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CelestialFairyIX

2016: Year of Animation?

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Currently, the slate for 2016 animation wise is, to say the least, nothing short of spectacular box office potential wise.  We have three sequels to beloved (arguable) franchises that, possibly, could each make well over $1 billion WW!  That is INSANE!  Then, we have a B-grade animated flick arising from Walt Disney Animation Studios: Zootopia and of course, the highly anticipated musical: Moana from the same studio.  Then from the humans that brought us the Despicable Me series and Minions comes two releases: The Secret Life of Pets and an untitled project set to hit theaters this December.  Dreamworks, aside from Kung Fu Panda 3 is also releasing Trolls.  Finally, a string of low-profile animation releases from other studios hit theaters.  With such a potent amount of high profile releases, could 2016, possibly, be the highest grossing year for animated flicks WW or set and break an ample amount of records in the box office world?  What are your predictions and thoughts?  

 

Box Office Prediction:

 

~ Finding Dory: $500 - 600 million plus domestically and $800 million - 1 billion OS for a cumulative of $1.3 - $1.6 billion 

BOLD Prediction: #1 domestic and WW film of 2016 

~ Kung Fu Panda 3: $180 - 200 million plus domestically and $700 - 800 million OS for a cumulative of $880 - 1 billion 

BOLD Prediction: Beats Kung Fu Panda 1's domestic gross 

~ Ice Age: Collision Course: $125 - 175 million plus domestically and $800 - 900 million OS for a cumulative of $925 million - 1.075 billion

- BOLD Prediction: Beats Finding Dory's OS gross  

~ Moana: $250 - 325 million domestically and $500 - 600 million plus or lower OS for a cumulative of $750 - 925 million 

BOLD Prediction: Makes $1 billion 

~ The Secret Life of Pets: $200 - 250 million domestically and $300 - 400 million plus or lower OS for a cumulative of $500 - 650 million  

~ Zootopia: $170 - 225 million domestically and $200 - 300 million plus or lower OS for a cumulative of $370 - 525 million 

~ Trolls: $100 - 150 million domestically and $200 - 250 million plus or lower OS for a cumulative of $300 - 400 million 

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Kung Fu Panda 3: Opening Weekend: $57M

Domestic: $162M

Worldwide: $865M

 

Zootopia: Opening Weekend: $60M

Domestic: $203M

Worldwide: $619M

 

Angry Birds: Opening Weekend: $43M

Domestic: $129M

Worldwide: $431M

 

Finding Dory: Opening Weekend: $153M

Domestic: $489M

Worldwide: $1.15B

 

The Secret Life of Pets: Opening Weekend: $72M

Domestic: $259M

Worldwide: $597M

 

Ice Age 5: Opening Weekend: $40M

Domestic: $122M

Worldwide: $788M

 

Sausage Party: Opening Weekend: $19M

Domestic: $67M

Worldwide: $98M

 

Kubo and the Two Strings: Opening Weekend: $14M

Domestic: $51M

Worldwide: $107M

 

Storks: Opening Weekend: $34M

Domestic: $118M

Worldwide: $342M

 

Trolls: Opening Weekend: $43M

Domestic: $138M

Worldwide: $345M

 

Moana: Opening Weekend: $80M

Domestic: $305M

Worldwide: $900M

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Kung Fu Panda 3: Opening Weekend: $57M

Domestic: $162M

Worldwide: $865M

 

Zootopia: Opening Weekend: $60M

Domestic: $203M

Worldwide: $619M

 

Angry Birds: Opening Weekend: $43M

Domestic: $129M

Worldwide: $431M

 

Finding Dory: Opening Weekend: $153M

Domestic: $489M

Worldwide: $1.15B

 

The Secret Life of Pets: Opening Weekend: $72M

Domestic: $259M

Worldwide: $597M

 

Ice Age 5: Opening Weekend: $40M

Domestic: $122M

Worldwide: $788M

 

Sausage Party: Opening Weekend: $19M

Domestic: $67M

Worldwide: $98M

 

Kubo and the Two Strings: Opening Weekend: $14M

Domestic: $51M

Worldwide: $107M

 

Storks: Opening Weekend: $34M

Domestic: $118M

Worldwide: $342M

 

Trolls: Opening Weekend: $43M

Domestic: $138M

Worldwide: $345M

 

Moana: Opening Weekend: $80M

Domestic: $305M

Worldwide: $900M

Spot on! 

Agree with these

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Here are my guesses.

