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WrathOfHan

Weekend Estimates: War Room 9.35 | SOC 8.8 | Walk 8.25 | MI 7.15 | Transporter 7.13 | Escape 5.4 | Gallo 3.4

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HUGE HOLDS for MINIONS, ANTMAN and MI5!

Minions is the best hold of the weekend again, despite losing theatres. It also made more than DM2's labor day weekend! Is 338m or more possible?

 

1 Straight Outta Compton $9,000,000 -31% 3,094 -48 $2,909 $147,935,705 4 Universal
2 Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation $7,500,000 -8% 2,849 -246 $2,633 $180,736,692 6 Paramount
3 The Transporter Refueled $6,400,000 -- 3,434 -- $1,864 $6,400,000 1 EuropaCorp Films
4 No Escape (2015) $5,000,000 -38% 3,415 60 $1,464 $18,001,079 2 Weinstein Company
5 The Man from U.N.C.L.E. $3,600,000 -19% 2,102 -604 $1,713 $39,534,148 4 Warner Bros.
6 Inside Out (2015) $3,100,000 130% 2,967 2204 $1,045 $348,173,280 12 Disney
7 Ant-Man $2,800,000 -9% 1,527 -163 $1,834 $173,102,700 8 Disney
8 Minions $2,790,000 -3% 1,927 -49 $1,448 $328,661,460 9 Universal
9 Jurassic World $2,600,000 -14% 1,571 332 $1,655 $646,643,640 13 Universal
10 Vacation (2015) $1,000,000 -39% 1,045 -510 $957 $56,507,064 6 Warner Bros. / New Line
11 We Are Your Friends $620,000 -65% 2,333 0 $266 $3,140,318 2 Warner Bros.

 

Should get to $338-340 million, due to its dollar theater run and zero kid-friendly competition until September 25th. 

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4 200m+ movies this summer compared to 7 last year. Seems it had the opposite issue in that there weren't as many mid-size hits. Disney and Uni are raking everything in while the rest of the studios are begging for scraps.

 

To be fair Disney and Universal were the only two studios that had good lineups this season. WB was crippled by Batman v Superman shifting to next year, Paramount only had MI5 and Terminator, Fox basically relied on Spy and Fant4stic (and look how far that got them), Sony's lineup was lol-worthy and Lionsgate did fuck all. Is it that big of a surprise that this summer partially struggled then?

Edited by C00k13
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Where do those NATO averages come from, anyway? Do they have too much weight in favor of child tickets, matinees, discount theaters? Or is there really that large a spread?

And this discrepancy isn't new. Scott Mendelson of Forbes said that when he saw Batman on opening weekend, tickets were $3 - the 1989 average was $3.97. And there was some MTV coverage of Batman Returns where Cindy Crawford said there would be "more bang for your seven bucks" - the 1992 average was only $4.15.

And I'm looking at photos of ticket stubs people have put online. For example, this is someone from New York City: https://jasonvorhees.files.wordpress.com/2011/08/movie-ticket-stubs-1999-2011.jpg

Adult evening ticket to Star Wars Episode I: $8.50

National average for 1999: $5.08

I spent $20 on MI5 and the average here last year was $13.68. On the other hand, there's a theatre kinda near me which sells all tickets for $6.50.

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The thing that yall in the city forget is that there are thousands of theaters not located in the metropolitan areas and that drags the average down. But even in OKC there is quite the spread depending on the theater one goes too.

The Cinemark that we frequented was only $6 for an adult evening show while the imax AMC was closer to $15 and that is before the 3d premium.

So while there are a lot of you (that live in large cities) that pay way more than the average you only make up a portion of the pie.

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The thing that yall in the city forget is that there are thousands of theaters not located in the metropolitan areas and that drags the average down. But even in OKC there is quite the spread depending on the theater one goes too.

The Cinemark that we frequented was only $6 for an adult evening show while the imax AMC was closer to $15 and that is before the 3d premium.

So while there are a lot of you (that live in large cities) that pay way more than the average you only make up a portion of the pie.

 

Right. Norfolk, VA for example has two 18-plexes attached to malls: one has adult evening shows under $7 plus a $4.15 early bird price (first matinee show of the day, even on weekends) and at the other, the matinee price is about $7.50 and you'll pay $14 for an adult evening 3D ticket. Three guesses which location is considered more "upscale", but Norfolk is part of the Hampton Roads metro area (population 1.7 million) so it goes to show that it's not just four-screen second-run theaters in the boonies where movie tickets can be bought for well below the national average. The disparity in admissions between War Room and Straight Outta Compton will probably be greater than what difference in sales figures, between WR's group sales and popularity in areas with lower ticket rates.

Edited by BoxOfficeChica
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This is interesting. Is it confirmed?

 

September 2 – 4

Updated Thursday afternoons

 

View Index Next Year > Next Week >>
Rank LW Title Distributor Theater

Count

Change % Change Est.

Screens

Change Est.

