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Plain Old Tele

Christmas Eve Awakens: SW 27.5-28.5m (Rth) So this is how Avatar dies, with thunderous applause

By Plain Old Tele, in Numbers and Data

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terrestrial Global Phenomenon

terrestrial

Posted
Posted

Thursday, December 24, 2015
 

<<Prev Day <Wk <Mo <Yr
 
 
>Yr >Mo >Wk >>Next Day
TD YD Title (Click to View) Studio Daily Gross % +/- YD / LW Theaters / Avg Gross To-Date Day
1 1 Star Wars: The Force Awakens BV $27,591,000 -27% - 4,134 $6,674 $391,051,329 7
2 2 Alvin and the Chipmunks The Road Chip Fox $2,020,000 -41% - 3,653 $553 $26,699,441 7
3 4 The Big Short Par. $1,716,000 -26% +3,229% 1,585 $1,083 $5,493,455 14
4 3 Sisters Uni. $1,436,570 -42% - 2,962 $485 $23,267,930 7
5 6 The Good Dinosaur BV $910,000 -31% +32% 2,755 $330 $101,565,155 30
6 5 The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 2 LGF $823,000 -38% -6% 2,653 $310 $259,266,061 35
7 7 Creed WB (NL) $815,000 -23% +14% 1,518 $537 $91,716,653 30
8 9 In the Heart of the Sea WB $565,000 -21% -23% 3,103 $182 $21,340,171 14
9 8 Krampus Uni. $483,210 -46% +0% 2,301 $210 $38,302,465 21
10 10 Spectre Sony $325,000 -16% +10% 1,065 $305 $195,384,955 49
- - Brooklyn FoxS $186,000 -10% -11% 543 $343 $17,337,695 51
- 11 The Night Before Sony $185,000 -33% -19% 1,081 $171 $42,537,601 35
- - The Peanuts Movie Fox $145,000 -26% -17% 620 $234 $127,134,937 49
- - The Martian Fox $94,000 -24% +6% 429 $219 $224,365,733 84
- - Youth FoxS $33,400 -2% +166% 61 $548 $655,515 21
- - Legend Uni. $16,770 -17% -46% 78 $215 $1,808,994 35
- - A Royal Night Out ADC $234 -67% -95% 3 $78 $228,136 21
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lancer1997 Cult Classic

lancer1997

Posted
Posted (edited)
1 minute ago, peludo said:

Do you remember when some people were predicting 120-130 opening and 400-450 total? good times... :rolleyes:

 

Perfectly realistic given the quality of the prequels.

 

This is what happens when you make a good Star Wars movie.

Edited by lancer1997
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POTUS 2020 Blockbuster

POTUS 2020

Posted
Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, Baumer Fett said:

159 mill shows fatigue?

Yep. People must be getting tired of Star Wars already. I'm just playing around prisoners. I understand what you are saying but that number is just an unspeakable ungodly massively ridiculously huge number for an opening weekend let alone a second weekend lol

As I said the demand is still there and will do an extraordinary number of 159m. But not 170-190.  The fatigue to for demand will show "at some point" soon, because it has sold  triple the tickets as avatar and therefore will not keep the avatar pace at these levels much longer. Just as Avatar of course started its decline earlier than titanic having sold more tickets than titanic early on. In other words, I'm forewarning it's holds will lessen compared to avatar. There won't be enough demand left to have next week's weekday increases like avatar but the numbers will still be huge. As for today we will not see a 100% bump, but 50m +79% should not be viewed as a dissapointment as some will deem it.

 

The fatigue will show in the comparisons. Not the run. I still think itll be close to 750m  by the 3rd and clear 1b.

Edited by No Prisoners
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terrestrial Global Phenomenon

terrestrial

Posted
Posted
DAY
Avengers
Jurrasic W
Avatar
SW 7
Titanic
WEEK 1
Fri $80,813,985
- / -
$80,813,985 / 1 		$81,953,950
- / -
$81,953,950 / 1 		$26,752,099
- / -
$26,752,099 / 1 		$119,119,282
- / -
$119,119,282 / 1 		$8,658,814
- / -
$8,658,814 / 1
Sat $69,557,990
-13.9% / -
$150,371,975 / 2 		$69,644,830
-15% / -
$151,598,780 / 2 		$25,529,036
-4.6% / -
$52,281,135 / 2 		$68,294,204
-42.7% / -
$187,413,486 / 2 		$10,672,013
+23.3% / -
$19,330,827 / 2
Sun $57,066,733
-18% / -
$207,438,708 / 3 		$57,207,490
-17.9% / -
$208,806,270 / 3 		$24,744,346
-3.1% / -
$77,025,481 / 3 		$60,553,189
-11.3% / -
$247,966,675 / 3 		$9,307,304
-12.8% / -
$28,638,131 / 3
 