 

 

Kung Fu Panda 3: Opening Weekend: $55-70M

Domestic: $195-220M

Worldwide: $965M-1.075B

 

Zootopia: Opening Weekend: $65M

Domestic: $225M

Worldwide: $701M

 

Angry Birds: Opening Weekend: $50M

Domestic: $150-170M

Worldwide: $480-540M

 

Finding Dory: Opening Weekend: $163M

Domestic: $543M

Worldwide: $1.45B

 

The Secret Life of Pets: Opening Weekend: $60M

Domestic: $229M

Worldwide: $530M

 

Ice Age 5: Opening Weekend: $45-50M

Domestic: $150-175M

Worldwide: $925-975M

 

Trolls: Opening Weekend: $52M

Domestic: $160-175M

Worldwide: $450-520M

 

Moana: Opening Weekend: $75M

Domestic: $301M

Worldwide: $830M

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It certainly looks like a big year for Disney, that's for sure. Hopeful for KATTS as well. Recently when animation studios have tried to go epic and earnest it's ended up backfiring at the box office but this looks like it may be Laika's most accessible film

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- January:

  • Kung Fu Panda 3: $135 - 145 million and $450 - 555 million OS for a cumulative of $585 - 700 million

- March:

  • Zootopia: $275/325 million and $400 - 500 million OS for a cumulative of $675 - 825 million
  • The Little Prince: $20 - 40 million and $89+ million OS for a cumulative of $109 - 129+ million

- April:

  • Ratchet and Clank

- May:

  • The Angry Birds Movie: $75 - 125 million and $200+ million OS for a cumulative of $275 - 325+ million

- June:

  • Finding Dory: $450 - 500 million and $450 - 650 million OS for a cumulative of $900 million - 1.150 billion 

- July:

  • The Secret Life of Pets: $200 - 250 million and $400 - 550 million OS for a cumulative of $600 - 800 million 
  • Ice Age: Collision Course: $100 - 125 million and $700 - 850 million OS for a cumulative of $800 - 975+ million

- August:

  • Kubo and the Two Strings: $100 - 150 million and $50 - 100 million OS for a cumulative of $150 - 250 million
  • Sausage Party: $50 - 75 million and $35 - 45 million OS for a cumulative of $85 - 120 million

- September:

  • Storks: $75 - 125 million and $175 - 225 million OS for a cumulative of $250 - 350 million 

- November:

  • Trolls: $125 - 150 million and $275 - 325 million OS for a cumulative of $400 - 475 million 
  • Moana: $250 - 325 million and $450 - 550 million OS for a cumulative of $700 - 875 million

- December:

  • Sing: $125 - 150 million and $250 - 350 million OS for a cumulative of $375 - 500 million
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  1. Finding Dory: $475 million 
  2. Moana: $335 million 
  3. Zootopia: $320 million 
  4. The Secret Lives of Pets: $270 million 
  5. Sing: $185 million 
  6. Storks: $150 million 
  7. Kung Fu Panda 3: $145 million 
  8. Ice Age 5: $110 million 
  9. The Angry Birds Movie: $95 million 
  10. Trolls: $85 million 
  11. Sausage Party: $70 million 
  12. Kubo and the Two Strings: $50 million 
  13. Ratchet and Clank: $40 million 
  14. The Little Prince: $15 million 
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  1. Finding Dory $430,000,000
  2. Zootopia $300,000,000
  3. Moana $290,000,000
  4. The Secret Life of Pets $225,000,000
  5. Angry Birds $170,000,000
  6. Sing $160,000,000
  7. Kung Fu Panda 3 $145,000,000
  8. Trolls $125,000,000
  9. Storks $115,000,000
  10. Ice Age 5 $110,000,000
  11. Sausage Party $75,000,000
  12. Kubo and the Two Strings $70,000,000
  13. Ratchet and Clank $50,000,000
  14. Norm of the North $17,000,000
  15. The Little Prince $15,000,000

Wow, this is a strong year for animation. In fact according to my predictions. 2016 will beat the record (2013) for largest gross of animation by over $600m!

Even if I am over predicting some of these, it's pretty much a forgone conclusion that 2016 will be the biggest year for animation ever. 

