Asyulus Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 Club reasons: - With a consitenting growing market, expect a huge breakout of this. The market should be very strong by the beginning of 2016. - CNY release date will definitely help this do massive amounts of money. - KFP2 made almost $100m in China alone in 2011, so its undoubtful it do over 5x than that. - KFP3 is being produced by Oriental Dreamworks, which can really help it. - If this movie is good, this club could happen. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrFanaticGuy34 Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 Impossible...but I'm all for it. I would love to see the impossible thing happen. Let's see how Minions will fare out in China. I agree with all points you made about this club. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 (edited) Wow I didn't know KFP2 made 92m in China. That's a good number in China even now! But even 5x that is 460m. Out, 300-350m. (I might update the range based on Minions) Edited August 2, 2015 by a2k Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinaTakla Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 (edited) Wow I didn't know KFP2 made 92m in China. That's a good number in China even now! But even 5x that is 460m. (You said 5x is 500m but you rounded 92m to 100m ) Out, 300-350m. (I might update the range based on Minions) Same here. Agree with you a2k. If Minions makes 170-200 million in China (I don't think it will do more than 100 -120 unless it 's a huge hit much bigger than what we think) then yes KFP will cross 250 million. Edited August 2, 2015 by MinaTakla Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cynosure Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 Out. I would be in if it was $400M. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Asyulus Posted August 2, 2015 Author Share Posted August 2, 2015 Wow I didn't know KFP2 made 92m in China. That's a good number in China even now! But even 5x that is 460m. (You said 5x is 500m but you rounded 92m to 100m ) Out, 300-350m. (I might update the range based on Minions) Well, I said over 5x, not just 5x 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Asyulus Posted August 2, 2015 Author Share Posted August 2, 2015 Same here. Agree with you a2k. If Minions makes 170-200 million in China (I don't think it will do more than 100 -120 unless it 's a huge hit much bigger than what we think) then yes KFP will cross 250 million. Not to mention market has been growing consistently. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Asyulus Posted August 2, 2015 Author Share Posted August 2, 2015 Impossible...but I'm all for it. I would love to see the impossible thing happen. Let's see how Minions will fare out in China. I agree with all points you made about this club. Minions could possibly do close to $200m. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 Some people in official Chinese thread have already said some months ago that this has chances of $100m OD if the release date is good enough. This club is not so crazy as it seems. I play hard. I am In 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 Why is this film so revered in China? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 (edited) It's current release date is not good at all, 10 days before Chinese new year, people are too busy to go to the movies around that time. And after ten days, local blockbusters opening on NYD will kill its legs. Edited August 2, 2015 by Kylin Zhang Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Asyulus Posted August 2, 2015 Author Share Posted August 2, 2015 It's current release date is not good at all, 10 days before Chinese new year, people are too busy to go to the movies around that time. And after ten days, local blockbusters opening on NYD will kill its legs. So what is your predict? Didnt even realized it, but keep in mind they are different audience. No animated competition though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrFanaticGuy34 Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 (edited) It's current release date is not good at all, 10 days before Chinese new year, people are too busy to go to the movies around that time. And after ten days, local blockbusters opening on NYD will kill its legs. Ugh.....I should have known. So you're saying that KFP3 will not do anywhere good at all, due to the bad release date? Are there any other ways it could do well? It's not doomed, right? Edited August 2, 2015 by MrFanaticGuy34 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mojoguy Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 It's current release date is not good at all, 10 days before Chinese new year, people are too busy to go to the movies around that time. And after ten days, local blockbusters opening on NYD will kill its legs. Why the shitty release date for KFP3? I thought the movie was a coproduction with China? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 Why the shitty release date for KFP3? I thought the movie was a coproduction with China? 30% of the movie will be produced by Oriental Dreamworks, it is counted as a local movie in China. ODW choose the release date by their own, maybe they'll change the date later. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 Why is this film so revered in China? kung fu. i wonder if china has made kung fu animations inspired by kfp. if so, then bo prospects of this might reduce. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAJK Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 $330-$375M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolK Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 300-350 depending upon the competition... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Asyulus Posted August 3, 2015 Author Share Posted August 3, 2015 (edited) If the release date goes much better, this club could happen I think. And do not forget with today's China market, KFP2 could have made about $300m. So its hard to imagine KFP3 does less than $400m. Still, the markets will rapidly continue to grow in 2016, acting as an advantage. Edited August 3, 2015 by DynamiX Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 KFP2 was a big hit at 92m in 2011. But animation has just surpassed 100m finally w TMK while live action has had a number of 200m+ films and now three $300m films. I don't see how it surpasses 350m. Was the first one an anomaly? or is there something special about it? Bo is up 250% since then. It would put KFP2 at 320m when matching market growth and doubling the current record. That a feat in itself With a crowded schedule and many movies out to share about $800-900m in BO revenue expected for those 30 days, I don't see how it does 500m Im out, I say under 320m Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...