Wednesday's (13. January) Revenant 3.79 | SW7 3.11 | DH 856k | Big Short 645k | Sisters 630k | H8 627k | Forest 573k | Joy 523.7k | Conc.282.7k | Alvin 211k

[terrestrial]

Scott Mendelson ‏@ScottMendelson

'Star Wars: The Force Awakens' Box Office: $3.1M Wednesday For A $822M U.S., $1.78B Worldwide Total @Forbes http://onforb.es/1n2yke3

Edited January 14, 2016 by terrestrial

[B J]

what a hold

[Daxtreme]

19,4% drop I think, if that holds up, which is good.

 

Star Wars still riding above my predictions for a 900M February 1st/2nd

Edited January 14, 2016 by Daxtreme

[spazz91]

great hold. We have a chance at 3m Thursday.

[spizzer]

Pretty solid.  Still flat from Monday.

Edited January 14, 2016 by spizzer

[terrestrial]

Our of the Forbes tweet linked article:

 

Quote

 

As of today (but not yesterday), Star Wars: The Force Awakens is the fifth-biggest film of all time overseas, ahead of the $960.5m overseas gross of Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows part 2. As of Wednesday its total is a “mere” $957m, but it earned $14m worldwide yesterday, with $10.9m overseas and $3.1m in America. Now while we like to talk about inflation and the 3D bump and all of that in regards to domestic box office, overseas is a little trickier. While the overseas market has expanded like crazy over the last 5-10 years, the last few years has seen something of a deflation in terms of overseas box office. The dollar is stronger in 2015 than it was in 2012, and as a result overall worldwide box office totals are smaller than they would have been just a few years ago.

...

...by this time next month it will be that much harder to find the film at a theater near you with a guestimated location count of around 1,200 theaters.

 

 

Scott Mendelson ‏@ScottMendelson

My noted complaints aside, I would have been all for #StarWars #TheForceAwakens nabbing #Oscars nods for Cinematography, Production Design.

 

(My 2ct: Production Design I really do not understand the nom of at least one movie who got one in comparison to e.g. SW 7 that did not got one too)

Edited January 14, 2016 by terrestrial

[jedieb]

I've got $900 on Jan 31st with around $930M by the end of Feb. Nice hold.

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

[POTUS 2020]

5 Oscar nods but no BP. Could have used that boost this weekend. 

Revenant numbers should starting boosting tomorrow.

SW7 may likely to be 3rd this weekend. 

[terrestrial]

Reposts:

 

The-Numbers weekend prediction (all for the 4-day weekend) :

 

http://www.the-numbers.com/news/210940830-Weekend-Predictions-Along-for-the-Ride

Quote

#1 When I first looked at Ride Along 2's reviews, there was one review and it was positive. Since then, there have been 17 negative reviews in a row. Ouch.... ..... Ride Along 2 earn over $50 million during this four-day weekend. However, bad reviews the first time and even worse reviews this time will likely result in a drop-off. I'm going with $42 million, but that's over the full four-day long weekend.

#2 The Revenant should remain in second place. Its reviews and its Awards Season success should help it over the weekend. Look for $31 million over the four-day weekend putting it close to $90 million in total. ...

#3 Star Wars 7 should be next with $30 million over four days putting it past $850 million domestically. T...

#4 13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Beng...The first four reviews were negative, but since then its Tomatometer Score has climbed past 60% positive. Its buzz is okay, but nothing more. It should earn a theater average of $10,000, over the four-day weekend. With an opening theater count of 2,400 that would give it an opening weekend of $25 million....

#5 Daddy's Home should round out the top five with $12 million, again over four days....

#? Norm of the North, .... I'm going with an opening four-day weekend of $8 million, but I fear I am being too generous.

 

 

And BO.com's prediction:

 

Quote

Title	Release Date	Distributor	Weekend	Dom. till Monday Jan 18
Ride Along 2	Jan 15, 2016	Universal	$41,000,000	$41,000,000
Star Wars: The Force Awakens	Dec 18, 2015	Disney	$32,500,000	$858,000,000
The Revenant (2015)	Dec 25, 2015	Fox	$32,000,000	$89,700,000
13 Hours: T.Secret Soldiers o.Benghazi	Jan 15, 2016	Paramount	$25,000,000	$25,000,000
Daddy's Home	Dec 25, 2015	Paramount	$12,500,000	$132,400,000
Norm of the North	Jan 15, 2016	Lionsgate	$10,000,000	$10,000,000
The Forest	Jan 8, 2016	Focus/Gram.	$6,800,000	$22,200,000
The Big Short	Dec 11, 2015	Paramount	$6,500,000	$51,700,000
Sisters	Dec 18, 2015	Universal	$5,500,000	$81,900,000
Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Road Chip	Dec 18, 2015	Fox	$4,800,000	$81,500,000
The Hateful Eight	Dec 25, 2015	Weinstein	$4,300,000	$48,400,000
Joy	Dec 25, 2015	Fox	$3,300,000	$51,800,000
Spotlight	Nov 6, 2015	Open Road	$2,900,000	$31,800,000