 

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On 3/5/2016 at 9:20 PM, Kalo said:
  1. Finding Dory $430,000,000
  2. Zootopia $300,000,000
  3. Moana $290,000,000
  4. The Secret Life of Pets $225,000,000
  5. Angry Birds $170,000,000
  6. Sing $160,000,000
  7. Kung Fu Panda 3 $145,000,000
  8. Trolls $125,000,000
  9. Storks $115,000,000
  10. Ice Age 5 $110,000,000
  11. Sausage Party $75,000,000
  12. Kubo and the Two Strings $70,000,000
  13. Ratchet and Clank $50,000,000
  14. Norm of the North $17,000,000
  15. The Little Prince $15,000,000

Wow, this is a strong year for animation. In fact according to my predictions. 2016 will beat the record (2013) for largest gross of animation by over $600m!

Even if I am over predicting some of these, it's pretty much a forgone conclusion that 2016 will be the biggest year for animation ever. 

 

Let's hope Dory, Moana, and Pets deliver since they'll make up a majority of the cumulative gross! :D 

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1st Update:

 

Major Animated Films of 2016:

- Kung-Fu Panda 3, $143.4 million / $518.6 million WW

- Zootopia, $339.7 million / $1.012 billion WW

- Angry Birds, $104.1 million / $328.6 million WW

- Finding Dory, $195.9 million / $246.5 million WW

 

Total: $783.1 million / $2.105 billion WW

Averages: $195.7 million / $526.4 million WW

 

Upcoming Major Animated Films:

- The Secret Life of Pets, July 8th 

- Ice Age: Collision Course, July 22nd 

- Sausage Party, August 12th 

- Kubo and the Two Strings, August 19th 

- Storks, September 23rd 

- Trolls, November 4th 

- Moana, November 23rd 

- Sing, December 21st

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2nd Update:

 

Major Animated Films of 2016:

- Kung-Fu Panda 3, $143.5 million / $518.9 million WW

- Zootopia, $341 million / $1.02 billion WW

- Angry Birds, $106.1 million / $341.6 million WW

- Finding Dory, $425.6 million / $647.5 million WW

- Secret Life of Pets, $116 million / $158.8 million WW

 

Total: $1.1 billion / $2.68 billion WW

Averages: $226.4 million / $537.68 million WW

 

Upcoming Major Animated Films: 

- Ice Age: Collision Course, July 22nd 

- Sausage Party, August 12th 

- Kubo and the Two Strings, August 19th 

- Storks, September 23rd 

- Trolls, November 4th 

- Moana, November 23rd 

- Sing, December 21st

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Top Animation Opening Weekends 2016:

1. Finding Dory, $135 million

2. Secret Life of Pets, $104.3 million

3. Zootopia, $75 million

4. Kung Fu Panda 3, $41.2 million 

5. Angry Birds, $38.1 million

6. Sausage Party, $34.2 million 

7. Ice Age: Collision Course, $21.3 million

8. Kubo and the Two Strings, $12.6 million

 

Average: $57.7 million

 

Top Animation Multipliers 2016:

1. Zootopia, 4.55x

2. Finding Dory, 3.57x  

3. Kung Fu Panda 3, 3.48x

4. Secret Life of Pets, 3.45x 

5. Kubo and the Two Strings, 3.03x

6. Ice Age: Collision Course, 2.95x

7. Angry Birds, 2.82x

8. Sausage Party, 2.67x

 

Average: 3.31x

 

Top Yearly Gross for Animation:

1. 2013, $1.7 billion

2. 2016, $1.6 billion

3. 2010, $1.5 billion

4. 2012, $1.5 billion

5. 2015, $1.4 billion

6. 2014, $1.2 billion

7. 2011, $1.2 billion

8. 2009, $1 billion

9. 2007, $990,7 million

10. 2008, $973 million 

 

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3rd Update:

 

Major Animated Films of 2016:

- Kung-Fu Panda 3, $143.5 million / $519.9 million WW

- Zootopia, $341.3 million / $1.02 billion WW

- Angry Birds, $107 million / $345.5 million WW

- Finding Dory, $470.7 million / $832.7 million WW

- Secret Life of Pets, $303.1 million / $406.7 million WW

- Ice Age: Collision Course, $46.4 million / $317.5 million WW

 

Total: $1.412 billion / $3.433 billion WW

Averages: $235.3 million / $572.1 million WW

 

Upcoming Major Animated Films:  

- Sausage Party, August 12th 

- Kubo and the Two Strings, August 19th 

- Storks, September 23rd 

- Trolls, November 4th 

- Moana, November 23rd 

- Sing, December 21st

 

With 6 more major animated films coming up this year, we can expect animation alone to take in over $2 billion domestically and over $5 billion internationally! 2016 truly is the year of animation! :D 

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I am extremely disappointed by the performance of Kubo and the Two Strings.  The film is absolutely gorgeous, innovative, and simply stunning.  Such an amazing film does not deserve to be overlooked and shadowed by mediocrity.  Hopefully it holds well and achieves a great multiplier, but it doesn't seem to be the case since it's second week drop is nowhere near Zootopia's.  Hopefully I can update the charts soon when I'm free from school.

