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AndyLL

The Derby Awakens - Week 51 : December 18 - December 20, 2015

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2 hours ago, kayumanggi said:

Ah I see. Damn, this scoring is a killer. I need to be more careful. ha ha.

 

At least we cap it at 0%. Going negative on a movie would be a real score killer.

 

No Prisoners gave a pretty good explanation on the difference in this scoring vs BOMs 

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On 23/12/2015 05:21:00, No Prisoners said:

BOM took the percentage the actual was away from your prediction

yours- 3m, the actual at 1.5m is 50% lower than yours

here is the opposite. 3m, 1.5m above an actual of 1.5m  is 100% wrong

 

with bom you could say 100m when the actual was 30m and score 30% but 15m would be zero you were rewarded for being high all the time but punished for being low

here you score zero at 100m and the 15m prediction will still score 50% on 30m

 

this is more fair when both predictors are an equal amount away

40m pred   30m actual  20m pred.  both are 10m away from 30m and are scored 66%

with bom, 40m was scored at 75%, the 20m was scored at 50%

 

 

 

 

oh my god i thought i understood the scoring system but i'm clueless right now i thought it was just like BOM

actually... i think it is just like BOM, it has always been the difference divided by the actual gross

 

for example

if a movie grosses 20m and i predict 10m, (20 - 10)/20 = 50% wrong (or you could say 50% away from the actual) = 50% accuracy

if i predict 25m (25-20)/20 = 25% wrong = 75% accuracy

if i predict 40m, (40-20)/20 = 100% wrong = 0% accuracy 

right?

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49 minutes ago, JohnnY said:

 

oh my god i thought i understood the scoring system but i'm clueless right now i thought it was just like BOM

actually... i think it is just like BOM, it has always been the difference divided by the actual gross

 

for example

if a movie grosses 20m and i predict 10m, (20 - 10)/20 = 50% wrong (or you could say 50% away from the actual) = 50% accuracy

if i predict 25m (25-20)/20 = 25% wrong = 75% accuracy

if i predict 40m, (40-20)/20 = 100% wrong = 0% accuracy 

right?

 

Yes... that is correct.  I known't know how BOM did it.

 

However you need to complete your picks @JohnnY if you want any picks

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3 minutes ago, Darth AndyLL said:

 

Yes... that is correct.  I known't know how BOM did it.

 

However you need to complete your picks @JohnnY if you want any picks

 

 

i'm working on it right now

 

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