 

the reasoning... is here to read:

http://pro.boxoffice.com/featured_stories/2016-01-weekend-forecast-ride-along-2-the-force-awakens-the-revenant-13-hours-norm-of-the-north

 

8 minutes ago, No Prisoners said:

5 Oscar nods but no BP. Could have used that boost this weekend. 

Revenant numbers should starting boosting tomorrow.

SW7 may likely to be 3rd this weekend. 

 

The-Numbers thinks #3, BO.com thinks #2

Edited January 14, 2016 by terrestrial

[grim22]

Looking at the release schedule for 2016 (ignoring November and December for now because those slots aren't completely filled yet), the only weekend with a solo wide release currently is September 16th, and that is because Bridget Jones's Baby is listed as a limited release for some reason. At least last year there were 3 weekends with solo wide releases, Furious 7, AoU and Jurassic World.

[Moose]

On the bright side. This is the most Oscar noms for a Star Wars film since the original.

[FTF]

14 minutes ago, No Prisoners said:

5 Oscar nods but no BP. Could have used that boost this weekend. 

Revenant numbers should starting boosting tomorrow.

SW7 may likely to be 3rd this weekend. 

 

Yeah disappointed with no bp nom.  Didn't many say it was locked since it was the all time domestic box office???  :/

 

This is like when TDK got snubbed, except they had two extra spots wasted this year for no reason.

 

Edited January 14, 2016 by FTF

[jb007]

23 minutes ago, B J said:

what a hold

This.

[spazz91]

27 minutes ago, B J said:

what a hold

 

[redfirebird2008]

Anything it makes at this point is just icing on the cake. That number is a good day to day hold after the big Tuesday increase, but it's down 50% from last Wednesday. Probably will end up around $23-24m for the 3-day weekend (roughly 45% drop from last weekend).

Edited January 14, 2016 by redfirebird2008

[terrestrial]

6 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said:

Anything it makes at this point is just icing on the cake. That number is a good day to day hold after the big Tuesday increase, but it's down 50% from last Wednesday. Probably will end up around $23-24m for the weekend (roughly 45% drop from last weekend).

4-day weekend? See above, The-Numbers and BO.com are thinking higher

 

Spotlight

$106,463

+3%

368

-17

$289

$28,845,407

Open Road

Secret in Their Eyes

$2,851

-24%

62

-5

$46

$20,176,764

STX

 

 

Edited January 14, 2016 by terrestrial

[redfirebird2008]

1 minute ago, terrestrial said:

4-day weekend? See above, The-Numbers and BO.com are thinking higher

 

Spotlight

$106,463

+3%

368

-17

$289

$28,845,407

Open Road

Secret in Their Eyes

$2,851

-24%

62

-5

$46

$20,176,764

STX

 

 

 

No, I'm talking about the 3-day weekend.

[druv10]

10 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said:

Anything it makes at this point is just icing on the cake. That number is a good day to day hold after the big Tuesday increase, but it's down 50% from last Wednesday. Probably will end up around $23-24m for the weekend (roughly 45% drop from last weekend).

 

It's a holiday weekend so it should definitely hold better.

 

7M

12M

10M 

29M/37M 4-day

 

862M after the 4-day weekend. It should finish around 950M!

[redfirebird2008]

2 minutes ago, druv10 Maul said:

 

It's a holiday weekend so it should definitely hold better.

 

7M

12M

10M 

29M/37M 4-day

 

862M after the 4-day weekend. It should finish around 950M!

 

That $7m number on Friday seems too generous. Last week it jumped 80% and now you're expecting it to jump 130%? Avatar jumped 118% and 121% on those two Fridays. The $23-24m three-day weekend number I came up with includes a 10-15% drop on Sunday, which is excellent due to the holiday. Otherwise it would be a 35% drop like last Sunday. If you look at Avatar on MLK Weekend, most movies dropped around 20% on that Sunday while Avatar was a freak (12% Sunday drop) compared to everything else.

[junkshop36]

40 minutes ago, No Prisoners said:

5 Oscar nods but no BP. Could have used that boost this weekend. 

Revenant numbers should starting boosting tomorrow.

SW7 may likely to be 3rd this weekend. 

 

At this point I don't think a BP nom would help TFA all that much. It's made waaaay too much money at this point to see any significant bump from the Oscars. 

 

Good hold for TFA this Thursday. Should do 30-35m for the 4 day.