
Ukraine 5 May 2016  
Bangladesh 6 May 2016  
India 6 May 2016  
Sri Lanka 6 May 2016 (Colombo)
Lithuania 6 May 2016  
Mongolia 6 May 2016  
Pakistan 6 May 2016  
Poland 6 May 2016  
Romania 6 May 2016  
Turkey 6 May 2016  
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4 minutes ago, fmpro said:

 

Which markets justify a 75 mill projection from "new openings"?

Hmm, the same markets add up to $50m for ultron so yeah, that's too high.  The others are a bit conservative so over 700 still looks right.

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2 minutes ago, IMojammer said:

Hmm, the same markets add up to $50m for ultron so yeah, that's too high.  The others are a bit conservative so over 700 still looks right.

 

50 mill sounds more right :)

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9 hours ago, Agafin said:

$24 million for Monday doesn't sound too hot tbh. Monday was a Holiday in a lot of countries due to Sunday being Labour day. Tuesday's drop won't be pretty.

Please do research before posting crap like this.

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13 hours ago, Durden said:

 

A lot of countries ?

 

Here in Brazil the holiday was in Sunday.

Sunday is the Labour Day by definition (May 1st), but Monday was holiday in Spain in several regions, including Madrid.

 

Maybe it was not holiday in a lot of countries, but in some of them.

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8 hours ago, FilmBuff said:

Please do research before posting crap like this.

 It's not crap and you don't know that s/he hasn't done research. It's true that many countries had holidays on Monday because May Day fell on a Sunday. It's also true that they won't have holidays on Tuesday. Ergo you don't need an astrophysics degree to come to the conclusion that the Mon-to-Tue drop will be big.

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17 hours ago, A District 3 Engineer said:

 

All these countries:

 

Egypt 4 May 2016  
Italy 4 May 2016  
Kuwait 4 May 2016  
Albania 5 May 2016 (Tirana)
Argentina 5 May 2016  
Azerbaijan 5 May 2016  
Bosnia and Herzegovina 5 May 2016  
Belarus 5 May 2016  
Czech Republic 5 May 2016  
Greece 5 May 2016  
Croatia 5 May 2016  
Hungary 5 May 2016  
Kazakhstan 5 May 2016  
Republic of Macedonia 5 May 2016  
Malaysia 5 May 2016  
New Zealand 5 May 2016  
Serbia 5 May 2016  
Russia 5 May 2016  
Slovenia 5 May 2016  
Slovakia 5 May 2016  
Ukraine 5 May 2016  
Bangladesh 6 May 2016  
India 6 May 2016  
Sri Lanka 6 May 2016 (Colombo)
Lithuania 6 May 2016  
Mongolia 6 May 2016  
Pakistan 6 May 2016  
Poland 6 May 2016  
Romania 6 May 2016  
Turkey 6 May 2016  

 

Sorry but my country opened on Apr 28.

Biggest opening weekend ever for Marvel films in term of local currency but second biggest in term of US dollar.

2/5 was replacement holiday due to Labor Day on Sunday, it has made a total of RM25mil, which is only RM5mil slightly behind BvS entire run.

 

In term of local currency:

- Biggest opening weekend for Marvel/ Disney.

- Biggest opening weekend in 2016.

- Third biggest opening weekend of all-time behind Fast 7 and TF4.

- Third film to open above RM20mil in opening weekend together with F7 and TF4.

- Currently #23 highest grossing film ahead of Hobbit 3 and behind MI: Rogue Nation.

 

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28% drop from Monday, not to shabby but expected due to the inflated Monday. Iron Man 3 did $24.3 million on its first Tuesday off a $198.4 million OW (lower than CW's) for a $242.1 million 7-day total so Civil War (temporally) lost its lead over it today. Iron Man 3 didn't open in any new territory on its first Tuesday just like Civil War so the comparison is fair (though Wednesday being Labour day slightly inflated Iron Man 3's first Tuesday).

 

This Wednesday will act like a Friday in most territories thanks to Ascension/Children's day holiday tomorrow so it should rebound from Tuesday. That being said, Iron Man did a huge $65.6 million on its second Wednesday (thanks to China's opening and Labour day) and I'm sure CW won't come anywhere close so the gap between them will widen a little more today. Iron Man 3's second Thursday gross of $37.7 million should be reached or even exceeded thanks to the aforementioned Holidays as well as the Russian (amongst other) openings but that'll likely not not be enough to offset the huge Wednesday difference. China's opening on Friday together with a bunch of other countries should finally put it back at the same level (or above) Iron Man 3 for a similar two week total (Iron Man had $504.8 million OS at the end of its second weekend).

 

CW's legs have been slighly worse than IM3 so far so I can see it doing similar numbers minus China ($680 to $700 million). I have no idea what China will gross but I'm reading in the Chinese thread that Ultron's numbers are expected so about $220 million (with today's exchange rates). My initial prediction of $850 to $900 million OS will be close (though it has an outside chance of doing Ultron's numbers).

 

 

Edited by Agafin
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