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Solo: A Star Wars Story | May 25, 2018 | Bombs in spectacular fashion

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3 minutes ago, Porthos said:

People might not even realize this since it wasn't that long ago, but Rogue One currently adjusts to 554.85m.

 

Yes, it had Xmas holidays.  But Solo will have summer.  And, 'sides, we are receiving object lesson after object lesson that films can get mega bucks on just about any calendar placement now.

 

Even so, if we knock off around 20% of potential gross for the difference between the holidays and summer, that's still around 444m.  Knock off another 50m for so-called SW fatigue and we get 395m.

 

This presumes it's as well received as R1, which isn't certain.  And, yes, the movie might be a mess with all of the behind the scenes drama and what not.  

 

But what if it isn't a mess?  And what if it's more a more fun, crowd-pleasing, flick than TLJ?

 

What then?

Then it has the opportunity to have good WOM and better than expected legs. Though even then, it won't be able to have RO type of legs because of its summer release and all of the competition in June. A huge OW on par with even RO is out though. The interest it just too low, the marketing has been too "who cares?", and Disney isn't going to be able make up for all of that within a month. 

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5 minutes ago, TheManFromBeyond said:

New Solo trailer is nice-WHOA THE PREDATOR IS FINALLY GETTING A TRAILER SOON!?

Predator>Solo DOM confirmed!

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There's a Han Solo movie coming out in 6 weeks and not one person cares. Han Solo is the Ant-Man of Star Wars, confirmed

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4 minutes ago, Chewy said:

There's a Han Solo movie coming out in 6 weeks and not one person cares. Han Solo is the Ant-Man of Star Wars, confirmed

 

75sITNoaRb6DZkw4EP9k_992005871a8b03fe192

 

tumblr_nt7gm4tB561ts07yyo4_500.gif

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1 hour ago, Porthos said:

People might not even realize this since it wasn't that long ago, but Rogue One currently adjusts to 554.85m.

 

Yes, it had Xmas holidays.  But Solo will have summer.  And, 'sides, we are receiving object lesson after object lesson that films can get mega bucks on just about any calendar placement now.

 

Even so, if we knock off around 20% of potential gross for the difference between the holidays and summer, that's still around 444m.  Knock off another 50m for so-called SW fatigue and we get 395m (which, incidentally is approx 25% of the original gross of R1 [.75 x 532 = 399], which has long been my soft-target).

 

This presumes it's as well received as R1, which isn't certain.  And, yes, the movie might be a mess with all of the behind the scenes drama and what not.  

 

But what if it isn't a mess?  And what if it's more a more fun, crowd-pleasing, flick than TLJ?

 

What then?

Then $1B ww  :insane:

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14 minutes ago, That One Guy said:
Quote

EXCLUSIVE: Solo: A Star Wars Story will make its debut at the Cannes Film Festival, Deadline has learned. The festival is still finalizing its competition film roster, but they won’t find a bigger film than this one. Sources said that the Lucasfilm origin story will premiere in a special screening May 15, before the picture makes its global premiere May 25. The Ron Howard-directed origin story stars Alden Ehrenreich as the young Han Solo, the role made famous by Harrison Ford. Donald Glover plays Lando Calrissian, and Game of Thrones‘ Emilia Clarke, Woody Harrelson, Paul Bettany and Thandie Newton also star.

 

That's not THAT far ahead of the release date.

 

Interesting though that they're going the "build buzz" route ala most Marvel/DC films rather than the "We're gonna make you wait 'till the last moment to screen it coz we know you're coming anyway" route of the other SW films.

 

On the one hand, it's clear that they want to build up buzz since this might not have the ooomph factor behind it right now.

 

On the other hand, it's a sign of confidence that it WILL get good buzz by putting this front and center at Cannes.

 

They aren't trying to hide the film by doing this, that's for sure.

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2 minutes ago, That One Guy said:

last time a Ron Howard movie premiered at Cannes:

 

38b7d46227ba8350ca6ff8a57ef873d4.png

 

Paul Bettany was in it, too :jeb!:

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3 minutes ago, That One Guy said:

last time a Ron Howard movie premiered at Cannes:

 

38b7d46227ba8350ca6ff8a57ef873d4.png

Yeah, I think if Disney thought that they had another DaVinci Code on their hands, they'd just play it coy and do the normal "World Premiere three days before release" sort of thing.

 

But maybe that's just me. ;)

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3 minutes ago, Chewy said:

 

Paul Bettany was in it, too :jeb!:

 

The last Bettany SW movie did okay.

 

:thinking: 

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Not the first time this has happened for a SW film.

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Looks to be "Out of Competition" (which should be expected, BTW) so it's mainly doing this to build buzz.  Not the first blockbuster to do this; won't be the last.  But certainly is interesting Disney has decided to go down this route.

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Confirmation, BTW:

 

 

Dustin is a marketing director for Disney.

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1 minute ago, Porthos said:

Looks to be "Out of Competition" (which should be expected, BTW) so it's mainly doing this to build buzz.  Not the first blockbuster to do this; won't be the last.  But certainly is interesting Disney has decided to go down this route.

 

They might be thinking that the segment of critics that typically cover Cannes might be a little more broadly receptive to Ehrenreich as Solo than the mix they usually end up inviting to the premier stateside?

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Completely unexpected. They really are trying to turn the tide with the movie, we can give that to Disney.

 

I guess we will have reviews two weeks before it opens worldwide.

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2 minutes ago, Horner said:

 

They might be thinking that the segment of critics that typically cover Cannes might be a little more broadly receptive to Ehrenreich as Solo than the mix they usually end up inviting to the premier stateside?

 

Still... If it gets relatively good buzz out of THAT crowd, folks probably won't be able to play the usual "don't trust reactions after a World Premiere" card. :lol:

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