CJohn Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Just now, kayumanggi said: @CJohn, don't start the year like this. lol I am just saying it is possible I think we won't have a single 40M opener until Zootopia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 5 minutes ago, bladels said: I have it at 150-350m based on Chinese theater owners predictions. The buzz and the diehard fans just is'ent there to go to your high end... 2015 was the year where blockbusters got overpredicted big time in China... 150-200 mill is the max range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Just now, CJohn said: I am just saying it is possible I think we won't have a single 40M opener until Zootopia. Not even Deadpool? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jawa Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 What's with the massive Sunday drop? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ecstasy Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 What page are the weekend numbers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CJohn Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Just now, fmpro said: Not even Deadpool? Lmao, people still think that is gonna do well. Ride Along 2 and KFP3 have a better chance at 40M OW, and I still think neither of them will do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 27 minutes ago, fmpro said: #stillhavenocluewhatyouaresaying I'll try again, the last time something went very wrong test out if you still can edit post and / or quotes whilst using Chameleon. For me that does not work with that theme. so if I have to edit, I change back to the Star War theme, make my edit... and so on. If you still have problems... and as you asked WTF a support ticket even is: http://forums.boxofficetheory.com/support/ there is a button to start a support ticket, a window opens,... you'll fill out your OS, browser,... as more as Water Bottle knows as more chances he has to find the problem (he said someting about the themes, I have to reread that ) For me that support function usually works, but this week it didn't = I used PM Now all clear enough ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bladels Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 1 minute ago, fmpro said: The buzz and the diehard fans just is'ent there to go to your high end... 2015 was the year where blockbusters got overpredicted big time in China... 150-200 mill is the max range How do you know that? Are you Chinese? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Let's assume the estimates hold (unlikely) and look at a best case scenario where it drops 40% every weekend (also unlikely): Next weekend: 35.3M MLK: 21.2M Jan 22: 12.7M Jan 29: 7.6M Feb 5: 4.6M Feb 12: 2.8M Feb 19: 1.7M Feb 26: 1M That's a total of 86.9M. I don't feel like going through the plausibility of what the weekdays will be so let's assume they combine for 75M. This would put the movie slightly above 900M. 1B is dead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ethan Hunt Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 2 minutes ago, CJohn said: Lmao, people still think that is gonna do well. Ride Along 2 and KFP3 have a better chance at 40M OW, and I still think neither of them will do it. I got 13 Hours doing 50M opening... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Yeah @fmpro, are you Chinese? ha ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 If these next two months suck, it gives all the more reason for Zootopia to be massive. 75M OW. 310M DOM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jb007 Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Let's assume the estimates hold (unlikely) and look at a best case scenario where it drops 40% every weekend (also unlikely): Next weekend: 35.3M MLK: 21.2M Jan 22: 12.7M Jan 29: 7.6M Feb 5: 4.6M Feb 12: 2.8M Feb 19: 1.7M Feb 26: 1M That's a total of 86.9M. I don't feel like going through the plausibility of what the weekdays will be so let's assume they combine for 75M. This would put the movie slightly above 900M. 1B is dead. A 35m wknd would be 60% drop not 40%. Sent from my ASUS_Z011D using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Faningo-com Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 The dream is collapsing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poseidon Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 8 minutes ago, CJohn said: What will happen to this forum when KFP3 opens below well under 40M? I am not sure if all of you realized but KFP2 opened with only 47M. Putting KFP in January might have been a great move, like when Sony pushed to September with their animation. A lot of no-name Animation movies did great business in recent years, after a lot of trailering over the holidays and a serious lack of competition. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 6 minutes ago, CJohn said: I am just saying it is possible I think we won't have a single 40M opener until Zootopia. I like the KFP series, one of DW's best. I hope KFP III does well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CJohn Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 3 minutes ago, ecstasy said: What page are the weekend numbers Page 45. 2 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: Let's assume the estimates hold (unlikely) and look at a best case scenario where it drops 40% every weekend (also unlikely): Next weekend: 35.3M MLK: 21.2M Jan 22: 12.7M Jan 29: 7.6M Feb 5: 4.6M Feb 12: 2.8M Feb 19: 1.7M Feb 26: 1M That's a total of 86.9M. I don't feel like going through the plausibility of what the weekdays will be so let's assume they combine for 75M. This would put the movie slightly above 900M. 1B is dead. It was always dead. It was a good, happy dream, tho. 1 minute ago, Ethan Hunt said: I got 13 Hours doing 50M opening... Not even Lone Survivor did that I think it is gonna do solid numbers, but not that kind of insane crazy numbers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tyrannyreborn Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 3 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: Let's assume the estimates hold (unlikely) and look at a best case scenario where it drops 40% every weekend (also unlikely): Next weekend: 35.3M MLK: 21.2M Jan 22: 12.7M Jan 29: 7.6M Feb 5: 4.6M Feb 12: 2.8M Feb 19: 1.7M Feb 26: 1M That's a total of 86.9M. I don't feel like going through the plausibility of what the weekdays will be so let's assume they combine for 75M. This would put the movie slightly above 900M. 1B is dead. 40% drop from $88.3m is $52.98m, not $35.3m. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 (edited) 1 minute ago, tyrannyreborn said: 40% drop from $88.3m is $52.98m, not $35.3m. Godammit I forgot to subtract it from 88.3. 1B is still dead regardless. Edited January 3, 2016 by WrathOfHan 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ethan Hunt Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 1 minute ago, CJohn said: Page 45. It was always dead. It was a good, happy dream, tho. Not even Lone Survivor did that I think it is gonna do solid numbers, but not that kind of insane crazy numbers I'm counting on that Michale Bay curiosity factor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