Shows

Change Week #
> NEW RELEASES
1 - The Transporter Refueled EuropaCorp 3,434 - - - - - - 1
10 11 A Walk in the Woods Broad Green Pictures 1,960 - - - - - - 1
25 - Un Gallo con Muchos Huevos Pantelion 395 - - - - - - 1
49 - Rififi (2015 re-release) Rialto 2 - - - - - - 1
> EXPANDING
2 1 No Escape Weinstein Company 3,415 +60 +1.8% - - - - 2
4 22 Inside Out Buena Vista 2,967 +2,204 +288.9% - - - - 12
14 17 Jurassic World Universal 1,581 +342 +27.6% - - - - 13
16 18 War Room TriStar 1,526 +391 +34.4% - - - - 2
17 23 Southpaw Weinstein Company 1,444 +838 +138.3% - - - - 7
18 19 Pixels Sony / Columbia 1,420 +415 +41.3% - - - - 7
24 34 Mistress America Fox Searchlight 512 +362 +241.3% - - - - 4
30 36 Phoenix (2015) IFC 185 +46 +33.1% - - - - 7
38 61 Grandma (2015) Sony Classics 52 +33 +173.7% - - - - 3
41 66 Jimmy's Hall Sony Classics 30 +18 +150.0% - - - - 10
47 81 Queen of Earth IFC 6 +4 +200.0% - - - - 2
48 89 Slow Learners IFC 3 +2 +200.0% - - - - 3
> NO CHANGE
7 8 We Are Your Friends Warner Bros. 2,333 - - - - - - 2
39 49 Island of Lemurs: Madagascar (IMAX) Warner Bros. 35 - - - - - - 75
> DECLINING
3 3 Straight Outta Compton Universal 3,097 -45 -1.4% - - - - 4
5 4 Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation Paramount 2,849 -246 -7.9% - - - - 6
6 5 Sinister 2 Focus Features 2,651 -148 -5.3% - - - - 3
8 2 Hitman: Agent 47 Fox 2,191 -1,082 -33.1% - - - - 3
9 7 The Man From U.N.C.L.E. Warner Bros. 2,102 -604 -22.3% - - - - 4
11 9 Minions Universal 1,934 -42 -2.1% - - - - 9
12 6 American Ultra Lionsgate 1,729 -1,049 -37.8% - - - - 3
13 10 The Gift (2015) STX Entertainment 1,591 -343 -17.7% - - - - 5
15 13 Ant-Man Buena Vista 1,527 -163 -9.6% - - - - 8
19 12 Ricki and the Flash TriStar 1,274 -442 -25.8% - - - - 5
20 14 Fantastic Four Fox 1,135 -540 -32.2% - - - - 5
21 16 Shaun the Sheep Movie Lionsgate 1,134 -224 -16.5% - - - - 5
22 15 Vacation Warner Bros. (New Line) 1,045 -510 -32.8% - - - - 6
23 20 Trainwreck Universal 813 -144 -15.0% - - - - 8
26 24 Mr. Holmes Roadside Attractions 346 -23 -6.2% - - - - 8
27 21 The Diary of a Teenage Girl Sony Classics 255 -540 -67.9% - - - - 5
28 25 Max (2015) Warner Bros. 240 -42 -14.9% - - - - 11
29 30 San Andreas Warner Bros. 205 -13 -6.0% - - - - 15
31 31 Terminator: Genisys Paramount 168 -41 -19.6% - - - - 10
32 27 The End of the Tour A24 138 -118 -46.1% - - - - 6
33 35 The Gallows Warner Bros. (New Line) 103 -45 -30.4% - - - - 9
34 33 Magic Mike XXL Warner Bros. 88 -68 -43.6% - - - - 10
35 38 Mad Max: Fury Road Warner Bros. 87 -24 -21.6% - - - - 17
36 41 Amy A24 69 -10 -12.7% - - - - 10
37 40 Irrational Man Sony Classics 54 -37 -40.7% - - - - 8
40 45 Love & Mercy Roadside Attractions 31 -8 -20.5% - - - - 14
42 53 Z for Zachariah Roadside Attractions 27 -2 -6.9% - - - - 2
43 51 I'll See You In My Dreams Bleecker Street 21 -13 -38.2% - - - - 17
44 59 The Stanford Prison Experiment IFC 14 -6 -30.0% - - - - 8
45 54 Infinitely Polar Bear Sony Classics 13 -12 -48.0% - - - - 12
46 64 Testament of Youth Sony Classics 11 -4 -26.7% - - - - 14
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HUGE HOLDS for MINIONS, ANTMAN and MI5!

Minions is the best hold of the weekend again, despite losing theatres. It also made more than DM2's labor day weekend! Is 338m or more possible?

