Weekend Estimates: War Room 9.35 | SOC 8.8 | Walk 8.25 | MI 7.15 | Transporter 7.13 | Escape 5.4 | Gallo 3.4

[Fake]

Yeah, but I was including the weekend. For the example you gave we multiply 10m by 3 to get 30m. So it had a 3x multi. Opposed to the case for MI5 where using those numbers we would only multiply the weekend by 1.8x to get it to 200. So I'm not really understanding why we would add a 1 and say it needs a 2.8x multi off of that weekend? That implies an extra 27m to get to 200, not the 17m it actually would need.

 

It is at 173.2m after Thursday. It needs 26.8m. Let's assume that will be the total run.

 

It will make 9.4m this weekend. Let's assume that to be OW.

 

So the multiplier would be 26.8m/9.4m = 2.85x. (Similar to the 30/10 example I just gave).

 

multiplier doesn't mean "extra", it means "including".

[MovieMan89]

Yeah sorry I got what you meant right after I posted.

[lab276]

Here’s what it looks like tonight. As always, the numbers and positions may change in the A.M.:

1). Straight Outta Compton (UNI), 3,097 theaters (-45) / $2.25M to $2.3M Fri. / 3-day cume: $9.18M to $9.37M / 4-day cume: $11.67M to $11.9M / Total cume: $150.6M to $150.8M / Wk 4

2). War Room (SONY), 1,526 theaters (+391) / $2.35M to $2.4M Fri. / 3-day cume: $8.8M to $10M (-23%) / 4-day cume: $11.4M to $11.9M / Total cume: $26.6M to $27M / Wk 2

3). A Walk in the Woods (BGP), 1,960 theaters / $2.2M Fri. / 3-day cume: $8.3M / 4-day cume: $10.8M / Total cume: $12.7M / Wk 1

4). Mission: Impossible-Rogue Nation (PAR), 2,849 theaters (-246) / $1.6M Fri. / 3-day cume: $7.8M / 4-day cume: $10M / Total cume: $183.2M / Wk 6

5). The Transporter Refueled (EURC), 3,434 theaters / $2.375M to 2.4M (includes $365K Fri.) / 3-day cume: $7M to $7.1M / 4-day cume: $8.2M to $8.6M / Wk 1

6). No Escape (TWC), 3,415 theaters (+60) / $1.3M Fri. / 3-day cume: $5.1M (-37%) / 4-day cume: $6.6M / Total cume: $19.6M / Wk 2

7). Man From U.N.C.L.E (WB), 2,102 theaters (-604) / $823K Fri. / 3-day cume: $3.5M / 4-day cume: $4.5M / Total cume: $40.4M / Wk 4

8). Ant-Man (DIS), 1,527 theaters (-163) / $601K Fri. / 3-day cume: $2.9M / 4-day cume: $3.97M / Total cume: $174.2M / Wk 8

9). Sinister 2 (Gramercy/Focus), 2,651 theaters (-148) / $791K Fri. / 3-day cume: $3M / 4-day cume: $3.8M / Total cume: $24.1M / Wk 3

10). Inside Out (DIS), 2,967 theaters (+2,204) / $536K Fri. / 3-day cume: $2.67M / 4-day cume: $3.8M / Total cume: $346.9M / Wk 12

 

http://deadline.com/2015/09/box-office-labor-day-2015-straight-outta-compton-war-room-transporter-refueled-walk-in-the-woods-1201515788/

Top 10 3 day 58.3m, 4 day 74.7m.

vs 2014 82.8m 4 day, 107.1m 4 day

vs 2013 84.9m 3 day, 110m 4 day

Edited September 5, 2015 by lab276

[Boxofficerules]

When was the last time a movie held number 1 for 4 weeks?

[lab276]

When was the last time a movie held number 1 for 4 weeks?

Fast 7

[MovieMan89]

If The Visit bombs it will hold it for 5. 

[Kvikk Lunsj]

If The Visit bombs it will hold it for 5.

Compton should drop to 5-6m next week. The visit should open higher than that.

[The Dark Alfred]

That's an epic increase for MI5. Wow, a Mexican animation in less than 400 theatres making the top 10.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

So Alfredstellar was right, he was the first to insist on 200m for MI5.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

A Walk is doing great.

[druv10]

ANT-MAN looking for best hold once again. After Monday, It's going to be over CA1 and also over 3 multi. Strong legs after an average OW.

[kswiston]

Compton should drop to 5-6m next week. The visit should open higher than that.

 

Compton will be 3rd or 4th next weekend. Both The Visit and The Perfect Guy should clear $6M. 90 Mintutes in Heaven could as well if it gets traction from Christian viewers. 

[kayumanggi]

Some predicted 200 M + for M:I - RN back in May, I included. lol

[Ethan Hunt]

So Alfredstellar was right, he was the first to insist on 200m for MI5.

I said almost 300M after the first trailer

Edited September 5, 2015 by Ethan Hunt

[kayumanggi]

Wait, so this summer is actually down from 2014 based on ticket sales?

[TServo2049]

Wait, so this summer is actually down from 2014 based on ticket sales?

Who's saying that? August was down from 2014, but BOM still shows 2015 ahead in terms of the whole summer, with/without adjustment.

Edited September 5, 2015 by TServo2049

[PDC1987]

If The Visit bombs it will hold it for 5. 

The Visit isn't bombing.

[kayumanggi]

Who's saying that? August was down from 2014, but BOM still shows 2015 ahead in terms of the whole summer, with/without adjustment.

 

In a year that’s on course to potentially hit a record $11 billion, topped off by Disney’s Star Wars: The Force Awakens, it comes as a surprise that the current season didn’t also nail a high mark. Admissions are currently estimated to be down by as much as 3 million to 505.7M. That’s based on a hike in annual ticket prices. Last summer, the average ticket price per NATO was $8.20, and we are currently at $8.61. http://deadline.com/2015/09/summer-box-office-2015-near-record-jurassic-world-avengers-age-of-ultron-1201514455/

Edited September 5, 2015 by kayumanggi

[lab276]

In a year that’s on course to potentially hit a record $11 billion, topped off by Disney’s Star Wars: The Force Awakens, it comes as a surprise that the current season didn’t also nail a high mark. Admissions are currently estimated to be down by as much as 3 million to 505.7M. That’s based on a hike in annual ticket prices. Last summer, the average ticket price per NATO was $8.20, and we are currently at $8.61. http://deadline.com/2015/09/summer-box-office-2015-near-record-jurassic-world-avengers-age-of-ultron-1201514455/

The yearly ticket price won't end up being that high.

[TServo2049]

The yearly ticket price won't end up being that high.

They're comparing summer to summer. It is interesting, we like to adjust yearly average to yearly average, but does adjusting one year's seasonal average to another yield more accurate results for that season?

That said, they are still comparing apples to oranges. The $8.20 summer 2014 average they are giving is being compared against the $8.61 Q2 2015 average. Q2 only includes May-June, not July-August. Q2 2014 was $8.33, not $8.20. Q3 2014 was $8.08 - we have to wait until NATO releases the Q3 2015 average in October to be able to get a summer 2015 average we can compare apples-to-apples to that $8.20 summer 2014 average.

Edited September 5, 2015 by TServo2049