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DEADPOOL WEEKEND THREAD | Deadpool 152.193 actual. Daily breakdown on page 159

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Crazy that, coming into this weekend, $65M OW for the 3-day, 4-day even, was considered a strong weekend for Deadpool, possibly a breakout even. It ended up more than doubling that amount.

 

As the estimates stand (could very well increase further more for all I know), Deadpool holds the 17th biggest 3-day OW of all time, just below POTC Dead Man's Chest. It did 7 million more than the 18th biggest, which was Iron Man 2. Unfuckingbelievable.

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1 hour ago, kayumanggi said:

Is 150 M still possible for KUNG FU PANDA III?

 

It depends on how it holds during the rest of February.....

 

But then again......Puss in Boots came damn close with $149M DOM.....but that opened at $34M OW. And KFP3 has good WOM.

 

I dunno.....not sure yet. I hope it gets there, though.

 

Just hope people will turn droves for KFP4....when that film comes in the future. DW just needs to put it in either a better month.

Edited by MrFanaticGuy34

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3 minutes ago, Jay Beezy said:

Does the 15M projected Monday feel like a lowball especially considering we're not on that day yet?

 

Well look at it this way in 2010 the average Monday drop for the Adult films was between -63 and -70% if it drops 65% then the 15m is low if it drops 70% then you are looking at closer to 13.5m so the 15 appears to be a decent projection - based off that Sunday projection. It needs to hit 45m on Sunday first though.

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4 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:

 

His movies flopping wasn't his fault. Reynolds proved that with DEADPOOL.

 

Reynold's was born to play Deadpool and the movie was lightning in a bottle.

 

Hard to imagine a similar scenario for Taylor Kitsch.

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35 minutes ago, CJohn said:

Civil War and BvS might open below 150M which means opening below Deadpool.

 

Worst case for Civil War is probably $115-120 million OW (if it's Avengers 2 or Thor 2 quality), while BvS is probably $135-140 million 

 

The lack of competition should get BvS to $150-155 million OW, since it's the first PG-13 tentpole of 2016 (Allegiant doesn't count since it could have a $25-30 million OW :D

 

I doubt Civil War does less than $140-150 million OW, unless the film is subpar. Early test screenings have been positive, so the Russos may have kept up the quality from CA2

 

Personally, I'm expecting the superhero films to turn out as:

  1. Batman vs. Superman: $430 million 
  2. Captain America - Civil War: $375 million 
  3. Deadpool: $335 million 
  4. Suicide Squad: $230 million 
  5. X-Men - Apocalypse: $215 million 
  6. Doctor Strange: $145 million 

If Deadpool holds better than I expect, it may finish #1 if BvS/Civil War underperform. But I think one of the two will cross $400 million and keep Deadpool from being the #1 CBM of 2016. 

 

 

 

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2 minutes ago, narniadis said:

 

Well look at it this way in 2010 the average Monday drop for the Adult films was between -63 and -70% if it drops 65% then the 15m is low if it drops 70% then you are looking at closer to 13.5m so the 15 appears to be a decent projection - based off that Sunday projection. It needs to hit 45m on Sunday first though.

 

Ah, okay.

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Wow!!!

 

This is one of, if not the, most shocking opening weekend of all time. Just crazy! 

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1 minute ago, Ethan Hunt said:

The Avengers is a non-sequel? :thinking:

 

Well - technically it is in the aspect that there had never been the ensemble before. And it played out like a non-sequel as well.

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If the estimate holds, Deadpool will have the 5th biggest Sunday ever!

Enviado de meu XT1097 usando Tapatalk

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It even passes it on the adjusted list!

 

 
Rank Title (click to view) Studio Opening* % of Total Theaters Avg. Adjusted Gross^ Date**
1 Deadpool Fox $135,050,000 100.0% 3,558 $37,957 $135,050,000 2/12/16
2 The Matrix Reloaded WB $132,410,800 32.6% 3,603 $36,749 $406,254,600 5/15/03
3 The Passion of the Christ NM $117,468,300 22.6% 3,043 $38,602 $518,742,200 2/25/04
4 American Sniper WB $95,645,400 25.5% 3,555 $26,905 $374,796,000 1/16/15
5 The Hangover Part II WB $92,770,800 33.8% 3,615 $25,663 $274,810,400 5/26/11
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BOF December 2015 - "I'm loving the Star Wars run but its really going to be hard to get excited for another Boxoffice run for a long time given just how amazing its doing."
BOF February 2016 - "HOLY FUCKING SHIT FUCKS DEADPOOL 100M+ OW"

 

 

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And looking at the way Sunday behaved in 2010 (last time VD fell on a Sunday) I think some of the films are in for downward corrections. KFP3 probably wont increase but it will have a better hold on Monday than all the rest (probably under -30%). The adult films (non Chick) with increases in the 5% range should all be ok though seems a reasonable estimate on the studio's part. But like I already said, Paramount is crazy with their estimates today both for Zoolander and 13Hours.

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2 hours ago, DAR said:

So now what are the most coveted weekends to release a film?

 

 

 

Valentine's Day.  1st week of January.  1st week of October.  1st week of November.  3rd week of November.  3rd and 4th week of December.  1st and 3rd week of May.  Sometime in June.  Mid-July.  1st week of August.  

 

Basically any time not named late August, early September or 1st week of February.    

Edited by nilephelan

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15m..more like Poolander.

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Morena-Baccarin-Hair.jpg

 

The real reason Deadpool broke out.

 

HAIL Joss Whedon !

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4 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

 

Reynold's was born to play Deadpool and the movie was lightning in a bottle.

 

Hard to imagine a similar scenario for Taylor Kitsch.

 

Well, we say that now that DEADPOOL is a hit. Give Kitsch and the other 'cursed actors' good material, they could do well.

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