druv10 Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 2nd UPDATE, Christmas Day, 1:12 PM:Christmas Day is shaping up to be a massive weekend already and Star Wars: The Force Awakens is every bit as big as everyone expected it to be, dropping only a slight percentage from its debut weekend. Right now — and it’s early in matinees — the film could take in anywhere between $170M to $180M to help fuel what is likely to be a historic weekend — this could be the first true three-day Christmas and weekend in history that crosses… http://deadline.com/ http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/box-office-star-wars-makes-851147?facebook20151225 Rth on Page 9 WTF maybe they meant 45-50 , at worst has to be over 40 THR update on page 11 http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/box-office-star-wars-makes-851147 New DHD update Pg 20 http://deadline.com/2015/12/star-wars-the-force-awakens-box-office-pack-as-moviegoers-unwrap-gift-of-choice-1201672136/http://deadline.com/2015/12/star-wars-the-force-awakens-box-office-pack-as-moviegoers-unwrap-gift-of-choice-1201672136/ Page 70 Rth says 55-58 for Star Wars 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#ED Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 170-180M? ... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GiantCALBears Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Spiff up the title a little bit more man & you are good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 That's an absolutely insane weekend number... Now will it go higher or lower? Because Deadline always changes their early estimates considerably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlashMaster659 Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Just now, The Panda Menace said: That's an absolutely insane weekend number... Now will it go higher or lower? Because Deadline always changes their early estimates considerably. Yea, probably not a good idea to bet on it yet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GiantCALBears Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Something like "Christmas weekend TFA $170m-$180m DHD (insert catchy quote)" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 well, if someone just awake from the coma,he/she will think that SW7 just released on Christmas day~ this 170m-180m is too good even for the standard of opening weekend~ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted December 25, 2015 Author Share Posted December 25, 2015 4 minutes ago, GiantCALBears said: Spiff up the title a little bit more man & you are good. I'll let Tele or Darth AndyLL take over those duties. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CJohn Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Do you guys read what I said that shit DHD wrote is nothing. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 I am still shocked after reading this, it's about the weekend, so I quote myself 5 minutes ago, terrestrial said: I think I haven't seen in this forum a quote out of The-Numbers weekend prediction he wrote at 23 Dec, or? Star Wars: The Force Awakens is looking to set a number of records over the weekend, the biggest of which is Biggest Second Weekend. The film could fall exactly 57% during its sophomore stint and still top that record. Since Christmas is on a Friday this year, that is highly unlikely. The last time Christmas landed on a Friday, Avatar slipped just 2%. That's also highly unlikely, sort of. Back in 2009, Thursday night previews were really not a thing. They happened, but very rarely. Now it is rare when a film doesn't have previews. If we were to strip the Thursday previews out of The Force Awakens weekend numbers, we are left with $190 million. It is possible the film will drop only 2% from that figure, giving it $186 million over the weekend. On the low end, anything lower than $140 million will be seen as a shocking drop-off, given the time of year. I think $170 million is the best bet, but I'm also worried that irrational exuberance has taken hold of me, after nearly a week of records being crushed. Anything more than $160 million will be reason to celebrate At 25 December he wrote: Before this year, there was only one film to earn more than $10 million during Christmas Eve, Avatar, which pulled in $11.15 million. This year, Star Wars: The Force Awakens destroyed that record with $27.59 million on Thursday. More impressively, it fell just 27%, compared to 32% drop-off Avatar dealt with back in 2009. From Saturday onwards, The Force Awakens' legs have been almost as good as Avatar's were and I'm worried I might have underestimated The Force Awakens's box office potential this weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BadAtGender Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 It could do over this weekend what I thought it would do for its opening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 ufff, that needed work till I found it: the reason the thread is in a way 'legal' (IMHO Deadline rides too often on others work and....) Kudos to @WrathOfHan for finding it and for @Caladbolg to remember it: 5 hours ago, WrathOfHan said: Daddy's Home earned 1.2M last night: http://deadline.com/2015/12/daddys-home-thursday-previews-1-2-million-1201672183/ 19 minutes ago, Caladbolg said: Yeah but they gave a specific $1.2m previews for Daddy's Home which is normally enough to open a weekend thread 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grey ghost Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 2nd weekend record is obviously toast. Has a good chance at 3rd. What about 4th? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ozymandias Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 (edited) If it reaches 60m+ today, 200m could happen. Thats absolute best case scenario though. Edited December 25, 2015 by Ozymandias 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jayhawk the Hutt Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 (edited) 5 minutes ago, grey ghost said: 2nd weekend record is obviously toast. Has a good chance at 3rd. What about 4th? Depends on the 3rd weekend. At this point the 3rd weekend record is extremely likely, but the 4th weekend has a good chance to fall 50% or so. So it needs at least 100m+ for the 3rd weekend to have a shot. Edited December 25, 2015 by Jayhawk the Hutt 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Futurist Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Dat moment when a 140-130m Second week end creates meltdowns. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
water Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 On 12/21/2015, 11:48:52, water said: with 38m monday i have 38 42 40 30 [63 84 68] 215 which i realize is insane but... imagine... so i was off on the drops/increases for weekdays but given that this is holding better than avatar so far it's possible. maybe with a lower saturday... but still..... ALL ABOARD THE >JW OW TRAIN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriggerMike Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 Anything over 130M this weekend is amazing! That is crushing the previous record of 106M... If people melts down over that then they need to check themselves. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
babz06 Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 20-30m would be excellent for Daddy's Home. Smart decision to release this family comedy against Alvin since that one was always going to disappoint. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted December 25, 2015 Share Posted December 25, 2015 4 minutes ago, The Futurist said: Dat moment when a 140-130m Second week end creates meltdowns. Do you even belief those words or are they meant not earnestly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