 

1 Straight Outta Compton $9,000,000 -31% 3,094 -48 $2,909 $147,935,705 4 Universal
2 Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation $7,500,000 -8% 2,849 -246 $2,633 $180,736,692 6 Paramount
3 The Transporter Refueled $6,400,000 -- 3,434 -- $1,864 $6,400,000 1 EuropaCorp Films
4 No Escape (2015) $5,000,000 -38% 3,415 60 $1,464 $18,001,079 2 Weinstein Company
5 The Man from U.N.C.L.E. $3,600,000 -19% 2,102 -604 $1,713 $39,534,148 4 Warner Bros.
6 Inside Out (2015) $3,100,000 130% 2,967 2204 $1,045 $348,173,280 12 Disney
7 Ant-Man $2,800,000 -9% 1,527 -163 $1,834 $173,102,700 8 Disney
8 Minions $2,790,000 -3% 1,927 -49 $1,448 $328,661,460 9 Universal
9 Jurassic World $2,600,000 -14% 1,571 332 $1,655 $646,643,640 13 Universal
10 Vacation (2015) $1,000,000 -39% 1,045 -510 $957 $56,507,064 6 Warner Bros. / New Line
11 We Are Your Friends $620,000 -65% 2,333 0 $266 $3,140,318 2 Warner Bros.

 

BO.com has a differing chart. see e.g. #11 =/= #19

 

Early Weekend Estimates (Domestic) Fri, Sep. 4 - Sun, Sep. 6

Wide (1000+)

 
# Title weekend   Locations   Avg. Total Wks. Dist.
1 War Room $9,300,000 -18% 1,526 391 $6,094 $24,613,458 2 Sony / TriStar
2 Straight Outta Compton $9,000,000 -31% 3,094 -48 $2,909 $147,935,705 4 Universal
3 A Walk in the Woods $7,700,000 -- 1,960 -- $3,929 $9,732,000 1 Broad Green Pictures
4 Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation $7,500,000 -8% 2,849 -246 $2,633 $180,736,692 6 Paramount
5 The Transporter Refueled $6,500,000 -- 3,434 -- $1,893 $6,500,000 1 EuropaCorp Films
6 No Escape (2015) $5,000,000 -38% 3,415 60 $1,464 $18,001,079 2 Weinstein Company
7 The Man from U.N.C.L.E. $3,600,000 -19% 2,102 -604 $1,713 $39,534,148 4 Warner Bros.
8 Sinister 2 $3,200,000 -31% 2,799 0 $1,143 $23,539,893 3 Focus / Gramercy
9 Inside Out (2015) $3,100,000 130% 2,967 2204 $1,045 $348,173,280 12 Disney
10 Ant-Man $2,800,000 -9% 1,527 -163 $1,834 $173,102,700 8 Disney
11 Minions $2,790,000 -3% 1,927 -49 $1,448 $328,661,460 9 Universal
12 Jurassic World $2,600,000 -14% 1,571 332 $1,655 $646,643,640 13 Universal
13 The Gift (2015) $2,300,000 -23% 1,934 0 $1,189 $39,318,012 5 STX Entertainment
14 Hitman: Agent 47 $1,900,000 -55% 2,191 -1082 $867 $19,448,787 3 Fox
15 American Ultra $1,250,000 -56% 1,729 -1049 $723 $13,079,251 3 Lionsgate
16 Fantastic Four (2015) $1,100,000 -38% 1,135 -540 $969 $54,420,511 5 Fox
17 Vacation (2015) $1,000,000 -39% 1,045 -510 $957 $56,507,064 6 Warner Bros. / New Line
18 Shaun the Sheep Movie $880,000 -19% 1,134 -224 $776 $17,670,331 5 Lionsgate
19 We Are Your Friends $620,000 -65% 2,333 0 $266 $3,140,318 2 Warner Bros.
20 Dope $390,000 2481% 1,023 1009 $381 $17,169,185 12 Open Road

Limited (100 — 999)

 
# Title weekend   Locations   Avg. Total Wks. Dist.
1 Un Gallo con muchos Huevos $3,000,000 -- 395 -- $7,595 $3,000,000 1 Lionsgate / Pantelion
2 Trainwreck $1,500,000 -10% 808 -149 $1,856 $107,180,250 8 Universal
3 Mistress America $720,000 70% 512 362 $1,406 $1,794,726 4 Fox Searchlight
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I always find it funny when the "average" price is hilariously low.

I'm sure ticket prices can fluctuate by region, time, & day...

But unless I'm waking up early and hitting up the earliest matinee possible, I'm not paying anywhere near $8.60 a ticket.

Movie ticket prices have gotten ridiculously high, average realistic price in my area is about $11 or $13.50-$16.00 for IMAX/3D.

It's no coincidence that box-office records are being smashed left & right with $600 million being the new $400 million and $1 billion WW being hit with relative ease with these exuberantly high prices.

Back in my hometown every theater near me (4 theaters) expect the AMC was 7 for the evening.
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Labor Day is the only 4 day holiday weekend that Hollywood has pretty much ignored altogether. Every other holiday weekend spot is now staked out years in advance.

Some studio still needs to have the balls to put something big here. The others all had 90M+ openers in them. 

Edited by CJohn
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Labor day will never be big. People are returning from vacation and schools are going back in session. It would be foolish to open a big movie now. I think the way it is is fine. A holiday weekend with no big opener and just allows the holdovers to have extremely strong holds

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Summer holidays are pretty overrated in general, I think. People would rather use them for going outdoors somewhere

 

Agreed, at least lately. Memorial Day & July 4th weekends have gotten smaller. Then again, President's Day and Valentine's have gotten bigger. 

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