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Best Supporting Actress-2016 predictions!

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Greta Gerwig, 20th Century Women

Naomie Harris, Moonlight

Kristen Stewart, Billy Lynn

Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea

Rachel Weisz, The Light Between Oceans

 

Going to be a very boring category to track, Michelle Williams has this near locked.

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First GoldDerby expert predictions for Best Supp. Actress nominations:

http://www.goldderby.com/awardshows/expert-predictions/oscars-nominations-2017/supp-actress/sort/recent/

 

Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea - 19
Kristen Stewart, Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk - 13
Naomie Harris, Moonlight - 12
Aja Naomi King, The Birth of a Nation - 9
Nicole Kidman, Lion - 6

 

Laura Dern, The Founder - 5
Dakota Fanning, American Pastoral - 5
Rachel Weisz, The Light Between Oceans - 4
Elle Fanning, 20th Century Women - 3
Felicity Jones, A Monster Calls - 3
Character Actress Margo Martindale, The Hollars - 3
Julianne Moore, Maggie's Plan - 3
Helen Mirren, Collateral Beauty - 2
Shailene Woodley, Snowden - 2
Rebecca Ferguson, The Girl on the Train - 1
Greta Gerwig, 20th Century Women - 1
Melissa Leo, Snowden - 1
Laura Linney, Sully - 1
Teresa Palmer, Hacksaw Ridge - 1
Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures - 1

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http://awardswatch.com/predictions/2017-oscar-predictions-september-best-supporting-actress-michelle-williams-naomie-harris-kristen-stewart-amy-adams-nicole-kidman/

 

Awards Watch, going by a points system, gives us this:

 

47 points

Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea

 

43 points

Naomie Harris, Moonlight

 

Those are the two frontrunners.

 

2017-Oscar-Nomination-Predictions-S.-Act

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i'd say with davis it's 50/50. i read the play and it can definitely be seen as a supporting role. in fact the first actress who played it on broadway won a tony in supporting and the tonys are way less fraudy than the oscars when it comes to this stuff. who knows maybe denzel made his character the focus of the picture too much.

 

but i'll predict Davis, Gerwig, Harris, Kidman, Williams. In lead it woulda been a fight but here i think viola is probably as locked to win as anne hathaway was for les miserables.

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