Mon $18,898,999
-66.9% / -
$226,337,707 / 4 		$25,344,820
-55.7% / -
$234,151,090 / 4 		$16,385,820
-33.8% / -
$93,411,301 / 4 		$40,109,742
-33.8% / -
$288,076,417 / 4 		$5,578,212
-40.1% / -
$34,216,343 / 4
Tue $17,677,190
-6.5% / -
$244,014,897 / 5 		$24,342,515
-4% / -
$258,493,605 / 5 		$16,086,461
-1.8% / -
$109,497,762 / 5 		$37,361,729
-6.9% / -
$325,438,146 / 5 		$6,003,119
+7.6% / -
$40,219,462 / 5
Wed $13,612,910
-23% / -
$257,627,807 / 6 		$19,895,470
-18.3% / -
$278,389,075 / 6 		$16,445,291
+2.2% / -
$125,943,053 / 6 		$38,022,183
+1.8% / -
$363,460,329 / 6 		$3,571,345
-40.5% / -
$43,790,807 / 6
Thu $12,391,566
-9% / -
$270,019,373 / 7 		$17,822,580
-10.4% / -
$296,211,655 / 7 		$11,150,998
-32.2% / -
$137,094,051 / 7 		Est. $27,591,000
-27.4% / -
$391,051,329 / 7 		$9,178,529
+157% / -
$52,969,336 / 7
WK 1 $270,019,373 $296,211,625 $137,094,001 $391,051,329 $52,969,336
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The Panda Global Phenomenon

The Panda

Posted
Posted
8 hours ago, tokila said:

I think TFA could take the record of most days consecutive days at number 1. Remember Avatar slipped up CMAS day when Sherlock beat it out by 1 mil. I think it will be number 1 each day until Ride Along 2 Friday. 

 

I think it's number one until I come and slay in the movie I'm starring in this January.

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The Panda Global Phenomenon

The Panda

Posted
Posted
4 minutes ago, The Good Olive said:
 4 minutes ago

STAR WARS: THE FORCE AWAKENS took in an estimated $27.59M on Thursday and has grossed $391.05M in 7 days domestically.

 

So... Following Avatar that's

 

Fri: 57.2m

Sat: 70m

Sun: 60.2m

2nd Weekend: 187.4m

 

Insane number if it can pull it off

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Master Scottb Box Office Gold

Master Scottb

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, terrestrial said:
DAY
Avengers
Jurrasic W
Avatar
SW 7
Titanic
WEEK 1
Fri $80,813,985
- / -
$80,813,985 / 1 		$81,953,950
- / -
$81,953,950 / 1 		$26,752,099
- / -
$26,752,099 / 1 		$119,119,282
- / -
$119,119,282 / 1 		$8,658,814
- / -
$8,658,814 / 1
Sat $69,557,990
-13.9% / -
$150,371,975 / 2 		$69,644,830
-15% / -
$151,598,780 / 2 		$25,529,036
-4.6% / -
$52,281,135 / 2 		$68,294,204
-42.7% / -
$187,413,486 / 2 		$10,672,013
+23.3% / -
$19,330,827 / 2
Sun $57,066,733
-18% / -
$207,438,708 / 3 		$57,207,490
-17.9% / -
$208,806,270 / 3 		$24,744,346
-3.1% / -
$77,025,481 / 3 		$60,553,189
-11.3% / -
$247,966,675 / 3 		$9,307,304
-12.8% / -
$28,638,131 / 3
 
