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Chas' Box Office Summer Game | We Have a Winner: Congratulations to DamienRoc on a game well Played. Special mention to darkelf as the runner up and Chewy into 3rd (had a fantastic pre-season score!) | Ya all come for the winter game ya here!

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3 hours ago, ThatOneGuy said:

I'm really betting on Central Intelligence being a big success.  Hart + The Rock in an action comedy from the director of Were the Millers?  Sign me up

 

Me too.  I have it at 140 million.

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3 hours ago, ThatOneGuy said:

I'm really betting on Central Intelligence being a big success.  Hart + The Rock in an action comedy from the director of Were the Millers?  Sign me up

You know, that's what I thought too at first. Were the Millers did great. And Hart and Rock are both very high profile.

 

But, setting aside the Furious movies, the Rock's biggest BO movie was last summer's San Andreas, and #2 after that was Get Smart. Hart's best movie was, of course, Ride Along, but #2 after that was Scary Movie 3 back in 2003. Their movies don't do badly, mostly, but they actually aren't huge. Other than the Furious movies, last summer's TMNT is bigger than anything either of them have been in, and by a pretty large margin.

 

Edit - As a final note, I strongly disagree with whoever it was that said this was a fairly narrow summer in terms of movies. In fact, I think its unusually wide open. People have movies in their top 5 that I don't have in my top 15 and there are probably 15-18 movies that can be reasonably argued to being top 10 movies.

Edited by Wrath
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Wrath - after compiling all that data there is a very narrow range. Most years there is a wider disagreement but this year the average deviation is only 2 or 3 films down from the 5 or so that previous years have had. May not seem like much but it's a decent shift. 

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2 minutes ago, narniadis said:

Wrath - after compiling all that data there is a very narrow range. Most years there is a wider disagreement but this year the average deviation is only 2 or 3 films down from the 5 or so that previous years have had. May not seem like much but it's a decent shift. 

 

Huh. Well, you crunched the numbers so if there's less deviation than normal, I believe you. Doesn't feel that way to me, but it looks like my entries might be a bit of an outlier making the range seem bigger to me.

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Estimated answers:

 

Part 1 ~ answer yes/no unless otherwise stated (UOS) and are worth 1000 points each UOS. They also only refer to the top 12 UOS.

 

1) Will Civil War open to more than $150m? Yes

2) Will Civil War open to more than $175m? Yes

3) Will Civil War open to more than $200m? 3000 No

4) Will Civil War open to more than $220m? No

5) Will Civil War's OW account for more than 82% of the total weekend Box office take? 2000 No

6) Would Civil War's Thursday Preview total be within $5m of being enough to win the weekend on its own? No

7) Will Civil War drop less than 25% on Saturday? 2000 Yes

8) Will Civil War's Sunday make more than $50m? No

 

8) Will Jungle Book drop more than 43% this weekend? Yes

9) Will Huntsman finish above Keanu this weekend?  3000 Yes

10) Will Mother's Day drop less than 57% this weekend? Yes

11) Will Zootopia make more than $4m this weekend? No

12) Will Zootopia pass Batman vs Superman's total gross by the end of the weekend?  2000 Yes

13) Will Ratchet and Clank stay above the Boss this weekend? No

14) Will at least 4 films increase over 200% on Friday? No

15) Will Barbershop cross $50m by the end of Saturday? No

16) Will Star Wars the force awakens increase this weekend?  2000 ?

17) Will hardcore Henry make less than $12,500 this weekend (getting pulled from theatres counts as a yes for this question)? ?

 

18) Will BvS have a PTA above $1,200? No

19) Will Hologram for the king finish in the top 12 this weekend?  2000 No

20) Will 1920 London have a PTA above $6,500? ?

21) Will Kung Fu Panda end the weekend in the top 25? ?

22) Will 3rd -8th place's weekend gross combine to be higher than Jungle Book's Weekend Gross?  2000 Yes

23) Will Green Room Finish in the top 10? No

24) Will any film in the top 20 drop more than 70%?  3000 Yes

25) Will Civil War be universally accepted as the film to end all wars and disagreements for films ever? NOPE

 

Bonuses

 

16/25 - 2000

17/25 - 3000

18/25 - 4000

19/25 - 5000

20/25 - 7000

21/25 - 10000

22/25 - 12000

23/25 - 15000

24/25 - 17000

25/25 - 20000

 

Part 2 ~ The closest predictor for each question scores 5000 UOS

 

1. What will Civil War gross opening Friday (including previews)? $75,253,000

2. What will be the difference in total domestic gross between Civil War and Jungle Book by the end of the weekend? $103,194,265

3. How far away from making its (BOM stated) budget will Huntsman be after this weekend? $74,636,380

4. What will Zootopia's weekend Drop be this weekend? -49.8%

5. How many films (out of all the films that BOM gives a gross for) will drop more than 57.5% this weekend? 14

 

 

Part 3 ~ predict which film finishes in the places given.  (2000 per film)

 

3. Mother's Day

6. Barbershop

8. The Boss

10. Batman v Superman

13. Hologram

17. The Meddler

 

Bonuses:

 

3/6 ~ 2000 points

4/6 ~ 5000 points

5/6 ~ 9000 points

6/6 ~ 15000 points 

Edited by WrathOfHan
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So for SOTM, the first question was what will make more....BVS OW or CW OW minus previews.  I'm the only one who took BvS. :)

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50 minutes ago, Baumer said:

So for SOTM, the first question was what will make more....BVS OW or CW OW minus previews.  I'm the only one who took BvS. :)

 

That was just a practice SOTM so it doesn't count... :ph34r:

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Am planning my winter game specialty of going out,  imbibing the alcohols and then stumbling home to mark previous weekly questions and create new ones also. 

