Weekend Estimates (Page 25): Zootopia 73.7M | London Has Fallen 21.71M | Deadpool 16.4M | WTF 7.6M

[The Dark Samurai]

Are people seriously asking whether Deadpool will beat GOTG? 

 

Deadpool will be around $311 million after a $17 million weekend. It'll only need $22 million more to do it.

 

It did $9,5 million during the weekdays and say, $17 million this weekend, totaling around $26,5 million for the week. With 50% drops and not a single week until the end under it:

 

$13,2 million/ 6,6 / 3,3 / 1,7/ 0.85 / 0.4

 

So with terrible legs, it's going to make $26 million more, which is around $337 million. And it's most definitely not going to have such drops at least until BvS. I honestly don't see how it's going to miss $350.

Edited March 5, 2016 by The Dark Samurai

[AniNate]

The box office has been more than fine for the last three months or so. I can do with Allegiant disappointing

[eddyxx]

1 hour ago, kayumanggi said:

300m after today.

 

I'm touching myself tonight.

[Nova]

3 minutes ago, The Dark Samurai said:

Are people seriously asking whether Deadpool will beat GOTG? 

 

Deadpool will be around $311 million after a $17 million weekend. It'll only need $22 million more to do it.

 

It did $9,5 million during the weekdays and say, $17 million this weekend, totaling around $26,5 million for the week. With 50% drops and not a single week until the end under it:

 

$13,2 million/ 6,6 / 3,3 / 1,7/ 0.85 / 0.4

 

So with terrible legs, it's going to make $26 million more, which is around $337 million. And it's most definitely not going to have such drops at least until BvS. I honestly don't see how it's going to miss $350.

While its drops have been consistent, there weren't any new movies coming out that were any good while it was destroying the box office. March is a different story. I think it'll pass American Sniper but be behind Passion for highest grossing R-rated film. 

[a2k]

7 minutes ago, The Dark Samurai said:

Are people seriously asking whether Deadpool will beat GOTG? 

 

Deadpool will be around $311 million after a $17 million weekend. It'll only need $22 million more to do it.

 

It did $9,5 million during the weekdays and say, $17 million this weekend, totaling around $26,5 million for the week. With 50% drops and not a single week until the end under it:

 

$13,2 million/ 6,6 / 3,3 / 1,7/ 0.85 / 0.4

 

So with terrible legs, it's going to make $26 million more, which is around $337 million. And it's most definitely not going to have such drops at least until BvS. I honestly don't see how it's going to miss $350.

 

Yeah after a 17m weekend (311.5m cume), doing just 34m (2x17m) more for 345.5m will itself require crappy legs. It will surely cross 350m.

 

[Jake Gittes]

9 minutes ago, a2knet said:

 

Yeah after a 17m weekend (311.5m cume), doing just 34m (2x17m) more for 345.5m will itself require crappy legs. It will surely cross 350m.

 

 

It would require a 3x to get to 345.5m, since the cume before the weekend was 294.8m. I think it might just miss 350m the way TDKR missed 450, but it's more likely that it crawls over it. There's no way it touches Passion of the Christ at this point though. 

[23IsEverywhere]

14 minutes ago, PanaMovie said:

Why is BoxOffice only projecting a 70.3M OW for Zootopia?

 

Thats a low IM (3.61)

 

 

Weekend with:

TGD 2.52 (Wed open) ($49.06m)

BH6 3.55 ($69.11m)

Wreck it Ralph 3.63 ($70.68m)

The Lorax 4 ($77.88m)

Lego Movie: 4.04 ($78.6m)

 

They are probably using WiR as a basis for the multiplier, but that could be a flawed comparison.  On one hand the 2 Disney non musicals had openings in that range, on the other the Spring movies tended to have a better multiplier.  Halfway between Lego and BH6 multis would put it at $74.6m.  Since Sunday drops are consistant (31.2-33.6) Saturday would need to be

+54.5% for $70m

+69.8% for $75m

+85.1% for $80m

[filmlover]

What is everyone expecting of 10 Cloverfield Lane next weekend? $25-30M is possible but can't see anything more than that.

Spoiler

Obviously it's going to implode the moment people discover it doesn't really have anything to do with the 2008 movie.

 

[WrathOfHan]

4 minutes ago, filmlover said:

What is everyone expecting of 10 Cloverfield Lane next weekend? $25-30M is possible but can't see anything more than that. Obviously it's going to implode the moment people discover it doesn't really have anything to do with the 2008 movie.

26M or so. That Saturday drop has potential to be brutal.

[Maxmoser3]

On the bright side this weekend is at least way way way way better than last year.

[Maxmoser3]

2 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:

Only 6 movies managed to get over 1M on Friday, damn. Next week could be even worse.

There's a lack of bigger releases.(besides Zootopia)

Edited March 5, 2016 by Maxmoser3

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

Zootopia is really funny, ton of heart. Should have great WOM, if that wasn't clear already.

[CJohn]

42 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

26M or so. That Saturday drop has potential to be brutal.

We can say it has some Bruno potential 

46 minutes ago, filmlover said:

What is everyone expecting of 10 Cloverfield Lane next weekend? $25-30M is possible but can't see anything more than that.

Spoiler

Obviously it's going to implode the moment people discover it doesn't really have anything to do with the 2008 movie.

 

It is crazy that they thought it was a good idea.

Spoiler

The monsters are not even the same. These ones come from spaceships and shit. The other one was in a deep sleep and the bottom of the ocean lmao. 

 

[Frozen]

35 minutes ago, CJohn said:

We can say it has some Bruno potential 

It is crazy that they thought it was a good idea.

  Hide contents

The monsters are not even the same. These ones come from spaceships and shit. The other one was in a deep sleep and the bottom of the ocean lmao. 

 

 

Spoiler

No it fell from the sky at the beginning.

 

[CJohn]

Just now, Frozen said:

 

  Hide contents

No it fell from the sky at the beginning.

 

Spoiler

No. Go read online. What falls from the sky is the thing that wake ups the monster  

 

[Avatree]

Why is everybody talking in spoilers?

[CJohn]

1 minute ago, Kung Fu Panda Tree said:

 

Hidden Content

 

10 Cloverfield Lane spoilers.

[Avatree]

Just now, CJohn said:

10 Cloverfield Lane spoilers.

But you're talking about the first film... which came out 8 years ago.

[CJohn]

1 minute ago, Kung Fu Panda Tree said:

But you're talking about the first film... which came out 8 years ago.

No, not all of the spoiler tags are about the first movie. And the ones that are, are a continuation of the ones that are not. 

[filmlover]

2 minutes ago, Kung Fu Panda Tree said:

 

Hidden Content

 

Because of 10 Cloverfield Lane stuff.
 

Spoiler

 

On that note, wasn't it revealed that this was called Valencia and then turned into something with vague Cloverfield connections in post? I thought that was no secret since this thing was shot a while ago apparently.