Jump to content

Asyulus

KFP3 over $500m

Recommended Posts

Club reasons:

- With a consitenting growing market, expect a huge breakout of this. The market should be very strong by the beginning of 2016.

- CNY release date will definitely help this do massive amounts of money.

- KFP2 made almost $100m in China alone in 2011, so its undoubtful it do over 5x than that.

- KFP3 is being produced by Oriental Dreamworks, which can really help it.

- If this movie is good, this club could happen.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites



Wow I didn't know KFP2 made 92m in China. That's a good number in China even now!

But even 5x that is 460m.

Out, 300-350m. (I might update the range based on Minions)

Edited by a2k
Link to comment
Share on other sites



Wow I didn't know KFP2 made 92m in China. That's a good number in China even now!

But even 5x that is 460m. (You said 5x is 500m but you rounded 92m to 100m :))

Out, 300-350m. (I might update the range based on Minions)

Same here. Agree with you a2k.

If Minions makes 170-200 million in China (I don't think it will do more than 100 -120 unless it 's a huge hit much bigger than what we think) then yes KFP will cross 250 million.

Edited by MinaTakla
Link to comment
Share on other sites



Wow I didn't know KFP2 made 92m in China. That's a good number in China even now!

But even 5x that is 460m. (You said 5x is 500m but you rounded 92m to 100m :))

Out, 300-350m. (I might update the range based on Minions)

Well, I said over 5x, not just 5x

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Same here. Agree with you a2k.

If Minions makes 170-200 million in China (I don't think it will do more than 100 -120 unless it 's a huge hit much bigger than what we think) then yes KFP will cross 250 million.

Not to mention market has been growing consistently.

Link to comment
Share on other sites



Impossible...but I'm all for it. I would love to see the impossible thing happen.

Let's see how Minions will fare out in China.

I agree with all points you made about this club.

Minions could possibly do close to $200m.

Link to comment
Share on other sites



It's current release date is not good at all, 10 days before Chinese new year, people are too busy to go to the movies around that time.

And after ten days, local blockbusters opening on NYD will kill its legs.

Edited by Kylin Zhang
Link to comment
Share on other sites



It's current release date is not good at all, 10 days before Chinese new year, people are too busy to go to the movies around that time.

And after ten days, local blockbusters opening on NYD will kill its legs.

So what is your predict?

Didnt even realized it, but keep in mind they are different audience.

No animated competition though.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

It's current release date is not good at all, 10 days before Chinese new year, people are too busy to go to the movies around that time.

And after ten days, local blockbusters opening on NYD will kill its legs.

Ugh.....I should have known.

So you're saying that KFP3 will not do anywhere good at all, due to the bad release date? :(

Are there any other ways it could do well? It's not doomed, right?

Edited by MrFanaticGuy34
Link to comment
Share on other sites



It's current release date is not good at all, 10 days before Chinese new year, people are too busy to go to the movies around that time.

And after ten days, local blockbusters opening on NYD will kill its legs.

Why the shitty release date for KFP3?

I thought the movie was a coproduction with China?

Link to comment
Share on other sites



Why the shitty release date for KFP3?

I thought the movie was a coproduction with China?

30% of the movie will be produced by Oriental Dreamworks, it is counted as a local movie in China.

ODW choose the release date by their own, maybe they'll change the date later.

Link to comment
Share on other sites









If the release date goes much better, this club could happen I think.

And do not forget with today's China market, KFP2 could have made about $300m. So its hard to imagine KFP3 does less than $400m.

Still, the markets will rapidly continue to grow in 2016, acting as an advantage.

Edited by DynamiX
Link to comment
Share on other sites



KFP2 was a big hit at 92m in 2011. But animation has just surpassed 100m finally w TMK while live action has had a number of 200m+ films and now three $300m films.

I don't see how it surpasses 350m. Was the first one an anomaly? or is there something special about it?

Bo is up 250% since then. It would put KFP2 at 320m when matching market growth and doubling the current record. That a feat in itself

With a crowded schedule and many movies out to share about $800-900m in BO revenue expected for those 30 days, I don't see how it does 500m

Im out,

I say under 320m

Link to comment
Share on other sites



Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.



  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use and Guidelines. Feel free to read our Privacy Policy as well.