BOT User Tracking 10/30 - 11/1 Burnt, Our Brand is Crisis, Scouts' Guide

[Wrath]

Wow.  Just... wow. I expected bad, and I even thought it had a chance of being historically bad, but even my imagination paled compared to... that. Early September *wishes* it was that terrible.

 

Please provide your 10/30 - 11/1 Opening Weekend predicts for:

Burnt

Our Brand is Crisis

Scouts' Guide

 

Deadline is Wednesday night at 5 PM, EST. Wednesdays have been busy for me lately and I haven't been able to get this done until Thursday mornings. I'm giving it one more week and if I still can't get it done on Wednesday I may move the deadline back to "late Wednesday night/before I get to it Thursday morning" and then just settle for getting it consistently done on Thursdays. I don't want to, because it'll be awkward with movies opening on Wednesdays, so we'll see how this goes.

[grim22]

Burnt - 2.5M

SvZ - 2.5M

Our Brand is Crisis - 7M

[WrathOfHan]

Our Brand is Crisis: 9M

Burnt: 5M

Scouts: 3M

[dudalb]

Bombs away for all the new films next weekend.

 

Crisis is the kind of film that needed good reviews,and it's not getting them.

[Ali]

Burnt 9m

Our Brand is Crisis 10M

Scouts' Guide 4M

[Ethan Hunt]

Burnt: 9M

Our Brand is Crisis: 8M

Scout Guide: 2M

[BadAtGender]

Our Brand in Crisis - 8m

Scouts - 5m

Burnt - 3m

[dudalb]

The Weinsteins would be overjoyed at Burnt doing 9 Million dollars. IMHO it will be lucky to do 5 Million.

[babz06]

Our Brand Is Crisis-8m

Burnt-6m

Scouts and Zombies-2m

Edited October 26, 2015 by babz06

[Vanilla]

Burnt- 4

Our Brand- 5

Zombies- 3

[Blankments]

Our Brand is Crisis - 8.823M

Burnt - 2.865M

Scout’s Guide to the Zombie Apocalypse - 0.874M

[PanaMovie]

Burnt - 7.5M

Our Brand is Crisis - 9.8M

Zombies - 0.8M

[DAJK]

Our Brand: $6.7M

Scouts: $2.9M

Burnt: $7.1M

[TalismanRing]

Our Brand is Crisis: 7M

Burnt: 5.5M

Scouts: 1.5M

[MovieMan89]

A weekend for the record books!

Sandra Bullock's Brand Is In Crisis: $5m

The Artist Formerly Known as Adam Jones: $1.3m

Oogieloves In the Zombie Apocalypse Balloon Adventure: 450k

Edited October 28, 2015 by MovieMan89

[Wrath]

Its pretty astounding that we're going to have back-to-back weeks that make us yearn for the days of early September, but here we are. On the other hand, September was merely boring all the way around, whereas October is giving us cracks at historically significant badness and that doesn't come along every day. At least this week we don't have 4 movies launching with RT%'s potentially in the teens. That was impressive. On the other hand, Scouts' Guide is getting even less buzz than Jem did last week. Seriously, if not for this site, I'd have absolutely no idea that movie was coming out.

 

Burnt - 5.7M

Our Brand is Crisis - 7.8M

Scouts' Guide - 850K

[MovieMan89]

Damn, bummed Scouts isn't opening in 500 more theaters. It was definitely in contention to take the 2000+ record from Oogieloves. Still could see it possibly landing in the bottom ten 600+ list, which would require <350k. 

[Wrath]

Well, on the bright side its almost literally impossible for our expectations to be lower.

 

Compared to everyone else, we're a little pessimistic on Burnt, a lot pessimistic on Scouts' Guide (ComingSoon.net thinks $5M? Seriously?), and we're about in the middle for Our Brand. We're expecting the 3 openers to make $~16M, total. 

 

As usual, I went through the various predicts (20 for Brand, and 19 for Burnt and Scouts' Guide) and here's what we ended up with:

 

Burnt

Mean: 5.6M

Median: 5.8M

StnDev: 2.13M

Ratio (StnDev/Mean): 37.89%

High: 9M

Low: 1.9M

 

BO.com 6M

ComingSoon.com 6.5M

Deadline 8M

ScreenRant.com 9M 

Variety 7M

 

 

Our Brand is Crisis

Mean: 7.8M

Median: 7.9M

StnDev: 2.04M

Ratio (StnDev/Mean): 26.02%

High: 13M

Low 4.5M

 

BO.com 5M

ComingSoon.com 9M

Deadline 6M

ScreenRant.com 7.5M 

Variety 6M

 

Scouts' Guide

Mean: 2.6M

Median: 2.5M

StnDev: 1.4M

Ratio (StnDev/Mean): 53.65%

High: 5.2M

Low 0.4M

 

BO.com 3M

ComingSoon.com 5M

Deadline 3M

ScreenRant.com  

Variety 4M

[MovieMan89]

It would be a miracle if Scouts finished with any of those movie website OW predictions, let alone opened to that. 

Edited October 28, 2015 by MovieMan89

[CJohn]

I think Our Brand is Crisis and Burnt will do better than expected... which isn't saying much.