 

Expect some sort of action about 6 to 9 hours from now

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It feels very liberating to just sit here and wait for scores. I cant wait for chas to mark one of my answers wrong. Five weeks later im going to say "ah yea chas question 14 in week three....you marked it wrong and u owe me 1000 points buddy."  HAHAHAHA 

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5 hours ago, Baumer said:

It feels very liberating to just sit here and wait for scores. I cant wait for chas to mark one of my answers wrong. Five weeks later im going to say "ah yea chas question 14 in week three....you marked it wrong and u owe me 1000 points buddy."  HAHAHAHA 

 

by PM of course ;)

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17 hours ago, chasmmi said:

 

Scores will happen tomorrow, alcohol is a terrible terrible thing and should be destroyed

I'm guessing that right now, you suspect alcohol feels the same way about you (or at least your brain and liver).

Edited by Wrath
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17 minutes ago, Wrath said:

I'm guessing that right now, you suspect alcohol feels the same way about you (or at least your brain and liver).

 

I actually survived the day, evil poison wise, I'm almost confident that this upcoming scoring may have less than 14 mistakes :) 

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Part 1 ~ answer yes/no unless otherwise stated (UOS) and are worth 1000 points each UOS. They also only refer to the top 12 UOS.

 

1) Will Civil War open to more than $150m? YES

2) Will Civil War open to more than $175m? YES

3) Will Civil War open to more than $200m? 3000 NO

4) Will Civil War open to more than $220m? NO

5) Will Civil War's OW account for more than 82% of the total weekend Box office take? 2000  NO

6) Would Civil War's Thursday Preview total be within $5m of being enough to win the weekend on its own? YES

7) Will Civil War drop less than 25% on Saturday? 2000  YES

8) Will Civil War's Sunday make more than $50m? NO

 

8) Will Jungle Book drop more than 43% this weekend? YES

9) Will Huntsman finish above Keanu this weekend?  3000 YES

10) Will Mother's Day drop less than 57% this weekend? YES

11) Will Zootopia make more than $4m this weekend? NO

12) Will Zootopia pass Batman vs Superman's total gross by the end of the weekend?  2000 YES

13) Will Ratchet and Clank stay above the Boss this weekend? NO

14) Will at least 4 films increase over 200% on Friday? NO

15) Will Barbershop cross $50m by the end of Saturday? NO

16) Will Star Wars the force awakens increase this weekend?  2000 NO

17) Will hardcore Henry make less than $12,500 this weekend (getting pulled from theatres counts as a yes for this question)? YES

 

18) Will BvS have a PTA above $1,200? NO

19) Will Hologram for the king finish in the top 12 this weekend?  2000 NO

20) Will 1920 London have a PTA above $6,500? ELEPHANTS

21) Will Kung Fu Panda end the weekend in the top 25? YES

22) Will 3rd -8th place's weekend gross combine to be higher than Jungle Book's Weekend Gross?  2000 YES

23) Will Green Room Finish in the top 10? NO

24) Will any film in the top 20 drop more than 70%?  3000 YES

25) Will Civil War be universally accepted as the film to end all wars and disagreements for films ever? OF COURSE

 

Bonuses

 

16/25 - 2000

17/25 - 3000

18/25 - 4000

19/25 - 5000

20/25 - 7000

21/25 - 10000

22/25 - 12000

23/25 - 15000

24/25 - 17000

25/25 - 20000

 

Part 2 ~ The closest predictor for each question scores 5000 UOS

 

1. What will Civil War gross opening Friday (including previews)? 75.5M

2. What will be the difference in total domestic gross between Civil War and Jungle Book by the end of the weekend? $108.46M

3. How far away from making its (BOM stated) budget will Huntsman be after this weekend? 74.27M 

4. What will Zootopia's weekend Drop be this weekend? 39.7%

5. How many films (out of all the films that BOM gives a gross for) will drop more than 57.5% this weekend? 26

 

 

Part 3 ~ predict which film finishes in the places given.  (2000 per film)

 

3. MOTHER'S DAY 

6. ZOOTOPIA

8. THE BOSS

10. BVS

13. HOLOGRAM FOR KING

17. MEDDLER

 

Bonuses:

 

3/6 ~ 2000 points

4/6 ~ 5000 points

5/6 ~ 9000 points

6/6 ~ 15000 points 

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