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4th Update:

 

Major Animated Films of 2016:

- Kung-Fu Panda 3, $143.5 million / $519.9 million WW

- Zootopia, $341.3 million / $1,023.4 million WW

- Angry Birds, $107.5 million / $346.4 million WW

- Finding Dory, $483.2 million / $945.5 million WW

- Secret Life of Pets, $360.6 million / $767.6 million WW

- Ice Age: Collision Course, $63 million / $346.4 million WW

- Sausage Party, $91.6 million / $105.6 million WW

- Kubo and the Two Strings, $38.3 million / $44 million WW

 

Total: $1.629 billion / $4.098 billion 

Averages: $203.62 million / $512.35 million

 

Upcoming Major Animated Films of 2016:

- Storks, Sept. 23rd 

- Trolls, Nov. 4th

- Moana, Nov. 23rd

- Sing, Dec. 21st

 

With $1.6 billion banked in the domestic market, and with four more major animated films slated for release between mid-September and late December, 2016 will easily best the $1.7 billion domestic take record from major animated films from 2013.  If any of the predictions reign true, expect Moana and Sing alone to deliver $500+ million and $300+ from Storks and Trolls for an estimated end point of around $2.4 billion!  How will 2017 fare?

 

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5th Update:

 

Major Animated Films of 2016:

- Kung-Fu Panda 3, $143.5 million / $519.9 million WW

- Zootopia, $341.2 million / $1,023.8 million WW

- Angry Birds, $107.5 million / $349.7 million WW

- Finding Dory, $486.1 million / $1,025.4 million WW

- Secret Life of Pets, $367.2 million / $872.8 million WW

- Ice Age: Collision Course, $64 million / $407.2 million WW

- Sausage Party, $97.6 million / $139.2 million WW

- Kubo and the Two Strings, $47.9 million / $69.3 million WW

- Storks, $70.8 million / $173.4 million WW

- Trolls, $91.7 million / $227.1 million WW

 

Total: $1.817 billion / $4.807 billion 

Averages: $181.7 million / $480.7 million

 

Upcoming Major Animated Films of 2016:

- Moana, Nov. 23rd

- Sing, Dec. 21st

 

2016 has now officially passed 2013 as the highest grossing year for animated films with TWO highly anticipated blockbusters right around the corner: Moana and Sing.  Moana seems poised for box office dominance as it currently holds an impressive 100% with an 8.0 average rating on Rotten Tomatoes and has all the bearings of a Disney classic.  Sing seems to follow suite as it has amassed over 47 MILLION views alone with just a single trailer and double that with all the teasers and t.v. spots included.  With two soon to be gargantuan animation blockbusters on the horizon, expect 2016 to not only end on a high note for animation, but for the yearly gross to cross the $2 billion and $6 billion thresholds domestically and worldwide respectively! 

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Top Animation Opening Weekends 2016:

1. Finding Dory, $135 million

2. Secret Life of Pets, $104.3 million

3. Zootopia, $75 million

4. Trolls, $46.5 million

5. Kung Fu Panda 3, $41.2 million 

6. Angry Birds, $38.1 million

7. Sausage Party, $34.2 million 

8. Ice Age: Collision Course, $21.3 million

9. Storks, $21.3 million

10. Kubo and the Two Strings, $12.6 million

 

Average: $52.9 million

 

Top Animation Multipliers 2016:

1. Zootopia, 4.54x

2. Kubo and the Two Strings, 3.8x

3. Finding Dory, 3.6x

4. The Secret Life of Pets, 3.52

5. Kung Fu Panda 3, 3.48x

6. Storks, 3.32x

7. Ice Age: Collision Course, 3x

8. Sausage Party, 2.85x

9. Angry Birds, 2.82x

 

 

Average: 3.43x

 

Top Yearly Gross for Animation (2008 - 2016):

1. 2016, $1.8 billion

2. 2013, $1.7 billion

3. 2010, $1.5 billion

4. 2012, $1.5 billion

5. 2015, $1.4 billion

6. 2014, $1.2 billion

7. 2011, $1.2 billion

8. 2009, $1.0 billion

9. 2007, $990.7 million

10. 2008, $973 million 

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