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BOT User Tracking 10/30 - 11/1 Burnt, Our Brand is Crisis, Scouts' Guide

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Wow.  Just... wow. I expected bad, and I even thought it had a chance of being historically bad, but even my imagination paled compared to... that. Early September *wishes* it was that terrible.


Please provide your 10/30 - 11/1 Opening Weekend predicts for:


Our Brand is Crisis

Scouts' Guide


Deadline is Wednesday night at 5 PM, EST. Wednesdays have been busy for me lately and I haven't been able to get this done until Thursday mornings. I'm giving it one more week and if I still can't get it done on Wednesday I may move the deadline back to "late Wednesday night/before I get to it Thursday morning" and then just settle for getting it consistently done on Thursdays. I don't want to, because it'll be awkward with movies opening on Wednesdays, so we'll see how this goes.

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Its pretty astounding that we're going to have back-to-back weeks that make us yearn for the days of early September, but here we are. On the other hand, September was merely boring all the way around, whereas October is giving us cracks at historically significant badness and that doesn't come along every day. At least this week we don't have 4 movies launching with RT%'s potentially in the teens. That was impressive. On the other hand, Scouts' Guide is getting even less buzz than Jem did last week. Seriously, if not for this site, I'd have absolutely no idea that movie was coming out.


Burnt - 5.7M

Our Brand is Crisis - 7.8M

Scouts' Guide - 850K

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Well, on the bright side its almost literally impossible for our expectations to be lower.


Compared to everyone else, we're a little pessimistic on Burnt, a lot pessimistic on Scouts' Guide (ComingSoon.net thinks $5M? Seriously?), and we're about in the middle for Our Brand. We're expecting the 3 openers to make $~16M, total. 


As usual, I went through the various predicts (20 for Brand, and 19 for Burnt and Scouts' Guide) and here's what we ended up with:



Mean: 5.6M

Median: 5.8M

StnDev: 2.13M

Ratio (StnDev/Mean): 37.89%

High: 9M

Low: 1.9M


BO.com 6M

ComingSoon.com 6.5M

Deadline 8M

ScreenRant.com 9M 

Variety 7M



Our Brand is Crisis

Mean: 7.8M

Median: 7.9M

StnDev: 2.04M

Ratio (StnDev/Mean): 26.02%

High: 13M

Low 4.5M


BO.com 5M

ComingSoon.com 9M

Deadline 6M

ScreenRant.com 7.5M 

Variety 6M


Scouts' Guide

Mean: 2.6M

Median: 2.5M

StnDev: 1.4M

Ratio (StnDev/Mean): 53.65%

High: 5.2M

Low 0.4M


BO.com 3M

ComingSoon.com 5M

Deadline 3M


Variety 4M

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