Mon $18,898,999
-66.9% / -
$226,337,707 / 4 		$25,344,820
-55.7% / -
$234,151,090 / 4 		$16,385,820
-33.8% / -
$93,411,301 / 4 		$40,109,742
-33.8% / -
$288,076,417 / 4 		$5,578,212
-40.1% / -
$34,216,343 / 4
Tue $17,677,190
-6.5% / -
$244,014,897 / 5 		$24,342,515
-4% / -
$258,493,605 / 5 		$16,086,461
-1.8% / -
$109,497,762 / 5 		$37,361,729
-6.9% / -
$325,438,146 / 5 		$6,003,119
+7.6% / -
$40,219,462 / 5
Wed $13,612,910
-23% / -
$257,627,807 / 6 		$19,895,470
-18.3% / -
$278,389,075 / 6 		$16,445,291
+2.2% / -
$125,943,053 / 6 		$38,022,183
+1.8% / -
$363,460,329 / 6 		$3,571,345
-40.5% / -
$43,790,807 / 6
Thu $12,391,566
-9% / -
$270,019,373 / 7 		$17,822,580
-10.4% / -
$296,211,655 / 7 		$11,150,998
-32.2% / -
$137,094,051 / 7 		Est. $27,591,000
-27.4% / -
$391,051,329 / 7 		$9,178,529
+157% / -
$52,969,336 / 7
WK 1 $270,019,373 $296,211,625 $137,094,001 $391,051,329 $52,969,336

 

That's just insane. Before this the record to $300m was 8-days (Jurassic World), in its 8th day TFA is hitting $400m. 

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terrestrial Global Phenomenon

terrestrial

Posted
Posted

Last time we will see this chart in that way, as now the est. Opening week for SW 7 is $391.05m:

 

Old record:

OPENING WEEKS
(Friday – Thursday Opening Weeks)
 

Note: Sort by Rank or any other column to view all wide releases.
 

Rank Title (click to view) Studio Opening* % of Total Theaters Average Total Gross^ Date**
1 Jurassic World Uni. $296,211,625 45.4% 4,274 $69,305 $652,270,625 6/12/15
2 Marvel's The Avengers BV $270,019,373 43.3% 4,349 $62,088 $623,357,910 5/4/12
3 The Dark Knight WB $238,615,211 44.7% 4,366 $54,653 $533,345,358 7/18/08
4 Avengers: Age of Ultron BV $235,655,468 51.3% 4,276 $55,111 $459,005,868 5/1/15
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Vadermort Straight-to-DVD

Vadermort

Posted
Posted
2 hours ago, leatherjacket said:

Hello,

I didnt see SW7 yet, please anyone tell me

Spoiler

MOD delete - no fake spoilers either

 

Please any help!!!

 

Spoiler

MOD delete - no fake spoilers either

And stop looking for spoilers if you havent seen the movie. 

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CJohn Cinematic Universe

CJohn

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, Obi-Wan Telemachos said:

 

100% or GTFO.

 

Traitor.

It ain't increasing 100%. Daddy's Home, my other Queen JLaw and EXTREME FBI ATHLETES are coming for it. 

1 minute ago, Ethan Hunt said:

 

John have you seen the rumor about our blessed Lord Nolan?

 

 

No. What rumor are you talking about? 

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Plain Old Tele Cinematic Universe

Plain Old Tele

Posted
  • Author
Posted
6 minutes ago, leatherjacket said:

Hello,

I didnt see SW7 yet,

Hidden Content

 

Please any help!!!

 

If you want to spoil yourself, go to the spoiler thread:

http://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/20755-spoilers-the-force-awakens-spoiler-thread-spoilers-allowed-you-have-been-warned-do-not-enter-if-you-dont-want-to-be-spoiled/

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LinksterAC Sleeper Hit

LinksterAC

Posted
Posted
4 minutes ago, No Prisoners said:

As I said the demand is still there and will do an extraordinary number of 159m. But not 170-190.  The fatigue to for demand will show "at some point" soon, because it has sold  triple the tickets as avatar and therefore will not keep the avatar pace at these levels much longer. Just as Avatar of course started its decline earlier than titanic having sold more tickets than titanic early on. In other words, I'm forewarning it's holds will lessen compared to avatar. There won't be enough demand left to have next week's weekday increases like avatar but the numbers will still be huge. As for today we will not see a 100% bump, but 50m +79% should not be viewed as a dissapointment as some will deem it.

 

The fatigue will show in the comparisons. Not the run. I still think itll be close to 750m  by the 3rd and clear 1b.

 

You're using an arbitrarily assumed "ceiling" of demand, and working backwards from that to posit heavier-than-Avatar drops.  

 

But doesn't it make more sense to let the evidence guide your analysis?  If there's a ceiling for demand, the drops (holds) so far clearly indicate that SW7 hasn't hit it. 

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