All about Eve - old Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 I had a simple formula last year for assessing awards potential. I just watched all the films I could and tried as objectively as possible to rate them on quality and whether I liked them. Give or take a couple of surprises I pretty accurately picked all the nominees for the Oscars and most of the precursors. In the past I got caught up in PR hype and predictions from self styled 'pundits' who just guess along with the rest of us but dress it up as some kind of inside knowledge. Bonus tip -avoid ranting bloggers like Sasha Stone and that weasel Scott Feinberg. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 11 hours ago, slambros said: So Hail Ceasar! is out in theaters now. Do you think it's best picture material? I haven't seen it yet. No way. Only the Globes will go for it (and even that will all depend on the competition). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blankments Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 Maybe Loving will sweep. I'd be up for that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Halba Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 (edited) scorcese 'silence'. nothing else comes close. historical epic oscar bait like last samurai, and liam neeson is an epic lead actor. andrew garfield is also resurgent and in form now esp with '99 homes'. as is adam driver, fresh from star wars success. Edited February 14, 2016 by Halba Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 35 minutes ago, Halba said: scorcese 'silence'. nothing else comes close. historical epic oscar bait like last samurai, and liam neeson is an epic lead actor. andrew garfield is also resurgent and in form now esp with '99 homes'. as is adam driver, fresh from star wars success. Neeson is not the lead. Garfield is. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kalo Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Anyone here anything about The Lost City of Z? not sure if it is awards contender or not. but it's sounds super interesting to me. an historical adventure epic set in the 1920s, based off a rather well recieved non-fiction book. the cast is intriguing too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Definitely keeping an eye on that one. Hunnam in the lead role gives me a slight pause but James Gray is one of the best working filmmakers, it'd be nice if he finally broke out big with this one especially after Weinstein killed and buried The Immigrant. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joel M Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 I think James Gray is just to niche to really break out. Linklater arguably did it with Boyhood but he was always a more mainstream friendly filmmaker. Some of his movies that made very little at the BO really broke through beyond movie geek/festival crowds after their theatrical run (Dazed&Confused, Before trilogy). I see Gray as more similar to Todd Haynes. He had Weinstein, an intiruing subject, and two "hot" at the moment leading ladies, but Carol only went so far both in awards and BO. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Stingray Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 8 hours ago, Kalo said: Anyone here anything about The Lost City of Z? not sure if it is awards contender or not. but it's sounds super interesting to me. an historical adventure epic set in the 1920s, based off a rather well recieved non-fiction book. the cast is intriguing too. It's a fantastic book. I wish Brad Pitt was still on board. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 1 hour ago, Joel M said: I see Gray as more similar to Todd Haynes. He had Weinstein, an intiruing subject, and two "hot" at the moment leading ladies, but Carol only went so far both in awards and BO. Well, Carol went almost all the way when it came to award nominations. Yeah, Gray's last two films were melodramas that were heavy on subtlety and restraint (I haven't seen Carol, but it sounds similar in that way), so they probably wouldn't have found a big audience even with strong distributors/promotion behind them. But his sensibility is also far from alienating, and if he made something widely acclaimed and at least given a chance at the box office, I don't see why he wouldn't get award recognition. Then again, it's really hard to tell with Lost City of Z because it's a very different genre and budget than he's ever had before. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kalo Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 (edited) 3 hours ago, Joel M said: I think James Gray is just to niche to really break out. Linklater arguably did it with Boyhood but he was always a more mainstream friendly filmmaker. Some of his movies that made very little at the BO really broke through beyond movie geek/festival crowds after their theatrical run (Dazed&Confused, Before trilogy). I see Gray as more similar to Todd Haynes. He had Weinstein, an intiruing subject, and two "hot" at the moment leading ladies, but Carol only went so far both in awards and BO. Expect this story sounds a lot more mainstream to me, if done, and advertised right I could see it being a huge financial hit. and Carol did got a lot of awards recognition. Edited February 16, 2016 by Kalo Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted February 16, 2016 Author Share Posted February 16, 2016 None of the current December releases sound like BP nominees right now. But I'm sure that will change soon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AniNate Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 I'm thinking Silence and Hacksaw Ridge will be December releases. They both have an epic drama feel to them. Story of Your Life, being a genre contender will likely be September or October, like Villeneuve's last two US productions Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 the december oscar bait probably won't get dated for a while. the big short wasn't even confirmed as a 2015 release until september. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted February 16, 2016 Author Share Posted February 16, 2016 4 minutes ago, CoolioD1 said: the december oscar bait probably won't get dated for a while. the big short wasn't even confirmed as a 2015 release until september. True. I was just looking at the current December line up and none are BP type films (unless if there is something I don't know about The Strangers 2! Oh wait....) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kalo Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 6 hours ago, Impact said: True. I was just looking at the current December line up and none are BP type films (unless if there is something I don't know about The Strangers 2! Oh wait....) Passengers? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted February 17, 2016 Author Share Posted February 17, 2016 1 hour ago, Kalo said: Passengers? Well it is a sci fi-ironically a sci fi romance is what I thought Gravity was when I first read about it Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 After the #oscarsowhite campaign, I expect a lot of diversity for next year, even if the movies are not that good. Birth of a Nation? Collateral Beauty? I can't remember any other movies! Madea? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Other movies dealing with diversity: Queen of Katwe, Nina, A United Kingdom, Free state of Jones... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 6 minutes ago, stripe said: Other movies dealing with diversity: Queen of Katwe, Nina, A United Kingdom, Free state of Jones... Loving, the Jeff Nichols movie about an interracial relationship, just got bought by Focus. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
